Alert archive / North Carolina / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Raleigh, NC

May 23, 2012Edgecombe County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this special weather statement at May 23, 2012, 7:40 PM EDT for Edgecombe County, North Carolina. It was in force for 65 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 23, 2012, 7:40 PM EDT (23:40 UTC)
Expired: May 23, 2012, 8:45 PM EDT
In force: 65 min
Issued by: NWS Raleigh, NC

County Edgecombe County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1227 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 677 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 54 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 23, 2:59 PM EDT, 4 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 23, 2:59 PM EDT, 4 hours 41 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
259 PM EDT WED MAY 23 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DRIFT EAST ACROSS OUR REGION TODAY...
KEEPING THE WEATHER UNSETTLED. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
IN FROM THE OHIO VALLEY REGION THIS WEEKEND BRINGING HOTTER AND
DRIER CONDITIONS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 245 PM...

CONVECTION IN THE COASTAL PLAIN AND SANDHILLS WHERE PARAMETERS FOR
SEVERE WEATHER ARE BEST. EXPECT CONVECTION TO DEVELOP FURTHER
NORTHEAST AS THESE AREAS REACH INTO THE LOWER 80S THIS AFTERNOON.
SLIGHT SEVERE THREAT ALL BUT THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT WITH THE THREAT
MARGINALLY HIGHER AS ONE GOES EAST. STILL EXPECTING NEARLY ALL
CONVECTION TO DISSIPATE IN THE LATE EVENING... WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS
INTO THE NIGHT.

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS HIGH TONIGHT. THE AIR MASS ABOVE 10000
FEET WILL DRY SIGNIFICANTLY AS DAWN APPROACHES IN THE SOUTHEAST.
WIDESPREAD STRATUS MOST LIKELY IN THE SOUTHEAST AFTER 4 OR 5 AM BUT
POSSIBLE ALMOST ANYWHERE... BUT PERHAPS PATCHIER. DEWPOINTS IN THE
LOWER 60S TONIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS AND LONG PERIODS OF CALM. LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 60S NORTHWEST... MID 60S ELSEWHERE.

MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO POOL IN THE FOOTHILLS OF VIRGINIA UNDER LOW
LEVEL SOUTH TO SOUTH SOUTHEAST FLOW... PERHAPS EXTENDING SOUTH INTO
NORTH CAROLINA. A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 64 AFTER
SUNRISE THURSDAY IN WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. MID AND UPPER LEVEL
DRYING SPREADS ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA BY EARLY AFTERNOON. LOW
LEVEL WINDS BEST IN THE EAST AND NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE MEAGER AT AROUND SIX DEGREES
PER KILOMETER. GIVEN THE DRYNESS ALOFT... WILL HOLD RAIN CHANCES AT
NO MORE THAN ONE IN FOUR. A WARMER START TO THE DAY WITH TRIGGER
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 80S... BUT DRYNESS ALOFT COULD LEAVE
INITIATION OF CONVECTION AT ROUGHLY THE SAME TIME... THE EARLY
AFTERNOON.

STRATUS SHOULD DISSIPATE MUCH EARLIER THURSDAY THAN TODAY AND
SUNSHINE WILL BOOST LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 83 NORTHWEST AND MID 80S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 240 PM WEDNESDAY...

NWP GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT REGARDING THE EXPANSION OF A
SEASONABLY STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE -- CHARACTERIZED BY H7 HEIGHTS
AROUND 322 DM -- FROM THE GULF COAST STATES TO THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS...WITH AN ACCOMPANYING EXTENSION OF A SURFACE RIDGE
ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND WESTERN ATLANTIC. TEMPERATURES WILL
ACCORDINGLY TREND ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE PERIOD - IN THE
MID-UPPER 80S FRI TO GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...THE CORE OF ANOMALOUSLY WARM
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF CENTRAL NC OWING
TO BOTH A MARINE-REGULATED EASTERLY COMPONENT OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW
AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SURFACE RIDGE...AND TO THE
PLACEMENT OF THE MID LEVEL RIDGE TO OUR NW (HEAT IN CENTRAL NC IS
FAVORED WHEN THE MID LEVEL RIDGE IS POSITIONED TO OUR SW - INVOF THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS). THE PRESENCE OF THE RIDGE AND RESULTANT
SUBSIDENCE AND WARMING/CAPPING ALOFT SUGGESTS ANY CONVECTION WILL BE
SPARSE...DIURNALLY-DRIVEN...AND CONFINED PRIMARILY TO THE SEA BREEZE
AND/OR BLUE RIDGE.  LOWS WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF 65 EXPECTED. -MWS

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 255 PM WEDNESDAY...

GUIDANCE...TO VARYING DEGREES...SUGGESTS THE MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL
GRADUALLY BREAK DOWN THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...IN RESPONSE TO
THE PROGRESSION OF A WESTERN NOAM TROUGH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THE
ASSOCIATED HEIGHT FALLS ALOFT WILL BOTH DECREASE PRECEDING CAPPING
ALOFT...AND DRAW NORTHWARD A PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE LOCATED OVER
THE NW CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON. AS SUCH...CHANCES FOR CONVECTION
WILL INCREASE TUE AND ESPECIALLY BY WED...WITH SLIGHTLY LESS
WARM...BUT CONTINUED ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.  -MWS

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 250 PM...

CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON IN THE SANDHILLS AND SOUTH COASTAL PLAIN
SHOULD DEVELOP FURTHER NORTHEAST AS TEMPERATURES WARM IN THAT AREA.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LESS WIDESPREAD FURTHER WEST AND NORTHWEST.
EXPECTING NEARLY ALL CONVECTION TO END BY LATE EVENING THOUGH
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY PERSIST INTO THE NIGHT. STRATUS AND FOG
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT... BEING MOST WIDESPREAD IN THE
SOUTHEAST. LOW CLOUDINESS SHOULD RISE TO VFR OR DISSIPATE A FEW
HOURS AFTER SUNRISE WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF THE NORTHWEST
WHERE MVFR CEILINGS MAY LINGER TO NOON. AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
THURSDAY... MAINLY NORTH AND EAST PARTS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND REMAIN
OVERHEAD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. AVIATION CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN
LARGELY VFR DURING THIS TIME.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 23, 3:55 PM EDT, 3 hours 45 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
355 PM EDT WED MAY 23 2012

NCZ008>011-025>028-040>043-074>078-083>086-088-089-241100-
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-
CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
355 PM EDT WED MAY 23 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 292 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SOME
STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

NCZ073-241100-
STANLY-
355 PM EDT WED MAY 23 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH PRIMARY THREATS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL
HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SOME
STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

NCZ007-021>024-038-039-241100-
PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-
355 PM EDT WED MAY 23 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH PRIMARY THREATS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL
HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SOME
STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

MWS

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 23, 6:44 PM EDT, 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
644 PM EDT WED MAY 23 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     HAIL             4 ESE WHITAKERS         36.09N  77.63W
05/23/2012  E0.88 INCH       EDGECOMBE          NC   PUBLIC

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200307

SEC

Special weather statement, May 23, 6:54 PM EDT, 46 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
654 PM EDT WED MAY 23 2012

NCZ028-232345-
EDGECOMBE-
654 PM EDT WED MAY 23 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN EDGECOMBE COUNTY
THROUGH 745 PM EDT...

AT 653 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER
CONETOE...OR ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTH OF TARBORO...MOVING NORTH AT 15
MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE CONETOE...
PRINCEVILLE...TARBORO...SPEED.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PENNY SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3582 7735 3582 7739 3580 7743 3580 7747
      3574 7755 3577 7759 3603 7754 3603 7745
      3600 7743 3600 7740 3591 7734
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 195DEG 12KT 3579 7751

77

Special weather statement, May 23, 6:59 PM EDT, 41 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
659 PM EDT WED MAY 23 2012

NCZ011-240000-
HALIFAX-
659 PM EDT WED MAY 23 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS HALIFAX COUNTY THROUGH 800
PM EDT...

AT 658 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 14 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH WELDON...OR ABOUT 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX...
MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE ROSEMARY...AND...SOUTH
WELDON.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PENNY SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 33 TO 45 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 95 BETWEEN EXITS 160 AND 175.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3645 7763 3644 7760 3643 7759 3643 7757
      3642 7756 3618 7766 3618 7783 3646 7785
      3647 7763
TIME...MOT...LOC 2258Z 186DEG 8KT 3624 7774

77

Local storm report, May 23, 7:13 PM EDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
713 PM EDT WED MAY 23 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     HAIL             1 ENE KITTRELL          36.23N  78.42W
05/23/2012  E1.00 INCH       VANCE              NC   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL ON BUFFALO MILL ROAD

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200308

SEC

Local storm report, May 23, 7:35 PM EDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
735 PM EDT WED MAY 23 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0442 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ESE FALLS LAKE        35.92N  78.55W
05/23/2012                   WAKE               NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLAG POLE BENT IN HALF AT CAPITAL BLVD AND BURLINGTON
            MILLS ROAD... TIME BASED ON RADAR

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200309

SEC

Special weather statement, May 23, 7:40 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 22, 8:16 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Davidson, Forsyth	89 min
May 22, 8:20 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Randolph	55 min
May 22, 8:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Forsyth	33 min
May 22, 8:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Randolph	45 min
May 22, 8:48 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Anson	57 min
May 22, 9:18 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Forsyth	2 hr
May 22, 9:37 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Forsyth, Guilford	68 min
May 22, 9:45 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RAH	Forsyth	3 hr
May 22, 10:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Anson	66 min
May 22, 10:46 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Alamance	59 min
May 22, 11:07 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Stanly	53 min
May 22, 11:34 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Randolph	41 min
May 22, 11:37 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Scotland	53 min
May 23, 12:16 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Montgomery, Moore, Randolph	59 min
May 23, 12:23 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Moore	67 min
May 23, 1:10 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Lee	65 min
May 23, 2:08 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Durham, Orange	52 min
May 23, 3:00 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Durham, Granville, Orange, Person	60 min
May 23, 1:31 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Sampson	59 min
May 23, 2:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Johnston, Sampson, Wayne	45 min
May 23, 2:33 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Moore	57 min
May 23, 2:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Johnston, Sampson, Wayne	46 min
May 23, 3:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Johnston, Wake	46 min
May 23, 3:32 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Moore	43 min
May 23, 3:57 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Moore	63 min
May 23, 4:07 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Johnston, Wake	38 min
May 23, 4:21 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Chatham, Harnett, Wake	54 min
May 23, 4:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Franklin, Granville, Wake	41 min
May 23, 5:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Durham, Franklin, Granville, Vance, Wake	38 min
May 23, 5:40 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Cumberland	65 min
May 23, 5:44 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Chatham	61 min
May 23, 5:51 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Halifax	54 min
May 23, 5:53 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Edgecombe, Halifax	67 min
May 23, 6:03 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Vance	57 min
May 23, 6:41 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Orange	64 min
May 23, 6:54 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Edgecombe	51 min
May 23, 6:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Halifax	61 min
May 23, 7:37 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Edgecombe, Halifax	31 min
May 23, 7:54 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Wayne	36 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in North Carolina, 2012 Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.