Special Weather Statement, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
659 PM CDT THU JUL 19 2012

.AVIATION...20/00Z TAF CYCLE

SCTD/NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA CONTS TO DROP SLOLY SWD ACRS NRN AR ATTM.
EXPECT OVERALL WEAKENING TREND IN THE NEXT FEW HRS WITH THE LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING. A FEW STORMS STILL LINGER ACRS CNTRL AR...WITH
VCTS MENTIONED AT KLIT EARLY THIS EVENING. MOST OTHER FCST SITES
SHLD NOT BE IMPACTED BY CONVECTION...SO VFR CONDS WL CONT THRU
MUCH OF THE PD. ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REFORM ON FRI...
MAINLY ACRS CNTRL AND SRN AR...AS A FNTL BNDRY DROPS SWD INTO AR
AND INTERACTS WITH RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BNDRY/S. /44/
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 237 PM CDT THU JUL 19 2012/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...THE BIG STORY WILL BE THE PULSE-TYPE
STORMS. SOME OF THE STRONGER ONES WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS...ESPECIALLY AS THEY COLLAPSE. THE STORMS WILL
DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.

UPPER RIDGING CENTERED OVER THE PLAINS WILL PUSH A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY TOWARD THE REGION TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES INTO
ARKANSAS BY FRIDAY MORNING. PRE-FRONTAL HEATING AND MOISTURE/
INSTABILITY POOLING AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY WILL BE ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE A THREAT OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...PARTICULARLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. SIMILAR TO TODAY/S SETUP...
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM ANY STRONG/SEVERE
STORMS...AND COVERAGE WILL BE ISOLATED OR SCATTERED.

DRIER AIR WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...WHICH WILL MOVE IN AND
STALL/WASH OUT OVER THE AREA. THE DRIER AIR WILL HANG ON THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WHICH SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO KEEP HEAT INDEX VALUES
BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE FIRMLY IN PLACE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CONUS...WITH AR JUST ON THE SRN PERIPHERY OF THE CENTER OF THIS
RIDGE EARLY IN THE PERIOD. AS A RESULT...KEEP SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
ACROSS THE SRN THIRD OF THE CWA FOR DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION ON
MON. BEYOND THAT...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BROADEN ENOUGH THAT POPS
WILL BE LOW ENOUGH TO KEEP MENTION OF OUT FORECAST THROUGH THE END
OF THE FORECAST. WHILE SOME ISOLATED DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE...CHANCES TOO LIMITED TO MENTION PRECIP AT
THIS TIME. TEMPS WILL ALSO BE ABOVE AVERAGE...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY
IN THE MID 90S TO LOW 100S. LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER
70S.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR ARKANSAS-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-
CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-
FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-
JEFFERSON-LINCOLN-LONOKE-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-
POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-
YELL.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
625 PM CDT THU JUL 19 2012

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-201000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
625 PM CDT THU JUL 19 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTH ARKANSAS THIS EVENING AS A WEAK UPPER
DISTURBANCE DROPS SLOWLY SOUTHWARD. SOME STRONG AND SEVERE STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE
MAIN THREAT.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING...BUT WILL REMAIN SPOTTY IN NATURE. HOWEVER...
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING.

THERE IS A HIGH WILDFIRE DANGER DUE TO CONTINUING DROUGHT CONDITIONS
AND DRY VEGETATION. MOST COUNTIES HAVE BURN BANS IN PLACE. OUTDOOR
BURNING OF ANY KIND IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE AFOREMENTIONED WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
DROP SOUTH THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
WILL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE AREA. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME BRIEFLY SEVERE
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON FRIDAY...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN
THREAT.

SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE STATE FROM THE NORTH
BEHIND A WEAK FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER DISTURBANCE. THIS
WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE STATE THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER...PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS WILL REMAIN IN HIGHER MOISTURE...WITH
AFTERNOON ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM MORE POSSIBLE.

THE OPPRESSIVE HEAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS TEMPERATURES HOVER AROUND 100 DEGREES.
HEAT INDICES WILL RANGE FROM 100 TO 110 THIS WEEKEND...WITH THE
HIGHEST VALUES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE WHERE
HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

56/62/44

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>