Severe Thunderstorm Warning 59, NWS Lake Charles, LA

007 
WWUS54 KLCH 140040
SVSLCH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
740 PM CDT WED JUN 13 2012

LAC011-115-140115-
/O.CON.KLCH.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-120614T0115Z/
BEAUREGARD LA-VERNON LA-
740 PM CDT WED JUN 13 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN VERNON AND NORTH CENTRAL BEAUREGARD PARISHES...

AT 738 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ON RADAR CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PICKERING..MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. THIS 
STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  8 MILES EAST OF EVANS BY 745 PM CDT...
  7 MILES WEST OF NEW LLANO BY 755 PM CDT...
  6 MILES EAST OF BURR FERRY BY 800 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN. STAY INDOORS...
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3085 9315 3076 9334 3100 9356 3103 9351
      3104 9353 3106 9352 3107 9353 3112 9354
      3112 9353 3113 9327
TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 162DEG 19KT 3099 9337

$$

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
651 PM CDT WED JUN 13 2012

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNSET...WITH ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THEREAFTER. THROUGH
02Z...INCLUDED VCTS AT LCH...LFT AND ARA WITH VCSH AT BPT AND AEX
WHERE ACTIVITY HAS BEEN DECREASING. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WITH SCT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN BY MIDDAY THURSDAY...AS
THE SEABREEZE TRAVELS INLAND UNDERNEATH A SHORTWAVE TROF ALOFT.  24

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 356 PM CDT WED JUN 13 2012/

DISCUSSION...
LOOKING AT THE CURRENT RADAR, VARIOUS ISOLATED SHOWERS THAT HAD
DEVELOPED TO THE SOUTH HAVE SINCE MOVED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
FORECAST REGION. AS THE SEA BREEZE CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND, A FEW MORE
SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST AND PROGRESS AT A MODERATE
PACE. THESE AFTERNOON STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TO BECOME SEVERE
ALTHOUGH BRIEF BUT HEAVY RAIN COULD CONTINUE TO FALL.

CURRENTLY WV/IR SAT AND SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM DOMINATING THE GREAT LAKES REGION BEHIND A WEAK LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM OFF THE COAST OF VIRGINIA.  A CORRESPONDING FRONT HAS STALLED
OVER EASTERN GEORGIA TO CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THIS STALLED FRONT HAS CONTRIBUTED
TO THE ISOLATED STORMS OCCURRING IN OUR FORECAST AREA. THIS SYSTEM
WILL SOON DISSIPATE INTO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH INTO THE WEEKEND.

AS FAR AS THE FORECAST GOES, TRENDED MORE TOWARDS THE EUROPEAN
MODEL. THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST WEEK THE MODEL EXHIBITS ZONAL UPPER
LEVEL FLOW INTO THE WEEKEND, WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY REACHING
MODERATE VALUES OF UPPER SIXTIES AT THE SURFACE. EXPECT WITH THE
STALLED FRONT AND WARM MOIST CONDITIONS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. CHOSE TO KEEP THE POPS FROM THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST. WITH ISOLATED ACTIVITY ITS DIFFICULT TO HAVE
CONFIDENCE IN EXACTLY WHERE THE ACTIVITY WILL BE. THE TEMPERATURE
DIFFERENCES IN THE GULF SHOULD FORM A SEA BREEZE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. LONG TERM WE HAVE BEGUN A PROGRESSIVE SUMMER PATTERN OF
AFTERNOON CONVECTION AND ARE CARRYING A 20 POP FOR MOST OF THE
AFTERNOON DAYS.

DEAL/STACKHOUSE

MARINE...
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE ACT AS A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS
AND STORMS ACROSS THE REGION WHILE UPPER DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS
THE DEEP SOUTH. THE BOUNDARY WILL DISSIPATE INTO THE WEEKEND AND
A RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH, HOWEVER A FEW SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  74  89  73  90 /  20  30  10  20
KBPT  73  90  74  90 /  20  30  10  20
KAEX  70  91  70  93 /  20  30  10  20
KLFT  73  90  72  91 /  20  30  10  30

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1122 AM CDT WED JUN 13 2012

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
141630-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
1122 AM CDT WED JUN 13 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. OCCASIONAL TO
SOMETIMES FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES, GUSTY WINDS, TROPICAL FUNNEL CLOUDS,
AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE BIGGEST THREATS.
MINOR FLOODING OF POORLY DRAINED AREAS MAY BE A CONCERN IF A STORM
REMAINS OVER AN AREA THAT RECEIVED HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS DURING THE
PAST 24 HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH
DAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. OCCASIONAL TO SOMETIMES FREQUENT
LIGHTNING STRIKES IS EXPECTED TO BE THE BIGGEST THREAT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-141630-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
1122 AM CDT WED JUN 13 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE BIGGEST THREATS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS,
POSSIBLE FUNNEL CLOUDS, AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS
THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE THE
MAIN CONCERN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
623 PM CDT WED JUN 13 2012

LAZ030-031-042-132345-
BEAUREGARD LA-ALLEN LA-JEFFERSON DAVIS LA-
623 PM CDT WED JUN 13 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BEAUREGARD...ALLEN AND JEFFERSON
DAVIS PARISHES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

AT 617 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES
NORTHEAST OF LONGVILLE TO LEBLANC...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

* THE CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  HARMONY BY 640 PM...
  TULLA AND DRY CREEK BY 645 PM...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...PEA TO
NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN
TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A
SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

LAT...LON 3083 9326 3065 9282 3034 9289 3055 9328

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