Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Jacksonville, FL

July 3, 2012Jeff Davis County, Georgia

NWS Jacksonville, FL issued this special weather statement at Jul 3, 2012, 8:01 PM EDT for Jeff Davis County, Georgia. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 3, 2012, 8:01 PM EDT (00:01 UTC)
Expired: Jul 3, 2012, 8:45 PM EDT
In force: 44 min
Issued by: NWS Jacksonville, FL

County Jeff Davis County, GA

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 173 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2259 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -50 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1252 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 1 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -43 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 23 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 3, 1:18 PM EDT, 6 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 1:18 PM EDT, 6 hours 43 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
118 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS...

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH INDEPENDENCE DAY/...
A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH INDEPENDENCE DAY. SMALL
SCALE BOUNDARY/SEABREEZE INTERACTIONS AND STRONG HEATING WILL RESULT
IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND ONCE AGAIN
TOMORROW AFTN. LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS AND THE 12Z NAM POINT
TO A FLORIDA EMPHASIS FOR MOST OF THE CONVECTION...SO WILL USE POPS
RANGING FROM 25-35 PERCENT ACROSS SE GA...TO 35 TO 50 PERCENT
ACROSS NE FL. PROFILES INDICATE TO SOME POSSIBILITY OF A FEW STRONG
STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTN/EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL...WITH LOWS TNGT IN THE LOWER/MID 70S...WITH HIGHS ON
INDEPENDENCE DAY IN THE LOWER/MID 90S. DEWPOINT VALUES WILL REMAIN
LOW ENOUGH FOR HEAT INDICES TO STAY BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A 500H RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN UNITED
STATES THROUGH THE WEEKEND...YIELDING HOT CONDITIONS AND MAINLY
DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION. THIS PATTERN BEGINS TO BREAK INTO
NEXT WEEK...AS AN UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO SET UP ALONG THE
EAST COAST. WITH THIS PATTERN WOULD EXPECT THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE
ORGANIZED CONVECTION.

&&

.AVIATION...
AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO
RESULT IN THE PRODUCTION OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. STORMS ARE
THEN EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THIS EVENING...DISSIPATING AFTER
SUNSET. IN GENERAL PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR AREA
TERMINALS THIS 18Z PERIOD. THE EXCEPTIONS WILL BE LIGHT FOG AT
KVQQ/KGNV OVERNIGHT...AND IN AND NEAR ANY STORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

&&

.MARINE...
S/SW FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH WIND SPEEDS GENERALLY
REMAINING UNDER SCEC CRITERIA. A FEW STRONGER NOCTURNAL SWLY SURGES
APPROACHING SCEC WILL BE POSSIBLE.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A FAIRLY PERSISTENT WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS
WEEK...WITH AN UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE
SOUTHERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL RESULT IN HOT CONDITIONS...WITH
AFTERNOON INSTABILITY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS.
HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  72  94  74  94 /  30  30  30  30
SSI  79  90  77  92 /  30  30  20  20
JAX  74  95  73  93 /  30  30  20  20
SGJ  76  92  74  91 /  30  30  20  20
GNV  70  93  71  92 /  30  40  20  20
OCF  70  92  71  92 /  30  40  20  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

ALLEN/STRUBLE/WALKER

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 7:27 PM EDT, 34 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
727 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-
149>154-162>166-040930-
ALACHUA-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT TO 20 NM-APPLING-
ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-CAMDEN (COASTAL)-
CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT TO 20 NM-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-
GLYNN (COASTAL)-GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-
PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT TO 20 NM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-
UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
727 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

...RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS FOR THE ST. MARYS RIVER...SUWANNEE RIVER AND
SANTA FE RIVER...

...SCATTERED EVENING STORMS...

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

HISTORIC RIVER FLOODING IS ONGOING ALONG THE ALONG THE ST. MARYS
RIVER IN PORTIONS OF BAKER...NASSAU...CAMDEN...AND CHARLTON COUNTIES.

MODERATE FLOODING IS CURRENTLY ONGOING ALONG THE SUWANNEE RIVER IN
PORTIONS OF COLUMBIA AND HAMILTON COUNTIES.

MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE SANTA FE RIVERS IN PORTIONS OF
ALACHUA...BRADFORD...COLUMBIA...GILCHRIST...SUWANNEE...AND UNION
COUNTIES.

SCATTERED EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY OVER THE
NORTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA. THE BEST COVERAGE OF STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE BETWEEN OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THIS EVENING. SOME OF THESE
STORMS WILL BE STRONG AND PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS IN ADDITION TO
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. DUE TO THE LIGHT STEERING FLOW...
THE STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVERS AND CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES IN SOME SPOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST EACH DAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING
WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERNS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SPOTTERS
ARE REQUESTED TO ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

PP/ARS

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 6:14 PM EDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
614 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

FLZ022-032300-
COLUMBIA-
614 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHERN
COLUMBIA COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 700 PM
EDT...

AT 615 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF SUWANNEE VALLEY...
OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF WHITE SPRINGS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.
THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND SUWANNEE
VALLEY AND WINFIELD THROUGH 700 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH
IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG
WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3033 8273 3032 8272 3033 8269 3036 8268
      3039 8265 3043 8265 3045 8267 3046 8267
      3056 8250 3027 8247 3021 8273
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 320DEG 3KT 3041 8258

STRUBLE

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 6:19 PM EDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
619 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

GAZ132-032245-
COFFEE-
619 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHWESTERN
COFFEE COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 645 PM
EDT...

AT 620 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 5 MILES WEST OF PRIDGEN...OR 8 MILES
NORTH OF AMBROSE...STATIONARY. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO
AFFECT AREAS AROUND PRIDGEN...BROXTON AND AMBROSE THROUGH 645 PM EDT.
HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55
MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF
LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3179 8285 3156 8287 3156 8306 3161 8306
      3164 8302 3166 8302 3167 8300 3177 8300
      3179 8299
TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 002DEG 2KT 3171 8301

STRUBLE

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 6:32 PM EDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
632 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

FLZ024-GAZ164>166-032300-
CHARLTON-COASTAL CAMDEN-INLAND CAMDEN-NASSAU-
632 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EXTREME EASTERN
CHARLTON...SOUTHWESTERN CAMDEN AND EXTREME NORTHERN NASSAU COUNTIES
FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

AT 632 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 5 MILES EAST OF KINGS FERRY...OR 5 MILES
WEST OF KINGSLAND...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND KINGSLAND...KINGS FERRY...
WOODBINE AND COLESBURG THROUGH 700 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER
INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3091 8193 3098 8169 3076 8161 3076 8189
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 151DEG 3KT 3080 8176

STRUBLE

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 7:37 PM EDT, 24 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
737 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

GAZ132-133-040000-
COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-
737 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EXTREME
SOUTHWESTERN JEFF DAVIS AND NORTHWESTERN COFFEE COUNTIES FOR STRONG
WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 800 PM EDT...

AT 737 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PRIDGEN...OR 5
MILES NORTHEAST OF AMBROSE...STATIONARY. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM
WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND AMBROSE...PRIDGEN AND BROXTON THROUGH
800 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS
OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3155 8279 3156 8306 3161 8306 3164 8302
      3166 8302 3167 8300 3176 8300 3180 8282
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 264DEG 1KT 3166 8297

SHASHY

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 7:56 PM EDT, 5 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
756 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

GAZ132-149-150-163-040045-
ATKINSON-CLINCH-COFFEE-WARE-
756 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHWESTERN
WARE...EASTERN ATKINSON...EXTREME NORTHERN CLINCH AND SOUTHEASTERN
COFFEE COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 845 PM
EDT...

AT 756 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER AXSON...OR 7 MILES EAST OF
PEARSON...STATIONARY. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS
AROUND COGDELL...AXSON...MILLWOOD AND BICKLEY THROUGH 845 PM EDT.
HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO
55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3147 8267 3145 8260 3129 8251 3115 8274
      3120 8280 3127 8288
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 227DEG 2KT 3128 8273

SHASHY

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 8:01 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
801 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

GAZ132-133-135-040045-
APPLING-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-
801 PM EDT TUE JUL 3 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR JEFF DAVIS...
NORTHWESTERN APPLING AND NORTHERN COFFEE COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS
AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 845 PM EDT...

AT 801 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A FEW
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 2 MILES
NORTH OF PLANT HATCH TO 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF SNIPESVILLE...MOVING
SOUTH AT 10 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS
AROUND PLANT HATCH...HAZLEHURST...SNIPESVILLE...GRAHAM...PINE
GROVE...DENTON AND BAXLEY THROUGH 845 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE
QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3196 8241 3197 8239 3194 8233 3194 8228
      3193 8224 3176 8224 3169 8283 3179 8291
      3179 8287 3186 8278 3196 8252 3195 8250
      3198 8248
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 000DEG 7KT 3195 8235 3182 8285

SHASHY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jacksonville, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 3, 8:36 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Flagler	34 min
Jul 3, 9:09 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Flagler	51 min
Jul 3, 9:14 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JAX	Flagler	91 min
Jul 4, 3:30 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Hamilton	30 min
Jul 4, 3:58 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Marion	32 min
Jul 4, 4:39 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Baker, Columbia	36 min
Jul 4, 4:50 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JAX	Columbia	57 min
Jul 4, 5:12 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Marion	33 min
Jul 4, 5:39 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Duval	51 min
Jul 4, 5:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Duval	47 min
Jul 4, 6:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Duval, Nassau	46 min
Jul 4, 6:23 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Duval	52 min
Jul 4, 6:24 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JAX	Clay, Duval, Nassau	101 min
Jul 4, 6:26 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Marion	49 min
Jul 4, 7:02 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Alachua	43 min
Jul 4, 7:14 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Clay	46 min
Jul 3, 8:03 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Atkinson, Clinch, Ware	42 min
Jul 3, 8:10 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JAX	Coffee	2 hr
Jul 3, 8:24 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Coffee, Jeff Davis	41 min
Jul 3, 8:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAX	Atkinson, Bacon, Coffee, Ware	44 min
Jul 3, 8:49 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JAX	Atkinson, Coffee, Ware	116 min
Jul 3, 9:10 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Bacon	35 min
Jul 3, 9:20 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JAX	Atkinson, Bacon, Coffee, Ware	115 min
Jul 3, 9:23 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Atkinson	37 min
Jul 4, 7:56 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JAX	Camden	34 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2012 Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.