Special Weather Statement, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
855 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

.UPDATE...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL IS MOVING NNW INTO
LOWNDES COUNTY GEORGIA THIS EVENING. T.D. BERYL WILL MOVE N AND THEN
NE ACROSS INTERIOR SE GA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. THREAT OF HEAVY
RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE. HAVE CANCELLED WIND
ADVISORY AND REPLACED IT WITH A LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR COASTAL
COUNTIES FROM ST. JOHNS COUNTY NORTHWARD TO GLYNN...WINDS STILL
GUSTING OVER 30 MPH ALONG THE COAST NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE. FLOOD
WATCH CONTINUES AREA WIDE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WITH A FLOOD
WARNING CURRENTLY IN EFFECT OVER THE SUWANNEE VALLEY WHERE
RAINFALL TOTALS HAVE REACHED 6 INCHES IN SPOTS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR TO MVFR CONDS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH IFR VSBY AND/OR
CIGS LIKELY IN ANY STRONG SHOWER OR TSTMS AS BANDS OF SHOWERS/ISOLD
TSTMS CONTS TO MOVE NE AND N AROUND BERYL. WITH VWP SHOWING 20-35 KT
ALOFT...SOME OF THE SHOWERS COULD PRODUCE GUSTS NEAR 35 TO MAYBE 40
KT AT THE TAF SITES. ON TUE...PREVAILING MVFR ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME AS HIGH CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS REMAIN IN THE FCST AS
BERYL CONTS TO SLOW PROGRESS.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS ARE SLY AROUND 15-20 KT AND SEAS OF 6-8 FT FROM BUOY
REPORTS. MIGHT SEE A SLIGHT DECREASE IN WINDS LATE TONIGHT...BUT
GENERAL FCST IS RIGHT ON TRACK. SCA REMAINS IN EFFECT.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE TO POSSIBLE HIGH RISK THROUGH TUE AS SURF
REMAINS ROUGH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  71  83  68  90 / 100 100  70  30
SSI  75  81  73  89 /  70  70  70  40
JAX  71  83  69  90 /  80  70  70  40
SGJ  74  84  73  89 /  70  60  60  50
GNV  70  87  70  92 /  80  80  60  40
OCF  71  88  71  93 /  70  80  50  40

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-
     CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-
     NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION.

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR DUVAL-FLAGLER-
     NASSAU-ST JOHNS.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR DUVAL-NASSAU-ST
     JOHNS.

GA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-
     BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-CLINCH-COASTAL CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-
     COFFEE-ECHOLS-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND GLYNN-JEFF DAVIS-PIERCE-
     WARE-WAYNE.

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR COASTAL CAMDEN-
     COASTAL GLYNN.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR COASTAL CAMDEN-
     COASTAL GLYNN.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND
     GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-ALTAMAHA
     SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-FERNANDINA BEACH
     TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FERNANDINA BEACH
     TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH
     FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL
     OUT 20 NM.

&&

ZIBURA/SHASHY/KEEGAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
833 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-291100-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
833 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE EAST COAST FROM ST. JOHNS COUNTY NORTH
TO GLYNN COUNTY TONIGHT...

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL IS MOVING INLAND INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT ALONG THE EAST COAST.

EASTERLY SWELLS AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL MAINTAIN ROUGH SURF
CONDITIONS AND A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE
LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF.

HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE IN THE STRONGER RAINBANDS
WITH A FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS...WITH A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA
INTO MIDWEEK...WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS
THROUGH MIDWEEK.

AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK.

ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED. PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF
WIND DAMAGE AND FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

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