Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2012

River Flood Warning 4, NWS Jacksonville, FL

June 25, 2012Clay County, Florida

NWS Jacksonville, FL issued this river flood warning at Jun 25, 2012, 6:48 AM EDT for Clay County, Florida. It took effect at Jun 25, 2012, 1:46 PM EDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2012, 6:48 AM EDT (10:48 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 25, 2012, 1:46 PM EDT
Expired
Jun 29, 2012, 9:02 AM EDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Jacksonville, FL
Flood severity
Minor

County Clay County, FL

The radar

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point North Fork Black Creek near Middleburg (MDLF1). The gauge peaked at 25.24 ft at Jun 27, 2012, 8:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderatemajor102006/2506/2606/2706/2806/2906/30
Action stage
11 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
18 ft
Major stage
20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02246000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

684 
WGUS42 KJAX 251048
FLWJAX
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
648 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE FL HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA... 

  BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST...

 .THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG IS EXPECTED TO REACH FLOOD STAGE
 TONIGHT AND CRESTING AROUND 17 FEET TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AN 
 ADDITIONAL 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ON THE BLACK
 CREEK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH 
 TROPICAL STORM DEBBIE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...RESIDENTS AND THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER 
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THREATENED PROPERTY. HIGH AND FAST 
FLOWING RIVERS ARE NOT SUITABLE FOR RECREATION OF ANY KIND. KEEP 
CHILDREN AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH 
FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

&&

FLC019-261048-
/O.NEW.KJAX.FL.W.0004.120626T0000Z-120628T1030Z/
/MDLF1.1.ER.120626T0000Z.120626T1800Z.120628T0430Z.NO/
648 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE FL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  5:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LAZY ACRE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD. LOWLANDS 
  FLOOD AND BOAT DOCKS ARE AFFECTED.

&&


               FLD    OBSERVED                   7AM FORECAST
LOCATION       STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    

BLACK CREEK
  MIDDLEBURG  16.0  11.2 MON 06 AM   16.8   16.7   15.6   13.1      



$$
12 follow-up statements
332 
WGUS42 KJAX 251748
FLWJAX
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
148 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
  BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST...

 .ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED FOR THE BLACK CREEK 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...RESIDENTS AND THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER 
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THREATENED PROPERTY. HIGH AND FAST 
FLOWING RIVERS ARE NOT SUITABLE FOR RECREATION OF ANY KIND. KEEP 
CHILDREN AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH 
FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

&&

FLC019-261748-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0004.120625T1746Z-120630T0600Z/
/MDLF1.2.ER.120625T1643Z.120626T1800Z.120630T0000Z.NO/
148 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO MOVE INTO HOMES.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LAZY ACRE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD. LOWLANDS 
  FLOOD AND BOAT DOCKS ARE AFFECTED.

&&


               FLD    OBSERVED                   7AM FORECAST
LOCATION       STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

BLACK CREEK
  MIDDLEBURG  16.0  16.0 MON 01 PM   19.3   19.3   18.9   17.2   14.8



$$
631 
WGUS82 KJAX 251916
FLSJAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
316 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...RESIDENTS AND THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER 
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THREATENED PROPERTY. HIGH AND FAST 
FLOWING RIVERS ARE NOT SUITABLE FOR RECREATION OF ANY KIND. KEEP 
CHILDREN AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH 
FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

&&

FLC019-261916-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120630T0345Z/
/MDLF1.2.ER.120625T1643Z.120626T1800Z.120629T2145Z.NO/
316 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.9 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO MOVE INTO HOMES.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LAZY ACRE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD. LOWLANDS 
  FLOOD AND BOAT DOCKS ARE AFFECTED.

&&


               FLD    OBSERVED                   7AM FORECAST
LOCATION       STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

BLACK CREEK
  MIDDLEBURG  16.0  18.2 MON 03 PM   19.8   19.3   18.6   17.0   14.6



$$
821 
WGUS82 KJAX 252233
FLSJAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
633 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 

 .RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM DEBBY HAS CAUSED THE
 BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG TO GO INTO MODERATE FLOOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...RESIDENTS AND THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER 
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THREATENED PROPERTY. HIGH AND FAST 
FLOWING RIVERS ARE NOT SUITABLE FOR RECREATION OF ANY KIND. KEEP 
CHILDREN AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH 
FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

&&

FLC019-262233-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDLF1.2.ER.120625T1643Z.120626T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
633 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 5:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.8 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO MOVE INTO HOMES.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LAZY ACRE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD. LOWLANDS 
  FLOOD AND BOAT DOCKS ARE AFFECTED.

&&


               FLD    OBSERVED                   7AM FORECAST
LOCATION       STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

BLACK CREEK
  MIDDLEBURG  16.0  20.3 MON 06 PM   20.7   20.0   19.4   18.8   17.6



$$
867 
WGUS82 KJAX 252256
FLSJAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
656 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA..
  BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 

 .RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM DEBBY HAS CAUSED THE
 BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG TO GO INTO MODERATE FLOOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...RESIDENTS AND THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER 
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THREATENED PROPERTY. HIGH AND FAST 
FLOWING RIVERS ARE NOT SUITABLE FOR RECREATION OF ANY KIND. KEEP 
CHILDREN AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH 
FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

&&

FLC019-262256-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDLF1.2.ER.120625T1643Z.120626T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
656 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.8 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO MOVE INTO HOMES.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LAZY ACRE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD. LOWLANDS 
  FLOOD AND BOAT DOCKS ARE AFFECTED.

&&


               FLD    OBSERVED                   7AM FORECAST
LOCATION       STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

BLACK CREEK
  MIDDLEBURG  16.0  20.7 MON 07 PM   20.7   20.0   19.4   18.8   17.6



$$
779 
WGUS42 KJAX 260103
FLWJAX
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
903 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
  BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY

...MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...RESIDENTS AND THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER 
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THREATENED PROPERTY. HIGH AND FAST 
FLOWING RIVERS ARE NOT SUITABLE FOR RECREATION OF ANY KIND. KEEP 
CHILDREN AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH 
FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

&&

FLC019-270103-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDLF1.3.ER.120625T1643Z.120626T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
903 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...OBSERVED FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY...
...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.1 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF HOMES OCCURS.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO MOVE INTO HOMES.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LAZY ACRE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD. LOWLANDS 
  FLOOD AND BOAT DOCKS ARE AFFECTED.

&&


               FLD    OBSERVED                   7AM FORECAST
LOCATION       STG  STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT

BLACK CREEK
  MIDDLEBURG  16.0  21.3 MON 09 PM   22.0   21.8   21.4   21.0   17.6



$$
600 
WGUS82 KJAX 261537
FLSJAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1137 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...RESIDENTS AND THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER 
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THREATENED PROPERTY. HIGH AND FAST 
FLOWING RIVERS ARE NOT SUITABLE FOR RECREATION OF ANY KIND. KEEP 
CHILDREN AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH 
FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

&&

FLC019-271537-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120701T0300Z/
/MDLF1.3.ER.120625T1643Z.120627T1200Z.120630T2100Z.NR/
1137 AM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.5 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.0 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF HOMES OCCURS.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO MOVE INTO HOMES.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LAZY ACRE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD. LOWLANDS 
  FLOOD AND BOAT DOCKS ARE AFFECTED.


&&


               FLD    OBSERVED                   7AM FORECAST
LOCATION       STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

BLACK CREEK
  MIDDLEBURG  16.0  22.5 TUE 11 AM   25.0   22.1   18.9   16.8   13.4



$$
845 
WGUS82 KJAX 270043
FLSJAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
843 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
 .MAJOR FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT .

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...RESIDENTS AND THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER 
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THREATENED PROPERTY. HIGH AND FAST 
FLOWING RIVERS ARE NOT SUITABLE FOR RECREATION OF ANY KIND. KEEP 
CHILDREN AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH 
FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

&&

FLC019-280043-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120701T0000Z/
/MDLF1.3.ER.120625T1643Z.120627T1200Z.120630T1800Z.NR/
843 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.0 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF HOMES OCCURS.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO MOVE INTO HOMES.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LAZY ACRE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD. LOWLANDS 
  FLOOD AND BOAT DOCKS ARE AFFECTED.


&&


               FLD    OBSERVED                   7AM FORECAST
LOCATION       STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    

BLACK CREEK
  MIDDLEBURG  16.0  22.9 TUE 08 PM   22.3   19.0   16.5   13.8      



$$
307 
WGUS82 KJAX 271459
FLSJAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1059 AM EDT WED JUN 27 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...RESIDENTS AND THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER 
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THREATENED PROPERTY. HIGH AND FAST 
FLOWING RIVERS ARE NOT SUITABLE FOR RECREATION OF ANY KIND. KEEP 
CHILDREN AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH 
FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

&&

FLC019-281459-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120701T0100Z/
/MDLF1.3.ER.120625T1643Z.120627T1145Z.120630T1900Z.NR/
1059 AM EDT WED JUN 27 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF HOMES OCCURS.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO MOVE INTO HOMES.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LAZY ACRE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD. LOWLANDS 
  FLOOD AND BOAT DOCKS ARE AFFECTED.


&&


               FLD    OBSERVED                   7AM FORECAST
LOCATION       STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

BLACK CREEK
  MIDDLEBURG  16.0  24.9 WED 11 AM   22.2   19.2   16.7   13.5    6.2



$$
789 
WGUS82 KJAX 280141
FLSJAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
941 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...RESIDENTS AND THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER 
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THREATENED PROPERTY. HIGH AND FAST 
FLOWING RIVERS ARE NOT SUITABLE FOR RECREATION OF ANY KIND. KEEP 
CHILDREN AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH 
FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

&&

FLC019-290141-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120630T0700Z/
/MDLF1.3.ER.120625T1643Z.120627T1145Z.120630T0100Z.NR/
941 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF HOMES OCCURS.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO MOVE INTO HOMES.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LAZY ACRE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD. LOWLANDS 
  FLOOD AND BOAT DOCKS ARE AFFECTED.


&&


               FLD    OBSERVED                   7AM FORECAST
LOCATION       STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    

BLACK CREEK
  MIDDLEBURG  16.0  23.0 WED 09 PM   17.5   15.3   11.1    7.2     



$$
335 
WGUS82 KJAX 281537
FLSJAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1137 AM EDT THU JUN 28 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...RESIDENTS AND THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER 
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THREATENED PROPERTY. HIGH AND FAST 
FLOWING RIVERS ARE NOT SUITABLE FOR RECREATION OF ANY KIND. KEEP 
CHILDREN AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH 
FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

&&

FLC019-291348-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120629T1348Z/
/MDLF1.3.ER.120625T1643Z.120627T1145Z.120629T0748Z.NR/
1137 AM EDT THU JUN 28 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO MOVE INTO HOMES.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LAZY ACRE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD. LOWLANDS 
  FLOOD AND BOAT DOCKS ARE AFFECTED.

&&


               FLD    OBSERVED                   7AM FORECAST
LOCATION       STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

BLACK CREEK
  MIDDLEBURG  16.0  19.7 THU 11 AM   15.3   11.1    8.0    6.0      M



$$
116 
WGUS82 KJAX 290109
FLSJAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
909 PM EDT THU JUN 28 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
 
  BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...RESIDENTS AND THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER 
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THREATENED PROPERTY. HIGH AND FAST 
FLOWING RIVERS ARE NOT SUITABLE FOR RECREATION OF ANY KIND. KEEP 
CHILDREN AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH 
FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

&&

FLC019-291724-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120629T1724Z/
/MDLF1.3.ER.120625T1643Z.120627T1145Z.120629T1124Z.NR/
909 PM EDT THU JUN 28 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LAZY ACRE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD. LOWLANDS 
  FLOOD AND BOAT DOCKS ARE AFFECTED.

&&


               FLD    OBSERVED                   7AM FORECAST
LOCATION       STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    

BLACK CREEK
  MIDDLEBURG  16.0  17.5 THU 09 PM   11.8    9.0    6.7    5.6     



$$
991 
WGUS82 KJAX 291303
FLSJAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
902 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
FLORIDA...
 
  BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
 
HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ON JUNE 24TH AND 25TH CAUSED
BLACK CREEK TO JUMP FROM NEAR 5 FEET LATE SUNDAY NIGHT TO 25.1 FEET
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS IS THE SECOND HIGHEST FLOOD ON RECORD FOR
BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG...THE HIGHEST BEING 25.3 FEET ON MAY 1, 1919. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...RESIDENTS AND THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER 
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT THREATENED PROPERTY. HIGH AND FAST 
FLOWING RIVERS ARE NOT SUITABLE FOR RECREATION OF ANY KIND. KEEP 
CHILDREN AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH 
FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

&&

FLC019-291332-
/O.CAN.KJAX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120629T1724Z/
/MDLF1.3.ER.120625T1643Z.120627T1145Z.120629T0930Z.NR/
902 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG.
* AT  7:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  5:30 AM FRIDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 11.8 FEET BY TOMORROW
  MORNING.


&&


               FLD    OBSERVED                   7AM FORECAST
LOCATION       STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED

BLACK CREEK
  MIDDLEBURG  16.0  15.6 FRI 08 AM   11.8    9.0    6.7    5.6      M



$$

MCALLISTER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 25, 4:30 AM EDT, 2 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 4:30 AM EDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
430 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL CONTINUES THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK...
...WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA INTO THIS EVENING...

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
WIDESPREAD RAINS ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF TS DEBBY CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS NE FL/SE GA. A BRIEF DRY SLOT IS WORKING ITS
WAY ACROSS CENTRAL FL. WILL INCORPORATE SLIGHTLY LOWER POPS WITH
THIS SLOT EARLY THIS MORNING...BEFORE WIDESPREAD RAINS FILL BACK
IN FOR THIS AFTN. WILL CONTINUE THE FLOOD WATCH FOR MOST AREAS AS
ANOTHER 2-4 INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO
TUESDAY. GIVEN OBS TRENDS...AND FORECAST OF A BIT HIGHER WINDS...WILL
EXPAND THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY TO ALL OF NE FL. GUSTS TO WIND ADVISORY
WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT THINK THESE WILL BE ISOLATED AND LIMITED TO
STRONGER SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. WITH THE CURRENT FCST TRACK
OF DEBBY MOVING VERY SLOWLY NORTH...WILL CONTINUE HIGH POPS THROUGH
TUESDAY ALONG WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE
QUITE SUPPRESSED TODAY WITH CLOUDS/PRECIP...WITH WARM/HUMID
CONDITIONS TNGT.

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE QUESTION IN THE LONG TERM IS WHETHER ANY MECHANISM IN THE UPPER
ATMOSPHERE WILL HAVE THE ABILITY TO DISLODGE DEBBY FROM ITS
CURRENT LOCATION. CONSIDERABLE FORECAST UNCERTAINTY PREVAILS...AND
THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECASTS KEEP DEBBY IN THE REGION THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY. THE OPERATIONAL GFS MODEL PULLS DEBBY ACROSS
CENTRAL FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY...BUT IT HAS NO SUPPORT FROM ITS
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS. THE NEW 25/00Z ECMWF OPERATIONAL MODEL KEEPS
DEBBY PARKED NEAR THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST LATE THIS WEEK.
OUR REGION WILL LIKELY REMAIN EMBEDDED IN DEEP SOUTH TO
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. WE HAVE THUS RAISED
POPS TO LIKELY FOR WEDNESDAY...MORE IN LINE WITH THE ECMWF MOS. WE
HAVE RAISED POPS FOR THURSDAY TO HIGH END SCATTERED OVER SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND FAR NORTHERN FLORIDA...WITH LIKELY POPS CONTINUING FOR
THE REMAINDER OF NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH ACTIVITY ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY...AND HPC PROGS DEPICT AN ADDITIONAL 5 INCHES-PLUS OF QPF
DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. THE FLOOD THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AND NORTH CENTRAL
FLORIDA...WHERE GROUNDS ARE CURRENTLY SATURATED. GIVEN THE
LIKELIHOOD FOR MORE CLOUD COVER AND LINGERING RAINFALL INTO
THURSDAY...TEMPERATURES SHOULD CONTINUE TO RUN BELOW LATE JUNE
CLIMATOLOGY. WE WILL KEEP AT LEAST SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AS OUR
DAILY MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES SUCH AS THE EAST COAST SEABREEZE
INTERACT WITH THE LINGERING TROPICAL MOISTURE. IF DEBBY STALLS AS
SOME OF THE LONG-TERM MODELS INDICATE...WE MAY NEED TO RAISE RAIN
CHANCES FOR THE WEEKEND DURING FUTURE FORECAST CYCLES. SUBTROPICAL
RIDGING WILL ATTEMPT TO BUILD WESTWARD TOWARDS NEXT WEEKEND...WHICH
WOULD SEND TEMPERATURES TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY.

&&

.AVIATION...
PREVAILING MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT EACH OF THE REGIONAL
TERMINALS...WITH PERIODS OF IFR OR LIFR POSSIBLE AS RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM DEBBY MOVE QUICKLY NORTH AND
NORTHEASTWARD. PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR
UPDATES ON TIMING AND INTENSITY OF ACTIVITY. SOUTHEAST TO
SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS FROM JUST OFF THE SURFACE UP TO
5000 FEET WILL DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 KNOTS AFTER 18Z.

&&

.MARINE...
WITH WIND TRENDS SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN FCST...WILL INCREASE WINDS
TO SCA FOR ALL LEGS TODAY/TNGT...WITH SCA WINDS LINGERING THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT FOR THE OFFSHORE LEGS. MAY HAVE TO KEEP SCA FURTHER
FOR SEAS THROUGH MIDWEEK. RAIN/ISOLATED TSTMS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
TUESDAY...WITH MORE SHOWERY ACTIVITY FOR MID/LATE WEEK.

RIP CURRENTS: WITH INCREASING SWELL HEIGHT/PERIOD...A HIGH RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
EXPECT THE NE FLORIDA RIVERS TO RISE AS A RESULT OF RAINFALL FROM
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY. THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG AND THE SUWANNEE
RIVER AT WHITE SPRINGS ARE EXPECTED TO COME CLOSE TO FLOOD STAGE BUT
REMAIN JUST BELOW...AND THE SANTA FE AT THREE RIVER ESTATES IS
FORECAST TO GO INTO FLOOD BY THE END OF THE WEEK. HAVE HELD OFF ON
ANY RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS FOR THESE FORECAST POINTS FOR THE TIME
BEING...BUT HAVE ISSUED HYDROLOGIC STATEMENTS ACKNOWLEDGING THE
RIVER RISES.

MEANWHILE...THE SANTA FE RIVER AT FORT WHITE IS EXPECTED TO REACH
MINOR FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND THE ST MARY'S
RIVER AT MACCLENNY SHOULD REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. HAVE INITIATED RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS FOR THESE TWO
FORECAST POINTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  83  72  86  68 /  90  60  60  50
SSI  80  75  84  72 /  90  70  60  50
JAX  83  74  83  73 /  90  80  60  60
SGJ  83  76  84  77 /  80  80  70  70
GNV  82  73  86  74 /  80  80  70  70
OCF  82  74  88  76 /  80  80  70  70

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-
     CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-
     NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION.

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT FOR DUVAL-
     FLAGLER-NASSAU-ST JOHNS.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-
     BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-
     MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION.

GA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-CLINCH-
     COASTAL CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND
     GLYNN-WARE.

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT FOR COASTAL
     CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND
     GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
     FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
     ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND
     GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST
     AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT
     20 NM.

&&

ALLEN/NELSON/HESS/CHASE
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 4:40 AM EDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
440 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-261000-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
440 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...TORNADO WATCH 424 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

...A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS
NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM TONIGHT FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH TUESDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXIST FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT IS DAMAGING WINDS...WITH A SMALL
RISK OF A TORNADO.

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH A LAKE
WIND ADVISORY FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA UNTIL 8 PM.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...WITH
A FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT.

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE WATERS TODAY...WITH A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS...AND A HIGH RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS ON AREA BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO MIDWEEK.

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON THE WATERS INTO MIDWEEK...WITH
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS...AND A HIGH RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS ON AREA BEACHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 25, 4:37 AM EDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
437 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

FLZ040-250930-
MARION-
437 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MARION COUNTY
FOR STRONG WINDS AND FUNNEL CLOUDS VALID UNTIL 530 AM EDT...

AT 438 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 7 MILES SOUTH OF SUMMERFIELD...OR 8 MILES WEST
OF THE VILLAGES...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND WEIRSDALE...SUMMERFIELD...LAKE WEIR...
BELLEVIEW...SANTOS...OCKLAWAHA...OCALA AIRPORT...MOSS BLUFF...SILVER
SPRINGS SHORES AND OCALA THROUGH 530 AM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55
MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. DOPPLER RADAR
HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. TORNADOES MAY DEVELOP
WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EDT MONDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA.

LAT...LON 2945 8226 2944 8221 2943 8221 2942 8220
      2943 8217 2942 8214 2943 8214 2936 8166
      2934 8166 2933 8168 2931 8167 2895 8185
      2896 8229
TIME...MOT...LOC 0838Z 197DEG 32KT 2893 8206

HESS
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 5:02 AM EDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
502 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

FLZ024-025-033-GAZ166-250945-
COASTAL CAMDEN-DUVAL-NASSAU-ST. JOHNS-
502 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EXTREME
NORTHERN ST. JOHNS...SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN...EASTERN DUVAL AND EASTERN
NASSAU COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND FUNNEL CLOUDS VALID UNTIL 545 AM
EDT...

AT 503 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER PALM VALLEY...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.
THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND SAWGRASS...
PALM VALLEY...BAYARD...PONTE VEDRA BEACH...UNF...SAN PABLO...
JACKSONVILLE BEACH...NEPTUNE BEACH...MAYPORT AND FORT CAROLINE
THROUGH 545 AM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG
WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION
WITHIN THIS STORM. TORNADOES MAY DEVELOP WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND
MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EDT MONDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA.

LAT...LON 3010 8151 3079 8167 3080 8145 3075 8145
      3072 8144 3070 8142 3060 8144 3052 8142
      3051 8144 3049 8141 3030 8138 3013 8134
TIME...MOT...LOC 0903Z 170DEG 22KT 3022 8140

HESS
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 5:17 AM EDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
517 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

FLZ024-025-GAZ166-251000-
COASTAL CAMDEN-DUVAL-NASSAU-
517 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN...NORTHEASTERN DUVAL AND EASTERN NASSAU COUNTIES
FOR STRONG WINDS AND FUNNEL CLOUDS VALID UNTIL 600 AM EDT...

AT 517 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AMELIA CITY...OR 6
MILES NORTHWEST OF TALBOT ISLAND...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. THIS
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND AMELIA CITY...
YULEE...FERNANDINA BEACH...ST. MARYS AND DUNGENESS THROUGH 600 AM
EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE
MINOR DAMAGE. DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS
STORM. TORNADOES MAY DEVELOP WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EDT MONDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA.

LAT...LON 3064 8142 3060 8144 3054 8143 3047 8145
      3048 8157 3076 8159 3075 8145 3072 8144
      3070 8142
TIME...MOT...LOC 0917Z 188DEG 18KT 3054 8150

SHASHY
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 6:14 AM EDT, 34 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
614 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

GAZ154-165-166-251100-
COASTAL CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-INLAND CAMDEN-
614 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EASTERN CAMDEN
AND SOUTHERN GLYNN COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND FUNNEL CLOUDS VALID
UNTIL 700 AM EDT...

AT 614 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED OVER KINGS BAY BASE...MOVING NORTH AT 20
MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND KINGS BAY
BASE...CUMBERLAND ISLAND...HARRIETTS BLUFF AND DOVER BLUFF THROUGH
700 AM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION
WITHIN THIS STORM. TORNADOES MAY DEVELOP WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3080 8144 3077 8145 3075 8159 3106 8168
      3109 8143 3101 8144 3098 8147 3097 8144
TIME...MOT...LOC 1014Z 175DEG 19KT 3080 8152

SHASHY
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 6:44 AM EDT, 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
644 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

FLZ025-032-033-251130-
CLAY-DUVAL-ST. JOHNS-
644 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHERN
CLAY...NORTHWESTERN ST. JOHNS AND EASTERN DUVAL COUNTIES FOR STRONG
WINDS AND FUNNEL CLOUDS VALID UNTIL 730 AM EDT...

AT 644 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DOCTORS
INLET...OR 3 MILES SOUTH OF LAKESIDE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS AROUND
SWITZERLAND...LAKESIDE...DOCTORS INLET...ASBURY LAKE...FRUIT
COVE...MANDARIN...BELLAIR...ORANGE PARK...ORTEGA AND RIVERSIDE
THROUGH 730 AM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK
ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. TORNADOES MAY DEVELOP WITH LITTLE OR NO
ADVANCE WARNING.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EDT MONDAY AFTERNOON
FOR NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA.

LAT...LON 2998 8169 3006 8188 3051 8165 3042 8141
TIME...MOT...LOC 1044Z 205DEG 23KT 3010 8174

SHASHY
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 6:47 AM EDT, 1 minute before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
647 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

GAZ153-154-165-166-251115-
COASTAL CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND GLYNN-
647 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EASTERN CAMDEN
AND SOUTHERN GLYNN COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND FUNNEL CLOUDS VALID
UNTIL 715 AM EDT...

AT 646 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF HARRIETTS BLUFF...
OR 7 MILES NORTH OF KINGS BAY BASE...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. THIS
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND HARRIETTS BLUFF...
DOVER BLUFF...DOCK JUNCTION...COUNTRY CLUB ESTATES AND BRUNSWICK
THROUGH 715 AM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG
WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION
WITHIN THIS STORM. TORNADOES MAY DEVELOP WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3083 8164 3118 8173 3122 8147 3110 8145
      3110 8146 3109 8145 3101 8144 3098 8147
      3097 8144 3086 8143
TIME...MOT...LOC 1046Z 171DEG 19KT 3092 8154

SHASHY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jacksonville, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 9:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXMarion37 min
Jun 24, 9:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXMarion24 min
Jun 24, 10:29 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXAlachua, Gilchrist46 min
Jun 24, 10:38 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningJAXAlachua, Gilchrist, Marion, Putnam3 hr
Jun 24, 11:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXMarion45 min
Jun 24, 11:04 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX56 min
Jun 24, 11:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXMarion45 min
Jun 24, 11:20 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningJAXAlachua, Bradford, Columbia, Gilchrist, Suwannee, Union19 days
Jun 24, 11:25 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningJAXBaker, Nassau15 days
Jun 24, 11:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXFlagler50 min
Jun 24, 11:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXAlachua47 min
Jun 24, 11:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXPutnam44 min
Jun 25, 12:26 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXSaint Johns34 min
Jun 25, 12:31 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXClay, Putnam44 min
Jun 25, 12:37 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningJAXAlachua, Bradford, Clay, Marion, Putnam, Union3 hr
Jun 25, 12:39 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXSaint Johns51 min
Jun 25, 12:59 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXBradford46 min
Jun 25, 1:02 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXBaker, Duval, Nassau58 min
Jun 25, 1:55 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJAXBaker, Duval, Nassau, Saint Johns2 hr
Jun 25, 2:11 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX64 min
Jun 25, 2:51 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXMarion, Putnam39 min
Jun 25, 3:14 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX91 min
Jun 25, 3:38 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXMarion, Putnam52 min
Jun 25, 3:50 AM EDTRip Current StatementJAXFlagler, Nassau30 hr
Jun 25, 3:59 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJAXDuval, Nassau2 hr
Jun 25, 4:12 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXDuval48 min
Jun 25, 4:17 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJAXBradford, Clay, Marion, Putnam, Saint Johns118 min
Jun 25, 4:37 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXMarion53 min
Jun 25, 4:49 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX116 min
Jun 25, 5:02 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXDuval43 min
Jun 25, 5:17 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXNassau43 min
Jun 25, 5:54 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningJAXClay, Duval, Nassau, Saint Johns6 hr
Jun 25, 6:44 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXDuval46 min
Jun 25, 6:56 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXClay, Duval, Nassau, Saint Johns34 min
Jun 25, 7:14 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXDuval46 min
Jun 25, 7:23 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX2 hr
Jun 25, 7:30 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXNassau45 min
Jun 25, 7:50 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXDuval, Nassau40 min
Jun 25, 8:05 AM EDTTornado WarningJAXDuval, Nassau20 min
Jun 25, 8:07 AM EDTTornado WarningJAXNassau38 min
Jun 25, 8:40 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX50 min
Jun 25, 9:27 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX2 hr
Jun 25, 12:27 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningJAXColumbia, Hamilton15 days
Jun 25, 2:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXGilchrist44 min
Jun 25, 3:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXSuwannee30 min
Jun 25, 3:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXBaker43 min
Jun 25, 4:15 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJAXColumbia, Hamilton, Suwannee90 min
Jun 25, 4:53 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXAlachua37 min
Jun 25, 5:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXSaint Johns36 min
Jun 25, 5:10 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningJAXHamilton, Suwannee110 min
Jun 25, 5:34 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXAlachua26 min
Jun 25, 5:42 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX63 min
Jun 25, 5:44 PM EDTWind AdvisoryJAXGilchrist, Suwannee17 hr
Jun 25, 6:59 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningJAXColumbia, Hamilton, Suwannee2 hr
Jun 25, 7:19 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJAXAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Union86 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2012Every river flood warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.