Severe Thunderstorm Warning 165, NWS Huntsville, AL

908 
WWUS54 KHUN 182045
SVSHUN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
345 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

ALC095-182100-
/O.CON.KHUN.SV.W.0165.000000T0000Z-120718T2100Z/
MARSHALL AL-
345 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL MARSHALL COUNTY...

AT 342 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR UNION GROVE...OR ABOUT
8 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUNTERSVILLE. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF THE INDICATED COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3430 8648 3430 8649 3448 8649 3447 8647
      3448 8646 3448 8642 3449 8642 3449 8635
      3433 8625 3429 8648
TIME...MOT...LOC 2045Z 350DEG 2KT 3442 8641

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
305 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

.DISCUSSION...
WILL GO WITH A BLEND OF NAM AND GFS FOR THIS FCST PACKAGE.

MID LEVEL TROF WAS KICKING OFF A BAND OF SHRA/TSRA FROM THE EAST
COAST THRU ERN KY AND INTO SE MS. THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE A LOT OF
RAINFALL SINCE THEY ARE ONLY MOVING SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH. A FEW STORMS
MAY ALSO BECOME SVR WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BEING THE MAIN THREAT.
OTHERWISE CLOUD COVER CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE CWA WHICH
SHOULD KEEP TEMPS IN THE 80S FOR MOST LOCATIONS. FOR TONIGHT WILL
KEEP LOW END CHC POP ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO SLOW MOVEMENT OF UPPER
TROF. HOWEVER DO EXPECT AREAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF SHRA/TSRA TO
DECREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WILL KEEP LIKELY POPS IN FOR THESE TWO DAYS DUE TO
A SLOW MOVING UPPER TROF AND A WEAK CDFNT THAT WILL APPROACH THE
CWA BY FRIDAY. AT THE MOMENT MODELS DO NOT MOVE THE CDFNT THRU OUR CWA.

SATURDAY/SUNDAY...MODELS SHOW THE CDFNT JUST NW OF THE TN VALLEY ALONG
WITH A WEAK UPPER TROF. THUS WILL KEEP CHC POPS IN FOR THE WEEKEND
WITH AFTN AND EVENING THE BEST TIMING FOR PCPN.

MONDAY THRU WEDNESDAY...GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW THE CHC OF SHRA AND
TSRA AS A WEAK UPPER TROF WILL BE BETWEEN TWO AREAS OF HIGH
PRESSURE...ONE OVER THE MIDWEST AND THE OTHER OFF THE COAST OF THE
SERN US. HOWEVER BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT A RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD ACROSS
THE SERN US WHICH SHOULD DECREASE THE PCPN COVERAGE ACROSS THE CWA.

NOTE...IT LOOKS LIKE THE WARM AND MUGGY WX CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THRU THE NEXT 7 DAYS WITH THE CHC OF SHRA AND STORMS EVERY
DAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTN/EVENING.

07

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1221 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012/
THE AREA WHERE DIURNAL HEATING IS BETTER ENHANCED. CONVECTION MAY
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HRS.
HOWEVER...IT REMAINS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT EXACTLY WHERE ANY
SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL DEVELOP IN RELATION TO THE TWO MAIN TERMINALS. AS
SUCH...WILL MAINTAIN PREVAILING VCTS IN THE TAFS THROUGH 01Z THU.
AMD/UPDATES THOUGH MAY BE REQUIRED PROVIDED ANY OF THIS ACTIVITY
APPROACHES ONE OF THE AIRPORTS...WITH CONDITIONS BRIEFLY LOWERING
INTO THE MVFR CAT IN/NEAR THE HEAVIER SHRA/TSRA. OTHERWISE...VFR
CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY XPCTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. ANY CIGS LOOK TO
REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE VFR LEVELS INTO THU.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    72  92  73  90  73 /  30  60  30  60  40
SHOALS        73  93  74  90  74 /  30  60  30  60  40
VINEMONT      72  90  74  89  73 /  30  60  30  60  40
FAYETTEVILLE  71  91  72  89  72 /  30  60  30  60  40
ALBERTVILLE   72  90  72  89  73 /  30  60  30  60  40
FORT PAYNE    70  90  72  89  72 /  30  60  30  60  40

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1235 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-191015-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
1235 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

NUMEROUS AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
CENTRAL TENNESSEE VALLEY...WITH THE COVERAGE OF STORMS DIMINISHING
AFTER MIDNIGHT. A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS REMAIN
POSSIBLE...WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT COMING FROM DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AROUND 60 MPH. OTHERWISE...GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
ON BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HOWEVER...AS A WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHES
SOUTHWARD ON SATURDAY...CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL AROUND
THE AREA...WITH A LOW CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON STORMS CONTINUING
THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IS
NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...TIMELY REPORTS OF GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
248 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

ALZ006-TNZ096-182030-
LINCOLN-MADISON-
248 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LINCOLN AND MADISON COUNTIES
UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 248 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR COLDWATER...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
FAYETTEVILLE...MOVING SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  TAFT...BLANCHE.
  CASH POINT.
  ELKWOOD...TONEY.

THIS THUNDERSTORM COULD INTENSIFY QUICKLY...SO BE READY TO ACT IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3517 8663 3486 8656 3487 8679 3499 8679
      3500 8684 3518 8680
TIME...MOT...LOC 1947Z 003DEG 7KT 3508 8672

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
257 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

ALZ009-182045-
JACKSON-
257 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JACKSON COUNTY UNTIL 345 PM
CDT...

AT 254 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LARKIN...OR 14 MILES EAST OF MOORES MILL...
MOVING SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  PRINCETON.
  HOLLYTREE...SKYLINE.
  TRENTON...GARTH.
  LIM ROCK...LARKINSVILLE.
  PAINT ROCK.

THIS THUNDERSTORM COULD INTENSIFY QUICKLY...SO BE READY TO ACT IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3463 8636 3474 8635 3479 8633 3482 8635
      3483 8633 3486 8634 3490 8634 3491 8631
      3493 8633 3494 8629 3492 8627 3493 8626
      3498 8631 3499 8618 3467 8603
TIME...MOT...LOC 1957Z 355DEG 14KT 3489 8629

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
302 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

ALZ006-009-182030-
JACKSON-MADISON-
302 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JACKSON AND MADISON COUNTIES
UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 301 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES EAST OF NEW MARKET...OR 12 MILES
NORTHEAST OF MOORES MILL...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
PLEVNA AND RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEAST MADISON AND NORTHWEST JACKSON
COUNTY.

THIS THUNDERSTORM COULD INTENSIFY QUICKLY...SO BE READY TO ACT IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3484 8622 3485 8640 3499 8641 3499 8626
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 338DEG 16KT 3492 8633

DJN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
313 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

ALZ005-182045-
LIMESTONE-
313 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN LIMESTONE COUNTY UNTIL
345 PM CDT...

AT 313 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FRENCH MILL...OR 5 MILES WEST OF MADISON...
DRIFTING SOUTH AT 5 MPH.

WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY
DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN LIMESTONE COUNTY...BETWEEN I-565 AND CAPSHAW.

THIS THUNDERSTORM COULD INTENSIFY QUICKLY...SO BE READY TO ACT IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3465 8679 3467 8691 3485 8691 3488 8679
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 348DEG 4KT 3472 8684

DJN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
319 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

ALZ008-016-182045-
CULLMAN-MARSHALL-
319 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CULLMAN AND MARSHALL COUNTIES
UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 318 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR EDDY...OR NEAR ARAB...MOVING SOUTH AROUND 15
MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  ARAB.
  JOPPA.
  BAILEYTON...HOLLY POND.

THIS THUNDERSTORM COULD INTENSIFY QUICKLY...SO BE READY TO ACT IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.

IF ON OR NEAR BODIES OF WATER...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND MOVE
INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE
ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW. DON'T BE
CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3416 8665 3431 8660 3431 8658 3436 8658
      3449 8654 3447 8647 3449 8637 3415 8636
      3420 8642 3425 8645 3424 8652 3418 8655
      3416 8657
TIME...MOT...LOC 2018Z 004DEG 12KT 3434 8649

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
328 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

ALZ005-006-TNZ096-182100-
LIMESTONE-LINCOLN-MADISON-
328 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEAST LIMESTONE...SOUTHWEST
LINCOLN AND NORTHWEST MADISON COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 327 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN ELKWOOD AND HARVEST...MOVING SOUTH AT
15 MPH.

WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY
DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  BETHEL.
  TONEY.
  HARVEST.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD INTENSIFY QUICKLY...SO BE READY TO ACT IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3514 8667 3477 8658 3478 8686 3504 8684
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 000DEG 12KT 3497 8676

DJN