Alert archive / North Carolina / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

June 1, 2012Mecklenburg County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this special weather statement at Jun 1, 2012, 2:33 PM EDT for Mecklenburg County, North Carolina. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 1, 2012, 2:33 PM EDT (18:33 UTC)
Expired: Jun 1, 2012, 3:15 PM EDT
In force: 42 min
Issued by: NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

County Mecklenburg County, NC

The radar

The Columbia radar (KCAE), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 243 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -77 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 916 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 91 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 1, 1:35 PM EDT, 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 1, 1:35 PM EDT, 58 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
135 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER FRONT
CROSSES THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...FOLLOWED BY MORE HIGH PRESSURE.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
EARLIER THINKING STILL INTACT BUT ANTICIPATING A SVR TSTM WATCH
FARTHER E...PSBLY I-77 CORRIDOR AND E...MAYBE EVEN E OF THAT.
UPDATED SKY/WIND/POPS AND WX WITH LATEST GUIDANCE AND TRENDS FOR
THIS CYCLE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL INCREASE AS ONE
MOVES EAST FROM THE BLUE RIDGE TO THE COASTAL PLAIN. A SEVERE
WEATHER WATCH OF SOME SORT SHOULD BE ANTICIPATED E OF THE MTNS LATER
TODAY. TEMPS WERE KEPT SOMEWHAT COOL OVER THE WEST WITH THE
EXPECTATION OF EXTENSIVE CLOUDS AND PRECIP EARLY IN THE DAY.

THE COLD FRONT SHOULD SWEEP EAST OF THE NC PIEDMONT AND TAKE MOST OF
THE PRECIP WITH IT BY SUNSET. A LOW END PRECIP CHANCE HAS BEEN
RETAINED UNTIL MIDNIGHT OVER THE AREA E OF I-77 TO ACCOUNT FOR ANY
SLIP IN THE TIMING. DRY AIR WILL WORK IN BEHIND THE FRONT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPS WERE NUDGED TOWARD A BLEND OF THE GUIDANCE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AT 0230 EDT FRIDAY...AN ANOMALOUS CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL SLOWLY
MIGRATE FROM THE GREAT LAKES ON SATURDAY TO THE VICINITY OF LAKE
ONTARIO BY LATE SUNDAY...BY WHICH TIME ANOTHER UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN
TO DEVELOP OFF THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND.

OUR AREA WILL BE IN A POST FRONTAL REGIME SATURDAY...WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE CROSSING THE GULF STATES. BOTH THE NAM AND THE GFS SHOW
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE ROUNDING THE GREAT LAKES UPPER
LOW MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS LATE SATURDAY...CLIPPING
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS ON SATURDAY NIGHT. ON SUNDAY THE NAM DRIES
OUR AREA OUT CONSIDERABLY...WHILE THE GFS LIFTS THE TRAILING END OF
THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH...AND ITS MOISTURE...TOWARD OUR AREA. BOTH
MODELS DROP ANOTHER BAND OF MOISTURE SOUTH INTO WESTERN NC ON SUNDAY
NIGHT AS A DEVELOPING COLD FRONT ARRIVES. ONLY MINIMAL POPS WILL BE
CARRIED IN THE NORTHERN NC MOUNTAINS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM FROM
WELL BELOW NORMAL...TO SEVERAL CATEGORIES BELOW NORMAL AHEAD OF THE
NEXT FRONT.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT 0230 EDT FRIDAY...AN ANOMALOUS CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL BE PARKED
OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH A
TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH ALONG THE EAST COAST. OUR AREA WILL BE IN A
WESTERLY POST FRONTAL DOWNSLOPE FLOW ON MONDAY. LOW LEVEL FLOW VEERS
TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH FROM THE GREAT LAKES.

DESPITE WHAT WOULD APPEAR TO BE A DRY PATTERN FOR OUR AREA...THE
MODELS BRING VARIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE SOUTH ALONG THE EASTERN
SEABOARD ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW. CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON THE
AMOUNT AND TIMING OF THIS MOISTURE. LOW POPS WILL BE CARRIED THROUGH
THE PERIOD...FAVORING THE MOUNTAINS WHERE TERRAIN EFFECTS WILL COME
INTO PLAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM FROM NEARLY NORMAL TO SEVERAL
CATEGORIES BELOW NORMAL AS THE COOLER AIR MASS BUILDS IN.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT KCLT...MAIN CONCERN WILL BE TEMPO TSRA WITH MVFR CIG/VSBY...UNTIL
THE FRONT GOES THRU EARLY THIS EVE. CONVECTION WILL DIE OFF QUICKLY
BY MID EVE WITH VFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. SW WINDS WILL SWING W THEN
NW WITH FROPA AFTER SUNSET. LOOK FOR PCLDY SKIES WITH N WINDS AT
10KT SAT.

ELSEWHERE...SIMILAR TO KCLT BUT EARLIER END TO TSTM ACTIVITY WITH
EARLIER FROPA.

OUTLOOK...DRIER CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND THEN ANOTHER FRONT WILL
AFFECT THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

AN EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLE SHOWING THE
PERCENTAGE OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING WITH THE SCHEDULED ISSUANCE
CATEGORY IS AVAILABLE AT FOLLOWING LINK (USE LOWER CASE)...

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION/TABLES.HTM

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JAT
NEAR TERM...PM/RB
SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...RB

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 1, 4:33 AM EDT, 10 hours before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
433 AM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-020845-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
433 AM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS TODAY AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. THE
STORMS SHOULD BECOME MORE NUMEROUS DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE
DAY WITH SOME DAYTIME HEATING. SEVERAL OF THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL. HOWEVER...THERE SHOULD BE
ENOUGH WIND SHEAR AT LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE THAT A FEW
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS. THE
STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY ORGANIZE INTO A SQUALL LINE...BUT THIS MIGHT
NOT HAPPEN UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 77. IF A
SQUALL LINE DEVELOPS...MORE WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE WILL BE THE
RESULT. THE GREATEST CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ACROSS THE
PIEDMONT FROM MID AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING. THE THREAT OF SEVERE
WEATHER SHOULD END WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT FROM THE
WEST THROUGH SUNSET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 1, 1:28 PM EDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
128 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

NCZ048>050-011815-
MADISON-MITCHELL-YANCEY-
128 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MADISON...MITCHELL AND NORTHERN
YANCEY COUNTIES THROUGH 215 PM EDT...

AT 127 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CHUCKY TO CEDAR CREEK TO WATERVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  HOT SPRINGS...
  HOT SPRINGS...
  MARSHALL...
  MARS HILL...
  RAMSEYTOWN...

WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH ARE HIGHLY LIKELY WHEN THE LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVES IN THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY
NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER.

LAT...LON 3611 8210 3600 8204 3582 8237 3580 8251
      3570 8276 3568 8289 3574 8292 3575 8296
      3580 8297 3584 8292 3594 8290 3596 8287
      3593 8281 3599 8279 3607 8264 3604 8259
      3597 8260 3596 8256 3610 8239 3617 8220

HG

Special weather statement, Jun 1, 1:53 PM EDT, 40 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
153 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

SCZ009-011830-
YORK-
153 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN YORK COUNTY THROUGH 230
PM EDT...

AT 153 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES WEST OF ROCK HILL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
40 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  ROCK HILL...
  TEGA CAY...
  FORT MILL...
  CAROWINDS...

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3486 8111 3501 8124 3513 8105 3511 8104
      3509 8106 3506 8106 3505 8104 3511 8094
      3506 8089 3498 8088

HG

Special weather statement, Jun 1, 2:01 PM EDT, 32 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
201 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

NCZ082-011845-
UNION-
201 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT UNION COUNTY THROUGH 245 PM
EDT...

AT 202 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTH OF LANCASTER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  WAXHAW...
  MINERAL SPRINGS...
  MONROE...
  WINGATE...

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3503 8029 3496 8029 3481 8055 3481 8079
      3482 8080 3490 8080 3517 8045 3517 8042
      3503 8028

HG

Special weather statement, Jun 1, 2:20 PM EDT, 13 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
220 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

NCZ033-048>050-011915-
AVERY-MADISON-MITCHELL-YANCEY-
220 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

...GUSTY WINDS TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH 330 PM...

AT 218 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN
OUTFLOW OF WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN TENNESSEE MOVING
EASTWARD INTO THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH
ARE EXPECTED FROM MADISON COUNTY NORTHWARD TO AVERY COUNTY THROUGH
330 PM...WITH THE STRONGEST GUSTS NEAR THE IMMEDIATE TENNESSEE
BORDER AND ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

LAT...LON 3616 8182 3614 8181 3581 8225 3580 8251
      3569 8280 3569 8290 3575 8296 3593 8292
      3596 8287 3593 8281 3599 8279 3607 8264
      3604 8259 3597 8260 3598 8251 3610 8239
      3617 8222 3611 8212 3613 8204 3629 8192

HG

Special weather statement, Jun 1, 2:29 PM EDT, 4 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
229 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

NCZ057-072-011915-
CABARRUS-ROWAN-
229 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN CABARRUS AND
SOUTHEASTERN ROWAN COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM EDT...

AT 229 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES NORTH OF MOUNT PLEASANT...OR 9 MILES
NORTHEAST OF CONCORD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  ROCKWELL...
  HIGH ROCK LAKE...

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3549 8019 3550 8029 3540 8035 3535 8045
      3549 8059 3568 8032 3567 8030 3564 8029
      3564 8026 3558 8020 3555 8020 3552 8018

HG

Special weather statement, Jun 1, 2:33 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
233 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

NCZ071-SCZ009-011915-
MECKLENBURG-YORK-
233 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN YORK AND SOUTHERN
MECKLENBURG COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM EDT...

AT 233 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR TEGA CAY...OR 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROCK
HILL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  FORT MILL...
  CAROWINDS...
  PINEVILLE...
  SOUTHPARK MALL...
  EASTLAND MALL...

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3503 8077 3503 8080 3500 8084 3505 8089
      3501 8090 3496 8088 3490 8098 3503 8113
      3536 8074 3530 8068 3527 8067 3524 8060
      3520 8056

HG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 31, 11:14 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Transylvania	46 min
May 31, 11:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Macon	41 min
Jun 1, 12:41 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Graham, Haywood, Jackson, Macon, Swain	64 min
Jun 1, 1:25 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Cabarrus, Rowan	50 min
Jun 1, 1:28 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Madison, Mitchell, Yancey	47 min
Jun 1, 1:38 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GSP	Cabarrus, Mecklenburg	44 min
Jun 1, 2:01 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Union	44 min
Jun 1, 2:20 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Avery, Madison, Mitchell, Yancey	55 min
Jun 1, 2:29 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Rowan	46 min
Jun 1, 2:31 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GSP	Cabarrus, Rowan	29 min
Jun 1, 2:58 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Rowan	47 min
Jun 1, 3:23 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Avery	37 min
Jun 1, 4:09 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Burke, Caldwell, McDowell	36 min
Jun 1, 4:20 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Cabarrus	25 min
Jun 1, 4:49 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Burke	41 min
Jun 1, 4:51 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Rowan	24 min
Jun 1, 6:02 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Gaston	28 min
Jun 1, 6:20 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Gaston	25 min
Jun 1, 6:30 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Union	45 min
Jun 1, 7:10 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Union	50 min
Jun 1, 7:38 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Rowan	37 min
Jun 1, 7:44 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Union	31 min
May 31, 11:45 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Greenwood	45 min
Jun 1, 1:07 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Chester	53 min
Jun 1, 1:53 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	York	37 min
Jun 1, 2:56 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Oconee	34 min
Jun 1, 3:49 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Anderson, Greenville, Pickens	26 min
Jun 1, 5:26 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Union	34 min
Jun 1, 5:57 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	York	33 min
Jun 1, 6:29 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	York	31 min
Jun 1, 7:06 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	York	24 min
Jun 1, 7:11 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GSP	Chester	24 min
May 31, 10:51 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Habersham	39 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in North Carolina, 2012 Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.