Alert archive / South Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 414, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

July 16, 2012Elbert County, Franklin County, Hart County, Georgia; 7 counties in South Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 16, 2012, 8:22 PM EDT for Elbert County, Franklin County, Hart County, Georgia; 7 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 83 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 16, 2012, 8:22 PM EDT (00:22 UTC)
Expired: Jul 16, 2012, 9:45 PM EDT
In force: 83 min
Issued by: NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Elbert County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Hart County, GA, Abbeville County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Greenville County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Oconee County, SC, Pickens County, SC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 16, 8:23 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	2 E Pendleton, SC	NUMEROUS TREES DOWN NEAR AND EAST OF PENDLETON.
Jul 16, 8:34 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	3 Wsw Greenwood, SC	FIVE TO SIX TREES REPORTED DOWN ON MCCORMICK HIGHWAY. TIME DETERMINED FROM RADAR DATA.
Jul 16, 8:50 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Anderson, SC	NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY...FROM PENDLETON TO IVA.
Jul 16, 9:00 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Abbeville, SC	TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY.
Jul 16, 9:54 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	2 E Calhoun Falls, SC	TREES DOWN ON FLATWOODS ROAD AND OLD CALHOUN FALLS RD

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 4 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 1 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1704 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -35 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1426 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 33 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

416 
WUUS52 KGSP 170022
SVRGSP
GAC105-119-147-SCC001-007-045-047-059-073-077-170145-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0414.120717T0022Z-120717T0145Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
822 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  ELBERT COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...
  HART COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...
  ABBEVILLE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  ANDERSON COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTH CENTRAL GREENVILLE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  WESTERN GREENWOOD COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  WEST CENTRAL LAURENS COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHEASTERN OCONEE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTH CENTRAL PICKENS COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 945 PM EDT

* AT 818 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
  HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
  LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SANDY SPRINGS TO BOYD MILL
  POND...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 30 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  ANDERSON.
  BROADWAY LAKE AND COKESBURY.
  DUE WEST.
  GREENWOOD.
  SECESSION LAKE AND ANTREVILLE.
  IVA AND ABBEVILLE.
  LOWNDESVILLE.
  NUBERG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BRIEF DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OVER SMALL
AREAS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED
REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3398 8266 3398 8286 3404 8298 3417 8311
      3423 8308 3426 8313 3423 8317 3426 8331
      3422 8336 3476 8278 3446 8210 3398 8220
      3401 8226 3397 8231 3406 8234 3407 8248
      3407 8253 3401 8259 3396 8256
TIME...MOT...LOC 0022Z 016DEG 28KT 3461 8272 3440 8223

$$

RB

3 follow-up statements

414 
WWUS52 KGSP 170050
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
850 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

SCC045-170100-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0414.000000T0000Z-120717T0145Z/
GREENVILLE SC-
850 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL GREENVILLE
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THIS 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3398 8266 3398 8286 3404 8298 3417 8311
      3423 8308 3426 8313 3423 8317 3426 8331
      3422 8336 3472 8283 3436 8212 3398 8220
      3401 8226 3397 8231 3406 8234 3407 8248
      3407 8253 3401 8259 3396 8256
TIME...MOT...LOC 0050Z 016DEG 28KT 3449 8286 3419 8230

$$

GAC105-119-147-SCC001-007-047-059-073-077-170145-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0414.000000T0000Z-120717T0145Z/
ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-HART GA-ABBEVILLE SC-ANDERSON SC-GREENWOOD SC-
LAURENS SC-OCONEE SC-PICKENS SC-
850 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME
SOUTHWESTERN PICKENS...SOUTHEASTERN OCONEE...SOUTHWESTERN LAURENS...
WESTERN GREENWOOD...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...HART...SOUTHEASTERN
FRANKLIN AND ELBERT COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM EDT...

AT 846 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF REED CREEK
TO 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF ABBEVILLE...MOVING SOUTH AT 30 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  SECESSION LAKE AND ABBEVILLE.
  REED CREEK AND IVA.
  HARTWELL AND LOWNDESVILLE.
  NUBERG AND TROY.
  LAKE RUSSELL AND CALHOUN FALLS.
  RUCKERSVILLE.
  BOWMAN.
  ELBERTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BRIEF DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OVER SMALL
AREAS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED
REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3398 8266 3398 8286 3404 8298 3417 8311
      3423 8308 3426 8313 3423 8317 3426 8331
      3422 8336 3472 8283 3436 8212 3398 8220
      3401 8226 3397 8231 3406 8234 3407 8248
      3407 8253 3401 8259 3396 8256
TIME...MOT...LOC 0050Z 016DEG 28KT 3449 8286 3419 8230

$$

RB

154 
WWUS52 KGSP 170110
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
910 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

SCC059-077-170120-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0414.000000T0000Z-120717T0145Z/
LAURENS SC-PICKENS SC-
910 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN PICKENS
AND SOUTHWESTERN LAURENS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THIS 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3398 8266 3398 8286 3404 8298 3417 8311
      3423 8308 3426 8313 3423 8317 3426 8331
      3422 8336 3460 8292 3426 8214 3398 8220
      3401 8226 3397 8231 3406 8234 3407 8248
      3407 8253 3401 8259 3396 8256
TIME...MOT...LOC 0110Z 016DEG 28KT 3435 8292 3404 8235

$$

GAC105-119-147-SCC001-007-047-073-170145-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0414.000000T0000Z-120717T0145Z/
ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-HART GA-ABBEVILLE SC-ANDERSON SC-GREENWOOD SC-
OCONEE SC-
910 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
OCONEE...WESTERN GREENWOOD...SOUTHERN ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...HART...
SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN AND ELBERT COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM EDT...

AT 906 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HARTWELL TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF
TROY...MOVING SOUTH AT 30 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  TROY.
  LAKE RUSSELL...NUBERG AND CALHOUN FALLS.
  RUCKERSVILLE.
  BOWMAN AND VANNA.
  ELBERTON.
  FORTSONIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BRIEF DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OVER SMALL
AREAS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED
REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3398 8266 3398 8286 3404 8298 3417 8311
      3423 8308 3426 8313 3423 8317 3426 8331
      3422 8336 3460 8292 3426 8214 3398 8220
      3401 8226 3397 8231 3406 8234 3407 8248
      3407 8253 3401 8259 3396 8256
TIME...MOT...LOC 0110Z 016DEG 28KT 3435 8292 3404 8235

$$

RB

933 
WWUS52 KGSP 170125
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
925 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

GAC119-SCC073-170134-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0414.000000T0000Z-120717T0145Z/
FRANKLIN GA-OCONEE SC-
925 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN OCONEE AND
SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED OVER THIS 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3398 8266 3398 8286 3404 8298 3417 8311
      3423 8308 3427 8312 3448 8286 3416 8216
      3398 8220 3401 8226 3397 8231 3406 8234
      3407 8248 3407 8253 3401 8259 3396 8256
TIME...MOT...LOC 0124Z 027DEG 33KT 3426 8295 3395 8238

$$

GAC105-147-SCC001-007-047-170145-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0414.000000T0000Z-120717T0145Z/
ELBERT GA-HART GA-ABBEVILLE SC-ANDERSON SC-GREENWOOD SC-
925 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN
GREENWOOD...SOUTHWESTERN ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...HART AND ELBERT
COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM EDT...

AT 922 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NUBERG TO TROY...MOVING SOUTHWEST
AT 40 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  BOWMAN AND VANNA.
  FORTSONIA AND ELBERTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BRIEF DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OVER SMALL
AREAS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED
REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3398 8266 3398 8286 3404 8298 3417 8311
      3423 8308 3427 8312 3448 8286 3416 8216
      3398 8220 3401 8226 3397 8231 3406 8234
      3407 8248 3407 8253 3401 8259 3396 8256
TIME...MOT...LOC 0124Z 027DEG 33KT 3426 8295 3395 8238

$$

RB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 16, 8:05 PM EDT, 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 8:05 PM EDT, 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
805 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL OUR WEATHER THROUGH
MID-WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE OHIO VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO
DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION BY LATE THURSDAY AND LINGERS INTO
SATURDAY. THEN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION FROM THE
NORTH BY SUNDAY AND REMAIN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 8PM EDT...ROBUST CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PUSH ACROSS THE SC
UPSTATE INCLUDING CELLS OVER KGSP AND KGMU. THINGS SHOULD SETTLE
DOWN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING
LEAVING US MOSTLY CALM OVERNIGHT. LOWS OVERNIGHT ARE STILL EXPECTED
TO BE IN THE LOW 70S FOR THE LOWER TERRAIN AND MID 60S FOR THE
HIGHER TERRAIN. PATCHY FOG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN NC
MT VALLEYS AGAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT 145 PM EDT...WEAK TROUGHING ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER
THE SE STATES IN THE SHORT TERM AS A STRONG SHORT WAVE MOVES INTO
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER FLORIDA MEANDERS
GENERALLY WESTWARD. AT THE SURFACE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WITH LEE TROUGHING EAST OF
THE MOUNTAINS. WITH A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IN PLACE...PLAN VIEW
CAPES ARE FORECAST TO EXCEED 2000J/KG OVER MANY PIEDMONT AREAS BOTH
WED AND THU AFTERNOONS WITH WELL OVER 1000J/KG ELESWHERE. THIS SET
UP FAVORS RATHER TYPICAL JULY WEATHER WITH DIURNALLY ENHANCED
THUNDERSTORMS ERUPTING DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND THEN MOSTLY
DISSIPATING DURING THE EVENING HOURS. BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SUPPORT THIS
IDEA AS CONSIDERABLE LOW LEVEL CIN IS INDICATED DURING THE
OVERNIGHT. COVERAGE OF STORMS SHOULD BE BETTER THU AFTERNOON AS A
COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE AREA AND UPPER HEIGHTS SLOWLY
FALL. WILL FOLLOW THE POP TREND OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.
HOWEVER...DOWNSCALED NAM POPS LOOK REASONABLE SO BLENDED THEM INTO
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TO GIVE A LITTLE MORE DETAIL. SEVERE THREAT
WITH THUNDERSTORMS IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE ON THE LOW SIDE AS
PROFILES REMAIN RATHER MOIST AND WIND FIELDS WEAK. ISOLD HYDRO
PROBLEMS CAN'T BE RULED OUT DUE TO WEAK STREERING FLOW. TEMP
VERIFICATION DATA OF LATE INDICATES THAT THE BIAS CORRECTED GMOS AND
ADJMAV ARE PERFORMING THE BEST...SO USED A BLEND OF THOSE GUIDANCE
SOURCES FOR TEMPS. THIS YIELDS MAX TEMPS ABOUT A CATEGORY ABOVE AVE
BOTH WED AND THU. MIN TEMPS ALSO ARE FORECAST TO BE A LITTLE ABOVE
AVERAGE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM SUNDAY...THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE THAT THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL DROP
SOUTH ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS BY LATE THURSDAY....AND SLOWLY SLIPS
SOUTH INTO THE NC/SC LINE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY AND VERY DEEP MOIST LAYER WITH PW VALUES
OVER 2 INCHES DURING THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. IN
ADDITION...UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND DYNAMIC LIFTING WILL PROVIDE
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ON LATE FRIDAY AS OUR CWA WILL BE UNDER THE
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE JET STREAK. HENCE...POPS HAVE BEEN
ACCORDINGLY RAISED INTO THE 60S OVER MUCH OF OUR AREA FRI AFTERNOON
INTO EVENING.

THE FRONT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DROP FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE LOWER
MIDLANDS SAT AND BECOMES STATIONARY THROUGH EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.
SO WE WILL SEE DECREASE IN COVERAGE OF CONVECTION AND POPS HAVE BEEN
LOWERED ACCORDINGLY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5-10 DEGREES BELOW
SEASONAL AVERAGES WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S ACROSS THE
PIEDMONT THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...REMAINING CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE
MAKING THEIR WAY SOUTHWARD OVER THE GSP AREA. CONDITIONS SHOULD
SETTLE DOWN OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO AT KGSP AND KGMU WITH KAND
STILL LIKELY TO SEE TSRA AND GUSTY WINDS BEGINNING AROUND 0100Z.
KAND WILL LIKELY DROP TO AT LEAST MVFR VISBY AND CIGS AS THE STORMS
MOVE THRU...BUT SHOULD REBOUND PRETTY QUICKLY LIKE THE OTHER SITES
HAVE. FOR THE OVERNIGHT...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VRB TO LIGHT AND
NWLY BECOMING MORE NELY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THEIR IS SOME FOG
POTENTIAL EARLY TOMORROW MORNING...BUT IT DOESNT APPEAR TO BE AS
GOOD AS THIS MORNING...WHERE WE ONLY SAW BRIEF VISBY RESTRICTIONS AT
KGSP. SO...I HAVE OPTED TO LEAVE OUT ANY FOG RESTRICTIONS IN THE
TAFS. THE REST OF TOMORROW SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO TODAY WITH PROB30
CARRIED AT ALL SITES BEGINNING AROUND 18Z AND LASTING THRU 00Z.

OUTLOOK...SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST
CHANCE WILL REMAIN OVER THE MOUNTAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS
THE REGION ON THURSDAY AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE FRONT WILL BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR THUNDER...CLOUD
COVER...AND FOG OVER SATURATED SOIL.

AN EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLE SHOWING THE
PERCENTAGE OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING WITH THE SCHEDULED ISSUANCE
CATEGORY IS AVAILABLE AT FOLLOWING LINK (USE LOWER CASE)...

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION/TABLES.HTM

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JOH
NEAR TERM...JPT
SHORT TERM...LG
LONG TERM...JOH
AVIATION...JPT

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 3:24 PM EDT, 4 hours 58 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
324 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-171930-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
324 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS
THE REGION. THE STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING WHICH MEANS SOME LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR ALONG WITH PERHAPS SOME ISOLATED FLOODING.
ALSO...A COUPLE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS. IN ADDITION...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

LG

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 16, 7:26 PM EDT, 56 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
726 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

SCZ011-019-170000-
ABBEVILLE-GREENWOOD-
726 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN ABBEVILLE AND
NORTHWESTERN GREENWOOD COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM EDT...

AT 725 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF HODGES...OR 12 MILES
NORTHEAST OF ABBEVILLE...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  COKESBURY...

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3412 8233 3436 8236 3440 8223 3420 8207

RB

Local storm report, Jul 16, 7:35 PM EDT, 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
735 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0637 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BOILING SPRINGS SC      35.04N 81.98W
07/16/2012                   SPARTANBURG        SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN BOILING SPRINGS SC DUE TO STRONG
            WINDS

&&

LG

Special weather statement, Jul 16, 7:35 PM EDT, 47 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
735 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

SCZ001-004-170000-
GREATER OCONEE-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
735 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL OCONEE COUNTY THROUGH
800 PM EDT...

AT 733 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTH OF WALHALLA...MOVING SOUTH AT 5
MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  WESTMINSTER...

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3456 8312 3456 8314 3458 8316 3477 8318
      3480 8296 3458 8288 3455 8312

RB

Special weather statement, Jul 16, 7:37 PM EDT, 45 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
737 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

SCZ005-010-170015-
ANDERSON-GREATER PICKENS-
737 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN ANDERSON AND
SOUTHEASTERN PICKENS COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM EDT...

AT 733 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES WEST OF EASLEY...OR 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
PICKENS...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  EASLEY...
  LIBERTY...
  POWDERSVILLE...

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3488 8275 3497 8253 3485 8248 3483 8249
      3483 8248 3482 8248 3477 8245 3468 8246
      3463 8273

RB

Special weather statement, Jul 16, 7:46 PM EDT, 36 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
746 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

SCZ011-019-170030-
ABBEVILLE-GREENWOOD-
746 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT GREENWOOD AND SOUTHEASTERN
ABBEVILLE COUNTIES THROUGH 830 PM EDT...

AT 741 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR GREENWOOD...MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  GREENWOOD...
  NINETY SIX...
  CALLISON...

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

LAT...LON 3396 8205 3398 8205 3397 8219 3401 8224
      3397 8230 3398 8232 3408 8234 3431 8231
      3428 8205 3417 8189 3416 8190 3413 8187
      3395 8202

CSH

Local storm report, Jul 16, 8:14 PM EDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
814 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0802 PM     HAIL             3 S GREENWOOD           34.14N 82.15W
07/16/2012  E1.00 INCH       GREENWOOD          SC   PUBLIC

&&

CSH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 16, 9:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GSP	Elbert	18 min
Jul 17, 11:43 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Rabun	47 min
Jul 17, 11:48 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Habersham	42 min
Jul 17, 5:33 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Hart	27 min
Jul 17, 5:54 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GSP	Elbert, Hart	22 min
Jul 17, 12:18 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GSP	Oconee, Pickens	57 min
Jul 17, 12:28 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GSP	Oconee	62 min
Jul 17, 2:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GSP	Greenville	48 min
Jul 17, 4:07 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Chester	38 min
Jul 17, 5:15 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GSP	Laurens, Spartanburg, Union	20 min
Jul 17, 6:44 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Spartanburg	31 min
Jul 17, 7:15 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Spartanburg	30 min
Jul 17, 7:19 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GSP	Spartanburg	34 min
Jul 17, 7:37 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	GSP	Anderson	38 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Carolina, 2012 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Georgia, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.