Severe Thunderstorm Warning 14, NWS Fort Worth, TX

393 
WWUS54 KFWD 040300
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
900 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

TXC147-040345-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120204T0345Z/
FANNIN TX-
900 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CST
FOR FANNIN COUNTY...

AT 900 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTH OF HONEY GROVE TO
LEONARD...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  WINDOM AROUND 910 PM CST...
  HONEY GROVE AROUND 920 PM CST...
  LADONIA AROUND 940 PM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO A STURDY SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS STREETS...DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS AS THEY
MAY BE WASHED OUT.

&&

LAT...LON 3340 9634 3376 9604 3379 9585 3341 9586
      3336 9626
TIME...MOT...LOC 0300Z 269DEG 18KT 3374 9590 3338 9623

$$


92

872 
WWUS54 KFWD 040324
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
924 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

TXC147-040345-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120204T0345Z/
FANNIN TX-
924 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN FANNIN COUNTY...

AT 924 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF LADONIA...MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HONEY GROVE AROUND 930 PM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS STREETS...DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS AS THEY
MAY BE WASHED OUT.

&&

LAT...LON 3337 9619 3370 9594 3371 9585 3341 9586
TIME...MOT...LOC 0324Z 263DEG 26KT 3347 9593

$$


92

570 
WWUS54 KFWD 040340
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
940 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

TXC147-040349-
/O.EXP.KFWD.SV.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120204T0345Z/
FANNIN TX-
940 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN FANNIN COUNTY
EXPIRES AT 945 PM CST...

AT 939 PM CST THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING
WEAKENED AND WAS NO LONGER SEVERE.

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE 
STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORM. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS 
IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM. 

LAT...LON 3337 9619 3370 9594 3371 9585 3341 9586
TIME...MOT...LOC 0339Z 263DEG 26KT 3344 9580

$$


92

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
731 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

.UPDATE...
THE FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO TO ACCOUNT FOR THE LATEST SEVERE
WEATHER WATCH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 26 HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
COUNTIES ALONG AND NORTH OF I-20. THIS WATCH HAS REPLACED TORNADO
WATCH 25. AREAS WEST OF A LINE FROM BOWIE TO MINERAL WELLS HAVE BEEN
REMOVED FROM THE WATCH...WHERE THE COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH
AND STORMS HAVE ENDED.

STORMS IN DENTON AND GRAYSON COUNTIES HAVE PRODUCED SEVERE HAIL
DURING THE PAST HOUR. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS IN THE WATCH
AREA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT AND POSSIBLY A FEW HOURS
BEYOND. THE WATCH ITSELF EXPIRES AT 2 AM...BUT COUNTIES WILL MOST
LIKELY BE OCCASIONALLY REMOVED FROM THE WATCH FROM WEST TO EAST
AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH.

30

&&

.AVIATION...
CONCERNS...
TIMING OF TSRA AND VARIABLE WINDS GUSTS/VSBYS WITH PASSAGE OF
DRYLINE/COLD FRONT THROUGH 06Z...THEN TRENDS OF CIGS AND VEERING
WINDS BEHIND THIS FEATURE.

VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD GENERALLY PREVAIL EXCEPT UNDERNEATH TSRA...
WHERE MVFR CIGS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR. CAN'T RULE OUT A BRIEF IFR PD
RIGHT UNDER A STORM CORE...BUT TOO DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT SUCH A
TIME RIGHT NOW. WE HAVE SPED UP TIMING OF COLD FRONT/TROUGH
PASSAGE NOW THAT UPPER JET IS ROUNDING UP THE UPPER LOW OVER
KS/CO. WILL TREND WESTERN METRO TERMINALS FROM SOUTH FLOW 10-15 KTS
TO WEST FLOW AROUND 10 KTS BY 03Z...WITH AN HOUR OR SO DELAY
ACROSS THE EASTERN METRO AIRPORTS.

COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE AT OR SHORTLY AFTER 06Z WITH WINDS VEERING
NORTHWEST TO AROUND 15 KTS WITH SOME BRIEF MVFR CIGS ASSOCIATED
WITH FROPA. WITH SOME ELEVATED FORCING AROUND...WILL CONTINUE VCSH
WORDING WITH CB UNTIL AT LEAST 09Z. WE WILL FINE TUNE TRENDS IN
LATER FORECAST.

OTHERWISE...MVFR CIGS TO BECOME VFR BEFORE 12Z SATURDAY MORNING AS
LOW LEVEL DRY AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

05/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 311 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012/
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A DRY LINE AND COLD
FRONT. THE STRONGEST STORMS EARLY THIS EVENING SHOULD REMAIN
ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES NEAR THE DRY LINE. A FEW SUPERCELLS
ARE POSSIBLE WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE COLD FRONT WILL CATCH
UP TO THE DRY LINE DURING THE EVENING AND STORMS WILL BECOME MORE
LINEAR WITH AN INCREASED THREAT OF DOWNBURSTS. THE LINE OF STORMS
WILL MOVE STEADILY ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THE NIGHT AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL END QUICKLY FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST.
A FEW STORMS MY LINGER IN THE EAST SATURDAY MORNING.

NORTHERLY WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND SHOULD
REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH TO KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM DROPPING TOO FAR.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES SHOULD PERSIST OVER THE WEEKEND AS MID AND
UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE
REGION. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE AREA SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY ALLOWING WINDS TO DROP AND LOW TEMPERATURE TO COOL
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
HAVE ADDED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES
FOR SUNDAY ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING SHORT WAVE.

EASTERLY SURFACE FLOW AND PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL
DOMINATE MUCH OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
WILL DROP SOUTH ALONG THE WEST COAST INTO MEXICO DAYS 6 AND 7.
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE PRETTY SIGNIFICANT AT
THIS POINT SO HAVE ONLY INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS
THE AREA AT THIS TIME.

HOWIESON/79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  48  57  36  51  34 /  60  10  10  10  10
WACO, TX              50  61  38  52  33 /  70  20  10  20  10
PARIS, TX             49  59  34  52  32 /  80  30  10  10  10
DENTON, TX            46  58  35  48  30 /  60  10  10  10  10
MCKINNEY, TX          47  58  37  50  31 /  70  10  10  10  10
DALLAS, TX            48  57  36  50  36 /  70  10  10  10  10
TERRELL, TX           49  60  36  51  33 /  80  20  10  10  10
CORSICANA, TX         51  62  38  52  35 /  80  20  10  20  10
TEMPLE, TX            50  59  38  49  32 /  60  20  10  20  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     42  58  32  51  30 /  50  10  10  10  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

05/30

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
830 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-041200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
830 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL REMAIN POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST OF A BONHAM...TO DALLAS...TO
HAMILTON LINE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES...WHICH
MAY RESULT IN SMALL STREAM AND STREET FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY MORNING ALONG AND
EAST OF A BONHAM...TO HILLSBORO TO LAMPASAS LINE. A FEW STRONG
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...THAT COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND
SMALL HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION REMAINS LIKELY THROUGH 2 AM CST MAINLY EAST OF
INTERSTATE 35.

05/

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
756 PM CST FRI FEB 03 2012

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0756 PM     HAIL             4 N SAVOY               33.66N  96.36W
02/03/2012  E1.00 INCH       FANNIN             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            NICKELS TO QUARTERS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
805 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

TXZ135-040230-
HENDERSON TX-
805 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  EASTERN HENDERSON COUNTY

AT 805 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES EAST OF ATHENS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BROWNSBORO AND CHANDLER.

PENNY-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CST
SATURDAY MORNING FOR NORTHEASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3225 9546 3223 9549 3221 9546 3216 9547
      3209 9562 3219 9571 3235 9563 3236 9545
      3228 9544
TIME...MOT...LOC 0205Z 232DEG 21KT 3216 9562

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
807 PM CST FRI FEB 03 2012

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0757 PM     HAIL             RAVENNA                 33.68N  96.23W
02/03/2012  E1.00 INCH       FANNIN             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            QUARTER HAIL. ALSO WATER OVER ROAD.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
815 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

TXZ104-040245-
COLLIN TX-
815 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHERN COLLIN COUNTY

AT 816 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES NORTH OF FRISCO...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ANNA...CELINA AND PROSPER.

PENNY-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CST
SATURDAY MORNING FOR NORTHEASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3340 9656 3340 9644 3321 9643 3321 9684
      3339 9684 3339 9683 3341 9669 3340 9657
TIME...MOT...LOC 0216Z 267DEG 23KT 3330 9680

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
820 PM CST FRI FEB 03 2012

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0819 PM     HAIL             RAVENNA                 33.68N  96.23W
02/03/2012  E1.00 INCH       FANNIN             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            IN RAVENNA AT CEMETARY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
841 PM CST FRI FEB 03 2012

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0836 PM     HAIL             2 ESE RAVENNA           33.67N  96.20W
02/03/2012  E1.00 INCH       FANNIN             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            LAKE BONHAM