River Flood Warning 26, NWS Fort Worth, TX

172 
WGUS84 KFWD 050126
FLSFWD
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
726 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS...
  LITTLE RIVER NEAR ROCKDALE AFFECTING MILAM COUNTY 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. 
CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. 


&&

TXC331-051326-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-120206T0149Z/
/RLRT2.1.ER.120204T2047Z.120205T0600Z.120205T1349Z.NO/
726 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE RIVER NEAR ROCKDALE.
* AT 0615 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.48 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS  30 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR  32 FEET SUNDAY AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT. THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY 
  MORNING.


&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED           FORECAST 6PM
LOCATION             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    SUN   MON   TUE   WED

LITTLE RIVER
  ROCKDALE            30   31.5  SAT 06 PM   25.8  12.8   6.5   5.4

$$

158 
WGUS84 KFWD 051346
FLSFWD
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
746 AM CST SUN FEB 5 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS...
 
  LITTLE RIVER NEAR ROCKDALE AFFECTING MILAM COUNTY.
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. 
CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS. 

&&

TXC331-051416-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-120206T0149Z/
/RLRT2.1.ER.120204T2047Z.120205T0230Z.120205T0854Z.NO/
746 AM CST SUN FEB 5 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE LITTLE RIVER NEAR ROCKDALE.
* AT 715 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.91 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 3 AM SUNDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO NEAR 20 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING.

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED           FORECAST 6AM     
LOCATION             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    MON   TUE   WED   THU

LITTLE RIVER
  ROCKDALE            30   26.9  SUN 07 AM   19.5   8.5   5.7   5.3

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1127 AM CST SAT FEB 4 2012

.AVIATION...
GFS/NAM AND MOS HAVE NO CLUE THAT THE NORTH WINDS ARE BLOWING OFF
A DEEP SNOW PACK IN KS/CO..AND SO THEY ARE FORECASTING VFR THRU
PERIOD. SATELLITE SHOWS MVFR CLOUDS ALREADY CROSSING RED RIVER.
LATEST HRRR HAS STARTED TO GET THE IDEA AND BRINGS SCT MVFR
CLOUDS ACROSS METROPLEX THIS AFTN. I WILL FORECAST SCT025 THIS
AFTERNOON AS DAYTIME WARMING WILL LIKELY HELP BREAK UP THE
LAYER...BUT PATCHY BRIEF BKN AREAS ARE POSSIBLE. AFTER
SUNSET...AS BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS...CLOUDS SHOULD THICKEN AND 025
CIGS ARE PROBABLE. HAVE ADDED THEM TO THE METROPLEX TAFS THROUGH
MID MORNING SUNDAY.

WITH WACO AT A LOWER ELEVATION...HAVE FORECAST CIGS TONIGHT TO BE
A BIT HIGHER. 84

&&

.UPDATE...
EXCEPT FOR A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS IN THE SOUTHEAST...ALL
PRECIPITATION HAS EXITED NORTH TEXAS LATE THIS MORNING. SCATTERED
TO BROKEN MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL LINGER OVER NORTH TEXAS
THROUGH THE DAY AND EVEN SOME LOWER CLOUDS SHOULD CROSS THE RED
RIVER THIS AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE TRICKY
DUE TO THE NUMEROUS BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS AND CONTINUED COLD AIR
ADVECTION BEHIND YESTERDAYS COLD FRONT. FOR NOW THE CURRENT
TEMPERATURE FORECAST IS IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE BUT WE WILL MAKE A
FEW MINOR ADJUSTMENTS BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS. WE WILL ALSO ADJUST
THE HOURLY CLOUD AND WIND GRIDS.    79

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 AM CST SAT FEB 4 2012/
A COLD FRONT HAD EXITED THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF NORTH TEXAS AS
OF 3 AM...EXTENDING SOUTHEAST OF A PARIS...PALESTINE...COLLEGE
STATION...SAN MARCOS LINE. THE MAIN BAND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED SOUTHEAST OF AN ATHENS TO GEORGETOWN
LINE...WITH SOME LINGERING SHOWERS EXTENDING BACK TO JUST EAST OF
A KILLEEN...DALLAS...PARIS LINE. EXPECT THE RAIN TO END BY MID
MORNING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY TODAY.

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SLIDE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...BELIEVE THAT PRECIPITATION FROM THIS
SYSTEM WILL BE CONFINED TO SOUTH TEXAS...SO HAVE LOWERED THE POPS
TO 10 PERCENT AND REMOVED MENTION OF SHOWERS ACROSS OUR
SOUTHEASTERN ZONES. WE WILL SEE COOL...NEAR SEASONAL
NORMAL...WEATHER FOR MOST OF THE NEXT WEEK. AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES
ACROSS THE PLAINS TUESDAY THERE COULD BE SOME LOW RAIN
CHANCES...AT THIS TIME HAVE JUST PLACED 20 PERCENT POPS ACROSS
THE EASTERNMOST ZONES. AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL DIG SOUTH TO
OFF THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA COAST BY TUESDAY NIGHT...AND THEN INTO
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
SHOULD THEN MOVE EASTWARD DURING THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN
DRY WEATHER CONTINUING ACROSS MOST OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.         58

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  59  36  51  35  54 /   5   0   5   5   5
WACO, TX              61  38  53  34  56 /  10   5  10   5   5
PARIS, TX             60  35  51  33  55 /   5   5   5   5   5
DENTON, TX            57  33  49  32  53 /   5   0   5   0   5
MCKINNEY, TX          60  35  50  33  54 /   5   0   5   5   5
DALLAS, TX            61  37  51  36  56 /   5   5   5   5   5
TERRELL, TX           61  36  51  34  55 /   5   5   5   5   5
CORSICANA, TX         60  38  53  36  56 /  10   5  10   5   5
TEMPLE, TX            61  39  53  35  56 /  10   5  10   5   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     59  32  51  31  54 /   5   0   5   0   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
241 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2012

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-051200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
241 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.