Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 563, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 1, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 1, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 1, 2012, 12:35 PM AKDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
853 FZAK51 PAJK 011152 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-020100- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A 1004 MB LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL MOVE INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA BY MID MORNING MON. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND SE AK THROUGH TUE. $$ PKZ011-020100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-020100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-020100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-020100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-020100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ031-020100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-020100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ033-020100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ034-020100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-020100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-020100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
515 FZAK51 PAJK 011355 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 555 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-020100- 555 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A 1004 MB LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL MOVE INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA BY MID MORNING MON. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND SE AK THROUGH TUE. $$ PKZ011-020100- GLACIER BAY- 555 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-020100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 555 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-020100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 555 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-020100- ICY STRAIT- 555 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 UPDATED .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-020100- CROSS SOUND- 555 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ031-020100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 555 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-020100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 555 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ033-020100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 555 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ034-020100- FREDERICK SOUND- 555 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-020100- SUMNER STRAIT- 555 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-020100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 555 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
681 FZAK51 PAJK 011533 AAB CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 733 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-020945- 733 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A 1004 MB LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL MOVE INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA BY MID MORNING MON. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND SE AK THROUGH TUE. $$ PKZ011-020945- GLACIER BAY- 733 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-020945- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 733 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 UPDATED .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-020945- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 733 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-020945- ICY STRAIT- 733 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-020945- CROSS SOUND- 733 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ031-020945- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 733 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-020945- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 733 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ033-020945- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 733 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ034-020945- FREDERICK SOUND- 733 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-020945- SUMNER STRAIT- 733 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-020945- CLARENCE STRAIT- 733 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
217 FZAK51 PAJK 011842 AAC CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1040 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-020100- 1040 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A 1004 MB LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL MOVE INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA BY MID MORNING MON. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND SE AK THROUGH TUE. $$ PKZ011-020100- GLACIER BAY- 1040 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-020100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1040 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-020100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1040 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-020100- ICY STRAIT- 1040 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-020100- CROSS SOUND- 1040 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONG GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR SHOWERS. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ031-020100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1040 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-020100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1040 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ033-020100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1040 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SOUTHERN AREA...STRONG GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR SHOWERS. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ034-020100- FREDERICK SOUND- 1040 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-020100- SUMNER STRAIT- 1040 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...STRONG GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR SHOWERS. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-020100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1040 AM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
458 FZAK51 PAJK 012039 AAD CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1235 PM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-020100- 1235 PM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A 1004 MB LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL MOVE INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA BY MID MORNING MON. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND SE AK THROUGH TUE. $$ PKZ011-020100- GLACIER BAY- 1235 PM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-020100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1235 PM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-020100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1235 PM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-020100- ICY STRAIT- 1235 PM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-020100- CROSS SOUND- 1235 PM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONG GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ031-020100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1235 PM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-020100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1235 PM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ033-020100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1235 PM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SOUTHERN AREA...STRONG GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR SHOWERS. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ034-020100- FREDERICK SOUND- 1235 PM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-020100- SUMNER STRAIT- 1235 PM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...STRONG GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR SHOWERS. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-020100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1235 PM AKDT MON OCT 1 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 30, 3:21 PM AKDT, 12 hours 39 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 3:21 PM AKDT, 12 hours 39 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 321 PM AKDT SUN SEP 30 2012 .SHORT TERM...SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON SHOWING A WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHEAST GULF WITH ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVING OVER THE NORTHWESTERN PANHANDLE. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER YAKUTAT THROUGH THE EVENING. THE FRONT WILL QUICKLY DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES EASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE. EXPECT ONLY ISOLATED SHOWER ACTIVITY FOR AREAS NORTH OF FREDERICK SOUND FROM THIS WEAKENING FRONT...WITH MAJORITY OF PRECIPITATION FROM OROGRAPHIC LIFT NEAR MOUNTAINS. TO THE SOUTH A BAROCLINIC LEAF TRACKING TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INITIAL WEAK LOW NEAR HAIDA GWAII FOLLOWED BY A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC. THE FIRST LOW WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING WHILE THE SECOND DEEPENS TO AROUND 1006 MB AS IT TRACKS TOWARD DIXON ENTRANCE. PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING FOR THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BUT NOT RULING OUT POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS MOVING FURTHER NORTH OF FREDERICK SOUND TONIGHT. CLOUD COVER FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE WILL BE VARIABLE WITH INCREASING CLEAR BREAKS TONIGHT AND WITH A GENERAL CLEARING TREND FOR MONDAY. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD IN THE AK GULF MONDAY WITH THE RIDGE AXIS MOVING OVER THE EASTERN AK GULF MONDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS IN THE GULF WILL INCREASE TO NORTHWESTERLY SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY WITH GRADIENT AND GEOSTROPHIC FLOW BETWEEN THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE WEST AND THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA. POSSIBILITY OF WINDS NEARING GALE FORCE FOR A SHORT PERIOD ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS LATE MONDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW MOVES OVER THE PANHANDLE WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS WILL INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. FOR THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE GRADIENT WILL SHIFT FROM THE SOUTH TO NORTH EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. WEAK SEA BREEZE DUE TO PARTIAL CLEARING THIS AFTERNOON LOOKS TO DELAY THE WIND SHIFT THIS EVENING FOR NORTHERN AREAS. MODELS WERE IN FAIR AGREEMENT AND FELL MORE IN LINE REGARDING THE DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC LOW COMPARED TO PREVIOUS RUNS. MAIN DIFFERENCES ARE EXTENT OF PRECIP OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE. 12Z NAM/ 00Z ECMWF SHOWED THE BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE ECMWF BETTER INITIALIZED AT UPPER LEVELS. NAM SHOWED THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE AK GULF MONDAY WITH 850 MB WINDS UP TO 50 KTS. BLENDED INHERITED GRIDS WITH 12Z NAM THEN A NAM/ECMWF BLEND. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE WITH RESPECT TO SYNOPTIC PATTERN WITH MAIN UNCERTAINTY REGARDING EXTENT OF SHOWERS NORTH OF FREDERICK SOUND AND AMOUNT OF CLEARING THROUGH MONDAY. && .LONG TERM...MUCH BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT THIS MORNING WITH RESPECT TO A LOW & FRONT THAT RIDES UP/THROUGH A BLOCKING RIDGE ON WEDNESDAY. GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBER STANDARD DEVIATIONS STILL OVER 6 MB FOR THIS FEATURE BUT RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY IN THE GFS OVERNIGHT HAS BEEN VERY GOOD. ECMWF RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY OVERNIGHT NOT NEARLY AS GOOD, BUT BASIC ORIENTATION OF BLOCKING PATTERN ELEMENTS BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT FROM ALASKA DOWN TO THE LOWER 48 IN ECMWF CONFORM MUCH BETTER TO CLASSIC METEOROLOGICAL DESCRIPTIONS. GFS CONTINUES TO BE MORE AGGRESSIVE ON THE STRENGTH OF THE WEDNESDAY LOW AS IT COMES OVER/THROUGH THE BLOCKING RIDGE AND WHILE THE CENTRAL PRESSURE IS NOT ANYTHING OVERLY REMARKABLE, THIS DOES GIVE A LITTLE MORE CREDENCE TO THE WEAKER ECMWF SOLUTION. BY SATURDAY MORNING, SOME DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO EMERGE WITH GFS WASHING OUT THE BLOCKING HIGH WHILE ECMWF KEEPS IT IN PLACE AND STRONG THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. MODELS HAVE A WELL DOCUMENTED BIAS FOR BREAKING DOWN BLOCKING HIGHS FAR TOO QUICKLY, SO PREFERENCE TODAY IS FOR THE ECMWF. AS THE BLOCKING HIGH SETS UP, THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE WILL SEE AT LEAST A WEAK OFFSHORE GRADIENT IN THE LOWER LEVELS, SO WILL CONTINUE THE PARTIAL CLEARING FROM THE SHORT TERM THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL ALSO RESULT IN COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPS THAN WE HAVE SEEN SO FAR. HAVE OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE YAKUTAT AREA BELOW FREEZING, AT FREEZING FOR GUSTAVUS AND JUNEAU, AND NEAR FREEZING FOR HOONAH, HAINES, AND SKAGWAY MONDAY NIGHT. A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW FORECAST TO CLIMB OVER OR COME THROUGH THE BLOCKING RIDGE WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GULF TUESDAY NIGHT AND SPREAD GALE FORCE SOUTHEASTERLIES AHEAD OF IT. POST FRONTAL WINDS WILL FALL OFF RAPIDLY FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ALONG THE OUTER COAST AND BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO BE ALL RAIN AND WILL MAKE IT ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE SOUTHERN ZONES BEFORE DIMINISHING BELOW CATEGORICAL POPS. BLOCKING HIGH IS EXPECTED TO RE-ESTABLISH SOON AFTERWARDS AND A ANOTHER FRONT LATE IN THE WEEK IS NOT EXPECTED TO GET MUCH PAST ICY BAY WITH PRECIP AS A RESULT. SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK LOOKING LIKE IT WILL BE MOSTLY DRY WITH SOME MORE PARTIAL CLEARING OF THE SKIES TO THE SOUTH AN ALONG THE COAST MOUNTAINS BY NEXT WEEKEND. BLENDED NAM AND ECMWF FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. STRAIGHT ECMWF LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. EQUAL PARTS GFS AND ECMWF THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. EC/HPC BLEND THEREAFTER HEAVILY WEIGHTED TOWARDS EC. .AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ035-036-041>043-051-052. && PRB/FRITSCH
The office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 6 days | |
| Sep 30, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 30 hr | |
| Oct 1, 5:55 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 98 min | |
| Oct 1, 7:33 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 8 hr | |
| Oct 1, 12:35 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 3 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.