Small Craft Advisory 50, NWS Juneau, AK

195 
FZAK51 PAJK 190131 CCA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
430 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-191400-
430 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH
THURSDAY. A DEVELOPING LOW WILL ENTER THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-191400-
GLACIER BAY-
430 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-191400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
430 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-191400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-191400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-191400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-191400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 30 KT NORTH OF ENDICOTT ARM.
GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 30 KT NORTH OF ENDICOTT ARM. GUSTS TO
60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT.  SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-191400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-191400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-191400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-191400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-191400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE LATE. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

505 
FZAK51 PAJK 190147 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
445 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-191400-
445 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH
THURSDAY. A DEVELOPING LOW WILL ENTER THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-191400-
GLACIER BAY-
445 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-191400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
445 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-191400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
445 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-191400-
ICY STRAIT-
445 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-191400-
CROSS SOUND-
445 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-191400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
445 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 30 KT NORTH OF ENDICOTT ARM.
GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 30 KT NORTH OF ENDICOTT ARM. GUSTS TO
60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT.  SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-191400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
445 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-191400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
445 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-191400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
445 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-191400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
445 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-191400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
445 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012 

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE LATE. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

272 
FZAK51 PAJK 191250
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST THU JAN 19 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-200100-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 19 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
STRONG COLD NORTH AND EAST GAP WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT. A 960 MB GALE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL MOVE TO WEST OF
DIXON ENTRANCE FRIDAY WITH RAIN AND SNOW AND STRONG EAST WIND.  

$$

PKZ011-200100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 19 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-200100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 19 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT LATE. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-200100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 19 2012 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-200100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 19 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-200100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 19 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-200100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 19 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 80 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 80 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS
8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-200100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 19 2012 

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-200100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 19 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-200100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 19 2012 

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 90 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 90 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-200100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 19 2012 

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES...GUSTS TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-200100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 19 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
632 AM AKST WED JAN 18 2012

.SHORT TERM...EARLY MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A
PERSISTING HIGH IN THE YUKON EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO BRITISH
COLUMBIA AND A DEVELOPING STORM FAR SOUTHWEST IN THE NORTHERN
PACIFIC. MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
CONTINUES TO GENERATE OUTFLOW CLOUD PLUMES FROM THE PANHANDLE
COAST SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS. OFFSHORE FLOW
ACROSS THE FORECAST DOMAIN HAS BEEN WEAKENED BUT STILL STRONG
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE TO SMALL CRAFT WINDS OVER THE MARINE
ZONES AND NEAR INTERIOR PASSES AND BAYS.

 AIR MASS HAS BEEN MODIFIED AND THE LOW TEMPERATURES WENT UP
SLIGHTLY LAST NIGHT INTO EARLY THIS MORNING. MENDENHALL
VALLEY...YAKUTAT AND KAKE WENT DOWN TO BELOW ZERO BUT MOST OTHER
LOCATIONS REPORTED 8 TO 15 DEGREES. AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
SHIFTS TO MORE NORTHEAST TO EAST...NORTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS HAVE
BEEN DECREASED BUT THOSE EAST-WEST ORIENTED CHANNELS HAVE SHOWN
INCREASING EASTERLY FLOW.

 MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE YUKON SLOWLY WEAKENS AND CONTINUES TO EXPAND INTO
BRITISH COLUMBIA THROUGH TONIGHT. REFRESHED THE INHERITED
FORECAST PACKAGE WITH THE NAM FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. A BIT WARMER
TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS MORNING WILL COOL A LITTLE THROUGH THE
DAY...AND CONTINUE TO DROP INTO TONIGHT AS THE COLD AIR POCKET
STILL SLOWLY DRIFTS WEST ACROSS THE AREA.

 &&

.LONG TERM...VERY GRADUAL WARM UP EXPECTED DURING MEDIUM RANGE.
COLD FLOW ALOFT OUT OF NORTH BECOMES MORE WESTERLY OVER WEEKEND
AND THE STORM TRACK THAT IS NOW CLOBBERING PAC NW SLOWLY LIFTS
NORTHWARD OVER TIME. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION OVER PANHANDLE
INCREASES FROM SOUTH TO NORTH STARTING FRI. SOUTHERN ZONES WILL
START WITH SNOW BUT CHANGE TO RAIN AND SNOW MIXED SAT THROUGH SUN.
PRECIP IN FORM OF SNOW FORECAST TO REACH JUNEAU TO GUSTAVUS TO
YAKUTAT ABOUT SUN OR MON. LAST NIGHTS MODEL RUNS SHOWED CHANGES IN
THE STRENGTH AND TRACK OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS APPROACHING
STARTING FRI. GFS WAS STORMY AND HIGHER CHANCES OF PRECIP SOONER
THAN OTHER MODELS. SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WERE MADE
BASED ON THE DRIER NAM AND EUROPEAN MODEL AT THE START OF THE
WEEKND. FORECASTER CONFIDENCE DECREASES AFTER SAT.

AS THE STORM TRACK LIFTS NORTH INDIVIDUAL SYSTEMS GET ENERGIZED
AND MAY PRODUCE VERY HIGH SE WINDS AS THEY APPROACH THE OUTER
COAST. FRI LOOKS PARTICULARLY WINDY FOR THE SOUTHERN OUTER COAST.
GIVEN THE HIGHER WINDS I INCREASED SEA STATE BY SEVERAL FEET FRI
AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND FOR THE COASTAL ZONES..MAINLY S OF CROSS
SOUND. CONDITIONS MAY BE SETTING UP FOR A SEPARATE WIND EVENT...
A JUNEAU TAKU WIND... THUR NIGHT AND FRI MORNING. THE DEPTH OF THE
COLD AIR...CURRENTLY ON THE ORDER OF 6000 FT DEEP...MAY BE TOO
THICK FOR THE TAKU WIND TO PENETRATE TO THE SURFACE BUT IT BEARS
WATCHING. WIND SPEEDS ON THE ORDER OF 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE BOTH ALONG
THE COAST AND NEAR JUNEAU ON FRI.

A GOOD SNOWFALL FREQUENTLY OCCURS WHEN COLD SPELLS IN SE AK
FINALLY BREAK. THE CURRENT TIMING FOR THAT TO OCCUR IS EARLY
WEEKEND IN THE SOUTH AND LATE WEEKEND FARTHER NORTH. HOWEVER
FORECAST MODELS ARE SOMETIMES TOO FAST BRINGING THIS TRANSITION
ABOUT AND THEY ARE ALREADY SHOWING VARIABILITY IN THEIR SOLUTIONS.
EASTERLY WIND DIRECTIONS AT RIDGETOP ELEVATIONS OFTEN KEEP THE
LOWER ATMOSPHERE DRY UNTIL A MORE SOUTHERLY WIND KICKS IN. HENCE,
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IN WINDY WEATHER IS A LITTLE HIGHER THAN THE
TIMING OF ANY PRECIPITATION.

 &&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ011>013-031-053.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011>013-031-051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ021-022-032-034>036-041-043.

&&

AHN/TA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
358 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012

AKZ017>029-191300-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
GLACIER BAY-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...SKAGWAY...HAINES...GUSTAVUS...
HOONAH...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...ANGOON...
JUNEAU...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...
KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
358 PM AKST WED JAN 18 2012

...A SERIES OF WINTER STORMS TO AFFECT SOUTHEAST ALASKA FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY...

A SERIES OF STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS LIFTING OUT OF THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC IS FORECAST TO BATTLE A DEEP AND VERY COLD AIR MASS ACROSS
THE PANHANDLE STARTING FRIDAY AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY RISE THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD.

THE FIRST LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF FRIDAY
AND WILL BRING SNOW TO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND STRONG
WINDS...LOW WIND CHILLS...AND HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE.

A SECOND STRONG LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF
LATE SATURDAY AND INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF SUNDAY. THIS WILL
BRING MORE SNOW TO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE THAT WILL LIKELY MIX
WITH RAIN. SNOW WILL ALSO SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE
SATURDAY NIGHT. STRONG NORTH WINDS AND LOW WIND CHILLS WILL
CONTINUE FOR NORTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

A THIRD SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEAST ALASKA WITH SNOW FOR THE
NORTHERN HALF AND A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF.

PERSONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA...ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES...SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR HARSH WINTER CONDITIONS
INCLUDING STRONG WINDS...LOW WIND CHILLS...FREEZING SPRAY...AND
HEAVY SNOW. KEEP UPDATED ON THIS DEVELOPING WINTER WEATHER EVENT
WITH THE LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNINGS AND FORECASTS
AVAILABLE FROM NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR ON THE WORLD WIDE WEB.

MM