Gale Warning 82, NWS Juneau, AK

262 
FZAK52 PAJK 240216 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
516 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-242030-
516 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN GULF
THROUGH MON NIGHT. TROUGHS OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE
EASTERN GULF THROUGH MON EVENING. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE AREA
WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE NE TO THE SE GULF BY EARLY TUE
MORNING...THEN MOVE NW TO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF BY LATE TUE
AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ041-242030-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
516 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO
15 FT LATE. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LATE. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 25 FT. W SWELL. SNOW...RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-242030-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
516 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13
FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LATE.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 23 FT. W SWELL. SNOW.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-242030-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
516 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEAR
CROSS SOUND LATE. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT LATE. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT
OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT. W SWELL. SNOW.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-242030-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
516 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-242030-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
516 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING
TO 7 FT LATE. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 



$$

606 
FZAK52 PAJK 241232
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-250100-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE FAR SE GULF WILL MOVE N INTO
CENTRAL SE ALASKA TUE MORNING...THEN DISSIPATE AS IT REACHES THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE TUE AFTERNOON. ANOTHER STRONG LOW WILL MOVE
NE TO THE SE GULF TUE EVENING...THEN INLAND ACROSS CENTRAL SE
ALASKA LATE TUE NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-250100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT
BUILDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN.
.WED...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.THU...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-250100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN.
.WED...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-250100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-250100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO
9 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SNOW LATE.
.WED...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-250100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW IN THE EVENING.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 

$$

663 
FZAK52 PAJK 242233 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
133 PM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-250100-
133 PM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STRONG LOW ENTERING THE SE GULF TUE EVENING WILL MOVE ONSHORE
OVER THE PANHANDLE TUE NIGHT...THEN DISSIPATE LATE WED MORNING
AS IT REACHES THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE.  

$$

PKZ041-250100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
133 PM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT
BUILDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN.
.WED...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.THU...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-250100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
133 PM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN.
.WED...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-250100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
133 PM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-250100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
133 PM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO
9 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SNOW LATE.
.WED...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-250100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
133 PM AKST TUE JAN 24 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW IN THE EVENING.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
356 PM AKST MON JAN 23 2012

.SHORT TERM...THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS WIDESPREAD SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME
MIXED WITH RAIN OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN AREAS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IS NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION WITH SNOW SHOWERS. THE SHOWERS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS BUT BEGIN TO DIMINISH FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH AS THE UPPER TROF LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT. THE
BREAK IN PRECIP WILL NOT LAST LONG OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS AS A
STRONG 965MB LOW IS DRIFTING NORTH OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC AND
WILL BE JUST WEST OF POW BY TUE MORNING. THE LOW WILL THEN WEAKEN
AS IT DRIFTS NW AND FORMS ANOTHER LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF BY
TUE AFTERNOON.

 SO WITH THAT SAID...THE WINDS OVER THE SE GULF WILL INCREASE TO
GALES LATE TONIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING AS THE LOW WEAKENS. STRONG
WINDS GUSTS WILL ALSO DEVELOP OVER THE THE FAR SOUTHERN AREAS
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING AREAS ALONG WITH GALES IN CLARENCE
STRAIT. THE RAIN OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE HEAVY AT
TIMES WITH THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS ALONG WITH SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNT OF MOISTURE. THE FLOW WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NE NEAR HYDER
THROUGH TUE AND REMAIN NEAR TO BELOW FREEZING. SO WILL ISSUE A
WSW FOR UP TO 10 INCHES BY THE AFTERNOON NEAR HYDER. THE CENTRAL
AREAS WILL BEGIN AS SNOW BUT AS WARMER AIR AND THE FLOW VEERS
AROUND TO THE SE THEY WILL WARM AND MIX WITH RAIN THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WITH ABOUT 1 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATIONS. THE COASTAL
AREAS WILL ALSO START AS A MIX AND THEN GO TO RAIN IN THE LATE
MORNING BUT THE PASI WILL BE ON THE DRY SIDE THROUGH THE MORNING
DUE TO STRONG EASTERLY DOWN SLOPE WINDS. THE NORTHERN INNER
CHANNELS WILL SEE SOME PRECIP WITH THE MOST FAVORABLE AREAS OF
ZONES 20 AND 21 AS THE EASTERLY WINDS WILL ENHANCE THE PRECIP
SOME WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES. THE JUNEAU AREA WILL SEE SOME SNOW BUT
DUE TO THE EAST WINDS THIS WILL LIMIT THE AMOUNTS TO AROUND
2 INCHES AND SOUTH OF TAKU INLET THEY WILL MIX WITH RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON. THE FAR INNER CHANNELS WILL SEE THE SNOW SLOWLY
DEVELOP THROUGH THE DAY A THE NORTH WINDS AT THE SURFACE MAY KEEP
THE PRECIP AT BAY FOR A LITTLE BUT THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH IN THE
AFTERNOON AND THE PRECIP SHOULD MOVE OVER THE AREA.

 THE MARINE WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF WILL INCREASE TO SMALL
CRAFTS TO GALES ALONG WITH HIGHER GUSTS FROM INTERIOR PASSES AND
CROSS SOUND AS THE LOW LIFTS NORTH LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH TUE
MORNING. AS THE LOW WEAKENS THE WINDS WILL ALSO RELAX TO BE FROM
30 TO 20 KT.

 THERE IS ABOUT AVERAGE TO BELOW AVERAGE FORECAST CONFIDENCE AS
THE MODELS HAVE BEEN HAVING A HARD TIME WITH THE TACK OF THE LOW
LIFTING NORTH. USED A BLEND OF THE EC/NAM FOR THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD AS THEY INITIALIZED THE BEST AT 12Z THIS MORNING

&&

.LONG TERM...LONG RANGE MODELS ARE STILL HOLDING A DEEP MEAN
UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE ALASKAN INTERIOR THROUGH THURSDAY AND
LIFTING THE UPPER LOW TO THE NORTH ON FRIDAY THEN TO THE NORTHWEST
OVER THE WEEKEND. SOUTH OF THE UPPER LOW...MODELS ARE STRUGGLING
WITH DEVELOPING SYSTEMS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC. THE ECMWF
HAS MADE ITS WAY MORE IN LINE WITH THE NCEP MODELS. REFRESHED THE
INHERITED FORECAST PACKAGE WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY.

 A 960 MB LOW ENTERS INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF EARLY TUESDAY
EVENING WILL MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE BY LATE NIGHT THEN QUICKLY
JUMP TO THE NORTHERN GULF BY MID MORNING WEDNESDAY. ALONG WITH THE
STORM TRACK...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED NORTH OF A LINE
FROM ELFIN COVE SOUTHEAST TO JUNEAU TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. WARNING LEVEL SNOW WILL FALL OVER THE HAINES
AREA WITH ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED FOR GLACIER
BAY...HOONAH...ANGOON AND JUNEAU. SKAGWAY MAY HAVE ADVISORY LEVEL
SNOW AMOUNT. A STRONG HIGH MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN
PACIFIC WILL MAINTAIN GENERAL WIND DIRECTION FROM SOUTHEAST TO
SOUTH WEDNESDAY AND ENHANCE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. MAY NEED TO ADD STRONG WIND HEADLINE FOR THE
SOUTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY.

 BEGINNING ON FRIDAY...A COMPLEX SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE GULF BUT OPERATIONAL MODELS HANDLE THE SYSTEM QUITE
DIFFERENTLY. THE GFS TAKES THE LOW AS A DOMINANT DYNAMIC CYCLONE
WHILE THE ECMWF KEEPS THE SYSTEM SOMEWHAT WEAKER. THE HPC APPROACH
KEEPS THE SYSTEM AS A STRONG LOW FOR THE WEEKEND. BLENDED GRIDS
FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THE END WITH THE HPC OUTPUTS. THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY WILL SEE THE MEAN UPPER LOW MOVES NORTH ACROSS THE ALASKAN
INTERIOR AND THE GENERAL WIND DIRECTIONS WILL SHIFT TO MORE
SOUTHWEST. SEVERAL MORE LOWS WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF. ACTIVE TROUGHS WILL SWING ACROSS THE
EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA THROUGH FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY
RELATIVELY WEAK SYSTEMS OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM 3 AM AKST TUESDAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
     AKZ027.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 5 AM AKST WEDNESDAY
     FOR AKZ020-021-024-025.
         STRONG WIND FROM 3 AM AKST TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR
     AKZ028.
         WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 4 PM AKST TUESDAY FOR AKZ029.
         WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 5 AM AKST WEDNESDAY
     FOR AKZ019.
         WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AKZ017.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-022-033>036-041>043.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-031-032-051>053.

&&

ABJ/AHN