Brisk Wind Advisory 154, NWS Fairbanks, AK

058 
FZAK51 PAFG 160119 AAA
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
519 PM AKDT WED AUG 15 2012

UPDATED ZONE 230

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-161530-
519 PM AKDT WED AUG 15 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A NEW 984 MB LOW 250 MILES WEST OF CAPE LISBURNE WILL MOVE
TO 400 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARROW BY 4 PM THURSDAY. A 986
MB LOW 500 MILES WEST OF THE BERING STRAIT WILL MOVE TO THE
GULF OF ANADYR BY 4 PM THURSDAY WEAKENING TO 992 MB.


$$

PKZ225-161530-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
519 PM AKDT WED AUG 15 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY MORNING. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.THU...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-161530-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
519 PM AKDT WED AUG 15 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.THU...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ235-161530-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
519 PM AKDT WED AUG 15 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.THU...S WINDS 25 KT. FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. FOG. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT...S WINDS 10 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 5 KT.  
.SUN...E WINDS 10 KT.  
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-161530-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
519 PM AKDT WED AUG 15 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. RAIN AND FOG. 
.THU...S WINDS 30 KT. FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. FOG. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 5 KT.  
.SUN...E WINDS 10 KT.  
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-161530-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
519 PM AKDT WED AUG 15 2012

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

RF/RL AUG 12

355 
FZAK51 PAFG 161051
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
251 AM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-170200-
251 AM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 983 MB LOW 175 NM EAST OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN TO
990 MB 400 NM NORTH OF CAPE LISBURNE BY 4 AM AKDT SATURDAY. A 990 MB
LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF ANADYR WILL DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTH AND
WEAKEN TO 995 MB BY 4 PM AKDT FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ225-170200-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
251 AM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-170200-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
251 AM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING
TO 6 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. FOG.
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-170200-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
251 AM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT LATE. RAIN AND FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-170200-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
251 AM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-170200-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
251 AM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

DA/CB AUG 12

062 
FZAK51 PAFG 162113
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
113 PM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-171215-
113 PM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 985 MB LOW 350 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARROW WILL MOVE LITTLE
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON WHILE WEAKENING TO 989 MB.

$$

PKZ225-171215-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
113 PM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.SAT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-171215-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
113 PM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-171215-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
113 PM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-171215-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
113 PM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-171215-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
113 PM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

RF/RL AUG 12

133 
FZAK51 PAFG 170335 AAA
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
735 PM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

UPDATED ZONES 225 230 AND 235

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-171530-
735 PM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 985 MB LOW 350 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARROW WILL MOVE LITTLE
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON WHILE WEAKENING TO 989 MB.

$$

PKZ225-171530-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
735 PM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-171530-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
735 PM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-171530-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
735 PM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. FOG. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. FOG. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT.  
.SUN...S WINDS 15 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-171530-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
735 PM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. FOG. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. FOG. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT. FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT.  
.SUN...S WINDS 15 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-171530-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
735 PM AKDT THU AUG 16 2012

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

RF/RL AUG 12

060 
FZAK51 PAFG 171030
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
230 AM AKDT FRI AUG 17 2012

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-180130-
230 AM AKDT FRI AUG 17 2012

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 985 MB LOW 150 NM NORTHWEST OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 300 NM
NORTHEAST OF WRANGEL ISLAND AND WEAKEN TO 992 MB BY 4 PM AKDT
SATURDAY. 

$$

PKZ225-180130-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
230 AM AKDT FRI AUG 17 2012

.TODAY...SW WINDS 20 KT BECOMING W 15 KT BY NOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
AND FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.SAT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-180130-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
230 AM AKDT FRI AUG 17 2012

.TODAY...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER NOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-180130-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
230 AM AKDT FRI AUG 17 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-180130-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
230 AM AKDT FRI AUG 17 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-180130-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
230 AM AKDT FRI AUG 17 2012

.TODAY...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

DA/CB AUG 12

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
110 PM AKDT WED AUG 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
984 MB LOW NEAR 66N/179E IN EASTERN SIBERIA IS PROGGED BY
CURRENT MODELS TO MOVE TO THE GULF OF ANADYR BY 10 AM THURSDAY
FILLING TO 990 MB...WEAKENING FURTHER TO 994 MB BY 10 AM FRIDAY.
A 984 MB LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
WRANGEL ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON...MOVING TO ABOUT 200 MILES
NORTHEAST OF WRANGEL ISLAND BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. MOIST SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH
RAIN CONTINUING OVER MUCH OF NORTHWEST ALASKA. THE HEAVIEST
AMOUNTS WILL BE ALONG SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FACING MOUNTAIN SLOPES
IN ZONES 208-210-217.

THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ON DECK IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO
DEVELOP ABOUT 500 MILES WEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING AS A 992 MB CENTER. THIS LOW IS PROGGED TO DEEPEN TO
AROUND 990 MB EAST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...BUT HAVE A STRONGER AND MORE EXPANSIVE CIRCULATION
REINFORCED BY A STRONG EASTWARD MOVING SHORT WAVE TROUGH ALOFT.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE RAIN TO THE WEST COAST...NORTHWEST
ALASKA...AND THE WESTERN INTERIOR.

OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...SOUTHERLY FLOW ALONG
THE BACK SIDE OF AN UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY.
HEIGHTS AND 850 MB TEMPERATURES WILL FALL SOME FRIDAY AS
THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES FARTHER EASTWARD INTO CANADA...BRINGING
IN MORE CLOUD COVER AND TRIMMING TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN TO NEAR
SEASONAL NORMALS.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CHUKCHI SEA
COAST FROM RED DOG PORT TO POINT HOPE THROUGH NOON THURSDAY.
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 30-40 KT CONTINUING THROUGH THIS
EVENING...THEN SLOWLY DIMINISHING TO AROUND 20 KT BY MID DAY
THURSDAY. SEAS TO 7-11 FEET OFFSHORE THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH
TIDES 1.5 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL DIMINISH
SOME AS THE WAVES BREAK ONSHORE. SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH SEA LEVEL ELEVATION
FALLING TO ABOUT 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL. RED DOG TIDE GAGE IS
SHOWING TIDE CURRENTLY ABOUT 0.75-0.8 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL...A
LITTLE LESS THAN THE 1.0 FOOT PREDICTED BY THE STORM SURGE
MODEL.

ALONG THE BERING SEA COAST FROM WALES TO CAPE RODNEY...
SEA LEVELS WILL INCREASE TO 2 TO 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS WILL BE SOUTH TO
AROUND 40 KT WITH SEAS TO 10-11 FEET OFFSHORE.

IN NORTON SOUND...SEA LEVELS IN NORTON SOUND WILL GRADUALLY RISE
THROUGH THURSDAY. MAXIMUM ELEVATION IN SEA LEVELS WILL BE 2 TO 3
FEET ALONG THE COAST FROM CAPE RODNEY TO UNALAKLEET...AND 1.3 TO
2 FEET FROM SOUTH OF UNALAKLEET TO THE YUKON DELTA. THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS IN SEA LEVEL...AROUND 3 FEET WILL BE IN NORTON BAY.
NO COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

IN THE NOME AREA...THE MAXIMUM STORM SURGE WILL BE AROUND 2.5 FEET
DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...WITH MAXIMUM TIDES OF 4 TO 4.3 FEET.
HIGHEST WINDS OVER THE SOUND NEAR NOME ARE EXPECTED TO BE 30-35 KT
PRODUCING SEAS OFFSHORE TO 6-8 FEET. THESE CONDITIONS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE ENOUGH TO CAUSE ANY COASTAL FLOODING
OR BEACH EROSION PROBLEMS IN THE NOME AREA. THE TIDE AT
NOME IS CURRENTLY ABOUT 1.3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO RED FLAG CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
HEAVY RAIN IS CONTINUING IN ZONE 207 AND PARTS OF ZONE 208.
RED DOG MINE HAS REPORTED 4.0 INCHES IN THE LAST 48 HRS.
OTHER SIGNIFICANT 48 HR TOTALS INCLUDE 3.3 INCHES AT TAHINICHOK
RAWS...2.4 INCHES AT KIVALINA...1.6 INCHES AT WULIK RIVER
AND 1.4 INCHES AT KELLY. RECENT 12 HR AMOUNTS INCLUDE 1.7 INCHES
AT RED DOG...1.2 INCHES AT TAHINICHOK...AND 1.1 INCHES AT
KIVALINA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN
ZONES 207 AND 208 THROUGH FRIDAY. IN ZONE 217...RAINFALL OF
2 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN SOME AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.
SOME ADDITIONAL RAIN MAY OCCUR IN THESE AREAS SATURDAY. FLOOD
WATCH FOR ZONES 207-208 WILL BE UPGRADED TO A SMALL STREAM
FLOOD ADVISORY. FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR ZONE 217.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR AKZ207-208...WILL BE ISSUED
 LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

FLOOD WATCH FOR AKZ217...WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR AKZ207.

FLOOD WATCH FOR AKZ207-AKZ208.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ230.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ235-PKZ240.
&&

RF AUG 12