Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 851, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 24, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 24, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 24, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 24, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

377 
FZAK52 PAFC 241214
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-250300-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1004 MB LOW WILL FORM 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF NIKOLSKI THIS MORNING AND
MOVE TO 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK AT 1009 MB BY SUN AFTERNOON. A
998 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 170 NM EAST OF SHEMYA LATE SAT NIGHT AND MOVE
TO 425 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA AT 989 MB LATE SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-250300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-250300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-250300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-250300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-250300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-250300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-250300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-250300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT. W OF SEGUAM ISLAND... 
VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BERING SIDE...10 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BERING
SIDE...8 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W OF SEGUAM
ISLAND...SW WIND 25 FT. SEAS 6 FT BERING SIDE...14 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-250300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT BERING SIDE...13 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BERING SIDE...16 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-250300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-250300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY E OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NE OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.SUN...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY E OF SAINT MATTHEW 
ISLAND. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-250300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT.  PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$
3 follow-up statements
063 
FZAK52 PAFC 241320 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
419 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

CORRECTED 155

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-250300-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1004 MB LOW WILL FORM 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF NIKOLSKI THIS MORNING AND
MOVE TO 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK AT 1009 MB BY SUN AFTERNOON. A
998 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 170 NM EAST OF SHEMYA LATE SAT NIGHT AND MOVE
TO 425 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA AT 989 MB LATE SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-250300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-250300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY LATE MORNING.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-250300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-250300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-250300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-250300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-250300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-250300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT. W OF SEGUAM ISLAND... 
VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BERING SIDE...10 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BERING
SIDE...8 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W OF SEGUAM
ISLAND...SW WIND 25 FT. SEAS 6 FT BERING SIDE...14 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-250300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT BERING SIDE...13 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BERING SIDE...16 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-250300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-250300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY E OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NE OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.SUN...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY E OF SAINT MATTHEW 
ISLAND. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-250300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT.  PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$
153 
FZAK52 PAFC 242051 CCB
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1150 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

CORRECTED 172

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-250300-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1004 MB LOW WILL FORM 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF NIKOLSKI THIS MORNING AND
MOVE TO 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK AT 1009 MB BY SUN AFTERNOON. A
998 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 170 NM EAST OF SHEMYA LATE SAT NIGHT AND MOVE
TO 425 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA AT 989 MB LATE SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-250300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-250300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY LATE MORNING.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-250300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-250300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-250300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-250300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-250300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-250300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT. W OF SEGUAM ISLAND... 
VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BERING SIDE...10 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BERING
SIDE...8 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W OF SEGUAM
ISLAND...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT BERING SIDE...14 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-250300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT BERING SIDE...13 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BERING SIDE...16 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-250300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-250300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY E OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NE OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.SUN...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY E OF SAINT MATTHEW 
ISLAND. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-250300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT.  PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$
430 
FZAK52 PAFC 250019
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-251500-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 991 MB LOW 430 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL MAINTAIN STRENGTH AND
MOVE TO 600 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA MON AFTERNOON. A SERIES OF LOWS WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT AS IT MOVES TO THE EASTERN
BERING SEA AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS MON AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-251500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-251500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. WIND INCREASING TO N 25 KT EAST OF THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT EXCEPT 20 KT EAST OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 
7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-251500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-251500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.

.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-251500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-251500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-251500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
STRONGER GUSTS 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-251500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT
BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BERING SIDE...15 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BERING SIDE...16 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-251500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT BERING SIDE...16 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-251500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-251500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 30 KT W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-251500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 24 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT.  PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 23, 2:00 PM AKST, 14 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 23, 2:00 PM AKST, 14 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKST FRI NOV 23 2012

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODEL INITIALIZATIONS WERE REASONABLE. SYNOPTIC FORECAST TRENDS
THROUGH 84 HRS(MON AFTERNOON) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THE ECMWF IS A
LITTLE FASTER ON THE FRONTAL MOVEMENT ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA
SUN AND MON AND BRINGS A CHANCE OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION TO THE
AK PEN/SW MAINLAND MON AFTERNOON. A RIDGE AFFECTING THE MAINLAND WILL
BE SOMEWHAT SLOW TO BREAK DOWN...SO WOULD LEAN TOWARD A SLOWER
FRONTAL MOVEMENT AS PER THE NAM/GFS.

.ANALYSIS...
.UPPER LEVELS...THE STACKED LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF MOVES EAST
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS A RIDGE BUILDS IN ADVANCE OF A
SHARPENING WAVE WEST OF 150W SAT NIGHT/SUN MORNING. A HIGH MOVES TO
OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA AND BECOMES STATIONARY THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON.
RIDGING WITH THIS FEATURE CONTINUES NORTHERLY TO EASTERLY FLOW OVER
THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. SOUTHERLY FLOW...IN ADVANCE OF EASTWARD MOVING
TROUGH...INCREASINGS ACROSS THE WESTERN/CENTRAL BERING AND ALEUTIANS
SAT AND SUN.

SURFACE...
THIS AFTERNOON A STACKED AND WEAKENING LOW WAS LOCATED OVER THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BRAND WEAKENED AS IT
MOVED WEST AND BROUGHT MID AND HIGH CLOUDS TO THE SOUTHCENTRAL
MAINLAND AND SOME SNOW TO KODIAK ISLAND. THE ADDITIONAL CLOUD COVER
PROVIDED IN INSULATING BLANKET AND HELPED MODERATE OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHCENTRAL. FAIR SKIES WITH LIGHTER
NORTHERLY FLOW WAS EVIDENT ACROSS THE SW MAINLAND. COLD AIR FLOWING
OVER THE WESTERN MAINLAND INTERACTED WITH THE WARMER BERING SEA WATER
AND BROUGHT MILDLY UNSTABLE COLD CELL CU/SC TO THE AK PEN AND EASTERN
BERING SEA. A LOW SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS BROUGHT WINDY
CONDITIONS AND SOME RAIN TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...LOCAL GAP FLOWS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AS
PRESSURE GRADIENTS RELAX OVER THE WEEKEND. STRONG TEMPERATURE
INVERSIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS INLAND AREAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE
MARINE LAYER OVER THE NORTHERN INLET SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOISTEN AND
COULD RESULT IN STRATUS AND PATCHY FOG. LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE GULF. A WEAK MOISTURE SURGE ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW OVER THE
WESTERN GULF WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION
OVER KODIAK/WESTERN GULF THIS WEEKEND. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A
WAVE SAT MOVES TO OVER THE KENAI PEN...FOR NOW THINKING MAINLY CLOUDS
WITH LITTLE IF ANY SNOW TO FOLLOW.

.SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS WITH DIMINISHING NORTHERLY FLOW THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NORTHERLY FLOW WILL HOWEVER TRANSLATE INTO MOSTLY CLOUDY
CONDITIONS OVER THE AK PEN AS COLD AIR FLOWING OFF THE MAINLAND
GATHERS MOISTURE AND FORMS CLOUDS.

ALEUTIANS...
A WEAKENING LOW SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MOVES SE AND WEAKENS.
A WEATHER FRONT APPROACHING THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SAT WILL BRING
SOUTHERLY GALES AND RAIN TO THE WEST ALEUTIANS...THESE CONDITIONS
WILL SPREAD TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS LATE SUN.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
WHILE THE BLOCKING HIGH OVER THE BERING STRAIT WILL RETREAT UP INTO
THE ARCTIC...THE EXTENDED PATTERN LOOKS MUCH LIKE THE CURRENT ONE.
BROAD TROUGHING OVER EASTERN RUSSIA WILL SEND PERIODIC FRONTS
WEAKENING OVER THE ALEUTIANS WHILE THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND WILL REMAIN
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE EASTERN GULF AND DRY COLD
NORTHERLY FLOW.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 127 128 172 176 411 351 352
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC NOV 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 23, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Nov 23, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Nov 24, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Nov 24, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Nov 24, 7:25 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC9 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.