Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 735, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 15, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 15, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 16, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
421 FZAK51 PAFC 151126 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-160300- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 977 MB LOW CENTER 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY TODAY MOVES TO 160 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AND WEAKENS TO 980 MB TONIGHT THEN MOVES TO 100 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD AT 999 MB TUE NIGHT. $$ PKZ120-160300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ121-160300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ125-160300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ129-160300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ130-160300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU AND FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ132-160300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ138-160300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-160300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ141-160300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
5 follow-up statements
347 FZAK51 PAFC 152104 AAA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 105 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 UPDATED ZONE 141 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-160300- 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 977 MB LOW CENTER 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY TODAY MOVES TO 160 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AND WEAKENS TO 980 MB TONIGHT THEN MOVES TO 100 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD AT 999 MB TUE NIGHT. $$ PKZ120-160300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ121-160300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ125-160300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ129-160300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ130-160300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU AND FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ132-160300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ138-160300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-160300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ141-160300- KACHEMAK BAY 105 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
138 FZAK51 PAFC 152332 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-161500- 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 976 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 25 NM NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND TUE AFTERNOON AT 986 MB. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WED AFTERNOON AT 998 MB. $$ PKZ120-161500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SW WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ121-161500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ125-161500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT THROUGH SAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-161500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-161500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ132-161500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ138-161500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-161500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ141-161500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
957 FZAK51 PAFC 160042 CCA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 CORRECTED ZONE 125 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-161500- 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 976 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 25 NM NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND TUE AFTERNOON AT 986 MB. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WED AFTERNOON AT 998 MB. $$ PKZ120-161500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SW WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ121-161500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ125-161500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-161500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-161500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ132-161500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ138-161500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-161500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ141-161500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
288 FZAK51 PAFC 160327 AAA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 725 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 AMENDS ZONE 141 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-161500- 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 976 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 25 NM NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND TUE AFTERNOON AT 986 MB. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WED AFTERNOON AT 998 MB. $$ PKZ120-161500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SW WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ121-161500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ125-161500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-161500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-161500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ132-161500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ138-161500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-161500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ141-161500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKDT MON OCT 15 2012 .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
657 FZAK51 PAFC 161117 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-170300- 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 982 MB LOW 40 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING WILL MOVE TO 60 NM SW OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 991 MB TONIGHT. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 110 NM SW OF YAKUTAT AT 994 MB THU MORNING. $$ PKZ120-170300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ121-170300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ125-170300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-170300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-170300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ132-170300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ138-170300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-170300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ141-170300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012 .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 14, 2:00 PM AKDT, 14 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 14, 2:00 PM AKDT, 14 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT SUN OCT 14 2012
.MODEL DISCUSSION...THE MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT AND
REASONABLE THROUGH MUCH OF THE SHORT TERM CONSIDERING THE COMPLEXITY
OF THE PATTERN IN THE GULF. DIFFERENCES THAT DO EXIST IN THE GULF ARE
RELATIVELY MINOR. HOWEVER...THE NAM BY THE END OF THE SHORT TERM (WED
AFTERNOON) PUSHES A LOWER 990'S LOW CENTER NORTH INTO THE NE GULF.
THIS SOLUTION DIFFERS FROM PREVIOUS RUNS AND THE ECMWF/GFS 12Z RUNS.
SO FOR NOW WILL GO WITH THE MORE CONSISTENT GFS/ECMWF AT THIS TIME
FRAME.
UPPER LEVELS(500MB)...
A LOW CENTER APPROACHING THE SE GULF MOVES INLAND OVER SOUTHEAST
ALASKA TONIGHT. A SECONDARY CENTER CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTH THE THE AK
PEN INTENSIFIES AS IT MOVES TO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA MON MORNING
THEN WEAKENS AS IT DRIFTS TO THE EASTERN GULF MON NIGHT/TUE MORNING.
YET ANOTHER CENTER EMBEDDED IN THE BROAD LONG WAVE MOVES TO NEAR
KODIAK ISLAND TUE. A BROAD RIDGE CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL AND
WESTERN BERING SEA THROUGH TUE.
.SURFACE...A 976 MB LOW OVER THE EAST GULF WEAKENS AND MOVES INLAND
OVER SE ALASKA. THE LOW CENTER NEAR KODIAK WEAKENS AS A CENTER
DEVELOPS ALONG THE FRONTAL TROUGH OVER THE NW GULF THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS CENTER THEN BECOMES STATIONARY TONIGHT AND WEAKENS THROUGH MON.
A SECONDARY LOW...ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING UPPER WAVE MOVES TO
THE EASTERN GULF TUE...WITH YET ANOTHER CENTER DEVELOPS OVER THE
WESTERN GULF TUE EVENING. OUT WEST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ITS
HOLD OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN BERING SEA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
PINCH BETWEEN THIS HIGH AND THE GULF LOW COMPLEX WILL CONTINUE BRISK
WINDS OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA...AK PEN...AND SW ALASKA THROUGH
TUE.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL TROUGH AND
DEVELOPING WAVE SPREAD MOISTURE TO THE NORTH GULF COAST THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO INLAND SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT. THE BRUNT OF THE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD FALL AS RAIN ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST...INLAND
SOUTHCENTRAL WILL BE A MIXTURE OF SNOW AND RAIN. COLD AIR SPREADS
EAST ACROSS THE KENAI PEN/COOK INLET REGIONS ON MON AND TUE...SO ANY
LINGERING OR MOISTURE SPREADING INTO THE AREA SHOULD FALL AS SNOW.
MODELS APPEAR A LITTLE LIGHT ON QPF OVER COOK INLET/ANCHORAGE BOWL
MON NIGHT AS COLD ADVECTION SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION. SHOULD
PROBABLY SEE A LEAST SNOW SHOWERS AS COLD AIR INTERACTS WITH WARMER
INLET WATERS. THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH MON WILL BE WARM ENOUGH
FOR RAIN...BECOMING MORE MIXED TUE NIGHT.
SOUTHWEST...
BRISK NORTH WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE SW MAINLAND IN THE SQUEEZED
PRESSURE GRADIENT...WITH MAINLY ONLY SOME INSTABILITY SHOWERS IN
CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT. THE LION'S SHARE OF STEADY PRECIPITATION IS OVER
BRISTOL BAY...AND FALLING AS SNOW DUE TO A WELL ESTABLISHED COOL
AIRMASS. PRECIPITATION HERE WILL TAPER OF THIS EVENING AS OVERRUNNING
ENDS. BRISK NORTHWEST FLOW IN IT'S WAKE WILL KEEP WESTERN FACING
SLOPES OF THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES UNDER THE GUN FOR PERSISTENT
SNOW SHOWERS HOWEVER. CONDITIONS REMAIN SEASONABLY COOL INTO MIDWEEK.
BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
STRONGEST WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE EASTERN CHAIN BACK THROUGH THE
AKPEN. CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO WEAKEN DUE TO THE SLOW MOVING LOW
IN THE GULF AND STUBBORN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST. MODERATELY HEAVY
SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED ALONG THE AKPEN...ENHANCED AT TIMES BY
SHORTWAVES DROPPING SOUTH BEHIND THE UPPER-LOW TO THE EAST.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE UPPER-LOW IN THE GULF MOVES TO THE EASTERN GULF LATE THIS
WEEK...WITH UPPER-RIDGING FROM THE BERING SEA EXPANDING EAST TO THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND. THIS SHOULD HELP DRY CONDITIONS OUT ALBEIT WITH
CONSIDERABLY COOLER TEMPERATURES. GUSTY NORTH TO WEST OUTFLOW WINDS
TO ALSO BE A CONSIDERATION OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AS THE LOW EXITS
EAST. MODELS SHOW A LOW OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA LATE WEEK
SWINGING A FRONT TO THE WESTERN CHAIN AND BERING.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE...130 132 138 140 150 155 160 165 170 171 179 180 352
414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
RMC OCT 12The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Oct 14, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Oct 14, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 15, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Oct 15, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.