Small Craft Advisory 657, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 170607 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

UPDATED 165 171 172 176 179

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-171500-
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 974 MB LOW NEAR BETHEL WILL MOVE TO THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND WEAKEN
T0 980 MB EARLY MON MORNING. A 985 MB LOW 200 NM WEST OF SHEMYA WILL
MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTH OF ST PAUL MON AFTERNOON AND NUNIVAK ISLAND TUE
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-171500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-171500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-171500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-171500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
935 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT
SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-171500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT THIS EVENING. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-171500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 8 FT BERING SIDE. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-171500-
UNALASKA BAY
1000 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-171500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
1000 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...E WIND 25 KT. PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 25 KT.
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT PACIFIC SIDE. N WIND 25 KT BERING SIDE. SEAS 9
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-171500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-171500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
1000 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-171500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO
25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT.
SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-171500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
1000 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

178 
FZAK52 PAFC 171147
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-180300-
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 989 MB LOW 80 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK WILL STRENGTHEN TO 983 MB AND
MOVE TO 50 NM SOUTH OF SAINT GEORGE ISLAND MON AFTERNOON...THEN
WEAKEN AND MOVE ONSHORE NEAR TOKSOOK BAY TUE AFTERNOON. A 1000 MB
LOW WILL DEVELOP 35O NM NORTH OF ATTU MON AFTERNOON 150 NM SOUTHEAST
OF ATTU LATE TUE NIGHT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH. A 992 MB LOW
150 NM SOUTHEAST OF ADAK WILL MERGE WITH A NORTH PACIFIC LOW AND THEN
MOVE TO 60 NM EAST OF SAND POINT AT 984 MB LATE TUE NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-180300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ155-180300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
$$

PKZ160-180300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ165-180300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ180-180300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NORTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...W WIND
20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. SOUTH AND EAST OF NUNIVAK
ISLAND...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...N
WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ170-180300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT EARLY MORNING BECOMING SW 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ171-180300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ172-180300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. WINDS BECOMING N 30 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON
NORTH OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ175-180300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ176-180300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ185-180300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT EAST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 20 KT WEST
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT EAST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 20 KT WEST OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ179-180300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

937 
FZAK52 PAFC 172330
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-181500-
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA
WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 985 MB LOW 150 NM SW OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO 989 MB AND
MOVE ONSHORE NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND TUE AFTERNOON. A 993 MB LOW WILL
DEVELOP TUE AFTERNOON 200 NM SE OF SAND POINT THEN MOVE INLAND NEAR
KODIAK ISLAND WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-181500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT BY MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE MORNING.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-181500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-181500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-181500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-181500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E WIND 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-181500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-181500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-181500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW WIND 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-181500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-181500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-181500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 20 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-181500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 17 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A POTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW IS LOCATED OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA WITH AN
IMPRESSIVE RIDGE THAT ENCOMPASSES THE ALASKA MAINLAND AND EASTERN
PACIFIC. AN INTENSE 160 KT UPPER LEVEL JET THAT RESIDES ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF THESE FEATURES IS PUMPING A STEADY SUPPLY OF
TROPICAL MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO MAINLAND ALASKA. DUE TO THE SLOW
WEST TO EAST PROGRESSION OF THIS SYSTEM AND THE COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF
AVAILABLE MOISTURE...SEVERAL AREA RIVERS HAVE APPROACHED MODERATE
FLOOD STAGE TODAY.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
WITH A HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN IN PLACE OVER THE SHORT TERM...MODELS
ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AS A
RESULT...THE HIGH RESOLUTION NAM MODEL WAS THE MODEL OF CHOICE TODAY.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...STEADY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
IMPACT MUCH OF THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION LATE INTO TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN
WILL CONTINUE TO SWELL RIVERS AND STREAMS IN REGIONS MAINLY ALONG THE
GULF COAST. MEANWHILE...STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ACROSS COOK INLET THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. ONLY A BRIEF BREAK IS EXPECTED MONDAY...BEFORE A
FRONT APPROACHES THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
FRONT WILL LIKELY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG WINDS AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

.SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
VERTICALLY STACKED LOW NEAR BETHEL IS SUPPORTING WIDESPREAD
GUSTY WINDS AND SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF THE BRISTOL BAY AND KUSKOKWIM
DELTA REGIONS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND CONDITIONS WILL
GENERALLY DRY OUT ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA THIS EVENING AS A WEAK
RIDGE BUILDS IN. HOWEVER A FRONT WILL BRING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO
THE ALASKA PENINSULA AGAIN BY MONDAY MORNING. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGION OVER THE SHORT TERM AS SYSTEMS PROGRESS
EASTWARD ACROSS THE BERING.

.ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA...
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO BE UNSETTLED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
WHILE A WEAK RIDGE IS SUPPORTING RATHER QUIET WEATHER ACROSS THE
CENTRAL BERING THIS EVENING...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED NORTH OF
SHEMYA AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL BRING RAIN TO THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN BERING BY MONDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
AN ACTIVE AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT WEEK. MODELS
CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT UPPER LEVEL JETS WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT
MOISTURE FROM THE TROPICS TOWARDS THE ALASKA MAINLAND. AS A
RESULT...GUSTY WINDS THROUGH LOCAL GAPS AND LOCAL FLOODING WILL
REMAIN A POSSIBILITY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...FLOOD WARNING...131 135 145
MARINE...STORM...160
         GALE...120 121 128 130 132 138 140 141 150 155 165 176 180
                185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

ELN SEP 12

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1234 PM AKDT SUN SEP 16 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SE ANCHORAGE         61.11N 149.66W
09/16/2012  M120 MPH                            AK   PUBLIC

            MULTIPLE REPORTS FROM THE BEAR VALLEY SUBDIVISION ON THE
            ANCHORAGE HILLSIDE OF WINDS OVERNIGHT OVER 100 MPH WITH
            THE PEAK GUSTS SO FAR MEASURED AT 120 MPH BETWEEN 1AM AND
            4AM.

0236 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SE ANCHORAGE         61.11N 149.66W
09/16/2012  M112 MPH                            AK   MESONET

            A 112 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT GLEN ALPS ON THE
            ANCHORAGE HILLSIDE AT 236 AM SUNDAY SEP 16 2012

1133 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 12 SE ANCHORAGE         61.09N 149.62W
09/15/2012  M77 MPH                             AK   MESONET

            A WIND GUST TO 77 MPH WAS MEASURED AT PARADISE VALLEY
            NEAR POTTER MARSH AT 1133 PM SAT SEP 15 2012.

&&

ADIXON