Small Craft Advisory 120, NWS Anchorage, AK

013 
FZAK51 PAFC 130028
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-131500-
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 974 MB LOW 50 NM EAST OF SAND POINT WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES
INLAND ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA SUN NIGHT. A STRONG FRONT OVER THE
WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN TO EASTERN GULF MON MORNING
AND THEN DISSIPATE MON NIGHT. ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN GULF ON TUE.

$$

PKZ120-131500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND
50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-131500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-131500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-131500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-131500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT EXCEPT 7 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT EXCEPT 5
FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-131500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-131500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-131500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-131500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MONDAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

317 
FZAK51 PAFC 131158
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-140300-
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN TO EASTERN GULF WILL WEAKEN TODAY
AND DISSIPATE MON NIGHT. ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN 
GULF TUE.
$$

PKZ120-140300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E 50 KT
DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE
WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-140300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-140300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-140300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-140300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT EXCEPT 6
FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-140300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-140300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-140300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-140300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

938 
FZAK51 PAFC 140031
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141500-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 13 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 992 MB LOW 75 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD MOVES ONSHORE IN PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND TONIGHT AT 1000 MB. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE
WESTERN GULF LATE TUE MORNING AND THEN MOVES OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA
AND MIDDLETON ISLAND LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-141500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT E 40 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND IN THE EVENING. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-141500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-141500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-141500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 10 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-141500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-141500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-141500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-141500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-141500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

793 
FZAK51 PAFC 141307
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 14 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-150300-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 14 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF LATE TUE AFTERNOON
AND THEN MOVES OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA AND MIDDLETON ISLAND WED AND
WEAKENS ALONG THE COAST.

$$

PKZ120-150300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 14 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-150300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 14 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. HIGHER SEAS
S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-150300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS
6 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-150300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 14 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-150300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 14 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT
EXCEPT 3 FT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-150300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 14 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. NORTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE...S WIND 20 KT
BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-150300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 14 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-150300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 14 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING...EXCEPT TO 25
KT NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING TO
4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NORTH OF
KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ141-150300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 14 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1200 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A BROAD AND DEEP UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM EASTERN ASIA TO THE GULF OF ALASKA. MAINLAND ALASKA IS IN THE
TRANSITION ZONE BETWEEN THIS TROUGH AND A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
CENTERED OVER WESTERN CANADA. STORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE UPPER
JET AT THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AND CURVING NORTHWARD TOWARD WESTERN
ALASKA. THE PRIMARY WEATHER MAKER THIS MORNING IS A VERTICALLY
STACKED 960 MB LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WHICH IS
WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD TOWARD BRISTOL BAY. STRONG EASTERLY
FLOW IS PRODUCING DOWNSLOPE DRYING ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THE HIGHEST IMPACT WEATHER IS ALONG THE OCCLUDED
FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. A BARRIER JET HAS FORMED AS
INDICATED BY 50KT WINDS AT BUOY 46061 NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
THE FRONT HAS NEARLY STALLED...SO IT WILL TAKE TIME FOR WINDS TO
DIMINISH. MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL ALSO CONTINUE TODAY
IN THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND REGION. THE NEXT LOW TO AFFECT THE
MAINLAND IS JUST BEGINNING TO DEEPEN SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS.
WITHOUT MUCH MOVEMENT IN THE LONG-WAVE PATTERN EXPECT IT TO TAKE
A VERY SIMILAR TRACK TO THE CURRENT LOW.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE NEXT
THREE DAYS. THERE ARE SOME MINOR POSITION DIFFERENCES WITH LOW
CROSSING THE ALEUTIANS INTO THE BERING MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
THE GFS SHOWS GREAT RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY AND THE ECMWF HAS
TRENDED TOWARD THE GFS...SO IT IS PREFERRED FOR THIS LOW.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE LOW NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL
CONTINUE TO STEADILY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS BRISTOL
BAY TONIGHT. WINDS OUT AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT STRONG PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE
SYSTEM MEANS STRONG SOUTHERLIES WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND KODIAK ISLAND WATERS. WINDS THROUGH TURNAGAIN
ARM WIND AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF ANCHORAGE WILL DIMINISH THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE OCCLUDED FRONT PASSES BUT THEN INCREASE AGAIN
TONIGHT AS THE LOW MAKES NORTHWARD PROGRESS CAUSING THE EAST/WEST
PRESSURE GRADIENT TO INCREASE. AS THE LOW REACHES THE SAME LATITUDE
AS ANCHORAGE THE NORTH-SOUTH PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SWITCH CAUSING
SOUTHERLY WINDS TO MOVE INTO TOWN. AS LOW LEVEL WINDS VEER TOWARD
THE SOUTH THE AFFECTS OF DOWNSLOPING WILL DIMINISH. MEANWHILE A
WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AND BRING
A QUICK SHOT OF SNOW TO AREAS OF SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
CURRENTLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF DOWNSLOPE FLOW.

THE NEXT SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC WILL TAKE
NEARLY A TRACK NEARLY IDENTICAL TO THE CURRENT SYSTEM...WITH VERY
SIMILAR IMPACTS. THUS...DOWNSLOPE WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND
WILL STRENGTHEN ONCE AGAIN AS WE HEAD THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE WEAKER AND FURTHER ALONG IN ITS LIFE
CYCLE. THEREFORE...NOT AS MUCH WARM AIR WILL ACCOMPANY IT NORTHWARD
AND PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN SNOW WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KODIAK
ISLAND AND THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST. WILL HAVE TO CONSIDER A
BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THE PORTAGE VALLEY/EAST TURNAGAIN ARM AREA
WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL RIGHT NEAR FREEZING. A SECOND DIFFERENCE
WITH THIS SECOND SYSTEM IS THE EAST-WEST PRESSURE GRADIENT ON THE
EAST SIDE OF THE SYSTEM WILL BE TIGHTER (THANKS TO A STRENGTHENING
SURFACE HIGH OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA/WESTERN CANADA). THUS...EXPECT
TURNAGAIN ARM WINDS TO BE A LITTLE STRONGER (BUT BELOW WARNING
LEVEL). FINALLY...THE STRONGER SOUTHERLY FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS
WILL PUSH THE FRONT FURTHER ONSHORE BEFORE IT WEAKENS. THIS MAY
BRING MORE WIND INTO THOMPSON PASS AND PRODUCE A BLIZZARD. THIS
SYSTEM WILL EXIT TO THE NORTH MONDAY WITH SIMILAR WEATHER AS ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THE CURRENT SYSTEM.

A STRONG SHORT-WAVE WILL DROP INTO THE BACK OF THE LONG-WAVE
TROUGH SUNDAY AND LEAD TO DEVELOPMENT FURTHER WEST THAN THE FIRST
TWO SYSTEMS. AMPLIFICATION OUT AHEAD OF THIS LOW WILL CAUSE IT TO
BEND NORTHWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MONDAY AND INTO THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL BERING TUESDAY. MODELS INDICATE THIS LOW WILL BOMB
AS IT NEARS THE ALEUTIANS...WITH POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS...BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO HAVE A WHOLE LOT OF CONFIDENCE
IN THAT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...A DEEP UPPER LOW AND TROUGH WILL PERSIST
OVER THE BERING SEA FOR THE DAY 4 THROUGH 7 TIME PERIOD FOCUSING
MOST OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER OUT WEST. THE MAINLAND WILL BE ON THE
PERIPHERY OF THIS ACTIVITY...GENERALLY REMAINING ON THE QUIET
SIDE...THOUGH WITH THE CHANCE OF A WEAKENING FRONT MOVING IN
FROM THE WEST.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...150 155.
         GALE WARNING...120 125 130 132 138.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB FEB 12