Alert archive / Alaska / Brisk Wind Advisories in 2012

Brisk Wind Advisory 33, NWS Anchorage, AK

February 11, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this brisk wind advisory at Feb 11, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 11, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Feb 13, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

791 
FZAK52 PAFC 120032
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-121500-
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 965 MB LOW 50 NM EAST OF PORT HEIDEN WILL WEAKEN TO 977 MB AS 
IT TRACKS TO 55 NM WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND SUN MORNING AND THEN 
DISSIPATE OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA. A PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK 
TO 25 NM NORTH OF PORT HEIDEN SUN EVENING AT 975 MB THEN DISSIPATE
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA ON MON. ANOTHER PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 
175 NM SOUTH OF ATKA MON AFTERNOON AT 948 MB.

$$

PKZ150-121500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-121500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-121500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. 

$$

PKZ165-121500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-121500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-121500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BERING SIDE...21 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...BERING SIDE...W WIND 20 KT. PACIFIC SIDE...N WIND 25 KT
BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BERING SIDE...17 FT
PACIFIC SIDE. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BERING SIDE...17 FT PACIFIC
SIDE.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-121500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-121500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT BERING SIDE...22 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BERING SIDE...17 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BERING SIDE...W 35 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 8
FT BERING SIDE...19 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.MON...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-121500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-121500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-121500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE
25 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ179-121500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$
3 follow-up statements
382 
FZAK52 PAFC 121219
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-130300-
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 972 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES 
ONSHORE NEAR KING SALMON SUN NIGHT. A 980 MB LOW 50 NM EAST OF
AMCHITKA WILL MOVE TO NEAR ATKA SUN EVENING AND DISSIPATE. A NORTH
PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 200 NM SOUTH OF SEGUAM ISLAND MON NIGHT 
AT 947 MB. 

$$

PKZ150-130300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-130300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-130300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ165-130300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-130300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-130300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...BERING SIDE...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PACIFIC SIDE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BERING SIDE...17 
FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT BERING SIDE...15 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BERING SIDE...16 FT PACIFIC SIDE. SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-130300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-130300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BERING SIDE...SW 35 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 8
FT BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.MON...BERING SIDE...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. PACIFIC SIDE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...19 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-130300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...BERING SIDE...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PACIFIC SIDE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-130300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-130300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 25 KT.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 25 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.MON...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ179-130300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$
793 
FZAK52 PAFC 130025
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-131500-
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 974 MB LOW 50 NM EAST OF SAND POINT WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES
INLAND ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA SUN NIGHT. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW 
WILL TRACK TO 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR TUE AFTERNOON 
AT 952 MB.

$$

PKZ150-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-131500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. 
..WED...SE WIND 30 KT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. 

$$

PKZ165-131500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-131500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 40 KT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 20 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT BERING SIDE...15 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT BERING SIDE...14 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-131500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT BERING SIDE...12 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.MON...BERING SIDE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PACIFIC SIDE...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.TUE...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-131500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 25 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ179-131500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 

$$
857 
FZAK52 PAFC 131157
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-140300-
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL BERING 
AND DRIFT TO THE WEST BY TUE NIGHT. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK 
NEAR DUTCH HARBOR TUE NIGHT AT 957 MB. 

$$

PKZ150-140300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-140300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-140300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ165-140300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-140300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-140300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT BERING SIDE...15 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 45 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT...SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC
SIDE...E WIND 45 KT...SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-140300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-140300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...BERING SIDE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON.
PACIFIC SIDE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT BERING SIDE...15 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 50 KT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING
TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-140300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-140300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-140300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 25 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ179-140300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST MON FEB 13 2012

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this brisk wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this brisk wind advisory went out at Feb 11, 12:00 PM AKST, 4 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 12:00 PM AKST, 4 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1200 PM AKST SAT FEB 11 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A BROAD AND DEEP UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM EASTERN ASIA TO THE GULF OF ALASKA. MAINLAND ALASKA IS IN THE
TRANSITION ZONE BETWEEN THIS TROUGH AND A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
CENTERED OVER WESTERN CANADA. STORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE UPPER
JET AT THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AND CURVING NORTHWARD TOWARD WESTERN
ALASKA. THE PRIMARY WEATHER MAKER THIS MORNING IS A VERTICALLY
STACKED 960 MB LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WHICH IS
WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD TOWARD BRISTOL BAY. STRONG EASTERLY
FLOW IS PRODUCING DOWNSLOPE DRYING ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THE HIGHEST IMPACT WEATHER IS ALONG THE OCCLUDED
FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. A BARRIER JET HAS FORMED AS
INDICATED BY 50KT WINDS AT BUOY 46061 NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
THE FRONT HAS NEARLY STALLED...SO IT WILL TAKE TIME FOR WINDS TO
DIMINISH. MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL ALSO CONTINUE TODAY
IN THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND REGION. THE NEXT LOW TO AFFECT THE
MAINLAND IS JUST BEGINNING TO DEEPEN SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS.
WITHOUT MUCH MOVEMENT IN THE LONG-WAVE PATTERN EXPECT IT TO TAKE
A VERY SIMILAR TRACK TO THE CURRENT LOW.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE NEXT
THREE DAYS. THERE ARE SOME MINOR POSITION DIFFERENCES WITH LOW
CROSSING THE ALEUTIANS INTO THE BERING MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
THE GFS SHOWS GREAT RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY AND THE ECMWF HAS
TRENDED TOWARD THE GFS...SO IT IS PREFERRED FOR THIS LOW.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE LOW NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL
CONTINUE TO STEADILY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS BRISTOL
BAY TONIGHT. WINDS OUT AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT STRONG PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE
SYSTEM MEANS STRONG SOUTHERLIES WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND KODIAK ISLAND WATERS. WINDS THROUGH TURNAGAIN
ARM WIND AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF ANCHORAGE WILL DIMINISH THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE OCCLUDED FRONT PASSES BUT THEN INCREASE AGAIN
TONIGHT AS THE LOW MAKES NORTHWARD PROGRESS CAUSING THE EAST/WEST
PRESSURE GRADIENT TO INCREASE. AS THE LOW REACHES THE SAME LATITUDE
AS ANCHORAGE THE NORTH-SOUTH PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SWITCH CAUSING
SOUTHERLY WINDS TO MOVE INTO TOWN. AS LOW LEVEL WINDS VEER TOWARD
THE SOUTH THE AFFECTS OF DOWNSLOPING WILL DIMINISH. MEANWHILE A
WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AND BRING
A QUICK SHOT OF SNOW TO AREAS OF SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
CURRENTLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF DOWNSLOPE FLOW.

THE NEXT SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC WILL TAKE
NEARLY A TRACK NEARLY IDENTICAL TO THE CURRENT SYSTEM...WITH VERY
SIMILAR IMPACTS. THUS...DOWNSLOPE WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND
WILL STRENGTHEN ONCE AGAIN AS WE HEAD THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE WEAKER AND FURTHER ALONG IN ITS LIFE
CYCLE. THEREFORE...NOT AS MUCH WARM AIR WILL ACCOMPANY IT NORTHWARD
AND PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN SNOW WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KODIAK
ISLAND AND THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST. WILL HAVE TO CONSIDER A
BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THE PORTAGE VALLEY/EAST TURNAGAIN ARM AREA
WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL RIGHT NEAR FREEZING. A SECOND DIFFERENCE
WITH THIS SECOND SYSTEM IS THE EAST-WEST PRESSURE GRADIENT ON THE
EAST SIDE OF THE SYSTEM WILL BE TIGHTER (THANKS TO A STRENGTHENING
SURFACE HIGH OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA/WESTERN CANADA). THUS...EXPECT
TURNAGAIN ARM WINDS TO BE A LITTLE STRONGER (BUT BELOW WARNING
LEVEL). FINALLY...THE STRONGER SOUTHERLY FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS
WILL PUSH THE FRONT FURTHER ONSHORE BEFORE IT WEAKENS. THIS MAY
BRING MORE WIND INTO THOMPSON PASS AND PRODUCE A BLIZZARD. THIS
SYSTEM WILL EXIT TO THE NORTH MONDAY WITH SIMILAR WEATHER AS ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THE CURRENT SYSTEM.

A STRONG SHORT-WAVE WILL DROP INTO THE BACK OF THE LONG-WAVE
TROUGH SUNDAY AND LEAD TO DEVELOPMENT FURTHER WEST THAN THE FIRST
TWO SYSTEMS. AMPLIFICATION OUT AHEAD OF THIS LOW WILL CAUSE IT TO
BEND NORTHWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MONDAY AND INTO THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL BERING TUESDAY. MODELS INDICATE THIS LOW WILL BOMB
AS IT NEARS THE ALEUTIANS...WITH POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS...BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO HAVE A WHOLE LOT OF CONFIDENCE
IN THAT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...A DEEP UPPER LOW AND TROUGH WILL PERSIST
OVER THE BERING SEA FOR THE DAY 4 THROUGH 7 TIME PERIOD FOCUSING
MOST OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER OUT WEST. THE MAINLAND WILL BE ON THE
PERIPHERY OF THIS ACTIVITY...GENERALLY REMAINING ON THE QUIET
SIDE...THOUGH WITH THE CHANCE OF A WEAKENING FRONT MOVING IN
FROM THE WEST.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...150 155.
         GALE WARNING...120 125 130 132 138.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB FEB 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 11, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC9 days
Feb 11, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Feb 11, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Feb 11, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Feb 11, 4:09 PM AKSTBlizzard WatchAFC19 hr
Feb 12, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Feb 12, 4:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Feb 12, 10:39 AM AKSTBlizzard WarningAFC31 hr

Nearby

Brisk Wind Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every brisk wind advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.