Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 848, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Dec 8, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 8, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 10, 2012, 4:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
477 FZAK51 PAFC 082359 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 8 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-091500- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 8 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A STRONG FRONT OVER THE GULF WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES INLAND SAT NIGHT. A 955 MB LOW 60 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA SUN AFTERNOON THROUGH SUN NIGHT. A PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 85 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT MON AFTERNOON AT 990 MB. $$ PKZ120-091500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 8 2012 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ121-091500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 8 2012 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-091500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 8 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT THIS EVENING THEN SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-091500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 8 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT EARLY THIS EVENING THEN DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT THIS EVENING THEN SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-091500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 8 2012 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 40 KT THIS EVENING. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ132-091500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 8 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 23 FT. .MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ138-091500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 8 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-091500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 8 2012 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY S OF KALGIN ISLAND THIS EVENING. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-091500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 8 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
622 FZAK51 PAFC 091234 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-100300- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 969 MB LOW 120 NM NORTH OF COLD BAY WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. A 1000 MB LOW 280 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO 140 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT MON NIGHT AT 993 MB. $$ PKZ120-100300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ121-100300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED AND THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-100300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED AND THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-100300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ130-100300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 30 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 12 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT EXCEPT 10 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ132-100300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ138-100300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-100300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-100300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT BY AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
543 FZAK51 PAFC 100017 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-101500- 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 985 MB LOW WILL WEAKEN OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA SUN NIGHT AND MON. A PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 80 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT MON AFTERNOON AT 989 MB AND THEN DISSIPATE OFF THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA COAST THROUGH TUE. $$ PKZ120-101500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ121-101500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ125-101500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-101500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU AND FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ130-101500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ132-101500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ138-101500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-101500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY S OF KALGIN ISLAND. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-101500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
468 FZAK51 PAFC 100144 CCA CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 CORRECTED 138 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-101500- 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 985 MB LOW WILL WEAKEN OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA SUN NIGHT AND MON. A PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 80 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT MON AFTERNOON AT 989 MB AND THEN DISSIPATE OFF THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA COAST THROUGH TUE. $$ PKZ120-101500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ121-101500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ125-101500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-101500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU AND FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ130-101500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ132-101500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ138-101500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-101500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY S OF KALGIN ISLAND. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-101500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 9 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
623 FZAK51 PAFC 101254 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-110300- 400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 997 MB LOW WILL WEAKEN OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA TODAY. A 1004 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO 50 NM WEST OF SITKA TUE EVENING THEN MOVE INLAND AND DISSIPATE TUE NIGHT. $$ PKZ120-110300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ121-110300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED AND THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ125-110300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ129-110300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ130-110300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 14 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ132-110300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ138-110300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ140-110300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ141-110300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKST MON DEC 10 2012 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 8, 12:30 PM AKST, 3 hours 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 8, 12:30 PM AKST, 3 hours 30 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1230 PM AKST SAT DEC 8 2012
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A LARGE AND STRONG STORM SYSTEM CENTERED
JUST SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS IS BRINGING AN END TO A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF CLEAR AND COLD CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND OF
ALASKA TODAY. THE LOW BOTTOMED OUT AROUND 949 MB THIS MORNING AND
WILL NOW BEGIN THE PROCESS OF FILLING AND WEAKENING. A STRONG FRONTAL
SYSTEM OUT AHEAD OF THE LOW IS PRODUCING A MODERATE TO HEAVY BAND
OF PRECIPITATION FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA TO THE EASTERN BERING AND
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WIND AND SNOW OUT AHEAD
OF THE FRONT IS PRODUCING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
BRISTOL BAY...THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS...AND THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS.
THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECT TO SPREAD TO WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
AND THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AS THE FRONT MAKES NORTHWARD PROGRESS THIS
AFTERNOON. MUCH WARMER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT HAS CHANGED PRECIPITATION
TO ALL RAIN FROM THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
KODIAK ISLAND.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH GENERAL
EVOLUTION OF CURRENT STORM SYSTEM WITH JUST MINOR DIFFERENCES IN
SMALLER SCALE FEATURES. MODELS ARE STRUGGLING WITH CONSISTENCY IN
TRACK OF PACIFIC LOW INTO THE GULF ON MONDAY. THERE IS A TREND
TOWARD A FASTER AND FURTHER EAST TRACK. THE GFS SOLUTION PROVIDES
A NICE MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION. MEANWHILE...OUT WEST MODELS ARE
STRUGGLING WITH HANDLING OF A COMPLEX SERIES OF LOWS MOVING OUT
OF ASIA AND INTO THE BERING AS WE HEAD INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE
NEW WEEK. PREFER TO MAKE SMALL CHANGES FOR NOW USING AN AVERAGE
POSITION OF THE VARIOUS MODEL SOLUTIONS.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE HEAVIEST PRECIP WILL FALL ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. A WEAK TRIPLE
POINT WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE KENAI PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON TO
PRINCE SOUND TONIGHT. THE TRACK OF THIS TRIPLE POINT IS KEY BECAUSE
THE WARMEST AIR WILL REMAIN TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE TRIPLE
POINT WHILE THE HEAVIEST PRECIP WILL BE TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF
THE TRIPLE POINT. THEREFORE...EXPECT PRECIP TO STAY MOSTLY SNOW
TONIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF AREAS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.
HEAVY PRECIP WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THIS
AFTERNOON AND SPREAD TO EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TONIGHT AND
THEN DIMINISH BY MORNING AS THE FRONT DISSIPATES.
SIMILARLY...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG PORTAGE VALLEY AND EASTERN
TURNAGAIN ARM AND THROUGH THOMPSON PASS WILL COME TO AN END AS THE
FRONT PASSES THROUGH. FOR THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHCENTRAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATION WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT. THERE WILL BE A COUPLE
DISTINCT UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVES MOVING THROUGH WHICH WILL PRODUCE
BRIEF PERIODS OF HIGHER INTENSITY SNOW.
AS WE HEAD THROUGH SUNDAY AND MONDAY THE LOW OUT WEST WILL WEAKEN
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND CONTINUE TO SEND UPPER WAVES THROUGH
SOUTHCENTRAL. NONE OF THESE WAVES LOOKS VERY STRONG...SO EXPECT
ACCUMULATION TO REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE. THINGS WILL DRY OUT
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF THIS SYSTEM EXIT
TO THE EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
SOUTHWEST ALASKA...FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY OVER BRISTOL BAY
WILL MOVE NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND THEN DISSIPATE
OVERNIGHT AS THE TRIPLE POINT MOVES EASTWARD INTO ACROSS THE GULF
OF ALASKA AND THE FRONT STRETCHES APART. WARM AIR BEHIND THE FRONT
WILL MAKE ITS WAY UP INTO INTERIOR BRISTOL BAY. HOWEVER...THE
SURFACE FLOW WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST HELPING
TO MAINTAIN SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES. FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY
BECOME A PROBLEM BEHIND THE FRONT PRIMARILY FROM DILLINGHAM
NORTHWARD TO AROUND KOLIGANEK. THEREFORE...WILL ISSUE EITHER A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY OR FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY AFTER THE
BLIZZARD WARNING EXPIRES THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE LOW MOVES UP
INTO THE BRISTOL BAY AREA ON SUNDAY EXPECT MOST AREAS WILL WARM
TO AROUND OR ABOVE FREEZING ENDING THE FREEZING RAIN THREAT.
MEANWHILE...CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA THIS AFTERNOON AS THE HEAVIEST BAND OF SNOW MOVES IN AND
THEN DIMINISH OVERNIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT.
THE LOW WILL ULTIMATELY TRACK INLAND TO THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY
SUNDAY NIGHT WITH COLDER AIR FILTERING BACK IN BEHIND IT AND
CHANGING PRECIP BACK TO SNOW. THE REGION WILL DRY OUT MONDAY
NIGHT...BUT WITH PROGRESSIVE UPPER FLOW THE NEXT SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA COAST BY LATE TUESDAY.
BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...WINDS AND SNOW WILL DIMINISH FROM THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS TO CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AS THE STORM SYSTEM
WEAKENS. COLDER AIR WILL THEN MAKE ITS WAY EASTWARD ACROSS THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA SUNDAY AS THE LOW
TRACKS TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA. MEANWHILE A SERIES OF LOWS MOVING OUT
OF ASIA WILL AFFECT THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT
AND THEN QUICKLY SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE BERING SEA MONDAY AND
TUESDAY THANKS TO PROGRESSIVE UPPER LEVEL FLOW.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE
THROUGH THE DAY 4 THROUGH 7 PERIOD. THIS MEANS A FAST AND ACTIVE
STORM TRACK ACROSS THE ALASKA REGION. THE MODELS TYPICALLY DON'T
HANDLE INDIVIDUAL STORMS WITHIN THE FAST FLOW VERY WELL...SO IT
LIKELY WILL BECOME DIFFICULT TO NAIL DOWN THE EXPECTED WEATHER
VERY FAR OUT IN TIME.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 125 131 155 161 195.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...120 130 140 150 155 170.
GALE WARNING...127 125 129 132 138 141 160 165
172 176 179 180 185.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
SEB DEC 12The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Dec 8, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Dec 8, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 8, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 8, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 8, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 8, 4:01 PM AKST | Freezing Rain Advisory | AFC | 6 hr | |
| Dec 9, 4:00 AM AKST | Brisk Wind Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 9, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Dec 9, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Dec 9, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Dec 9, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 9, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Dec 9, 4:00 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Dec 9, 6:50 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 45 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.