Gale Warning 505, NWS Anchorage, AK

993 
FZAK51 PAFC 272301
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 27 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281500-
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 27 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1003 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND MOVE TO NEAR SITKA AT 1007 MB 
TUE AFTERNOON THEN WILL MOVE INLAND TUE NIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA WED AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ120-281500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-281500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 27 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-281500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-281500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 27 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
40 KT IN THE MORNING NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-281500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 27 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-281500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 27 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NW 40 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-281500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-281500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-281500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

758 
FZAK51 PAFC 281155
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290300-
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 1005 MB LOW 60 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE INLAND
THIS AFTERNOON. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE GULF WED
MORNING. 

$$

PKZ120-290300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-290300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. GUST TO 35 KT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-290300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES THROUGH
THIS MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-290300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHER GUSTS
NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-290300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 11 FT
EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-290300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-290300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-290300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER GUSTS TO 25
KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES THIS MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 FOOT BUILDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-290300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 28 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
705 PM AKDT SUN AUG 26 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
WE ARE STILL LOCKED INTO A STRONG WESTERLY FLOW BETWEEN A UPPER LOW
OVER CHUKCHI AND BEAUFORT SEA AND A LARGE HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH
PACIFIC. A SERIES RIDGES AND TROUGHS CAUGHT WITHIN THIS FLOW CONTINUE
TO MOVE ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND MAINLAND ALASKA. THE RIDGE THAT
BROUGHT NICE WEATHER INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA SATURDAY HAS MOVED OFF
INTO WESTERN CANADA. A TROUGH OVER WESTERN ALASKA AND BRISTOL BAY HAS
BROUGHT WIDESPREAD RAIN THROUGH MOST OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. A
WEATHER FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR SOUTHWESTWARD INTO
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. A NEW RIDGE HAD JUST MOVED INTO THE BERING.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT OVER THE GULF AND MAINLAND ALASKA
THROUGH TUESDAY BUT ARE HAVING PROBLEM WITH A NEW WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM
ENTERING THE BERING SEA FROM THE SOUTH TUESDAY.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTH CENTRAL...THE RAIN AHEAD OF THE FRONT HAS SPREAD OVER MUCH OF
THE REGION. THE WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN COPPER RIVER
BASIN AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TONIGHT AND INTO WESTERN CANADA BY
MONDAY EVENING. RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SCATTERED SHOWERS BEHIND THE
FRONT TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SUNNY SKIES WILL RETURN TUESDAY AS A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVE INTO THE AREA.

.SOUTHWEST ALASKA...RAIN OVER THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND BRISTOL BAY
WILL CHANGE TO SHOWERS AS THE WEATHER FRONT MOVES OUT OF THE AREA
TONIGHT. CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT
BRINGING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TO THE REGION MONDAY AND TUESDAY. AREAS
OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG MAY PERSIST ALONG THE COASTAL SECTIONS THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING AND MAY REDEVELOP AGAIN TUESDAY MORNING.

.ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA...THE FRONT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BERING SEA
HAS BROUGHT RAIN AND WIND THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THESE
AREAS WILL CONTINUE TO SEE THE STRONGER WINDS AND RAIN UNTIL THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. THE AREA OF MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER
THE WESTERN BERING WILL SPREAD TO THE REST OF THE BERING BY MONDAY
MORNING THOUGH THERE WILL BE AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG. ANOTHER
STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL SPREAD MORE
RAIN OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS LATE MONDAY AND INTO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE EASTERN BERING TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE WESTERLY FLOW OVER THE MAINLAND AND BERING SEA WILL WEAKEN OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS SLOWING THE PROGRESSION OF THE RIDGES AND TROUGHS.
THE RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL MAINLAND TUESDAY NIGHT WILL MOVE IN CANADA
THURSDAY. THE WEATHER SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE
EAST SPREADING RAIN INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA WEDNESDAY AND SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA THURSDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 130 138 140
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM AUG 12