Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
255 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE EVENING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
SEVERAL BOUNDARIES EVIDENT ON AREA RADARS FROM THIS
CONVECTION...WITH THE MOST PRONOUNCED ONE ALSO VERY OBVIOUS ON
VISIBLE SATELLITE STRETCHING FROM JUST NORTHWEST OF BARTLESVILLE
TO GROVE. THESE BOUNDARIES MAKE OVERNIGHT LOWS SOMEWHAT
PROBLEMATIC. LOWS SHOULD BE SLIGHTLY LOWER TO THE NORTH OF THIS
MAIN BOUNDARY...ALTHOUGH STILL IN THE MID 70S...WITH UPPER 70S AND
LOWER 80S TO THE SOUTH OF IT. HIGHS TOMORROW WILL BE COOLER THAN
TODAYS...BUT STILL WELL INTO THE TRIPLE DIGITS IN MOST AREAS.
SCATTERED STORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE TOMORROW.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL REASSERT ITSELF OVER THE REGION BY THE MIDDLE
OF THE WEEK...WHICH WILL LEAD TO HIGHS CONSISTENTLY NEAR 105 FOR A
GOOD PORTION OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THE
WARMEST DAY THIS COMING WEEK WILL LIKELY BE THURSDAY...WHEN
TEMPERATURES IN THE 105 TO 110 RANGE WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE. GOING
HEAT HEADLINES LOOK GOOD SO NO CHANGES THERE. HIGH TERRAIN
CONVECTION WILL BECOME MORE LIKELY TOWARD THE WEEKEND...AFTER A
DRY PERIOD THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK.

THERE ARE SOME SIGNS THAT SLIGHT COOLING MAY OCCUR NEXT
WEEKEND...BUT STILL NO SIGNS OF A SIGNIFICANT COOLDOWN OR LARGE
SCALE PATTERN CHANGE ON THE HORIZON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   80 104  80 105 /  20  20  10  10
FSM   78 104  78 104 /  20  20  10  10
MLC   80 103  79 103 /  10  20  10  10
BVO   73 102  74 105 /  30  20  10  10
FYV   73  98  73  98 /  30  20  10  10
BYV   72  96  73  97 /  30  20  10  10
MKO   76 104  76 104 /  20  20  10  10
MIO   74 100  75 101 /  40  20  10  10
F10   77 104  76 105 /  10  20  10  10
HHW   80 102  77 103 /  10  20  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 10 PM SATURDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-
     OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-
     OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ070-
     OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY FOR OKZ069.

AR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 10 PM SATURDAY FOR ARZ019-ARZ020-
     ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....22

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
452 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
451 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...DANGEROUS HEAT WAVE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THIS WEEK...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA OVER SOME PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE
MAIN HAZARDS FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE MICROBURSTS AND
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD LINGER INTO
THE EVENING ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...HOWEVER THE SEVERE WIND
POTENTIAL WILL BE DECREASE CONSIDERABLY AFTER SUNSET.

HEAT INDICES ARE IN THE 105 TO 113 DEGREE RANGE OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THAT HAVE NOT BEEN
AFFECTED BY THE AFTERNOON STORMS.

ONGOING MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND CURED VEGETATION
WILL YIELD A LIMITED FIRE DANGER RISK.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN MONDAY
AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND POSSIBLY AN
ISOLATED SEVERE MICROBURST ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REFORTIFY OVER OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS LATER THIS WEEK. AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF DANGEROUS HEAT IS
EXPECTED...WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES IN THE 105 TO 110 RANGE FOR
THIS UPCOMING WEEK.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE BY THE WEEKEND OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
425 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 SSE INOLA             36.11N 95.49W
07/24/2011  M59 MPH          ROGERS             OK   MESONET

&&

LACY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
428 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

OKZ075-076-242200-
LATIMER OK-LE FLORE OK-
428 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN LE FLORE AND EASTERN LATIMER

AT 428 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES EAST OF
BENGAL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BENGAL...SUMMERFIELD AND TALIMENA
STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3486 9475 3468 9490 3483 9513 3498 9501
TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 304DEG 5KT 3485 9498

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
447 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

OKZ075-076-242215-
LATIMER OK-LE FLORE OK-
447 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 515 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN LE FLORE AND EASTERN LATIMER

AT 448 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHEAST
OF PANOLA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BENGAL...PANOLA...RED OAK AND
TALIHINA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3496 9531 3506 9518 3506 9511 3487 9488
      3472 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 318DEG 12KT 3495 9515

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
454 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

OKZ049-242230-
PUSHMATAHA OK-
454 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     EASTERN PUSHMATAHA

AT 455 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES EAST OF
NASHOBA...MOVING SOUTH AT 5 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...NASHOBA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3454 9523 3455 9502 3450 9501 3450 9504
      3433 9504 3432 9525
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 358DEG 2KT 3446 9512

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
504 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NE BENTONVILLE        36.41N 94.16W
07/24/2011                   BENTON             AR   BROADCAST MEDIA

            DOWNED TREES AND BROKEN WINDOWS ALONG SPANKER CREEK ROAD
            ON NORTHEAST SIDE OF BENTONVILLE. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON
            RADAR.

&&

LACY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
513 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

OKZ066-071-242245-
MCINTOSH OK-OKMULGEE OK-
513 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHWESTERN MCINTOSH

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN OKMULGEE

AT 513 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHEAST
OF VERNON...STATIONARY. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS
STORM INCLUDE...HANNA...VERNON...RAIFORD AND VIVIAN.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3534 9598 3548 9586 3528 9563 3519 9579
      3519 9582 3519 9587 3515 9590 3523 9599
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 227DEG 1KT 3527 9589