Severe Thunderstorm Warning 456, NWS Tulsa, OK

735 
WWUS54 KTSA 242046
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
346 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

OKC097-242100-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0456.000000T0000Z-110724T2100Z/
MAYES OK-
346 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT FOR
WESTERN MAYES COUNTY...

AT 342 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PRYOR...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...

SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...PRYOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SAFE SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A
STRONG BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3638 9541 3641 9523 3622 9531 3627 9544
TIME...MOT...LOC 2046Z 299DEG 8KT 3632 9537

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
255 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE EVENING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
SEVERAL BOUNDARIES EVIDENT ON AREA RADARS FROM THIS
CONVECTION...WITH THE MOST PRONOUNCED ONE ALSO VERY OBVIOUS ON
VISIBLE SATELLITE STRETCHING FROM JUST NORTHWEST OF BARTLESVILLE
TO GROVE. THESE BOUNDARIES MAKE OVERNIGHT LOWS SOMEWHAT
PROBLEMATIC. LOWS SHOULD BE SLIGHTLY LOWER TO THE NORTH OF THIS
MAIN BOUNDARY...ALTHOUGH STILL IN THE MID 70S...WITH UPPER 70S AND
LOWER 80S TO THE SOUTH OF IT. HIGHS TOMORROW WILL BE COOLER THAN
TODAYS...BUT STILL WELL INTO THE TRIPLE DIGITS IN MOST AREAS.
SCATTERED STORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE TOMORROW.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL REASSERT ITSELF OVER THE REGION BY THE MIDDLE
OF THE WEEK...WHICH WILL LEAD TO HIGHS CONSISTENTLY NEAR 105 FOR A
GOOD PORTION OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THE
WARMEST DAY THIS COMING WEEK WILL LIKELY BE THURSDAY...WHEN
TEMPERATURES IN THE 105 TO 110 RANGE WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE. GOING
HEAT HEADLINES LOOK GOOD SO NO CHANGES THERE. HIGH TERRAIN
CONVECTION WILL BECOME MORE LIKELY TOWARD THE WEEKEND...AFTER A
DRY PERIOD THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK.

THERE ARE SOME SIGNS THAT SLIGHT COOLING MAY OCCUR NEXT
WEEKEND...BUT STILL NO SIGNS OF A SIGNIFICANT COOLDOWN OR LARGE
SCALE PATTERN CHANGE ON THE HORIZON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   80 104  80 105 /  20  20  10  10
FSM   78 104  78 104 /  20  20  10  10
MLC   80 103  79 103 /  10  20  10  10
BVO   73 102  74 105 /  30  20  10  10
FYV   73  98  73  98 /  30  20  10  10
BYV   72  96  73  97 /  30  20  10  10
MKO   76 104  76 104 /  20  20  10  10
MIO   74 100  75 101 /  40  20  10  10
F10   77 104  76 105 /  10  20  10  10
HHW   80 102  77 103 /  10  20  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 10 PM SATURDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-
     OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-
     OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ070-
     OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY FOR OKZ069.

AR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 10 PM SATURDAY FOR ARZ019-ARZ020-
     ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....22

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...DANGEROUS HEAT WAVE TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
NORTH OF THE REGION TODAY. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM CONVECTION
ACROSS KANSAS HAS SLIPPED INTO FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...HOWEVER
LITTLE RELIEF CAN BE EXPECTED DESPITE A TEMPORARY WIND SHIFT.

TO THE SOUTH OF THE MAIN BOUNDARY...TEMPERATURES MAY APPROACH THE
HOTTEST TEMPERATURES SEEN SO FAR THIS YEAR FOR MANY LOCATIONS.
HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE 105 TO AROUND 113 DEGREE RANGE WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS AND HEAT
ADVISORIES FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST REMAIN IN EFFECT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY AND THIS EVENING...WITH THE GREATER CHANCES OVER FAR
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...AND POSSIBLY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS.

HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE LIMITED FIRE WEATHER DANGERS
ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION. IN ADDITION TO CURING FUELS...MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 20 TO 30
PERCENT RANGE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO MONDAY AS THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION. AFTER
MONDAY...THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REBUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...THUS ALLOWING FOR EXTENDED PERIODS OF EXCESSIVE HEAT AND
DRY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE. THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FOR MOST OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
SATURDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS OF FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. $$

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
306 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

OKZ060-061-067-242030-
ROGERS OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
306 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 330 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHWESTERN ROGERS...EASTERN TULSA AND NORTHWESTERN WAGONER

AT 306 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER TULSA...MOVING
EAST AT 5 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM
INCLUDE...TULSA...CATOOSA AND BROKEN ARROW.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3625 9566 3604 9566 3605 9579 3615 9583
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 254DEG 5KT 3611 9577

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
307 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

OKZ060-066-067-070-242045-
MUSKOGEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
307 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN MUSKOGEE

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN OKMULGEE...SOUTHEASTERN TULSA AND WESTERN WAGONER

AT 308 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES WEST OF
STONEBLUFF...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...LEONARD...STONEBLUFF AND HASKELL.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3581 9584 3593 9585 3596 9567 3581 9565
TIME...MOT...LOC 2008Z 272DEG 11KT 3587 9578

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
308 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

OKZ062-063-242045-
DELAWARE OK-MAYES OK-
308 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN DELAWARE AND EASTERN MAYES

AT 309 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF SPAVINAW...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...CHLOETA...SPAVINAW AND SPAVINAW
STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3643 9480 3622 9480 3625 9510 3643 9509
TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 272DEG 11KT 3634 9498

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
309 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

OKZ061-062-242045-
MAYES OK-ROGERS OK-
309 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN MAYES AND NORTHEASTERN ROGERS

AT 309 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 2 MILES NORTH OF
BUSHYHEAD...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...FOYIL...BUSHYHEAD AND CHELSEA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3658 9532 3638 9533 3640 9558 3658 9557
      3659 9533
TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 272DEG 11KT 3649 9546

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
321 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

OKZ061-062-242045-
MAYES OK-ROGERS OK-
321 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN MAYES AND EASTERN ROGERS

AT 322 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF FOYIL...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...FOYIL AND BUSHYHEAD.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3642 9526 3623 9536 3631 9557 3648 9550
TIME...MOT...LOC 2022Z 288DEG 7KT 3636 9543

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
326 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

OKZ076-242100-
LE FLORE OK-
326 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 400 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN LE FLORE

AT 326 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF HONOBIA...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...OCTAVIA...BIG CEDAR...MUSE...
WHITESBORO AND HONOBIA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

OTHER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN LEFLORE
COUNTY TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF WHITEBORO. ANY OF THESE STORMS
COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH.

LAT...LON 3485 9493 3482 9445 3450 9465 3450 9493
TIME...MOT...LOC 2026Z 281DEG 5KT 3451 9488