Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2011

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

June 11, 2011Okfuskee County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Jun 11, 2011, 5:03 PM CDT for Okfuskee County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 11, 2011, 5:03 PM CDT (22:03 UTC)
Expired: Jun 11, 2011, 5:30 PM CDT
In force: 27 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK

County Okfuskee County, OK

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 86 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 378 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -327 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1551 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 105 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 127 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 11, 3:30 PM CDT, 1 hour 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 11, 3:30 PM CDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
330 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011

.DISCUSSION...

THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE CONVECTIVE CHANCES OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

A STALLED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY LIES FROM NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF
THE I-40 CORRIDOR IN OKLAHOMA...ARCING BACK TO THE NORTHWEST INTO
THE CENTRAL HI PLAINS...AND TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS AR INTO SE
MISSOURI.  SCATTERED SFC BASED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER
THE PAST HOUR ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...AND A FEW WIDELY
SCATTERED MAINLY ELEVATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXIST NORTH
OF THE BOUNDARY. THE CAP IS WEAKER TODAY COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY...AND MID LEVEL WINDS ARE WEAKER AS WELL. THUS...EXPECT
SCATTERED MOSTLY DISORGANIZED PULSE TYPE CONVECTION THROUGH SUNSET
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. A STRONG JET ALOFT WILL HELP VENTILATE
THE STORMS...SO A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

FOCUS THEN TURNS TO THE WEST FOR TONIGHT. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
FORM IN THE UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME ON THE HI PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENTUALLY GROW UPSCALE INTO AN MCS /STORM COMPLEX/ TONIGHT AND
MOVE GENERALLY EAST. THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM IS STILL A BIT
UNCERTAIN...AND REALLY DEPENDS ON HOW FAR NORTH THE BOUNDARY
RETREATS. THE COMPLEX WILL LIKELY TRAVEL ALONG OR TO THE NORTH OF
THE FRONT TONIGHT...AND AFTER PERUSING ALL OF THE AVAILABLE MODEL
DATA THIS IS MOST LIKELY TO BE NEAR THE KS/OK BORDER. BY SUNDAY
MORNING...STORMS MAY DEVELOP TO THE SOUTHEAST INTO NW AR AS THEY
ROUND THE EDGE OF THE CAPPING EML. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY HAZARD.

UPPER HEIGHTS WILL RISE DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY AND THE EML WILL
SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS THE FRONT RETREATS
BACK TO THE NORTH. THUS...PRECIP CHANCES WILL TAPER OFF FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WITH TIME. BY MONDAY...MODELS SHOW
SOUTHWEST SFC WINDS AND HOT TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER
90S AND POSSIBLY NEAR 100 DEGREES TO THE WEST OF TULSA.

THE RIDGING ALOFT WILL BE FAIRLY SHORT-LIVED...AS MODELS FORECAST
A STRONG UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS BY
WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH A FRONT INTO OUR REGION LATE
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...AND AT LEAST SOME CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH IT.

THE GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO DISAGREE WITH THE DETAILS IN THE
LATER PERIODS. THE GFS SHOWS MORE RIDGING ALOFT OVER THE FORECAST
AREA WITH THE RETREATING FRONT LIFTING NORTH INTO KS/MO BY FRIDAY.
THE ECMWF KEEPS THE FRONT FARTHER SOUTH AND IS MORE ZONAL WITH THE
PATTERN ALOFT. THE CANADIAN ENSEMBLES TEND TO FAVOR THE GFS
SOLUTION...HOWEVER GIVEN THE PERSISTENCE OF THE ECMWF...SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE NORTH ARE WARRANTED FOR FRIDAY.

LACY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   71  94  74  97 /  40  10   0  10
FSM   71  95  73  97 /  20  10   0   0
MLC   70  96  72  97 /  20   0   0   0
BVO   67  91  71  98 /  50  30   0  10
FYV   66  89  68  92 /  20  30   0   0
BYV   65  85  68  92 /  20  40   0   0
MKO   70  93  71  95 /  20  10   0   0
MIO   66  89  71  95 /  40  50   0  10
F10   70  94  72  97 /  20  10   0   0
HHW   71  96  72  96 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

LONG TERM....30

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 11, 4:31 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
431 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-121000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
431 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011

...DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE WITH STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

        AREA AT GREATEST RISK...INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A STATIONARY
FRONT ALIGNED ALONG INTERSTATE 40. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED...BUT THE HOT AND DRY ATMOSPHERE WILL SUPPORT DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS...ESPECIALLY WITH STORMS THAT RAPIDLY COLLAPSE. SMALL
HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
AND THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING.

LATE TONIGHT...A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX THAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
THIS EVENING OVER THE HIGH PLAINS OF EASTERN COLORADO WILL
APPROACH PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA NEAR DAYBREAK. AREAS NEAR
THE KANSAS BORDER WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED BY THIS
COMPLEX...ALTHOUGH IT COULD REACH AREAS AS FAR SOUTH AS THE
HIGHWAY 412 CORRIDOR.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE AFOREMENTIONED COMPLEX MAY BE ONGOING
TOMORROW MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. SMALL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE BACK IN
THE FORECAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY...AS A WEAK FRONT
MOVES INTO THE AREA. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL AGAIN BUILD INTO THE
AREA LATE IN THE WEEK...WHICH WILL KEEP ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND HUMID CONDITIONS IN THE FORECAST.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 11, 3:46 PM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
346 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011

ARZ019-020-029-OKZ072-074-076-112130-
CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LE FLORE OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH
OK-
346 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     CRAWFORD

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
     WESTERN FRANKLIN AND SEBASTIAN

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     EASTERN HASKELL AND LE FLORE

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     SEQUOYAH

AT 345 PM CDT...SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ACROSS
PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND INTO WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS. THESE STORMS WERE MOVING VERY SLOWLY...BUT IN A GENERAL
EAST TO NORTHEAST DIRECTION AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH
AND PENNY HAIL. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3531 9391 3523 9392 3522 9402 3513 9403
      3514 9413 3510 9414 3507 9423 3496 9423
      3492 9444 3473 9445 3473 9494 3564 9495
      3564 9448 3567 9448 3572 9389 3531 9383
TIME...MOT...LOC 2045Z 266DEG 9KT 3530 9444

Special weather statement, Jun 11, 4:10 PM CDT, 53 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
410 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011

OKZ074>076-112145-
HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-LE FLORE OK-
410 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN HASKELL...NORTHERN LE FLORE AND NORTHEASTERN
     LATIMER

AT 410 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF
MCCURTAIN...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MCCURTAIN...MILTON AND BOKOSHE.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

LAT...LON 3524 9478 3503 9470 3500 9503 3512 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 252DEG 9KT 3508 9496

Local storm report, Jun 11, 4:19 PM CDT, 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
419 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0406 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HOWE                    34.95N 94.64W
06/11/2011                   LE FLORE           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINES DOWN

&&

KAH

Special weather statement, Jun 11, 4:57 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
457 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011

ARZ019-OKZ072-112245-
CRAWFORD AR-SEQUOYAH OK-
457 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     SOUTHERN CRAWFORD

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN SEQUOYAH

AT 457 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF RUDY TO 4 MILES WEST OF SHORT...
MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE
STORMS INCLUDE...ROLAND...SHORT...MOFFETT...UNIONTOWN...CONCORD...VAN
BUREN...ALMA...CEDARVILLE...KIBLER...SHIBLEY...FURRY...DYER...FIGURE
FIVE...RUDY AND DORA.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3545 9415 3543 9416 3539 9414 3539 9419
      3536 9420 3535 9423 3537 9434 3542 9435
      3545 9440 3539 9444 3541 9462 3563 9465
      3563 9427 3554 9410 3545 9406
TIME...MOT...LOC 2157Z 292DEG 14KT 3555 9429 3555 9456

Special weather statement, Jun 11, 4:59 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
459 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011

OKZ073-075-112245-
LATIMER OK-PITTSBURG OK-
459 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     EASTERN PITTSBURG AND NORTHWESTERN LATIMER

AT 459 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTH OF
BLOCKER...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...KREBS...BLOCKER AND FEATHERSTON.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

LAT...LON 3513 9537 3490 9540 3491 9574 3511 9572
TIME...MOT...LOC 2159Z 277DEG 10KT 3501 9557

Special weather statement, Jun 11, 5:03 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
503 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011

OKZ065-112230-
OKFUSKEE OK-
503 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHWESTERN OKFUSKEE

AT 502 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES WEST OF
BEARDEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THE OUTFLOW FROM THIS STORM
MAY PRODUCE WINDS UP TO 50 MPH IN SOUTHWESTERN OKFUSKEE COUNTY.  IF
THIS STORM MAINTAINS ITS INTENSITY AND MOVES MORE NORTHEASTWARD THEN
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WOULD BE REQUIRED.  SOME LOCATIONS
THAT MAY BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BEARDEN...CASTLE...
PADEN AND BOLEY.

LAT...LON 3551 9633 3528 9629 3528 9640 3530 9645
      3545 9645 3545 9647 3543 9649 3545 9655
      3544 9656 3541 9653 3539 9654 3540 9658
      3539 9662 3551 9663
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 239DEG 8KT 3530 9656

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 10, 7:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage	37 min
Jun 10, 7:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage	55 min
Jun 10, 8:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	53 min
Jun 10, 9:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	37 min
Jun 11, 2:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	40 min
Jun 11, 2:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell	28 min
Jun 11, 2:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell	47 min
Jun 11, 2:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	LeFlore	46 min
Jun 11, 3:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	LeFlore, Sequoyah	44 min
Jun 11, 4:10 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell	35 min
Jun 11, 4:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore	58 min
Jun 11, 4:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pittsburg	46 min
Jun 11, 5:24 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	LeFlore	3 hr
Jun 11, 5:26 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Haskell	2 hr
Jun 11, 2:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sebastian	34 min
Jun 11, 3:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sebastian	33 min
Jun 11, 4:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Crawford	48 min
Jun 11, 6:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Madison	25 min
Jun 11, 6:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Madison, Washington	47 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2011 Every special weather statement in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.