Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 898

December 22, 201138 parishes in Louisiana; 44 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 22, 2011, 4:36 AM CST for 38 parishes in Louisiana; 44 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 22, 2011, 4:36 AM CST (10:36 UTC)
Expired
Dec 22, 2011, 12:05 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 82 counties

Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Ascension Parish, LA, Assumption Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Webster County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 22, 6:04 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Humphreys, Leflore, Montgomery3 hr
Dec 22, 7:35 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHIberia, Saint Martin, St. Mary55 min
Dec 22, 7:38 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston and 5 more52 min
Dec 22, 8:28 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Feliciana, Saint Helena36 min
Dec 22, 8:49 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Simpson26 min
Dec 22, 8:57 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXAscension, Assumption, Iberville, Lafourche, Livingston, Saint James and 2 more63 min
Dec 22, 8:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXAmite, Pike, Walthall62 min
Dec 22, 8:59 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLawrence, Lincoln46 min
Dec 22, 9:07 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXAscension, Livingston, Saint Helena, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa and 1 more53 min
Dec 22, 9:15 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJasper, Rankin, Simpson, Smith45 min
Dec 22, 9:40 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion50 min
Dec 22, 9:52 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXJefferson, Lafourche, Livingston, Orleans, Saint Charles, Saint James and 3 more53 min
Dec 22, 10:08 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Tangipahoa22 min
Dec 22, 10:10 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXLafourche, Saint Charles, Terrebonne15 min
Dec 22, 10:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis49 min
Dec 22, 10:22 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLamar, Marion53 min
Dec 22, 10:48 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale, Newton31 min
Dec 22, 10:52 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Jasper38 min
Dec 22, 11:04 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Washington40 min
Dec 22, 11:09 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Lamar39 min
Dec 22, 11:19 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River56 min
Dec 22, 11:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Lauderdale31 min
Dec 22, 11:32 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJones16 min
Dec 22, 11:50 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2011-12-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2011-12-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 30 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1726 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
74 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

546 
WWUS20 KWNS 221041
SEL8
SPC WW 221041
LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-221900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 898
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
435 AM CST THU DEC 22 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       CENTRAL AND EASTERN LOUISIANA
       SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 435 AM UNTIL
100 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 90 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
JACKSON MISSISSIPPI TO 20 MILES SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...SSW-NNE SQLN NOW EVOLVING OVER THE SABINE RVR VLY
EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN EXTENT AND POSSIBLY INTENSITY AS THE LINE
CONTINUES EWD INTO REGION OF RAPID LOW LVL MOISTENING/WARMING AHEAD
OF TX SHORTWAVE TROUGH.  WELL-DEFINED JET EXIT REGION FORMING IN
RESPONSE TO AMPLIFICATION OF THE DOWNSTREAM UPR RDG WILL ENHANCE
LARGE SCALE ASCENT OVER LA/MS.  THIS MAY FOSTER DEVELOPMENT OF
ADDITIONAL STORMS AHEAD OF THE SQLN IN CONFLUENT LOW LVL SSWLY FLOW.
STRENGTHENING WIND FIELD WILL SUPPORT EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/LEWPS
WITHIN SQLN LINE...WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR DMGG WIND/ISOLD
TORNADOES.  ISOLD TORNADOES ALSO WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS
THAT FORM AHEAD OF SQLN.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 22, 4:11 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Calcasieu and 32 more34 min
Dec 22, 7:50 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberia, Iberville and 19 more55 min
Dec 22, 9:32 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSaint Bernard58 min
Dec 22, 10:00 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCPlaquemines, Saint Bernard7 hr
Dec 22, 2:51 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSaint Tammany54 min
Dec 22, 11:22 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGeorge, Greene53 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2011Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.