Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 898
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 22, 2011, 4:36 AM CST for 38 parishes in Louisiana; 44 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 22, 2011, 4:36 AM CST (10:36 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 22, 2011, 12:05 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 82 counties
Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Ascension Parish, LA, Assumption Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Webster County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 6:04 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Carroll, Grenada, Humphreys, Leflore, Montgomery | 3 hr |
| Dec 22, 7:35 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Iberia, Saint Martin, St. Mary | 55 min |
| Dec 22, 7:38 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston and 5 more | 52 min |
| Dec 22, 8:28 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | East Feliciana, Saint Helena | 36 min |
| Dec 22, 8:49 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Copiah, Simpson | 26 min |
| Dec 22, 8:57 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Ascension, Assumption, Iberville, Lafourche, Livingston, Saint James and 2 more | 63 min |
| Dec 22, 8:58 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Amite, Pike, Walthall | 62 min |
| Dec 22, 8:59 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Lawrence, Lincoln | 46 min |
| Dec 22, 9:07 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Ascension, Livingston, Saint Helena, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa and 1 more | 53 min |
| Dec 22, 9:15 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jasper, Rankin, Simpson, Smith | 45 min |
| Dec 22, 9:40 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion | 50 min |
| Dec 22, 9:52 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Jefferson, Lafourche, Livingston, Orleans, Saint Charles, Saint James and 3 more | 53 min |
| Dec 22, 10:08 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa | 22 min |
| Dec 22, 10:10 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Lafourche, Saint Charles, Terrebonne | 15 min |
| Dec 22, 10:11 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis | 49 min |
| Dec 22, 10:22 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Lamar, Marion | 53 min |
| Dec 22, 10:48 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Kemper, Lauderdale, Newton | 31 min |
| Dec 22, 10:52 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clarke, Jasper | 38 min |
| Dec 22, 11:04 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany, Washington | 40 min |
| Dec 22, 11:09 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Forrest, Lamar | 39 min |
| Dec 22, 11:19 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Hancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River | 56 min |
| Dec 22, 11:25 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clarke, Lauderdale | 31 min |
| Dec 22, 11:32 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jones | 16 min |
| Dec 22, 11:50 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Hancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River | 39 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1726 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 65 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 30 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 74 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
546
WWUS20 KWNS 221041
SEL8
SPC WW 221041
LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-221900-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 898
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
435 AM CST THU DEC 22 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 435 AM UNTIL
100 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 90 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
JACKSON MISSISSIPPI TO 20 MILES SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...SSW-NNE SQLN NOW EVOLVING OVER THE SABINE RVR VLY
EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN EXTENT AND POSSIBLY INTENSITY AS THE LINE
CONTINUES EWD INTO REGION OF RAPID LOW LVL MOISTENING/WARMING AHEAD
OF TX SHORTWAVE TROUGH. WELL-DEFINED JET EXIT REGION FORMING IN
RESPONSE TO AMPLIFICATION OF THE DOWNSTREAM UPR RDG WILL ENHANCE
LARGE SCALE ASCENT OVER LA/MS. THIS MAY FOSTER DEVELOPMENT OF
ADDITIONAL STORMS AHEAD OF THE SQLN IN CONFLUENT LOW LVL SSWLY FLOW.
STRENGTHENING WIND FIELD WILL SUPPORT EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/LEWPS
WITHIN SQLN LINE...WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR DMGG WIND/ISOLD
TORNADOES. ISOLD TORNADOES ALSO WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS
THAT FORM AHEAD OF SQLN.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 4:11 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Calcasieu and 32 more | 34 min |
| Dec 22, 7:50 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberia, Iberville and 19 more | 55 min |
| Dec 22, 9:32 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Saint Bernard | 58 min |
| Dec 22, 10:00 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Plaquemines, Saint Bernard | 7 hr |
| Dec 22, 2:51 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Saint Tammany | 54 min |
| Dec 22, 11:22 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | George, Greene | 53 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2011Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.