Alert archive / Ohio / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 880
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 14, 2011, 3:29 PM EST for 32 counties in Ohio; 5 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 14, 2011, 3:29 PM EST (20:29 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 14, 2011, 9:26 PM EST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 37 counties
Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Erie County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Portage County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Venango County, PA
The radar
The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 3:42 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | CLE | Lucas, Wood | 3 hr |
| Nov 14, 3:51 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Lucas, Ottawa, Sandusky, Wood | 39 min |
| Nov 14, 4:37 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Erie | 68 min |
| Nov 14, 4:49 PM EST | Tornado Warning | CLE | Erie | 41 min |
| Nov 14, 5:14 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Cuyahoga, Lorain | 61 min |
| Nov 14, 5:31 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Crawford, Seneca, Wyandot | 59 min |
| Nov 14, 5:51 PM EST | Tornado Warning | CLE | Wyandot | 28 min |
| Nov 14, 6:05 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Ashtabula, Geauga | 25 min |
| Nov 14, 6:32 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Marion | 28 min |
| Nov 14, 6:52 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Portage | 53 min |
| Nov 14, 7:10 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Mahoning, Trumbull | 35 min |
| Nov 14, 7:33 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Lawrence, Mercer | 57 min |
| Nov 14, 7:44 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Clarion, Forest, Mercer, Venango | 46 min |
| Nov 14, 8:04 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Butler, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango | 46 min |
| Nov 14, 8:08 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Columbiana | 52 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1493 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 78 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -43 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 12 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
738
WWUS20 KWNS 142027
SEL0
SPC WW 142027
OHZ000-PAZ000-LEZ000-150400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 880
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
330 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OHIO
NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA
LAKE ERIE
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
FINDLAY OHIO TO 15 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF FRANKLIN PENNSYLVANIA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 879...
DISCUSSION...LEAD SURFACE LOW NEAR TOL WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ENEWD ALONG WARM FRONT LIFTING NWD TOWARD THE SHORE OF LAKE ERIE.
WAA AND ISALLOBARIC FORCING IN ADVANCE OF THIS LOW WILL ALIGN WITH A
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO SUPPORT THE EWD MOVEMENT/DEVELOPMENT
OF TSTMS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. GIVEN THE VERY STRONG WIND FIELD IN
PLACE...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELL AND BOWING
STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF A FEW TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26050.
...MEADSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 12:24 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Auglaize, Darke, Defiance, Hancock, Hardin and 8 more | 96 min |
| Nov 14, 12:41 PM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Allen, Auglaize, Butler, Champaign, Clark, Darke and 20 more | 7 hr |
| Nov 14, 2:57 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashland, Carroll, Champaign, Coshocton, Crawford, Delaware and 22 more | 63 min |
| Nov 14, 4:38 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Ashland, Ashtabula, Auglaize, Carroll, Champaign and 39 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 14, 6:32 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Allen, Auglaize, Brown, Butler, Champaign and 33 more | 88 min |
| Nov 14, 6:03 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Bradford, Cameron, Clarion, Clearfield, Clinton and 9 more | 117 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Ohio, 2011Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.