Alert archive / Ohio / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 880

November 14, 201132 counties in Ohio; 5 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 14, 2011, 3:29 PM EST for 32 counties in Ohio; 5 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 14, 2011, 3:29 PM EST (20:29 UTC)
Expired
Nov 14, 2011, 9:26 PM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 37 counties

Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Erie County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Portage County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Venango County, PA

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 14, 3:42 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningCLELucas, Wood3 hr
Nov 14, 3:51 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLELucas, Ottawa, Sandusky, Wood39 min
Nov 14, 4:37 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEErie68 min
Nov 14, 4:49 PM ESTTornado WarningCLEErie41 min
Nov 14, 5:14 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLECuyahoga, Lorain61 min
Nov 14, 5:31 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLECrawford, Seneca, Wyandot59 min
Nov 14, 5:51 PM ESTTornado WarningCLEWyandot28 min
Nov 14, 6:05 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEAshtabula, Geauga25 min
Nov 14, 6:32 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEMarion28 min
Nov 14, 6:52 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEPortage53 min
Nov 14, 7:10 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEMahoning, Trumbull35 min
Nov 14, 7:33 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZLawrence, Mercer57 min
Nov 14, 7:44 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZClarion, Forest, Mercer, Venango46 min
Nov 14, 8:04 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZButler, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango46 min
Nov 14, 8:08 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZColumbiana52 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2011-11-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2011-11-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -43 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156175Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1493 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
78 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-43 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

738 
WWUS20 KWNS 142027
SEL0
SPC WW 142027
OHZ000-PAZ000-LEZ000-150400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 880
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
330 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OHIO
       NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA
       LAKE ERIE

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
FINDLAY OHIO TO 15 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF FRANKLIN PENNSYLVANIA.
 FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 879...

DISCUSSION...LEAD SURFACE LOW NEAR TOL WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ENEWD ALONG WARM FRONT LIFTING NWD TOWARD THE SHORE OF LAKE ERIE.
WAA AND ISALLOBARIC FORCING IN ADVANCE OF THIS LOW WILL ALIGN WITH A
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO SUPPORT THE EWD MOVEMENT/DEVELOPMENT
OF TSTMS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.  GIVEN THE VERY STRONG WIND FIELD IN
PLACE...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELL AND BOWING
STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF A FEW TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26050.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 14, 12:24 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Auglaize, Darke, Defiance, Hancock, Hardin and 8 more96 min
Nov 14, 12:41 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Auglaize, Butler, Champaign, Clark, Darke and 20 more7 hr
Nov 14, 2:57 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Carroll, Champaign, Coshocton, Crawford, Delaware and 22 more63 min
Nov 14, 4:38 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Ashland, Ashtabula, Auglaize, Carroll, Champaign and 39 more2 hr
Nov 14, 6:32 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Auglaize, Brown, Butler, Champaign and 33 more88 min
Nov 14, 6:03 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Bradford, Cameron, Clarion, Clearfield, Clinton and 9 more117 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Ohio, 2011Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.