Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 80
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 31, 2011, 6:00 AM EDT for 31 counties in Florida. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 31, 2011, 6:00 AM EDT (10:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 31, 2011, 1:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 31 counties
Brevard County, FL, Charlotte County, FL, Citrus County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Glades County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hendry County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Lake County, FL, Lee County, FL, Levy County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Martin County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Palm Beach County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Lucie County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Volusia County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
35 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 6:10 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hernando, Pasco | 50 min |
| Mar 31, 6:23 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas | 52 min |
| Mar 31, 6:32 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Alachua, Bradford, Clay, Marion, Putnam | 43 min |
| Mar 31, 7:03 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Clay, Duval, Putnam, Saint Johns | 14 min |
| Mar 31, 7:04 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange, Seminole, Volusia | 56 min |
| Mar 31, 7:27 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange, Osceola | 63 min |
| Mar 31, 7:30 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Polk | 45 min |
| Mar 31, 7:43 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | MLB | Brevard, Seminole, Volusia | 42 min |
| Mar 31, 7:53 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas | 52 min |
| Mar 31, 8:13 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard, Orange, Volusia | 47 min |
| Mar 31, 8:24 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas | 51 min |
| Mar 31, 8:30 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard, Indian River, Osceola | 27 min |
| Mar 31, 8:57 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Pasco, Polk | 33 min |
| Mar 31, 9:01 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange, Osceola | 59 min |
| Mar 31, 9:29 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Polk | 19 min |
| Mar 31, 9:44 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Citrus, Hernando, Sumter | 31 min |
| Mar 31, 10:14 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hernando, Sumter | 31 min |
| Mar 31, 10:16 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange, Seminole | 59 min |
| Mar 31, 10:29 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Pinellas | 61 min |
| Mar 31, 10:37 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange, Seminole, Volusia | 53 min |
| Mar 31, 11:14 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Pinellas | 46 min |
| Mar 31, 11:22 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas | 38 min |
| Mar 31, 11:35 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Polk | 40 min |
| Mar 31, 11:51 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | MLB | Brevard, Seminole, Volusia | 24 min |
| Mar 31, 11:51 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Polk | 39 min |
| Mar 31, 11:57 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Polk | 33 min |
| Mar 31, 12:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Manatee | 44 min |
| Mar 31, 12:13 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Polk | 32 min |
| Mar 31, 12:15 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MLB | Brevard | 19 min |
| Mar 31, 12:16 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | TBW | Polk | 59 min |
| Mar 31, 12:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Polk | 22 min |
| Mar 31, 12:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas | 35 min |
| Mar 31, 12:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard, Osceola | 59 min |
| Mar 31, 12:32 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MLB | Osceola | 43 min |
| Mar 31, 12:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Marion | 21 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 00:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 79 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1172 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 64 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 20 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 469 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.9
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
216
WWUS20 KWNS 311001
SEL0
SPC WW 311001
FLZ000-CWZ000-311700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 80
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
600 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
LARGE PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 600 AM UNTIL
100 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF OCALA
FLORIDA TO 55 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...STORMS OVER NERN GULF JUST OFF FL COAST HAVE
INTENSIFIED WITH THE APP ROCH OF STRONG UPPER TROUGH GULF STATES AND
DEEPENING SURFACE LOW. SHEAR PROFILES ARE NOW SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS AND TORNADO POTENTIAL WITH 40 KT LOW LEVEL JET AND
APPROACHING 60-70KT MID LEVEL JET. SQUALL LINE WITH EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS SHOULD CROSS NRN FL PENINSULA THIS MORNING ACCOMPANIED BY
WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES. ACTIVITY WILL WORK
SEWD TOWARD SRN HALF OF PENINSULA DURING THE MORNING.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 4:40 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alachua, Bradford, Citrus, Columbia, Dixie, Franklin and 19 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 31, 9:39 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brevard, Charlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee and 21 more | 66 min |
| Mar 31, 12:12 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brevard, Charlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee and 22 more | 63 min |
| Mar 31, 12:46 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Brevard, Charlotte, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee, Hendry and 15 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 31, 2:56 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brevard, Charlotte, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee, Highlands and 10 more | 64 min |
| Mar 31, 6:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brevard, Charlotte, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee, Highlands and 10 more | 83 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.