Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 80

March 31, 201131 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 31, 2011, 6:00 AM EDT for 31 counties in Florida. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 31, 2011, 6:00 AM EDT (10:00 UTC)
Expired
Mar 31, 2011, 1:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 31 counties

Brevard County, FL, Charlotte County, FL, Citrus County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Glades County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hendry County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Lake County, FL, Lee County, FL, Levy County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Martin County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Palm Beach County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Lucie County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Volusia County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

35 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 6:10 AM EDTTornado WarningTBWHernando, Pasco50 min
Mar 31, 6:23 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas52 min
Mar 31, 6:32 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAlachua, Bradford, Clay, Marion, Putnam43 min
Mar 31, 7:03 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXClay, Duval, Putnam, Saint Johns14 min
Mar 31, 7:04 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBLake, Orange, Seminole, Volusia56 min
Mar 31, 7:27 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBLake, Orange, Osceola63 min
Mar 31, 7:30 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWPolk45 min
Mar 31, 7:43 AM EDTTornado WarningMLBBrevard, Seminole, Volusia42 min
Mar 31, 7:53 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas52 min
Mar 31, 8:13 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBBrevard, Orange, Volusia47 min
Mar 31, 8:24 AM EDTTornado WarningTBWHillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas51 min
Mar 31, 8:30 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBBrevard, Indian River, Osceola27 min
Mar 31, 8:57 AM EDTTornado WarningTBWHillsborough, Pasco, Polk33 min
Mar 31, 9:01 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBLake, Orange, Osceola59 min
Mar 31, 9:29 AM EDTTornado WarningTBWPolk19 min
Mar 31, 9:44 AM EDTTornado WarningTBWCitrus, Hernando, Sumter31 min
Mar 31, 10:14 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHernando, Sumter31 min
Mar 31, 10:16 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBLake, Orange, Seminole59 min
Mar 31, 10:29 AM EDTTornado WarningTBWPinellas61 min
Mar 31, 10:37 AM EDTTornado WarningMLBLake, Orange, Seminole, Volusia53 min
Mar 31, 11:14 AM EDTTornado WarningTBWHillsborough, Pinellas46 min
Mar 31, 11:22 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas38 min
Mar 31, 11:35 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Polk40 min
Mar 31, 11:51 AM EDTTornado WarningMLBBrevard, Seminole, Volusia24 min
Mar 31, 11:51 AM EDTTornado WarningTBWHillsborough, Polk39 min
Mar 31, 11:57 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Polk33 min
Mar 31, 12:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWManatee44 min
Mar 31, 12:13 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWPolk32 min
Mar 31, 12:15 PM EDTTornado WarningMLBBrevard19 min
Mar 31, 12:16 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningTBWPolk59 min
Mar 31, 12:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWPolk22 min
Mar 31, 12:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas35 min
Mar 31, 12:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBBrevard, Osceola59 min
Mar 31, 12:32 PM EDTTornado WarningMLBOsceola43 min
Mar 31, 12:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXMarion21 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 00:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 79 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 2011-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 2011-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 20 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1172 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
469 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

216 
WWUS20 KWNS 311001
SEL0
SPC WW 311001
FLZ000-CWZ000-311700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 80
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
600 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       LARGE PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 600 AM UNTIL
100 PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF OCALA
FLORIDA TO 55 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...STORMS OVER NERN GULF JUST OFF FL COAST HAVE
INTENSIFIED WITH THE APP ROCH OF STRONG UPPER TROUGH GULF STATES AND
DEEPENING SURFACE LOW.  SHEAR PROFILES ARE NOW SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS AND TORNADO POTENTIAL WITH 40 KT LOW LEVEL JET AND
APPROACHING 60-70KT MID LEVEL JET.  SQUALL LINE WITH EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS SHOULD CROSS NRN FL PENINSULA THIS MORNING ACCOMPANIED BY
WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES.  ACTIVITY WILL WORK
SEWD TOWARD SRN HALF OF PENINSULA DURING THE MORNING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 4:40 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Bradford, Citrus, Columbia, Dixie, Franklin and 19 more2 hr
Mar 31, 9:39 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Charlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee and 21 more66 min
Mar 31, 12:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Charlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee and 22 more63 min
Mar 31, 12:46 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBrevard, Charlotte, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee, Hendry and 15 more7 hr
Mar 31, 2:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Charlotte, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee, Highlands and 10 more64 min
Mar 31, 6:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Charlotte, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee, Highlands and 10 more83 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Florida, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.