Alert archive / North Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 673

July 22, 201127 counties in North Dakota; 9 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 22, 2011, 4:35 PM MDT for 27 counties in North Dakota; 9 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 22, 2011, 4:35 PM MDT (22:35 UTC)
Expired
Jul 23, 2011, 1:00 AM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 36 counties

Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burke County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Renville County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Ward County, ND, Williams County, ND, Campbell County, SD, Corson County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Harding County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Walworth County, SD, Ziebach County, SD

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 164 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
95%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

60 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 22, 5:11 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBISMorton116 min
Jul 22, 5:36 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMorton24 min
Jul 22, 5:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGolden Valley, McKenzie, Williams61 min
Jul 22, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMorton10 min
Jul 22, 6:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Bowman, Golden Valley, Slope60 min
Jul 22, 6:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Dunn, Golden Valley, McKenzie, Williams65 min
Jul 22, 6:48 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBISDunn, McKenzie6 hr
Jul 22, 7:04 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBISBillings, Dunn, Golden Valley, McKenzie, Stark6 hr
Jul 22, 7:06 PM MDTTornado WarningBISDunn, McKenzie39 min
Jul 22, 7:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding82 min
Jul 22, 7:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Dunn, Golden Valley, Stark65 min
Jul 22, 7:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Bowman, Hettinger, Slope60 min
Jul 22, 7:18 PM MDTTornado WarningBISBillings, Stark27 min
Jul 22, 7:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Dunn, McKenzie, McLean, Mercer, Mountrail58 min
Jul 22, 7:41 PM MDTTornado WarningBISBillings, Stark34 min
Jul 22, 7:49 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBISDunn, McLean, Mercer, Mountrail6 hr
Jul 22, 7:51 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRHarding25 min
Jul 22, 7:55 PM MDTTornado WarningBISDunn35 min
Jul 22, 8:08 PM MDTTornado WarningBISHettinger, Slope, Stark37 min
Jul 22, 8:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, Mercer, Morton, Oliver, Stark62 min
Jul 22, 8:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Bowman, Grant, Hettinger60 min
Jul 22, 8:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, McLean, Mercer, Mountrail, Oliver, Ward53 min
Jul 22, 8:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding67 min
Jul 22, 8:33 PM MDTTornado WarningBISHettinger, Slope27 min
Jul 22, 8:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding, Perkins57 min
Jul 22, 8:36 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRHarding24 min
Jul 22, 8:51 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMcLean, Mercer24 min
Jul 22, 8:56 PM MDTTornado WarningBISAdams, Grant, Hettinger34 min
Jul 22, 9:00 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMorton, Oliver30 min
Jul 22, 9:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Morton, Oliver63 min
Jul 22, 9:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, McLean, Mercer, Oliver, Sheridan61 min
Jul 22, 9:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Burleigh, Emmons, Grant, Hettinger, Morton and 1 more59 min
Jul 22, 9:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding, Perkins54 min
Jul 22, 9:25 PM MDTTornado WarningBISAdams, Grant, Hettinger, Sioux35 min
Jul 22, 9:27 PM MDTTornado WarningBISBurleigh, Morton, Oliver33 min
Jul 22, 9:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding37 min
Jul 22, 9:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPerkins32 min
Jul 22, 9:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCorson55 min
Jul 22, 9:51 PM MDTTornado WarningBISBurleigh, Emmons, Morton, Sioux24 min
Jul 22, 9:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding47 min
Jul 22, 10:02 PM MDTTornado WarningBISAdams, Sioux13 min
Jul 22, 10:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Foster, Kidder, Morton, Sheridan, Stutsman and 1 more68 min
Jul 22, 10:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean, Oliver, Sheridan, Wells67 min
Jul 22, 10:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding, Perkins67 min
Jul 22, 10:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Emmons, Grant, Logan, Morton, Sioux64 min
Jul 22, 10:23 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningUNRHarding6 hr
Jul 22, 10:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding52 min
Jul 22, 10:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCorson45 min
Jul 22, 11:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDickey, Emmons, LaMoure, Logan, McIntosh, Sioux52 min
Jul 22, 11:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCampbell, Corson, Edmunds, McPherson, Walworth65 min
Jul 22, 11:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding, Perkins65 min
Jul 22, 11:14 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBISFoster, Kidder, Stutsman, Wells6 hr
Jul 22, 11:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISKidder, Stutsman59 min
Jul 22, 11:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Bowman, Hettinger54 min
Jul 22, 11:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCorson, Dewey, Edmunds, Faulk, Potter, Walworth57 min
Jul 22, 11:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDickey, Kidder, LaMoure, Logan, McIntosh63 min
Jul 23, 12:06 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, Edmunds, Faulk, McPherson, Spink54 min
Jul 23, 12:11 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding, Perkins64 min
Jul 23, 12:15 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Hettinger60 min
Jul 23, 12:20 AM MDTTornado WarningABRMcPherson25 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2011-07-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1474 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2011-07-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -39 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1474 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-117 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
797 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-39 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
13.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

536 
WWUS20 KWNS 222241
SEL3
SPC WW 222241
NDZ000-SDZ000-230700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 673
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
535 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       WESTERN AND SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA
       NORTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 535 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTHWEST OF MINOT
NORTH DAKOTA TO 55 MILES SOUTH OF LEMMON SOUTH DAKOTA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 670...WW 671...WW 672...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM ALONG WNW/ESE ORIENTED WARM
FRONT IN  S CNTRL ND.  MODERATE TO STRONGLY VEERING LOW LVL WIND
PROFILES IN THIS REGION...STEEP LOW LVL LAPSE RATES...AND PRESENCE
OF AMPLE MOISTURE SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS WITH
TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO VERY LARGE HAIL/LOCALLY DMGG WIND.  WITH
TIME...BROKEN BAND OF STORMS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS NOW IN ERN MT
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO WRN ND AS ASSOCIATED UPR LVL JET STREAK
CONTINUES NEWD.  THIS ACTIVITY MAY EVOLVE INTO A LARGER SCALE BOW
MCS...POSSIBLY YIELDING A MORE WIDESPREAD DMGG WIND THREAT...IN
ADDITION TO A CONTINUING RISK FOR ISOLD TORNADOES/SVR HAIL INTO LATE
TNGT/EARLY SAT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 22, 10:05 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Billings, Bowman, Dunn, Golden Valley, Grant and 8 more55 min
Jul 22, 4:17 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Billings, Bowman, Dunn, Golden Valley, Grant and 8 more88 min
Jul 22, 4:46 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Dickey, LaMoure, Logan, McIntosh, Ransom and 2 more89 min
Jul 22, 5:14 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCDickey, LaMoure, Ransom, Richland, Sargent8 hr
Jul 21, 6:10 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Jackson, Jones, Lyman, Mellette, Todd and 1 more95 min
Jul 22, 2:00 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeadle, Brookings, Clark, Codington, Day, Deuel and 12 more90 min
Jul 22, 5:22 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrule, Buffalo, Gregory, Lyman, Mellette, Todd and 1 more53 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2011Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.