Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 528
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 20, 2011, 8:32 PM CDT for 31 counties in Kansas; 46 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 20, 2011, 8:32 PM CDT (01:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 21, 2011, 12:46 AM CDT
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 77 counties
Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Atchison County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Brown County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Elk County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Labette County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Miami County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Worth County, MO
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 95%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 50%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 95%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 8:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Coffey, Osage | 44 min |
| Jun 20, 8:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Greenwood, Wilson, Woodson | 57 min |
| Jun 20, 8:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Douglas, Jackson, Jefferson, Osage, Shawnee | 38 min |
| Jun 20, 9:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Chautauqua, Elk, Greenwood, Montgomery, Wilson | 52 min |
| Jun 20, 9:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Allen, Neosho, Wilson, Woodson | 82 min |
| Jun 20, 9:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Chautauqua, Labette, Montgomery, Neosho, Wilson | 69 min |
| Jun 20, 10:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Bourbon | 61 min |
| Jun 20, 11:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Caldwell, Daviess, Livingston | 42 min |
| Jun 20, 11:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Daviess, Grundy, Harrison, Mercer | 32 min |
| Jun 21, 12:22 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee | 68 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2898 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -56 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1426 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 50 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 156 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 97 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.9
- Supercell composite
- 5.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
042
WWUS20 KWNS 210135
SEL8
SPC WW 210135
KSZ000-MOZ000-210800-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 528
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
835 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN KANSAS
WESTERN AND NORTHERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 835 PM UNTIL
300 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
CHILLICOTHE MISSOURI TO 45 MILES SOUTH OF CHANUTE KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 524. WATCH NUMBER 524 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
835 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 525...WW 526...WW 527...
DISCUSSION...BROKEN SQLN/QLCS IN ERN KS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE ENE
THROUGH LATE EVE AS 50 KT 700 MB SPEED MAX ASSOCIATED WITH CNTRL KS
UPR VORT PIVOTS NEWD INTO LOW LVL MOIST AXIS. INCREASING LOW TO MID
LVL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THAT FEATURE...AND NOCTURNAL STRENGTHENING
OF SSWLY LLJ...SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED LOW LVL CIRCULATIONS
AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO HIGH WIND AND SVR
HAIL...DESPITE LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP WIND PROFILES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 7:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Decatur, Norton | 24 min |
| Jun 20, 7:40 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Decatur, Graham, Jewell, Mitchell, Norton, Osborne and 4 more | 3 hr |
| Jun 20, 7:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Chautauqua and 25 more | 59 min |
| Jun 20, 9:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford | 9 hr |
| Jun 20, 10:22 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Clay, Clinton and 14 more | 83 min |
| Jun 21, 3:15 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Christian, Dade, Greene, Jasper, Lawrence and 5 more | 60 min |
| Jun 21, 12:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Dent and 22 more | 64 min |
| Jun 21, 1:22 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Dent, Franklin and 15 more | 9 hr |
| Jun 21, 3:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Iron, Jefferson and 15 more | 89 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2011Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.