Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 528

June 20, 201131 counties in Kansas; 46 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 20, 2011, 8:32 PM CDT for 31 counties in Kansas; 46 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 20, 2011, 8:32 PM CDT (01:32 UTC)
Expired
Jun 21, 2011, 12:46 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 77 counties

Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Atchison County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Brown County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Elk County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Labette County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Miami County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
95%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
95%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 20, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCoffey, Osage44 min
Jun 20, 8:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTGreenwood, Wilson, Woodson57 min
Jun 20, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDouglas, Jackson, Jefferson, Osage, Shawnee38 min
Jun 20, 9:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChautauqua, Elk, Greenwood, Montgomery, Wilson52 min
Jun 20, 9:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTAllen, Neosho, Wilson, Woodson82 min
Jun 20, 9:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChautauqua, Labette, Montgomery, Neosho, Wilson69 min
Jun 20, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon61 min
Jun 20, 11:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Daviess, Livingston42 min
Jun 20, 11:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, Grundy, Harrison, Mercer32 min
Jun 21, 12:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee68 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2011-06-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2898 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2011-06-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 156 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2898 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-56 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1426 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
156 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
97 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
5.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

042 
WWUS20 KWNS 210135
SEL8  
SPC WW 210135
KSZ000-MOZ000-210800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 528
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
835 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       EASTERN KANSAS
       WESTERN AND NORTHERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 835 PM UNTIL
300 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
CHILLICOTHE MISSOURI TO 45 MILES SOUTH OF CHANUTE KANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 524. WATCH NUMBER 524 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
835 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 525...WW 526...WW 527...

DISCUSSION...BROKEN SQLN/QLCS IN ERN KS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE ENE
THROUGH LATE EVE AS 50 KT 700 MB SPEED MAX ASSOCIATED WITH CNTRL KS
UPR VORT PIVOTS NEWD INTO LOW LVL MOIST AXIS.  INCREASING LOW TO MID
LVL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THAT FEATURE...AND NOCTURNAL STRENGTHENING
OF SSWLY LLJ...SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED LOW LVL CIRCULATIONS
AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO HIGH WIND AND SVR
HAIL...DESPITE LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP WIND PROFILES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 20, 7:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Norton24 min
Jun 20, 7:40 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDecatur, Graham, Jewell, Mitchell, Norton, Osborne and 4 more3 hr
Jun 20, 7:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Chautauqua and 25 more59 min
Jun 20, 9:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford9 hr
Jun 20, 10:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Clay, Clinton and 14 more83 min
Jun 21, 3:15 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Christian, Dade, Greene, Jasper, Lawrence and 5 more60 min
Jun 21, 12:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Dent and 22 more64 min
Jun 21, 1:22 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Dent, Franklin and 15 more9 hr
Jun 21, 3:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Iron, Jefferson and 15 more89 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2011Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.