Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 453
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 9, 2011, 3:05 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 9, 2011, 3:05 PM CDT (20:05 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 9, 2011, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 77 counties
Appanoose County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Page County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Anderson County, KS, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Miami County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE
The radar
The Topeka radar (KTWX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 90%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 70%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
43 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 3:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Macon | 15 min |
| Jun 9, 4:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Macon | 18 min |
| Jun 9, 5:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Daviess, Grundy, Livingston | 49 min |
| Jun 9, 6:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Chariton, Macon, Randolph | 45 min |
| Jun 9, 6:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Harrison | 30 min |
| Jun 9, 6:17 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Grundy, Livingston | 28 min |
| Jun 9, 6:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Grundy | 47 min |
| Jun 9, 6:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Gentry, Holt, Nodaway | 26 min |
| Jun 9, 6:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Daviess | 23 min |
| Jun 9, 6:45 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Daviess, Grundy | 6 hr |
| Jun 9, 6:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Dickinson, Geary, Morris | 38 min |
| Jun 9, 6:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Gentry, Nodaway | 34 min |
| Jun 9, 6:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Daviess, Grundy, Harrison | 31 min |
| Jun 9, 7:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Macon | 30 min |
| Jun 9, 7:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Linn, Sullivan | 25 min |
| Jun 9, 7:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Caldwell, Daviess, DeKalb | 23 min |
| Jun 9, 7:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Linn | 34 min |
| Jun 9, 7:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Sullivan | 32 min |
| Jun 9, 7:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Daviess, Grundy, Harrison | 32 min |
| Jun 9, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Dickinson, Geary, Morris | 26 min |
| Jun 9, 7:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Geary, Pottawatomie, Riley | 34 min |
| Jun 9, 7:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Daviess, Grundy, Livingston | 35 min |
| Jun 9, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Chariton, Linn, Livingston | 34 min |
| Jun 9, 8:04 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Sullivan | 6 hr |
| Jun 9, 8:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Jackson, Nemaha, Pottawatomie | 39 min |
| Jun 9, 8:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Linn, Sullivan | 33 min |
| Jun 9, 8:13 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Daviess | 4 hr |
| Jun 9, 8:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Marshall, Nemaha, Pottawatomie, Riley | 45 min |
| Jun 9, 8:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Daviess, Grundy, Livingston | 25 min |
| Jun 9, 8:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Marshall, Nemaha | 18 min |
| Jun 9, 8:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Brown, Jackson, Nemaha | 61 min |
| Jun 9, 8:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Grundy, Linn, Livingston | 31 min |
| Jun 9, 8:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Chariton, Linn, Macon | 43 min |
| Jun 9, 8:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Anderson, Coffey, Lyon | 41 min |
| Jun 9, 8:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Pawnee, Richardson | 33 min |
| Jun 9, 8:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Marshall, Nemaha | 32 min |
| Jun 9, 9:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Grundy, Linn, Livingston, Sullivan | 46 min |
| Jun 9, 9:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Nemaha, Pawnee, Richardson | 28 min |
| Jun 9, 9:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Linn, Macon | 47 min |
| Jun 9, 9:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison, Holt | 31 min |
| Jun 9, 9:37 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Adair, Linn, Macon, Sullivan | 6 hr |
| Jun 9, 9:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison, Holt | 18 min |
| Jun 9, 9:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Linn, Macon, Sullivan | 32 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2086 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -170 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1051 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 20 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 61 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 70 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
968
WWUS20 KWNS 092011
SEL3
SPC WW 092011
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-100300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 453
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
305 PM CDT THU JUN 9 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR SOUTHERN IOWA
NORTHEASTERN KANSAS
NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI
SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 305 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF
MANHATTAN KANSAS TO 55 MILES EAST OF CHILLICOTHE MISSOURI. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 450...WW 451...WW 452...
DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM NERN KS SWWD INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL KS WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW LOCATED NEAR SLN. STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR SO AS CONVERGENCE
INCREASES AHEAD OF THE NEWD MOVING LOW. OTHER STORMS SHOULD ALSO
DEVELOP ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES LOCATED ACROSS NWRN MO. THE AIR
MASS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA IS STRONGLY UNSTABLE AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR
IS SUFFICIENT FOR INTENSE SUPERCELLS. WHILE LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
MAIN THREAT ...VEERING WIND PROFILES IN THE LOWER 1-2 KM AND THE
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WOULD ALSO BE SUPPORTIVE OF TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...IMYSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 8:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cedar, Clinton, Davis, Des Moines, Dubuque, Henry and 14 more | 92 min |
| Jun 9, 1:44 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Benton, Boone and 48 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 9, 9:50 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista and 37 more | 55 min |
| Jun 8, 8:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Harper, Harvey, Kingman, Reno, Sedgwick, Sumner | 4 hr |
| Jun 9, 2:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Atchison, Brown, Butler, Chase and 35 more | 92 min |
| Jun 9, 3:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Cowley, Harper, Harvey, Kingman, Reno and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 9, 3:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk and 16 more | 8 hr |
| Jun 9, 4:29 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Knox, Lewis, Marion, Monroe, Pike and 2 more | 61 min |
| Jun 9, 4:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Audrain, Knox, Lewis, Lincoln, Marion, Monroe and 3 more | 5 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2011Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2011Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.