Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 453

June 9, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 9, 2011, 3:05 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 9, 2011, 3:05 PM CDT (20:05 UTC)
Expired
Jun 9, 2011, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 77 counties

Appanoose County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Page County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Anderson County, KS, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Miami County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
90%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
70%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

43 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 9, 3:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Macon15 min
Jun 9, 4:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXMacon18 min
Jun 9, 5:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, Grundy, Livingston49 min
Jun 9, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXChariton, Macon, Randolph45 min
Jun 9, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Harrison30 min
Jun 9, 6:17 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXGrundy, Livingston28 min
Jun 9, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXGrundy47 min
Jun 9, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Gentry, Holt, Nodaway26 min
Jun 9, 6:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess23 min
Jun 9, 6:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXDaviess, Grundy6 hr
Jun 9, 6:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDickinson, Geary, Morris38 min
Jun 9, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Gentry, Nodaway34 min
Jun 9, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, Grundy, Harrison31 min
Jun 9, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXMacon30 min
Jun 9, 7:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn, Sullivan25 min
Jun 9, 7:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Daviess, DeKalb23 min
Jun 9, 7:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn34 min
Jun 9, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXSullivan32 min
Jun 9, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, Grundy, Harrison32 min
Jun 9, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDickinson, Geary, Morris26 min
Jun 9, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPGeary, Pottawatomie, Riley34 min
Jun 9, 7:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, Grundy, Livingston35 min
Jun 9, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXChariton, Linn, Livingston34 min
Jun 9, 8:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXSullivan6 hr
Jun 9, 8:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPJackson, Nemaha, Pottawatomie39 min
Jun 9, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn, Sullivan33 min
Jun 9, 8:13 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXDaviess4 hr
Jun 9, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Nemaha, Pottawatomie, Riley45 min
Jun 9, 8:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, Grundy, Livingston25 min
Jun 9, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Nemaha18 min
Jun 9, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPBrown, Jackson, Nemaha61 min
Jun 9, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXGrundy, Linn, Livingston31 min
Jun 9, 8:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXChariton, Linn, Macon43 min
Jun 9, 8:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPAnderson, Coffey, Lyon41 min
Jun 9, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPawnee, Richardson33 min
Jun 9, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Nemaha32 min
Jun 9, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXGrundy, Linn, Livingston, Sullivan46 min
Jun 9, 9:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXNemaha, Pawnee, Richardson28 min
Jun 9, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn, Macon47 min
Jun 9, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Holt31 min
Jun 9, 9:37 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAdair, Linn, Macon, Sullivan6 hr
Jun 9, 9:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Holt18 min
Jun 9, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Linn, Macon, Sullivan32 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2011-06-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2086 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2011-06-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 61 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2086 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-170 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1051 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
61 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

968 
WWUS20 KWNS 092011
SEL3
SPC WW 092011
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-100300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 453
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
305 PM CDT THU JUN 9 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       FAR SOUTHERN IOWA
       NORTHEASTERN KANSAS
       NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI
       SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 305 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF
MANHATTAN KANSAS TO 55 MILES EAST OF CHILLICOTHE MISSOURI.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 450...WW 451...WW 452...

DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM NERN KS SWWD INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL KS WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW LOCATED NEAR SLN. STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR SO AS CONVERGENCE
INCREASES AHEAD OF THE NEWD MOVING LOW. OTHER STORMS SHOULD ALSO
DEVELOP ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES LOCATED ACROSS NWRN MO. THE AIR
MASS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA IS STRONGLY UNSTABLE AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR
IS SUFFICIENT FOR INTENSE SUPERCELLS. WHILE LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
MAIN THREAT ...VEERING WIND PROFILES IN THE LOWER 1-2 KM AND THE
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WOULD ALSO BE SUPPORTIVE OF TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...IMY

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 8, 8:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCedar, Clinton, Davis, Des Moines, Dubuque, Henry and 14 more92 min
Jun 9, 1:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Benton, Boone and 48 more2 hr
Jun 9, 9:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista and 37 more55 min
Jun 8, 8:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHarper, Harvey, Kingman, Reno, Sedgwick, Sumner4 hr
Jun 9, 2:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Brown, Butler, Chase and 35 more92 min
Jun 9, 3:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Cowley, Harper, Harvey, Kingman, Reno and 2 more2 hr
Jun 9, 3:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk and 16 more8 hr
Jun 9, 4:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Knox, Lewis, Marion, Monroe, Pike and 2 more61 min
Jun 9, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAudrain, Knox, Lewis, Lincoln, Marion, Monroe and 3 more5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2011Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2011Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.