Alert archive / New Jersey / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 411

June 1, 20117 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 1, 2011, 12:58 PM EDT for 7 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 1, 2011, 12:58 PM EDT (16:58 UTC)
Expired
Jun 1, 2011, 7:51 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 66 counties

Capitol Planning Region, CT, Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Bristol County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Androscoggin County, ME, Cumberland County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Sagadahoc County, ME, York County, ME, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Rockingham County, NH, Strafford County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

46 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 1:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIWarren63 min
Jun 1, 2:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXBelknap, Carroll, Grafton48 min
Jun 1, 2:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCoos43 min
Jun 1, 2:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCheshire, Hillsborough61 min
Jun 1, 2:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampshire53 min
Jun 1, 2:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Chester, Lehigh52 min
Jun 1, 2:47 PM EDTTornado WarningGYXCoos28 min
Jun 1, 2:52 PM EDTTornado WarningBOXCheshire23 min
Jun 1, 2:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Oxford33 min
Jun 1, 2:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCumberland, Oxford33 min
Jun 1, 3:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Warren16 min
Jun 1, 3:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester51 min
Jun 1, 3:13 PM EDTTornado WarningGYXOxford32 min
Jun 1, 3:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCheshire, Hillsborough51 min
Jun 1, 3:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXAndroscoggin, Cumberland, Oxford, York47 min
Jun 1, 3:28 PM EDTTornado WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire32 min
Jun 1, 3:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Middlesex, Worcester40 min
Jun 1, 3:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXAndroscoggin, Franklin, Kennebec, Oxford33 min
Jun 1, 3:49 PM EDTTornado WarningGYXAndroscoggin, Kennebec, Oxford26 min
Jun 1, 4:05 PM EDTTornado WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester40 min
Jun 1, 4:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMorris, Sussex, Warren40 min
Jun 1, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXAndroscoggin, Cumberland, Oxford, Sagadahoc34 min
Jun 1, 4:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXAndroscoggin, Kennebec, Oxford32 min
Jun 1, 4:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Somerset45 min
Jun 1, 4:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region42 min
Jun 1, 4:30 PM EDTTornado WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region45 min
Jun 1, 4:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMonmouth, Ocean59 min
Jun 1, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, Worcester61 min
Jun 1, 4:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIChester26 min
Jun 1, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXAndroscoggin, Kennebec, Knox, Lincoln, Sagadahoc47 min
Jun 1, 4:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMiddlesex, Monmouth61 min
Jun 1, 5:01 PM EDTTornado WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, Worcester44 min
Jun 1, 5:17 PM EDTTornado WarningBOXNortheastern Connecticut Planning Region29 min
Jun 1, 5:17 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBOXMiddlesex, Worcester3 hr
Jun 1, 5:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXNortheastern Connecticut Planning Region67 min
Jun 1, 5:46 PM EDTTornado WarningBOXNortheastern Connecticut Planning Region44 min
Jun 1, 5:49 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBOXBristol, Middlesex, Norfolk, Worcester3 hr
Jun 1, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Worcester52 min
Jun 1, 5:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester26 min
Jun 1, 6:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXWorcester45 min
Jun 1, 6:07 PM EDTTornado WarningBOXHampden, Hampshire, Worcester53 min
Jun 1, 6:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMonmouth, Ocean64 min
Jun 1, 6:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Middlesex, Worcester30 min
Jun 1, 6:57 PM EDTTornado WarningBOXNortheastern Connecticut Planning Region63 min
Jun 1, 7:12 PM EDTTornado WarningBOXFranklin, Middlesex, Worcester48 min
Jun 1, 7:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Ocean43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 111 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-06-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2410 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-06-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 159 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2410 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-130 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
836 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
159 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
189 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

266 
WWUS20 KWNS 011658
SEL1
SPC WW 011658
CTZ000-MAZ000-MEZ000-NHZ000-NJZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-RIZ000-CWZ000-02000
0-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 411
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
100 PM EDT WED JUN 1 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       CONNECTICUT
       MASSACHUSETTS
       WESTERN MAINE
       NEW HAMPSHIRE
       NEW JERSEY
       SOUTHEAST NEW YORK
       SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
       RHODE ISLAND
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 100 PM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
PHILADELPHIA PENNSYLVANIA TO 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF AUGUSTA MAINE.
 FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 410...

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER
PORTIONS OF VT/NY/PA AND TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW
ENGLAND...NY/PA/NJ THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THIS REGION WITH DEWPOINTS WELL INTO THE 60S
AND MLCAPE VALUES OVER 3500 J/KG.  THIS COMBINED WITH STRONG
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND INCREASING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL
POSE A RISK OF SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 10:02 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCNorthwest Hills Planning Region7 hr
Jun 1, 12:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC64 min
Jun 1, 4:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC88 min
Jun 1, 7:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC96 min
Jun 1, 7:40 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCCapitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region2 hr
Jun 1, 2:19 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAroostook, Franklin, Kennebec, Penobscot, Piscataquis, Somerset and 1 more86 min
Jun 1, 2:37 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAroostook, Franklin, Kennebec, Knox, Lincoln, Penobscot and 3 more5 hr
Jun 1, 5:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBristol, Dukes, Plymouth58 min
Jun 1, 2:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtlantic, Cape May, Cumberland, Salem7 hr
Jun 1, 6:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtlantic, Cape May, Cumberland, Salem93 min
Jun 1, 5:58 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Broome, Chenango, Columbia, Delaware, Essex and 12 more2 hr
Jun 1, 9:38 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Clinton and 21 more37 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in New Jersey, 2011Tornado Watches in Massachusetts, 2011Tornado Watches in New Hampshire, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.