Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 312

May 20, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 20, 2011, 11:03 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 20, 2011, 11:03 AM CDT (16:03 UTC)
Expired
May 20, 2011, 6:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 60 counties

Clark County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Garland County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Adair County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Panola County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 20, 11:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Newton40 min
May 20, 11:27 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSALatimer, Pittsburg2 hr
May 20, 11:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Sebastian55 min
May 20, 11:36 AM CDTTornado WarningTSAAdair, Sequoyah24 min
May 20, 11:38 AM CDTTornado WarningTSASequoyah37 min
May 20, 11:39 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAMadison, Washington3 hr
May 20, 11:47 AM CDTTornado WarningTSAHaskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah28 min
May 20, 11:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Madison, Washington66 min
May 20, 11:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Newton48 min
May 20, 11:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Perry, Pulaski, Saline48 min
May 20, 12:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Newton, Pope, Searcy40 min
May 20, 12:17 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, Sequoyah3 hr
May 20, 12:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian60 min
May 20, 12:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll, Madison82 min
May 20, 12:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison, Washington94 min
May 20, 1:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore29 min
May 20, 1:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian63 min
May 20, 1:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Polk, Scott44 min
May 20, 2:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Pope, Van Buren, Yell22 min
May 20, 3:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, Pushmataha84 min
May 20, 4:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha6 hr
May 20, 4:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha65 min
May 20, 4:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Van Buren3 hr
May 20, 4:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Saline26 min
May 20, 4:54 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring51 min
May 20, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSmith, Upshur36 min
May 20, 5:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGregg, Harrison, Rusk43 min
May 20, 5:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSASebastian68 min
May 20, 5:27 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVMcCurtain48 min
May 20, 5:36 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKGarland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline39 min
May 20, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGregg, Harrison, Marion, Rusk52 min
May 20, 5:59 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVMcCurtain21 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 226 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2011-05-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2656 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2011-05-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 151 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2656 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-44 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
648 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
231 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

367 
WWUS20 KWNS 201605
SEL2  
SPC WW 201605
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-202300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 312
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1105 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WESTERN ARKANSAS
       NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
       EASTERN OKLAHOMA
       NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1105 AM UNTIL 600
PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
RUSSELLVILLE ARKANSAS TO 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LONGVIEW TEXAS. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON AS
THEY ENCOUNTER A VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH
MLCAPE VALUES INCREASING TO 1500-2500 J/KG.  WHILE MID AND
HIGH-LEVEL WIND FIELD WILL REMAIN MARGINAL FOR STORM
ORGANIZATION...THE PRESENCE OF A 40-50 KT SLY LLJ AND RESULTANT
EFFECTIVE SRH OF 250-400 M2/S2 WILL PROMOTE ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL STORM
ROTATION WITH A RISK FOR TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 20, 9:11 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Washington2 hr
May 20, 10:30 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Carroll and 53 more60 min
May 20, 1:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne and 47 more62 min
May 20, 4:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Columbia, Conway, Dallas, Faulkner and 24 more60 min
May 20, 5:56 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCClark, Columbia, Dallas, Garland, Grant, Hempstead and 16 more3 hr
May 19, 7:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Comanche, Cotton, Grady, Kiowa and 1 more118 min
May 19, 11:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHarmon, Jackson, Tillman6 hr
May 20, 2:58 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCComanche, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman, Washita92 min
May 20, 1:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEllis, Harper, Woods, Woodward113 min
May 20, 2:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Ellis, Garfield, Grant, Harper, Major and 2 more7 hr
May 20, 6:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Ellis, Garfield, Grant, Harper, Major and 2 more59 min
May 19, 9:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Briscoe, Childress, Coke, Collingsworth, Cottle and 28 more84 min
May 20, 12:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco, Bosque and 56 more67 min
May 20, 12:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco and 60 more10 hr
May 20, 5:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco and 41 more116 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2011Tornado Watches in Texas, 2011Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.