Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 312
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 20, 2011, 11:03 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 20, 2011, 11:03 AM CDT (16:03 UTC)
- Expired
- May 20, 2011, 6:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 60 counties
Clark County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Garland County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Adair County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Panola County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Wood County, TX
The radar
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 11:20 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Newton | 40 min |
| May 20, 11:27 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Latimer, Pittsburg | 2 hr |
| May 20, 11:35 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Sebastian | 55 min |
| May 20, 11:36 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Adair, Sequoyah | 24 min |
| May 20, 11:38 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Sequoyah | 37 min |
| May 20, 11:39 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Madison, Washington | 3 hr |
| May 20, 11:47 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Haskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah | 28 min |
| May 20, 11:54 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Madison, Washington | 66 min |
| May 20, 11:57 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Newton | 48 min |
| May 20, 11:57 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Perry, Pulaski, Saline | 48 min |
| May 20, 12:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Newton, Pope, Searcy | 40 min |
| May 20, 12:17 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, Sequoyah | 3 hr |
| May 20, 12:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 60 min |
| May 20, 12:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Carroll, Madison | 82 min |
| May 20, 12:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Madison, Washington | 94 min |
| May 20, 1:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | LeFlore | 29 min |
| May 20, 1:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 63 min |
| May 20, 1:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Logan, Polk, Scott | 44 min |
| May 20, 2:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Logan, Pope, Van Buren, Yell | 22 min |
| May 20, 3:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Choctaw, Pushmataha | 84 min |
| May 20, 4:18 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha | 6 hr |
| May 20, 4:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha | 65 min |
| May 20, 4:47 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Faulkner, Van Buren | 3 hr |
| May 20, 4:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Saline | 26 min |
| May 20, 4:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Clark, Garland, Hot Spring | 51 min |
| May 20, 4:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Smith, Upshur | 36 min |
| May 20, 5:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Gregg, Harrison, Rusk | 43 min |
| May 20, 5:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Sebastian | 68 min |
| May 20, 5:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | McCurtain | 48 min |
| May 20, 5:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline | 39 min |
| May 20, 5:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Rusk | 52 min |
| May 20, 5:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | McCurtain | 21 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 226 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2656 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -44 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 648 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 15 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 151 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 231 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
367
WWUS20 KWNS 201605
SEL2
SPC WW 201605
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-202300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 312
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1105 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN ARKANSAS
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
EASTERN OKLAHOMA
NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1105 AM UNTIL 600
PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
RUSSELLVILLE ARKANSAS TO 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LONGVIEW TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON AS
THEY ENCOUNTER A VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH
MLCAPE VALUES INCREASING TO 1500-2500 J/KG. WHILE MID AND
HIGH-LEVEL WIND FIELD WILL REMAIN MARGINAL FOR STORM
ORGANIZATION...THE PRESENCE OF A 40-50 KT SLY LLJ AND RESULTANT
EFFECTIVE SRH OF 250-400 M2/S2 WILL PROMOTE ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL STORM
ROTATION WITH A RISK FOR TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.
...MEADSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 9:11 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Washington | 2 hr |
| May 20, 10:30 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Carroll and 53 more | 60 min |
| May 20, 1:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne and 47 more | 62 min |
| May 20, 4:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Columbia, Conway, Dallas, Faulkner and 24 more | 60 min |
| May 20, 5:56 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Clark, Columbia, Dallas, Garland, Grant, Hempstead and 16 more | 3 hr |
| May 19, 7:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Cotton, Grady, Kiowa and 1 more | 118 min |
| May 19, 11:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Harmon, Jackson, Tillman | 6 hr |
| May 20, 2:58 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Comanche, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman, Washita | 92 min |
| May 20, 1:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ellis, Harper, Woods, Woodward | 113 min |
| May 20, 2:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Alfalfa, Ellis, Garfield, Grant, Harper, Major and 2 more | 7 hr |
| May 20, 6:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alfalfa, Ellis, Garfield, Grant, Harper, Major and 2 more | 59 min |
| May 19, 9:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Borden, Briscoe, Childress, Coke, Collingsworth, Cottle and 28 more | 84 min |
| May 20, 12:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco, Bosque and 56 more | 67 min |
| May 20, 12:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Anderson, Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco and 60 more | 10 hr |
| May 20, 5:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco and 41 more | 116 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2011Tornado Watches in Texas, 2011Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.