Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 285

May 11, 20115 counties in Colorado; 13 counties in Kansas; 5 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 11, 2011, 3:52 PM MDT for 5 counties in Colorado; 13 counties in Kansas; 5 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2011, 3:52 PM MDT (21:52 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2011, 9:35 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 23 counties

Cheyenne County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Washington County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Logan County, KS, Norton County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Dundy County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 22 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 4:17 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDKit Carson43 min
May 11, 4:41 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDKit Carson37 min
May 11, 4:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDKit Carson59 min
May 11, 4:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma18 min
May 11, 4:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDRawlins, Thomas17 min
May 11, 5:28 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDYuma10 min
May 11, 5:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDRawlins18 min
May 11, 7:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDecatur38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 66 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
629 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
583 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

731 
WWUS20 KWNS 112153
SEL5
SPC WW 112153
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-120600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 285
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM MDT WED MAY 11 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHEAST COLORADO
       NORTHWEST KANSAS
       SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 350 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES WEST OF BURLINGTON
COLORADO TO 55 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HILL CITY KANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 280...WW 281...WW
282...WW 283...WW 284...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND STRENGTH
THROUGH THIS EVE AS EXIT REGION OF JET STREAK/UPR VORT ASSOCIATED
WITH CNTRL RCKYS UPR LOW PIVOTS NNEWD.  LOW LVL CONVERGENCE WILL
MAXIMIZE ALONG W-E FRONT THAT LIKELY WILL BECOME NEARLY STNRY ALONG
MAIN AXIS OF WW.  DEEP EML...AMPLE BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE...AND
STRENGTHENING DEEP SHEAR SUGGEST LIKELIHOOD FOR SUPERCELLS WITH
LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DMGG WIND...IN ADDITION TO POSSIBLE TORNADOES
IN ZONE OF MAXIMUM LOW LVL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR NEAR FRONT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20025.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 12:51 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Prowers84 min
May 11, 6:30 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMeade, Seward, Stevens60 min
May 11, 10:21 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chase, Clay, Cloud, Coffey, Dickinson and 22 more84 min
May 11, 11:16 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Brown, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 48 more5 hr
May 11, 2:57 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Cherokee and 25 more48 min
May 11, 3:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Chautauqua and 24 more8 hr
May 11, 5:02 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 9 more88 min
May 11, 5:35 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Labette55 min
May 11, 1:31 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurt, Butler, Cass, Colfax, Cuming, Dakota and 8 more59 min
May 11, 1:53 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCAntelope, Boone, Burt, Butler, Cass, Colfax and 24 more6 hr
May 11, 4:03 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCedar, Dakota, Dixon57 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2011Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2011Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.