Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 285
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 11, 2011, 3:52 PM MDT for 5 counties in Colorado; 13 counties in Kansas; 5 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 11, 2011, 3:52 PM MDT (21:52 UTC)
- Expired
- May 11, 2011, 9:35 PM MDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 23 counties
Cheyenne County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Washington County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Logan County, KS, Norton County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Dundy County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Red Willow County, NE
The radar
The Goodland radar (KGLD), 22 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 80%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 4:17 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Kit Carson | 43 min |
| May 11, 4:41 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Kit Carson | 37 min |
| May 11, 4:46 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Kit Carson | 59 min |
| May 11, 4:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 18 min |
| May 11, 4:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Rawlins, Thomas | 17 min |
| May 11, 5:28 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Yuma | 10 min |
| May 11, 5:46 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Rawlins | 18 min |
| May 11, 7:07 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Decatur | 38 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 629 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 47 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 66 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 583 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
731
WWUS20 KWNS 112153
SEL5
SPC WW 112153
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-120600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 285
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM MDT WED MAY 11 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST COLORADO
NORTHWEST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 350 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES WEST OF BURLINGTON
COLORADO TO 55 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HILL CITY KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 280...WW 281...WW
282...WW 283...WW 284...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND STRENGTH
THROUGH THIS EVE AS EXIT REGION OF JET STREAK/UPR VORT ASSOCIATED
WITH CNTRL RCKYS UPR LOW PIVOTS NNEWD. LOW LVL CONVERGENCE WILL
MAXIMIZE ALONG W-E FRONT THAT LIKELY WILL BECOME NEARLY STNRY ALONG
MAIN AXIS OF WW. DEEP EML...AMPLE BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE...AND
STRENGTHENING DEEP SHEAR SUGGEST LIKELIHOOD FOR SUPERCELLS WITH
LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DMGG WIND...IN ADDITION TO POSSIBLE TORNADOES
IN ZONE OF MAXIMUM LOW LVL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR NEAR FRONT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20025.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 12:51 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baca, Bent, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Prowers | 84 min |
| May 11, 6:30 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Meade, Seward, Stevens | 60 min |
| May 11, 10:21 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Chase, Clay, Cloud, Coffey, Dickinson and 22 more | 84 min |
| May 11, 11:16 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Brown, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 48 more | 5 hr |
| May 11, 2:57 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Cherokee and 25 more | 48 min |
| May 11, 3:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Chautauqua and 24 more | 8 hr |
| May 11, 5:02 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 9 more | 88 min |
| May 11, 5:35 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cherokee, Labette | 55 min |
| May 11, 1:31 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Burt, Butler, Cass, Colfax, Cuming, Dakota and 8 more | 59 min |
| May 11, 1:53 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Antelope, Boone, Burt, Butler, Cass, Colfax and 24 more | 6 hr |
| May 11, 4:03 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cedar, Dakota, Dixon | 57 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2011Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2011Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.