Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 258
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 30, 2011, 6:48 PM CDT for 33 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 30, 2011, 6:48 PM CDT (23:48 UTC)
- Expired
- May 1, 2011, 2:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 33 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Independence County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 6:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Saline, Yell | 31 min |
| Apr 30, 7:33 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Garland, Independence, Izard and 9 more | 3 hr |
| Apr 30, 8:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Conway, Stone, Van Buren | 43 min |
| Apr 30, 8:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Saline | 39 min |
| Apr 30, 8:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Garland, Perry, Pulaski, Saline | 46 min |
| Apr 30, 9:18 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Garland, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline, White | 3 hr |
| Apr 30, 9:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline, White | 45 min |
| Apr 30, 10:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Pulaski and 2 more | 3 hr |
| Apr 30, 10:56 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White, Woodruff | 3 hr |
| Apr 30, 11:58 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Monroe, Prairie, White, Woodruff | 3 hr |
| May 1, 12:04 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Garland, Hot Spring, Lonoke, Montgomery and 9 more | 6 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2048 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 664 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 960 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
706
WWUS20 KWNS 302351
SEL8
SPC WW 302351
ARZ000-010700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 258
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
650 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
ARKANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 650 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH OF FORT SMITH
ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF JONESBORO ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 257...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
FROM NE OF BVX TO W OF HOT...LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO A LOW-AMPLITUDE
IMPULSE LIFTING NEWD FROM THE ARKLATEX. THIS INITIAL ACTIVITY
APPEARS TO BE AT LEAST SLIGHTLY ELEVATED. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE WARM
AND MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IN PLACE NAMELY ALONG AND S OF THE I-40
CORRIDOR...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR STORMS TO BECOME SURFACE-BASED
WITHIN A KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY 0-1 KM SRH OF
250-300 M2/S2 PER LITTLE ROCK VWP. WHILE LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY HAZARD...TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUPERCELLS THAT
CAN BECOME SURFACE-BASED.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...MEADSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 4:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Little River, Sevier | 92 min |
| Apr 30, 5:55 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier | 8 hr |
| Apr 30, 6:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Crittenden and 29 more | 29 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.