Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 258

April 30, 201133 counties in Arkansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 30, 2011, 6:48 PM CDT for 33 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 30, 2011, 6:48 PM CDT (23:48 UTC)
Expired
May 1, 2011, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 33 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Independence County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 30, 6:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery, Perry, Saline, Yell31 min
Apr 30, 7:33 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Garland, Independence, Izard and 9 more3 hr
Apr 30, 8:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Stone, Van Buren43 min
Apr 30, 8:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery, Perry, Saline39 min
Apr 30, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Garland, Perry, Pulaski, Saline46 min
Apr 30, 9:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKFaulkner, Garland, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline, White3 hr
Apr 30, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline, White45 min
Apr 30, 10:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Pulaski and 2 more3 hr
Apr 30, 10:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White, Woodruff3 hr
Apr 30, 11:58 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie, White, Woodruff3 hr
May 1, 12:04 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Garland, Hot Spring, Lonoke, Montgomery and 9 more6 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-04-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-04-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 664 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2048 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
664 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
960 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

706 
WWUS20 KWNS 302351
SEL8
SPC WW 302351
ARZ000-010700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 258
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
650 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       ARKANSAS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 650 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH OF FORT SMITH
ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF JONESBORO ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 257...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
FROM NE OF BVX TO W OF HOT...LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO A LOW-AMPLITUDE
IMPULSE LIFTING NEWD FROM THE ARKLATEX.  THIS INITIAL ACTIVITY
APPEARS TO BE AT LEAST SLIGHTLY ELEVATED.  HOWEVER...GIVEN THE WARM
AND MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IN PLACE NAMELY ALONG AND S OF THE I-40
CORRIDOR...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR STORMS TO BECOME SURFACE-BASED
WITHIN A KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY 0-1 KM SRH OF
250-300 M2/S2 PER LITTLE ROCK VWP.  WHILE LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY HAZARD...TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUPERCELLS THAT
CAN BECOME SURFACE-BASED.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 30, 4:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLittle River, Sevier92 min
Apr 30, 5:55 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCHempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier8 hr
Apr 30, 6:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Crittenden and 29 more29 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.