Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 795

August 21, 20116 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 21, 2011, 1:20 PM EDT for 6 states. It took effect at Aug 21, 2011, 1:25 PM EDT. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 21, 2011, 1:20 PM EDT (17:20 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 21, 2011, 1:25 PM EDT
Expired
Aug 21, 2011, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 62 counties

Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Albany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Essex County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Pike County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Addison County, VT, Bennington County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

33 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 21, 1:21 PM EDTTornado WarningALYDutchess39 min
Aug 21, 1:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVCaledonia, Essex, Franklin, Lamoille, Orleans, Washington82 min
Aug 21, 1:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region60 min
Aug 21, 1:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVAddison, Caledonia, Orange, Rutland, Washington, Windsor71 min
Aug 21, 1:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region66 min
Aug 21, 1:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire54 min
Aug 21, 1:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region61 min
Aug 21, 2:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCheshire49 min
Aug 21, 2:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXMerrimack, Sullivan45 min
Aug 21, 2:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCheshire, Hillsborough47 min
Aug 21, 2:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton, Merrimack, Sullivan49 min
Aug 21, 3:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCoos, Grafton55 min
Aug 21, 3:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXBelknap, Carroll, Grafton, Merrimack, Rockingham, Strafford45 min
Aug 21, 3:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region35 min
Aug 21, 4:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXBelknap, Carroll, Coos, Grafton, Merrimack, Strafford45 min
Aug 21, 4:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVEssex64 min
Aug 21, 4:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCarroll, Coos, Strafford39 min
Aug 21, 4:50 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningALYWarren3 hr
Aug 21, 5:04 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBTVEssex4 hr
Aug 21, 5:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWarren, Washington22 min
Aug 21, 5:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVAddison, Orange, Rutland, Washington, Windsor62 min
Aug 21, 5:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVRutland, Windsor61 min
Aug 21, 6:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVChittenden, Franklin, Lamoille, Orleans36 min
Aug 21, 6:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Columbia, Greene, Rensselaer67 min
Aug 21, 6:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYColumbia, Greene, Ulster39 min
Aug 21, 6:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire65 min
Aug 21, 6:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware, Otsego47 min
Aug 21, 7:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVRutland, Windsor29 min
Aug 21, 7:06 PM EDTTornado WarningALYBerkshire39 min
Aug 21, 7:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton, Sullivan41 min
Aug 21, 7:47 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningALYBerkshire3 hr
Aug 21, 7:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin23 min
Aug 21, 7:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXBelknap, Grafton, Merrimack, Sullivan47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-08-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 453 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-08-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 114 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
453 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-97 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1024 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 21, 11:54 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 21, 12:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region8 hr
Aug 21, 3:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC55 min
Aug 21, 7:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC63 min
Aug 21, 4:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerkshire116 min
Aug 21, 3:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBelknap, Carroll, Coos, Grafton, Merrimack, Rockingham and 2 more6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Vermont, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Hampshire, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.