Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 59

March 23, 201122 counties in North Carolina; 43 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 23, 2011, 6:04 PM EDT for 22 counties in North Carolina; 43 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 23, 2011, 6:04 PM EDT (22:04 UTC)
Expired
Mar 24, 2011, 1:00 AM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 65 counties

Alamance County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Amelia County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King William County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 23, 6:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Durham, Guilford, Orange, Person39 min
Mar 23, 6:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Nottoway51 min
Mar 23, 7:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Powhatan39 min
Mar 23, 7:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDurham, Franklin, Granville, Orange, Vance, Wake59 min
Mar 23, 9:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHGranville, Person47 min
Mar 23, 9:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQEssex, King and Queen, King William, Lancaster, Middlesex, Northumberland and 1 more21 min
Mar 23, 10:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDurham, Franklin, Granville, Wake46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2011-03-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2011-03-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 199 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1256 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
199 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
271 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 23, 3:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Avery, Caldwell, Mitchell, Watauga and 2 more37 min
Mar 23, 3:45 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke and 21 more6 hr
Mar 23, 4:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Ashe, Avery and 53 more57 min
Mar 23, 7:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Ashe, Avery and 53 more65 min
Mar 23, 12:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Dickenson88 min
Mar 23, 1:13 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBuchanan, Dickenson7 hr
Mar 23, 3:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbemarle, Alleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Augusta, Bath and 51 more96 min
Mar 23, 4:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbemarle, Arlington, Augusta, Clarke, Culpeper, Fairfax and 27 more5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.