Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 56

March 23, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 23, 2011, 3:45 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 23, 2011, 3:45 PM EDT (19:45 UTC)
Expired
Mar 23, 2011, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 108 counties

Alexander County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Washington County, TN, Alleghany County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Carroll County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Norton, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Craig County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Giles County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Lee County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA, Wythe County, VA, Greenbrier County, WV, Mercer County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Summers County, WV

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 23, 4:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXWashington30 min
Mar 23, 4:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKGiles, Tazewell59 min
Mar 23, 4:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBland, Tazewell41 min
Mar 23, 4:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXGreene, Hancock, Hawkins, Sullivan, Washington51 min
Mar 23, 4:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Knox, Roane39 min
Mar 23, 4:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Botetourt, Craig, City of Covington43 min
Mar 23, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCarroll, Floyd, Patrick, Pulaski, Wythe, City of Galax63 min
Mar 23, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCarter, Johnson, Sullivan, Washington46 min
Mar 23, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Amherst, Bath, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Lexington57 min
Mar 23, 5:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Bedford, Botetourt, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Lexington26 min
Mar 23, 5:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Ashe, Watauga, Wilkes57 min
Mar 23, 5:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKFranklin, Henry, Patrick, Pittsylvania, City of Danville, City of Martinsville65 min
Mar 23, 5:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Stokes, Surry, Wilkes, Yadkin54 min
Mar 23, 6:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCarter, Johnson20 min
Mar 23, 6:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham58 min
Mar 23, 6:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Bath62 min
Mar 23, 7:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Hancock, Knox, Morgan and 2 more60 min
Mar 23, 7:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXRussell, Washington33 min
Mar 23, 7:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBland, Giles, Pulaski, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe and 1 more63 min
Mar 23, 8:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCarter, Hancock, Hawkins, Johnson, Sullivan, Washington62 min
Mar 23, 8:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham, Stokes56 min
Mar 23, 8:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Blount, Claiborne, Cocke, Grainger, Greene and 12 more54 min
Mar 23, 8:40 PM EDTTornado WarningMRXBledsoe, Loudon, McMinn, Meigs, Monroe, Polk and 2 more50 min
Mar 23, 8:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Bradley, Hamilton, McMinn, Marion, Meigs and 2 more66 min
Mar 23, 9:00 PM EDTTornado WarningMRXBlount, Knox, Loudon, Monroe, Roane45 min
Mar 23, 9:02 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham21 min
Mar 23, 9:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKHalifax, Henry, Pittsylvania, City of Danville32 min
Mar 23, 9:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham, Stokes63 min
Mar 23, 9:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCarter, Cocke, Greene, Jefferson, Sevier, Unicoi and 1 more46 min
Mar 23, 9:41 PM EDTTornado WarningMRXBlount, Loudon, Monroe, Sevier49 min
Mar 23, 9:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAvery24 min
Mar 23, 9:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCherokee52 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 226 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-03-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-03-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 27 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1642 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
27 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
119 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

327 
WWUS20 KWNS 231946
SEL6
SPC WW 231946
NCZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-240200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 56
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
       EASTERN TENNESSEE
       SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
       SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROANOKE
VIRGINIA TO 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF KNOXVILLE TENNESSEE.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 55...

DISCUSSION...SEMI-DISCRETE STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO
STEADILY PROGRESS EASTWARD THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
FROM EASTERN TN INTO SOUTHWEST VA/WESTERN NC. SEVERE HAIL/WINDS WILL
BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST
AS WELL GIVEN THE DEGREE OF LOW LEVEL SHEAR.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27040.


...GUYER

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 23, 3:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Avery, Caldwell, Mitchell, Watauga and 2 more37 min
Mar 23, 4:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Ashe, Avery and 53 more57 min
Mar 23, 6:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Bertie, Chatham, Davidson, Durham, Edgecombe and 16 more7 hr
Mar 23, 7:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Ashe, Avery and 53 more65 min
Mar 23, 2:40 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bedford, Benton, Bledsoe, Campbell, Cannon and 62 more65 min
Mar 23, 5:06 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBedford, Benton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester and 50 more6 hr
Mar 23, 12:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Dickenson88 min
Mar 23, 1:13 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBuchanan, Dickenson7 hr
Mar 23, 3:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbemarle, Alleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Augusta, Bath and 51 more96 min
Mar 23, 4:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbemarle, Arlington, Augusta, Clarke, Culpeper, Fairfax and 27 more5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2011Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2011Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.