Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 56
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 23, 2011, 3:45 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 23, 2011, 3:45 PM EDT (19:45 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 23, 2011, 10:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 108 counties
Alexander County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Washington County, TN, Alleghany County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Carroll County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Norton, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Craig County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Giles County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Lee County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA, Wythe County, VA, Greenbrier County, WV, Mercer County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Summers County, WV
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 4:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Washington | 30 min |
| Mar 23, 4:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Giles, Tazewell | 59 min |
| Mar 23, 4:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Bland, Tazewell | 41 min |
| Mar 23, 4:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Greene, Hancock, Hawkins, Sullivan, Washington | 51 min |
| Mar 23, 4:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Anderson, Knox, Roane | 39 min |
| Mar 23, 4:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Alleghany, Botetourt, Craig, City of Covington | 43 min |
| Mar 23, 4:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Carroll, Floyd, Patrick, Pulaski, Wythe, City of Galax | 63 min |
| Mar 23, 4:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Carter, Johnson, Sullivan, Washington | 46 min |
| Mar 23, 4:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Alleghany, Amherst, Bath, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Lexington | 57 min |
| Mar 23, 5:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Amherst, Bedford, Botetourt, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Lexington | 26 min |
| Mar 23, 5:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Alleghany, Ashe, Watauga, Wilkes | 57 min |
| Mar 23, 5:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Franklin, Henry, Patrick, Pittsylvania, City of Danville, City of Martinsville | 65 min |
| Mar 23, 5:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Alleghany, Stokes, Surry, Wilkes, Yadkin | 54 min |
| Mar 23, 6:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Carter, Johnson | 20 min |
| Mar 23, 6:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Caswell, Rockingham | 58 min |
| Mar 23, 6:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Alleghany, Bath | 62 min |
| Mar 23, 7:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Anderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Hancock, Knox, Morgan and 2 more | 60 min |
| Mar 23, 7:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Russell, Washington | 33 min |
| Mar 23, 7:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Bland, Giles, Pulaski, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe and 1 more | 63 min |
| Mar 23, 8:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Carter, Hancock, Hawkins, Johnson, Sullivan, Washington | 62 min |
| Mar 23, 8:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Caswell, Rockingham, Stokes | 56 min |
| Mar 23, 8:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Anderson, Blount, Claiborne, Cocke, Grainger, Greene and 12 more | 54 min |
| Mar 23, 8:40 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MRX | Bledsoe, Loudon, McMinn, Meigs, Monroe, Polk and 2 more | 50 min |
| Mar 23, 8:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Bledsoe, Bradley, Hamilton, McMinn, Marion, Meigs and 2 more | 66 min |
| Mar 23, 9:00 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MRX | Blount, Knox, Loudon, Monroe, Roane | 45 min |
| Mar 23, 9:02 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RNK | Caswell, Rockingham | 21 min |
| Mar 23, 9:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Halifax, Henry, Pittsylvania, City of Danville | 32 min |
| Mar 23, 9:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Caswell, Rockingham, Stokes | 63 min |
| Mar 23, 9:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Carter, Cocke, Greene, Jefferson, Sevier, Unicoi and 1 more | 46 min |
| Mar 23, 9:41 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MRX | Blount, Loudon, Monroe, Sevier | 49 min |
| Mar 23, 9:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Avery | 24 min |
| Mar 23, 9:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Cherokee | 52 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 226 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1642 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 27 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 119 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
327
WWUS20 KWNS 231946
SEL6
SPC WW 231946
NCZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-240200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 56
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN TENNESSEE
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROANOKE
VIRGINIA TO 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF KNOXVILLE TENNESSEE. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 55...
DISCUSSION...SEMI-DISCRETE STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO
STEADILY PROGRESS EASTWARD THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
FROM EASTERN TN INTO SOUTHWEST VA/WESTERN NC. SEVERE HAIL/WINDS WILL
BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST
AS WELL GIVEN THE DEGREE OF LOW LEVEL SHEAR.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27040.
...GUYERSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 3:38 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Caldwell, Mitchell, Watauga and 2 more | 37 min |
| Mar 23, 4:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Ashe, Avery and 53 more | 57 min |
| Mar 23, 6:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Alamance, Bertie, Chatham, Davidson, Durham, Edgecombe and 16 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 23, 7:10 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Ashe, Avery and 53 more | 65 min |
| Mar 23, 2:40 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bedford, Benton, Bledsoe, Campbell, Cannon and 62 more | 65 min |
| Mar 23, 5:06 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bedford, Benton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester and 50 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 23, 12:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buchanan, Dickenson | 88 min |
| Mar 23, 1:13 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Buchanan, Dickenson | 7 hr |
| Mar 23, 3:54 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Albemarle, Alleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Augusta, Bath and 51 more | 96 min |
| Mar 23, 4:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Albemarle, Arlington, Augusta, Clarke, Culpeper, Fairfax and 27 more | 5 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2011Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2011Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.