Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 569

June 28, 201128 counties in Arkansas; 26 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 28, 2011, 7:06 AM CDT for 28 counties in Arkansas; 26 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 28, 2011, 7:06 AM CDT (12:06 UTC)
Expired
Jun 28, 2011, 12:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 54 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Conway County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 28, 7:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Crittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett, St. Francis29 min
Jun 28, 7:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie, White, Woodruff34 min
Jun 28, 7:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Van Buren, White24 min
Jun 28, 7:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, Poinsett, St. Francis42 min
Jun 28, 7:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie25 min
Jun 28, 8:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Pope28 min
Jun 28, 8:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Prairie26 min
Jun 28, 8:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Perry, Pope, Pulaski, Yell34 min
Jun 28, 8:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee, St. Francis45 min
Jun 28, 8:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Perry, Saline28 min
Jun 28, 8:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline33 min
Jun 28, 8:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Lafayette, Marshall, Panola, Tate, Tippah48 min
Jun 28, 9:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Pulaski, Saline32 min
Jun 28, 9:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Benton, Lafayette, Marshall, Prentiss, Tippah and 1 more41 min
Jun 28, 10:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery, Perry, Saline, Yell26 min
Jun 28, 10:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Itawamba, Lee, Prentiss, Tippah, Tishomingo and 1 more50 min
Jun 28, 10:11 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGAlcorn3 hr
Jun 28, 10:16 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGTishomingo3 hr
Jun 28, 10:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Saline37 min
Jun 28, 10:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Hot Spring, Saline44 min
Jun 28, 10:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery, Scott51 min
Jun 28, 11:09 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGLee3 hr
Jun 28, 11:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Hot Spring, Saline34 min
Jun 28, 11:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Hot Spring, Montgomery38 min
Jun 28, 11:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring25 min
Jun 28, 11:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Hot Spring34 min
Jun 28, 11:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 88 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-06-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2921 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-06-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 74 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2921 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-88 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1168 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
74 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
87 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 27, 7:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Fulton and 9 more115 min
Jun 28, 4:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Cleburne and 25 more82 min
Jun 28, 4:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead and 20 more8 hr
Jun 28, 6:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Crittenden and 28 more86 min
Jun 28, 9:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Dallas, Drew and 1 more113 min
Jun 28, 10:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshley, Chicot8 hr
Jun 28, 11:42 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Columbia, Dallas, Garland and 13 more93 min
Jun 28, 11:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Conway and 28 more7 hr
Jun 28, 3:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 27 more96 min
Jun 28, 6:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 3 more96 min
Jun 28, 6:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Prentiss, Tippah, Tishomingo97 min
Jun 28, 3:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Claiborne, Clarke, Copiah, Covington, Franklin and 6 more116 min
Jun 28, 1:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Cocke, Greene, Johnson, Sullivan, Unicoi and 1 more91 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Mississippi, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.