Alert archive / Tennessee / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 933

May 24, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 24, 2011, 4:27 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 63 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2011, 4:27 PM EDT (20:27 UTC)
Expired
May 24, 2011, 5:30 PM EDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 35 counties

Bell County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Anderson County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Union County, TN, Washington County, TN, Buchanan County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Norton, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Lee County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA, McDowell County, WV

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 282 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2011-05-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 739 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2011-05-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 181 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
739 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-100 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
768 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
181 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

014 
ACUS11 KWNS 242028
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242027
VAZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-NCZ000-242130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0933
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0327 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE/ERN TN...SERN KY...SWRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 357...

VALID 242027Z - 242130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 357
CONTINUES.

ONGOING TSTM CLUSTERS WILL POSE A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS...SEVERE
HAIL AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO AS ACTIVITY LIKELY EVOLVES EWD AS
THE AIR MASS CONTINUES TO RECOVER IN THE WAKE OF AN EARLIER MCS THIS
MORNING. INTERPOLATED VWP DATA FROM JKL/MRX SUGGEST 30-45 KT W/SWLYS
AT 2-4 KM AGL WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED STRUCTURES AND
POSSIBLE UPSCALE GROWTH TO AN MCS AS THE SURFACE COLD POOL
STRENGTHENS.

UPSTREAM IN MIDDLE TN...A DEEP CU FIELD AND SHOWERS PERSIST. THIS
ACTIVITY MAY STRUGGLE TO DEVELOP INTO TSTMS GIVEN SUBSIDENCE
APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IN THE WAKE OF A MID-LEVEL
IMPULSE/REMNANT MCV AND RATHER WEAK LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE.

..GRAMS.. 05/24/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...OHX...

LAT...LON   36258575 36588502 36948359 37428196 37508162 37088143
            36668163 36338192 36038263 35968387 36018476 36048545
            36258575

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 23, 8:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBath, Boyd, Carter, Elliott, Fleming, Greenup and 6 more3 hr
May 23, 8:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Butler, Caldwell, Christian and 21 more58 min
May 24, 6:24 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bell, Casey, Clay and 18 more96 min
May 24, 7:01 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bell, Breathitt, Casey and 38 more8 hr
May 24, 8:34 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Breathitt, Clay, Floyd, Harlan, Jackson and 13 more116 min
May 24, 12:55 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bell, Clay, Clinton and 15 more65 min
May 24, 1:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bell, Clay, Clinton and 14 more6 hr
May 24, 3:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarlan87 min
May 24, 7:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bledsoe, Blount, Campbell, Carter, Claiborne and 26 more59 min
May 24, 10:00 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Bath, Bedford, Bland and 31 more7 hr
May 24, 12:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAmelia, Amherst, Appomattox, Bedford, Botetourt, Brunswick and 41 more90 min
May 24, 12:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAccomack, Albemarle, Amelia, Augusta, Brunswick, Caroline and 66 more5 hr
May 24, 4:43 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBland, Carroll, Floyd, Franklin, Giles, Grayson and 13 more5 hr
May 24, 7:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBland, Carroll, Charlotte, Floyd, Franklin, Grayson and 13 more57 min
May 23, 8:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooke, Hancock83 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.