Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 716

May 10, 20115 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 10, 2011, 9:01 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 59 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2011, 9:01 PM EDT (01:01 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2011, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
59 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 106 counties

Alexander County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Anson County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Avery County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Pender County, NC, Polk County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Union County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Berkeley County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Chesterfield County, SC, Clarendon County, SC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Florence County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Greenville County, SC, Horry County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Lee County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Richland County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Sumter County, SC, Union County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC, York County, SC, Carter County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Washington County, TN, Bland County, VA, Buchanan County, VA, Carroll County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Norton, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA, Wythe County, VA, Logan County, WV, McDowell County, WV

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2011-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 694 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2011-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 109 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
694 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-146 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1286 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
420 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
11.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

916 
ACUS11 KWNS 110101
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110101 
NCZ000-SCZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-110200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0716
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0801 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KY/WRN VA...SWD INTO THE CAROLINAS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 269...

VALID 110101Z - 110200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 269
CONTINUES.

CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER MUCH OF THE WW ALTHOUGH TWO AREAS OF
CONCERN REMAIN.  SEVERAL STRONG/SEVERE STORMS HAVE YET TO MOVE
OFFSHORE ALONG THE SC/NC COAST...BUT THIS ACTIVITY WILL DO SO OVER
THE NEXT HOUR.  IN ITS WAKE...CONVECTION WILL STRUGGLE TO DEVELOP
OVER THE CAROLINAS PRIOR TO WATCH EXPIRATION.

THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT IS TRANSITIONING TO ERN KY AHEAD OF SWD
SURGING MCS.  THIS ACTIVITY IS SPREADING SOUTH AT ROUGHLY 25-30KT
AND THE LEADING EDGE SHOULD APPROACH THE KY/VA/TN BORDER BY 03Z. 
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS MCS.

..DARROW.. 05/11/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...RLX...CAE...GSP...
MRX...JKL...

LAT...LON   35898384 37858196 34507762 32557941 35898384

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 10:18 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell and 16 more27 min
May 10, 10:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba and 13 more4 hr
May 11, 12:14 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke and 17 more61 min
May 11, 2:37 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell and 14 more23 min
May 11, 6:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuncombe, Haywood, Henderson, Jackson, Polk, Transylvania54 min
May 11, 12:41 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAiken, Bamberg, Barnwell, Calhoun, Chesterfield, Clarendon and 11 more3 hr
May 11, 1:35 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerkeley, Charleston, Darlington, Dorchester, Florence, Georgetown and 2 more25 min
May 11, 1:41 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBerkeley, Charleston, Darlington, Dillon, Dorchester, Florence and 5 more3 hr
May 11, 3:34 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerkeley, Charleston, Chesterfield, Colleton, Darlington, Dillon and 7 more56 min
May 10, 11:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBland, Buchanan, Dickenson, Floyd, Giles, Montgomery and 7 more58 min
May 11, 12:37 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCabell, Lincoln, Mingo, Wayne53 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.