Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 720

May 11, 201123 counties in North Carolina; 11 counties in South Carolina; 7 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 11, 2011, 12:14 AM EDT for 23 counties in North Carolina; 11 counties in South Carolina; 7 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 61 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2011, 12:14 AM EDT (04:14 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2011, 1:15 AM EDT
In force
61 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 41 counties

Alexander County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Anderson County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Greenville County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Pickens County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Union County, SC, York County, SC, Carter County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Washington County, TN

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 4.2 hours before the alert went out and 212 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2011-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 694 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2011-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 109 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
694 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-146 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1286 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
420 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
11.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

201 
ACUS11 KWNS 110414
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110414 
SCZ000-NCZ000-VAZ000-TNZ000-110515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0720
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1114 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TN...WRN NC...NRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 273...

VALID 110414Z - 110515Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 273
CONTINUES.

WRN NC MCS HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED AS IT CROSSED THE SRN
APPALACHIANS.  EVEN SO LEADING EDGE OF STRONGEST ACTIVITY IS SURGING
SWD AT ROUGHLY 40KT AND WILL APPROACH THE SRN PORTIONS OF WW273 BY
0530Z.  IF CONTINUED WEAKENING OCCURS THEN A NEW WW MAY NOT BE
NEEDED...OTHERWISE CURRENT SPEED OF CONVECTION WOULD IMPLY SEVERE
WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE AND A NEW WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED DOWNSTREAM
ACROSS SC.

..DARROW.. 05/11/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...CAE...GSP...MRX...

LAT...LON   34388274 36608306 36618091 34378064 34388274

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 9:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Anson, Ashe, Avery, Bladen and 46 more59 min
May 10, 10:18 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell and 16 more27 min
May 10, 10:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba and 13 more4 hr
May 11, 2:37 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell and 14 more23 min
May 11, 6:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuncombe, Haywood, Henderson, Jackson, Polk, Transylvania54 min
May 11, 12:41 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAiken, Bamberg, Barnwell, Calhoun, Chesterfield, Clarendon and 11 more3 hr
May 11, 1:35 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerkeley, Charleston, Darlington, Dorchester, Florence, Georgetown and 2 more25 min
May 11, 1:41 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBerkeley, Charleston, Darlington, Dillon, Dorchester, Florence and 5 more3 hr
May 11, 3:34 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerkeley, Charleston, Chesterfield, Colleton, Darlington, Dillon and 7 more56 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.