Alert archive / Ohio / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 721

May 11, 201118 counties in Kentucky; 27 counties in Ohio; 4 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 11, 2011, 12:37 AM EDT for 18 counties in Kentucky; 27 counties in Ohio; 4 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 53 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2011, 12:37 AM EDT (04:37 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2011, 1:30 AM EDT
In force
53 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 49 counties

Boyd County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Carter County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Adams County, OH, Allen County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Logan County, OH, Madison County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Union County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Cabell County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Wayne County, WV

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 41 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2011-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1068 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2011-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 29 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1068 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-186 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2337 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
82 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

508 
ACUS11 KWNS 110437
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110437 
WVZ000-OHZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-110530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0721
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1137 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...OH...ERN KY...WRN WV

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 272...

VALID 110437Z - 110530Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 272
CONTINUES.

...NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE OH VALLEY...

MOIST LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION HAS PROVEN EFFICIENT IN TSTM
GENERATION ALONG ERN EDGE OF CAP ACROSS THE OH VALLEY.  THIS PROCESS
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE WELL INTO THE PRE-DAWN HOURS AS WLY LOW LEVEL
INFLOW PERSISTS INTO THE FRONT SIDE OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS.  LATEST
RADAR DATA SUGGESTS AN EXPANDING ZONE OF CONVECTION ACROSS WRN/SRN
OH WHICH COULD EASILY EVOLVE INTO ANOTHER SWD SURGING MCS BY 07-08Z.
WILL MONITOR THIS REGION FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

..DARROW.. 05/11/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...IWX...

LAT...LON   41138378 39638217 37418190 37198357 39598380 41288475
            41138378

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 11:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Elliott, Fleming and 16 more58 min
May 11, 1:01 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBath, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Elliott, Fleming and 16 more5 hr
May 11, 5:07 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Elliott, Fleming and 16 more53 min
May 10, 9:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLogan, McDowell59 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in West Virginia, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.