Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 665

April 28, 2011Kent County, Sussex County, Delaware; 13 counties in Maryland; 53 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 28, 2011, 2:00 PM EDT for Kent County, Sussex County, Delaware; 13 counties in Maryland; 53 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 60 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 28, 2011, 2:00 PM EDT (18:00 UTC)
Expired
Apr 28, 2011, 3:00 PM EDT
In force
60 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 68 counties

Kent County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Charles County, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Kent County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Accomack County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2011-04-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 90 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2011-04-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 295 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
90 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-342 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
795 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
295 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
277 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

523 
ACUS11 KWNS 281800
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281800 
DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-DCZ000-281900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0665
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 PM CDT THU APR 28 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...DELMARVA INTO SRN VA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 251...

VALID 281800Z - 281900Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 251 CONTINUES.

TORNADO WATCH 251 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 19Z BUT LOW LEVEL WINDS
HAVE YET TO VEER SIGNIFICANTLY.  THIS HAS ALLOWED AN AXIS OF MODEST
INSTABILITY TO LINGER ACROSS THE TIDEWATER REGION AHEAD OF THE MAIN
COLD FRONT.  THERE IS SOME CONCERN THAT NEW DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR
ALONG WRN FRINGE OF MOIST/INSTABILITY PLUME WHICH WOULD NECESSITATE
AN EXTENSION OF THE ONGOING SEVERE THREAT.  A NEW WW MAY BE REQUIRED
TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS SCENARIO.

..DARROW.. 04/28/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...

LAT...LON   36637840 39127711 39527580 38367497 36557593 36637840

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 8:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex8 hr
Apr 28, 4:05 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex6 hr
Apr 28, 6:21 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle54 min
Apr 28, 9:45 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex6 hr
Apr 28, 10:44 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle61 min
Apr 28, 11:49 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle56 min
Apr 28, 12:27 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery, Washington63 min
Apr 28, 12:41 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAllegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles and 8 more7 hr
Apr 28, 7:38 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Dorchester and 10 more7 hr
Apr 28, 2:41 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCDorchester, Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester6 hr
Apr 28, 6:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDorchester, Saint Mary's, Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester57 min
Apr 27, 9:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Dickenson, Lee, Russell, Scott, Smyth and 5 more53 min
Apr 27, 10:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbemarle, Alleghany, Amelia, Amherst, Appomattox, Arlington and 68 more63 min
Apr 28, 12:34 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Dickenson, Lee, Russell, Scott, Tazewell and 3 more26 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Delaware, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.