Alert archive / Louisiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 207

March 8, 201139 parishes in Louisiana; 25 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 8, 2011, 5:46 PM CST for 39 parishes in Louisiana; 25 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 59 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 8, 2011, 5:46 PM CST (23:46 UTC)
Expired
Mar 8, 2011, 6:45 PM CST
In force
59 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 64 counties

Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Ascension Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 188 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2011-03-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 51 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2011-03-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 276 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
51 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-36 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
513 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
276 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
464 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

064 
ACUS11 KWNS 082346
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082346 
MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-090045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0207
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0546 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN TX...LA...SRN MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 42...

VALID 082346Z - 090045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 42 CONTINUES.

...TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF LA AND SRN MS.  A LONGER
TERM THREAT WILL NECESSITATE A NEW TORNADO WATCH BETWEEN 01-02Z...

WARM SECTOR IS GRADUALLY SPREADING NORTH ACROSS WW42 WITH 70F SFC
DEW POINTS NOTED SOUTH OF WARM FRONT.  THIS WARM FRONT HAS SERVED TO
FOCUS A FAIRLY LARGE MCS WITH A SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED MCV LIFTING
ENEWD AT ROUGHLY 25KT OVER MARION COUNTY MS.  NUMEROUS CELLULAR
UPDRAFTS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS HAVE EVOLVED WITHIN THE
LARGER THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX.  THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
SHIFT EAST OF THE WATCH ACROSS SRN MS WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS YET
TO RECOVER SIGNIFICANTLY.  WITH TIME THE WARM FRONT SHOULD GRADUALLY
LIFT NWD ALLOWING MARITIME TROPICAL AIRMASS TO ENHANCE THE PROSPECT
FOR SFC-BASED SUPERCELLS.

UPSTREAM...NEW UPDRAFTS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED ALONG THE LOWER
SABINE RIVER REGION AND THESE STORMS ARE GRADUALLY MATURING AS THEY
SPREAD NEWD INTO WRN PORTIONS OF WW42.  THIS AREA IS NOT
PARTICULARLY FOCUSED/CONVERGENT BUT AIRMASS IS VERY MOIST AND
SUFFICIENTLY SHEARED FOR A CONTINUED TORNADO THREAT.

..DARROW.. 03/08/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON   32109365 32708915 30238915 29649364 32109365

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 8, 9:52 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Bienville and 38 more53 min
Mar 8, 12:54 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Beauregard and 46 more36 min
Mar 8, 1:08 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu and 33 more9 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.