Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 121

February 23, 201110 counties in Kansas; 6 counties in Missouri; 7 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 23, 2011, 8:43 PM CST for 10 counties in Kansas; 6 counties in Missouri; 7 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 62 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 23, 2011, 8:43 PM CST (02:43 UTC)
Expired
Feb 23, 2011, 9:45 PM CST
In force
62 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 23 counties

Allen County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Barton County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Dade County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Newton County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Craig County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 119 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2011-02-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2011-02-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 310 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1240 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
310 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
310 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

247 
ACUS11 KWNS 240244
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240243
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-240345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0121
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0843 PM CST WED FEB 23 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN OK...SWRN MO...SERN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 240243Z - 240345Z

RETRANSMISSION FOR AWIPS.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME POSSIBLY STRONG...WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP AND MOVE E-NEWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF NERN OK AND SERN KS INTO
SWRN MO THROUGH MID-EVENING. A WW WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

A SLOWLY MOVING COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO CROSS PORTIONS OF SERN
KS AND NERN OK THROUGH MID EVENING. A ZONE OF ELEVATED INSTABILITY
/MUCAPE VALUES AOA 500 J/KG PER 00Z RUC ANALYSIS/ WILL CONTINUE TO
COMBINE WITH FRONTAL CONVERGENCE TO SUPPORT CONVECTIVE INITIATION
ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE CONVECTION IS FORECAST
TO BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO SWRN MO AFTER 02Z. EFFECTIVE BULK WIND SHEAR
MAGNITUDES OF 50-55 KT WILL PROMOTE MARGINAL STORM ORGANIZATION AND
THE THREAT FOR STRONG STORMS. AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT.
HOWEVER...THE LACK OF GREATER INSTABILITY OR STRONGER DEEP-LAYER
FORCING WILL PRECLUDE A MORE ROBUST CONVECTIVE THREAT...AND A WW
WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

..COHEN.. 02/24/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON   38019368 37259372 36719457 36379542 36169647 36469707
            37059648 38229485 38019368

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 24, 11:13 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Clay, Doniphan, Douglas, Geary and 12 more6 hr
Feb 24, 2:34 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot7 hr
Feb 24, 5:20 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Chariton, Clark, Knox, Lewis and 12 more6 hr
Feb 24, 5:26 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin, Mississippi, New Madrid, Pemiscot94 min
Feb 24, 5:54 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCMississippi, New Madrid4 hr
Feb 24, 3:07 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Custer and 17 more113 min
Feb 24, 4:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeckham, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche and 17 more7 hr
Feb 24, 7:47 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCleveland, Cotton, Garvin, Grady, Jefferson, McClain and 3 more118 min
Feb 24, 10:34 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, McCurtain, Pushmataha56 min
Feb 24, 11:25 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Choctaw, Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, McCurtain and 3 more9 hr
Feb 24, 2:39 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, McCurtain, Muskogee, Sequoyah66 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.