Alert archive / Washington / River Flood Warnings in 2011
River Flood Warning 55, NWS Seattle, WA
NWS Seattle, WA issued this river flood warning at Nov 22, 2011, 11:49 AM PST for Thurston County, Washington. It took effect at Nov 23, 2011, 4:00 AM PST. It was in force for 106 min.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 22, 2011, 11:49 AM PST (19:49 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 23, 2011, 4:00 AM PST
- Expired
- Nov 23, 2011, 5:46 AM PST
- In force
- 106 min
- Issued by
- NWS Seattle, WA
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Thurston County, WA
The radar
The Langley Hill radar (KLGX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Deschutes River near Rainier (DSRW1).
- Action stage
- 9 ft
- Minor stage
- 11 ft
- Moderate stage
- 13.5 ft
- Major stage
- 15 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 12079000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
659 WGUS46 KSEW 221949 FLWSEW BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 1149 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WASHINGTON... PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY. DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY. .FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 4 MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE REACH OF THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AND THE DESCHUTES RIVER. THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING WILL REACH FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH MINOR FLOODING CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE DESCHUTES RIVER WILL LIKELY REACH FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT...WITH MINOR FLOODING FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL OVER THESE BASINS HAS AMOUNTED TO 1 TO 3 INCHES SINCE MONDAY...WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 4 INCHES LIKELY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THIS IS THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA. && WAC053-230449- /O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0054.111123T0418Z-111124T0634Z/ /ORTW1.1.ER.111123T0418Z.111123T1200Z.111123T2134Z.NO/ 1149 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING * FROM THIS EVENING TO WEDNESDAY EVENING. * AT 9:45 AM TUESDAY THE FLOW WAS 1260 CFS. * FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD FLOW AROUND 8 PM THIS EVENING AND CREST NEAR 6000 CFS AROUND 4 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD FLOW LATE WEDNESDAY. * IMPACT...AT 4500 CFS...THE PUYALLUP RIVER WILL FLOOD SOME AREAS ALONG THE UPPER PUYALLUP RIVER ABOVE ORTING. AREAS INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO THE NEADHAM ROAD VICINITY...ORVILLE ROAD EAST VICINITY IN AREAS SOUTH OF BROOKS ROAD EAST AND NORTH OF ELECTRON ROAD...AND THE COUNTRY SUBDIVISION/TOMOLLA TREE FARM VICINITY. $$ WAC067-230449- /O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0055.111123T1102Z-111124T0607Z/ /DSRW1.1.ER.111123T1102Z.111123T1800Z.111123T2107Z.NO/ 1149 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER * FROM LATE TONIGHT TO WEDNESDAY EVENING. * AT 10:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 3 AM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 11.4 FEET AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY. * IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE DESCHUTES RIVER WILL FLOOD DOWNSTREAM IN TUMWATER VALLEY INCLUDING THE GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING WILL ALSO OCCUR IN SEVERAL RESIDENTIAL AREAS...MAINLY COUGAR MOUNTAIN AND DRIFTWOOD VALLEY. MANY ROADS AND FARM LANDS WILL ALSO BE FLOODED. $$ MCDONNAL WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
3 follow-up statements
482 WGUS86 KSEW 222343 FLSSEW FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WASHINGTON... PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY. DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY. NEWAUKUM R NR CHEHALIS AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. CHEHALIS RIVER NR DOTY AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. CHEHALIS RIVER AT CENTRALIA AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY. SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY. .FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 5 MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE CHEHALIS... NEWAUKUM...DESCHUTES AND SKOKOMISH RIVERS...AND ALONG THE REACH OF THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING. RAINFALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF WESTERN WASHINGTON HAS RANGED FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES SINCE MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OVER THE OLYMPIC MOUNTAINS AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON. ANOTHER 2 TO 5 INCHES IS LIKELY OVER THESE SAME AREAS THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THIS IS THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA. && WAC045-230843- /O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-111124T0518Z/ /SRPW1.3.ER.111122T1705Z.111122T2030Z.111123T2018Z.NR/ 343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH * UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING. * AT 3:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 16.9 FEET AT NOON TODAY AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY. * IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS...WITH WATER FLOWING QUICKLY OVER EAST BOURGAULT ROAD AND SKOKOMISH VALLEY ROAD. $$ WAC053-230842- /O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0054.111122T2355Z-111124T0648Z/ /ORTW1.1.ER.111122T2355Z.111123T0600Z.111123T2148Z.NO/ 343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING * FROM 4 PM TUESDAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING. * AT 2:45 PM TUESDAY THE FLOW WAS 2770 CFS. * FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD FLOW AROUND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 7000 CFS AROUND 10 PM THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD FLOW LATE WEDNESDAY. * IMPACT...AT 4500 CFS...THE PUYALLUP RIVER WILL FLOOD SOME AREAS ALONG THE UPPER PUYALLUP RIVER ABOVE ORTING. AREAS INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO THE NEADHAM ROAD VICINITY...ORVILLE ROAD EAST VICINITY IN AREAS SOUTH OF BROOKS ROAD EAST AND NORTH OF ELECTRON ROAD...AND THE COUNTRY SUBDIVISION/TOMOLLA TREE FARM VICINITY. $$ WAC067-230842- /O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0055.111123T0528Z-111124T1148Z/ /DSRW1.1.ER.111123T0528Z.111123T1800Z.111124T0248Z.NO/ 343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER * FROM 9 PM TUESDAY UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * AT 2:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9 PM THIS EVENING AND CREST NEAR 13.4 FEET AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE DESCHUTES RIVER WILL FLOOD DOWNSTREAM IN TUMWATER VALLEY INCLUDING THE GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING WILL ALSO OCCUR IN SEVERAL RESIDENTIAL AREAS...MAINLY COUGAR MOUNTAIN AND DRIFTWOOD VALLEY. MANY ROADS AND FARM LANDS WILL ALSO BE FLOODED. $$ WAC041-230842- /O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0050.111123T0736Z-111125T0000Z/ /NEWW1.1.ER.111123T0736Z.111124T0000Z.111124T1500Z.NO/ 343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NEWAUKUM RIVER NEAR CHEHALIS * FROM 12 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 2:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 8 PM THIS EVENING AND CREST NEAR 13.0 FEET AROUND 4 PM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY. * IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL INUNDATE MANY ROADS AND SOME RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS ALONG THE NEWAUKUM RIVER AND ITS FORKS. IMPACTED ROADWAYS INCLUDE STATE ROUTE 508 AND JACKSON HIGHWAY...AS WELL AS SEVERAL SMALLER ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. A STAGE OF 12.7 FEET ON THE NEWAUKUM CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 3 IN THE LEWIS COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM. $$ WAC041-230842- /O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.111122T2352Z-111124T0355Z/ /DOTW1.1.ER.111122T2352Z.111123T1200Z.111123T1855Z.UU/ 343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR DOTY * FROM 4 PM TUESDAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING. * AT 2:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 16.3 FEET AROUND 6 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MIDDAY. * IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS OF THE UPPER CHEHALIS AND SOUTH FORK CHEHALIS WILL INUNDATE MANY ROADS AND SOME RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS. IMPACTED ROADWAYS AND SURROUNDING AREAS INCLUDE CURTIS HILL...LAKE CREEK...MOON HILL...WILDWOOD ROADS IN THE BOISFORT VALLEY AND FRONT STREET BELOW DOTY. A STAGE OF 13.0 FEET ON THE CHEHALIS NEAR DOTY CORRESPONDS TO JUST BELOW PHASE 2 IN THE LEWIS COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM. $$ WAC041-230842- /O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0052.111123T1133Z-111125T1648Z/ /CENW1.2.ER.111123T1133Z.111124T1200Z.111125T0748Z.NO/ 343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT CENTRALIA * FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING. * AT 3:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 53.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 65.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4 AM WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 70.0 FEET AROUND 4 AM THURSDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY NIGHT. * IMPACT...AT 68.5 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN LEWIS COUNTY WILL FLOOD SOME RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS...WITH WATER ENCROACHING UPON THE FIRST FLOOR OF SOME HOMES AND BUSINESSES. SWIFT FLOOD WATERS WILL COVER SOME ROADS. A STAGE OF 68.0 FEET CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 2 FLOOD IN THE LEWIS COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM. $$ WAC067-230842- /O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0053.111123T1324Z-111125T2218Z/ /CGMW1.2.ER.111123T1324Z.111124T1200Z.111125T1318Z.NO/ 343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND * FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 3:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 5 AM WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 16.9 FEET AROUND 8 AM THURSDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 15.5 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY WILL FLOOD SEVERAL ROADS IN INDEPENDENCE VALLEY WITH SWIFTLY MOVING WATER INCLUDING SR-12 AND JAMES...INDEPENDENCE...MOON AND ANDERSON ROADS. FLOOD WATERS WILL CUT OFF ACCESS TO AND FROM CHEHALIS RESERVATION AND INUNDATE NEARBY FARM LANDS. SOME RESIDENTIAL STRUCTURES MAY BE THREATENED. $$ WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
400 WGUS86 KSEW 230539 FLSSEW FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WASHINGTON... CHEHALIS RIVER NR DOTY AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WASHINGTON... SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY. PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY. DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY. CHEHALIS RIVER AT CENTRALIA AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY. NEWAUKUM R NR CHEHALIS AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. .FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 6 MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG MOST OF THE CHEHALIS...NEWAUKUM...DESCHUTES AND SKOKOMISH RIVERS...AND ALONG THE REACH OF THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME MODERATE FLOODING ON THE CHEHALIS NEAR GRAND MOUND. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THE BAND OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY NORTH THIS EVENING TO A LINE FROM ABOUT HOQUIAM TO OLYMPIA TO BETWEEN SNOQUALMIE AND STEVENS PASS NORTHWARD. THIS BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN IS FORECASTED TO REMAIN FAIRLY STATIONARY OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE DROPPING SOUTH INTO NORTHWESTERN OREGON DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS WEDNESDAY. WITH THE SHIFT NORTHWARD OF THE HEAVIER BAND OF PRECIPITATION FORECASTED CRESTS ON THE RIVERS OVER SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON HAVE BEEN REDUCED. THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THE CHEHALIS AT DOTY HAS ENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA. && WAC045-231339- /O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-111124T0909Z/ /SRPW1.3.ER.111122T1705Z.111122T2030Z.111124T0009Z.NR/ 939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH * UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * AT 8:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 17.0 FEET THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN SLOWLY RECEDE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER IS FORECASTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS...WITH WATER FLOWING QUICKLY OVER EAST BOURGAULT ROAD AND SKOKOMISH VALLEY ROAD. $$ WAC053-231339- /O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-111123T2100Z/ /ORTW1.1.ER.111123T1200Z.111123T1200Z.111123T1200Z.NO/ 939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING * FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 8:45 PM TUESDAY THE FLOW WAS 3293 CFS. * FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE AND CREST NEAR FLOOD FLOW AROUND 4 AM WEDNESDAY THEN BEGIN TO FALL. * IMPACT...AT 4500 CFS...THE PUYALLUP RIVER WILL FLOOD SOME AREAS ALONG THE UPPER PUYALLUP RIVER ABOVE ORTING. AREAS INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO THE NEADHAM ROAD VICINITY...ORVILLE ROAD EAST VICINITY IN AREAS SOUTH OF BROOKS ROAD EAST AND NORTH OF ELECTRON ROAD...AND THE COUNTRY SUBDIVISION/TOMOLLA TREE FARM VICINITY. $$ WAC067-231339- /O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0055.111123T1200Z-111123T2100Z/ /DSRW1.1.ER.111123T1200Z.111123T1200Z.111123T1200Z.NO/ 939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER * FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 8:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE AND CREST NEAR FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4 AM WEDNESDAY THEN BEGIN TO FALL. * IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE DESCHUTES RIVER WILL FLOOD DOWNSTREAM IN TUMWATER VALLEY INCLUDING THE GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING WILL ALSO OCCUR IN SEVERAL RESIDENTIAL AREAS...MAINLY COUGAR MOUNTAIN AND DRIFTWOOD VALLEY. MANY ROADS AND FARM LANDS WILL ALSO BE FLOODED. $$ WAC041-231338- /O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0050.111123T0736Z-111125T0000Z/ /NEWW1.1.ER.111123T0736Z.111124T0000Z.111124T1500Z.NO/ 939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NEWAUKUM R NR CHEHALIS * FROM 12 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 8:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 12 AM WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 12.6 FEET AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL INUNDATE MANY ROADS AND SOME RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS ALONG THE NEWAUKUM RIVER AND ITS FORKS. IMPACTED ROADWAYS INCLUDE STATE ROUTE 508 AND JACKSON HIGHWAY...AS WELL AS SEVERAL SMALLER ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. A STAGE OF 12.7 FEET ON THE NEWAUKUM CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 3 IN THE LEWIS COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM. $$ WAC041-230609- /O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-111124T0355Z/ /DOTW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE CHEHALIS RIVER NR DOTY * AT 8:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. * THE RIVER IS FORECASTED TO CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING. $$ WAC041-231338- /O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0052.111123T2206Z-111125T1043Z/ /CENW1.1.ER.111123T2206Z.111124T1200Z.111125T0143Z.NO/ 939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT CENTRALIA * FROM 2 PM WEDNESDAY UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * AT 9:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 55.5 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 65.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 2 PM WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 66.4 FEET AROUND 4 AM THURSDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 65.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN LEWIS COUNTY WILL CAUSE SHALLOW FLOODING OF FARM LANDS AND SOME ROADS. A STAGE OF 65 FEET CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE I FLOOD IN THE LEWIS COUNTY FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM. $$ WAC067-231338- /O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0053.111123T1659Z-111125T1703Z/ /CGMW1.2.ER.111123T1659Z.111124T1200Z.111125T0803Z.NO/ 939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND * FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING. * AT 9:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9 AM WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 15.9 FEET AROUND 4 AM THURSDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 15.5 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY WILL FLOOD SEVERAL ROADS IN INDEPENDENCE VALLEY WITH SWIFTLY MOVING WATER INCLUDING SR-12 AND JAMES...INDEPENDENCE...MOON AND ANDERSON ROADS. FLOOD WATERS WILL CUT OFF ACCESS TO AND FROM CHEHALIS RESERVATION AND INUNDATE NEARBY FARM LANDS. SOME RESIDENTIAL STRUCTURES MAY BE THREATENED. $$ WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
286
WGUS86 KSEW 231346
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
546 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WASHINGTON...
DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY.
CHEHALIS RIVER AT CENTRALIA AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY.
CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY.
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WASHINGTON...
PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY.
NEWAUKUM R NR CHEHALIS AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY.
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 7
SOUTH WEST REGION
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THE FRONT THAT STALLED
OFFSHORE TUESDAY HAS MOVED INLAND THIS MORNING. THE FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST THIS MORNING WITH THE RAIN COMING TO AN END
LATER THIS MORNING.
THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION AREA SHIFTED NORTH TUESDAY NIGHT. DUE TO
THIS SHIFT...THE FORECASTED CRESTS ON THE RIVERS IN SOUTHWESTERN
WASHINGTON HAVE BEEN REDUCED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.
&&
WAC053-232146-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-111124T0912Z/
/ORTW1.1.ER.111123T1240Z.111123T1800Z.111124T0012Z.NO/
546 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 4:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE FLOW WAS 4575 CFS.
* FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 5100 CFS
AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD FLOW LATE
THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 4500 CFS...THE PUYALLUP RIVER WILL FLOOD SOME AREAS
ALONG THE UPPER PUYALLUP RIVER ABOVE ORTING. AREAS INCLUDE BUT
ARE
NOT LIMITED TO THE NEADHAM ROAD VICINITY...ORVILLE ROAD EAST
VICINITY IN AREAS SOUTH OF BROOKS ROAD EAST AND NORTH OF ELECTRON
ROAD...AND THE COUNTRY SUBDIVISION/TOMOLLA TREE FARM VICINITY.
$$
WAC067-231416-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-111123T2100Z/
/DSRW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
546 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER
* AT 4:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATER THIS
MORNING.
$$
WAC041-232146-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0050.111123T0759Z-111125T0000Z/
/NEWW1.2.ER.111123T0759Z.111123T1800Z.111124T1500Z.NR/
546 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NEWAUKUM R NR CHEHALIS
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 4:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 10.6 FEET
AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL INUNDATE MANY ROADS AND
RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS ALONG THE NEWAUKUM RIVER AND ITS
FORKS. A STAGE OF 10.5 ON THE NEWAUKUM ROUGHLY CORRESPONDS TO
PHASE 2 FLOOD IN THE LEWIS COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.
$$
WAC041-231416-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-111125T1043Z/
/CENW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
546 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT CENTRALIA
* AT 5:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 56.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 65.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT.
$$
WAC067-231416-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-111125T1703Z/
/CGMW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
546 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND
* AT 5:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECASTED TO CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT.
$$
FELTON
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLEWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 22, 9:30 AM PST, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 22, 9:30 AM PST, 2 hours 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
930 AM PST WED NOV 22 2011
.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW TO THE
MOUNTAINS OF WEATHER TO WESTERN WASHINGTON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS HAVE SHIFTED SOUTH OF WESTERN
WASHINGTON THIS MORNING BUT WILL CONTINUE TO BE BREEZY ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY. ANOTHER STRONG FRONT WILL BRING MORE WIND TO TO WESTERN
WASHINGTON...POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS ALONG THE COAST AND NORTH
INTERIOR ON THURSDAY. MORE RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW WILL ARRIVE ON
THURSDAY AFTERNOON CAUSING TRAVEL DIFFICULTY ACROSS THE PASSES
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
&&
.SHORT TERM...A VERY WELL DEFINED FRONT PUSHED THROUGH THE N
INTERIOR AROUND 6 AM AND THROUGH PUGET SOUND SHORTLY AFTER 7 AM WITH
ABRUPT WIND SHIFTS FROM THE S TO THE W/SW. DAMAGING WINDS OCCURING
OVERNIGHT ALONG PARTS OF THE COAST AND N INTERIOR WITH GUSTS UP TO
60 MPH REPORTED. WINDS HAVE DIED DOWN DRAMATICALLY ACROSS BASICALLY
ALL OF WRN WA WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS SHIFTING S AND EWD INTO
OREGON. EVEN THE WLY FLOW THROUGH THE STRAIT IS IS SUB ADVISORY
LEVELS AND SW WINDS WE OFTEN SEE COME UP POST FRONTAL IN PUGET SOUND
ARE LIKELY TO JUST BE BREEZY TODAY IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE
SUSTAINED. WILL LIKELY DROP THE CURRENT WIND WARNING FOR THE FOR THE
N INTERIOR SHORTLY. THE WIND ADVISORY FOR SRN SECTIONS WAS ALREADY
DROPPED EARLIER.
THE OTHER CONCERN TODAY IS THE ONGOING PRECIPITATION WHICH HAS
FALLEN AS HEAVY SNOW IN SOME PLACES AND HEAVY RAIN IN OTHERS. THE
WARM AIR MOVED IN UNEVENLY OVERNIGHT WITH PASSES TRAPPING COLD AIR
AND MOST THE CASCADES STAYING MOSTLY AS SNOW ABOVE 3500 FEET LAST
NIGHT. IT APPEARS WE EASILY HIT WINTER STORM CRITERIA WITH SEVERAL
LOCATIONS REPORTING 12-18 INCHES...AND MOUNT BAKER POSSIBLY THE
WINNER WITH 24 INCHES SO FAR. HEAVY RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS LOWER
SLOPES OF THE CASCADES AND ESPECIALLY THE OLYMPICS. THE IMMEDIATE
CONCERN IS FOR BASINS IN THE OLYMPICS...BUT WITH SNOW LEVELS RISING
IN THE CENTRAL CASCADES TODAY THERE ARE OTHER CONCERNS THERE. FOR
HYDRO DETAILS PLEASE SEE THE HYDRO SECTION BELOW.
THE FRONTAL BAND AND HEAVIEST PRECIP HAS SHIFTED SWD...MAINLY
AFFECTING THE CENTRAL CASCADES AND FAR SRN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA THIS MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW COLDER AIR AND LOWER SNOW LEVELS
TO HANG IN ACROSS THE N CASCADES BUT SNOW LEVELS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CASCADES BUT MORE PROBLEMATIC. MODELS SHOW THE MAIN MOISTURE BAND TO
LIFT BAND NWD LATER TODAY AND THIS EVENING AS A WAVE FORMS ALONG THE
BAROCLINIC BAND OFF THE OREGON COAST. LOW PRESSURE RIPPLES NWD AND
EVENTUALLY MOVES MOVES JUST N OF THE CENTRAL CASCADES WHICH WILL
CAUSE SNOW LEVELS TO RISE TO ABOVE 5500 FEET THERE LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT. PASSES WILL BE SLOW TO MIX OUT WITH A WINTRY MIX OF
SNOW/SLEET/AND POSSIBLY FREEZING RAIN BEFORE GOING TO RAIN IN MANY
PLACES. WILL KEEP THE SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE CENTRAL CASCADES AND
OLYMPICS IN PLACE UNTIL 6 PM BUT INDICATE THE MIXED PRECIP POTENTIAL
IN THE PASSES AND THE MAIN SNOW LEVELS RISING. FOR THE N CASCADES IT
APPEARS COLDER AIR WILL HANG IN THERE WITH MOUNT BAKER LIKELY TO
REALLY PILE UP ADDITIONAL SNOW. WILL EXTEND THE WARNING THERE TROUGH
10 AM WEDNESDAY AS THE REST OF THE PRECIP SHOULD FALL AS SNOW
POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET AT TIMES.
THIS FIRST EVENT SLOWLY UNWINDS AS FAR AS SNOW IS CONCERNED
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE WILL BE A SHORT BREAK BETWEEN WEATHER
SYSTEMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
ANOTHER VERY STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM SIMILAR TO THE ONE THAT IS
CURRENTLY AFFECTING WRN WA WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THANKSGIVING DAY.
HIGH WINDS WILL AGAIN BE A BIG CONCERN IN THE SAME SPOTS THAT GOT
HIGH WINDS OVERNIGHT. WILL HOIST A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE
N/CENTRAL COAST...AND FOR THE ADMIRALTY INLET AREA NWD FROM EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS AGAIN COULD GUSTS TO
55-60 MPH IN THOSE SPOTS. PRECIP WILL BE A LITTLE SLOWER TO REACH
THE CASCADES...BY AFTERNOON. WILL DECIDED ON A WINTER STORM WATCH
FOR THE MOUNTAINS BEFORE THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE. THE INITIAL
MODEL RUNS THIS MORNING SUGGEST THAT SNOW LEVELS WILL BE LOWER AND A
FOOT OR MORE OF SNOW COULD BE POSSIBLE IN OLYMPICS AND CASCADES
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...AFFECTING HOLIDAY TRAVEL THROUGH THE
PASSES. MERCER
.LONG TERM...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE
OVER THE AREA FRIDAY FOR A FAIRLY TRANQUIL WEATHER DAY. LONG RANGE
MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH A QUASI-PINEAPPLE EXPRESS TYPE
PATTERN SETTING UP OVER THE WEEKEND...MAINLY POINTED AT VANCOUVER
ISLAND SATURDAY THEN SAGGING SOUTH THROUGH WESTERN WASHINGTON
SUNDAY. DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY AS AN UPPER RIDGE REBUILDS
OVER THE REGION. SCHNEIDER
&&
.HYDROLOGY...TWO FRONTAL SYSTEMS WILL PRESENT A THREAT OF FLOODING
ON WESTERN WASHINGTON RIVERS IN THE SHORT TERM. THE FIRST OF THESE
WAVES MOVED INTO THE AREA LAST NIGHT...BRINGING 2 TO 6 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION TO THE OLYMPIC MOUNTAINS AND DRIVING THE SNOW LEVEL TO
AROUND 5500 FT. LESS PRECIPITATION HAS FALLEN ELSEWHERE...GENERALLY
1 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE CASCADES AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON. THAT
FEATURE IS SHIFTING SOUTHEAST...WITH THE FOCUS OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN
OVER THE SOUTH OLYMPICS...SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON...AND THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTH WASHINGTON CASCADES FOR THE REST OF TODAY.
THE SECOND FRONTAL WAVE WILL SHIFT THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION A BIT
FURTHER NORTH AGAIN TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...BEFORE IT EVENTUALLY
PROGRESSES EASTWARD. IN TOTAL THOUGH...THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
WILL STILL BE CONCENTRATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE
FORECAST AREA. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH 1 TO 2.5 INCHES OVER THE LOWLANDS. THE
SNOW LEVEL WILL BE AROUND 3000 TO 4000 FT.
A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SKOKOMISH RIVER...AND IT WILL
REACH FLOOD STAGE WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS.
A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE OLYMPIC PENINSULA. THE RIVER OF
PRIMARY CONCERN THERE IS THE ELWHA...IN PART DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN
ITS BEHAVIOR SINCE THE DAMS THERE WERE RECENTLY REMOVED.
A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES ALSO FOR THE INTERIOR COUNTIES FROM
SNOHOMISH COUNTY SOUTHWARD. MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE
NEWAUKUM...CHEHALIS...PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING...AND THE
SNOQUALMIE AND STILLAGUAMISH RIVERS.
IT STILL APPEARS THAT THE THREAT OF FLOODING IS LIMITED TO THE MOST
FLOOD-PRONE RIVERS WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. HOWEVER THE LATEST RUN OF
THE HYDROLOGIC MODELS AT THE NWS NORTHWEST RIVER FORECAST CENTER IS
FORECASTING SOMEWHAT HIGHER LEVELS IN THE CHEHALIS BASIN...WITH
MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING A GOOD POSSIBILITY THERE. ELSEWHERE THE
FLOODING THAT DOES OCCUR SHOULD BE RELATIVELY MINOR.
FINALLY IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT A SCENARIO LIKE THIS...WITH
PRECIPITATION ARRIVING IN MULTIPLE SYNOPTIC WAVES...DOES LEAVE A
HIGHER DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY. THE BOTTOM LINE THEN IS STAY TUNED FOR
UPDATES AND REVISIONS TO THE FORECAST. FELTON/MCDONNAL
&&
.AVIATION...THE STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT HEAVY RAIN AND
WINDY CONDITIONS TO NORTHWEST WASHINGTON OVERNIGHT HAS SHIFTED SOUTH
INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN OREGON. THE MOISTURE PLUME ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS FRONT...ALONG WITH STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT...HAS
SHIFTED SOUTHEAST TO A LONE FROM ABOUT THE NORTHERN CASCADES TO
ASTORIA OREGON. THIS AREA OF MOISTURE AND STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL
SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN WILL SAG
SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. THE COMBINATION OF
LIGHTER LOW LEVEL FLOW BELOW 2000 FEET AND RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN
LOWERING CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES INTO THE LOWER END OF MVFR FROM
SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS HOURS. MVFR TO
LOCAL IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH WED
MORNING AS PRECIPITATION FALLS INTO A STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER. WINDS
HAVE EASED TO SW 20-35KT AT 850 MB THIS MORNING. S-SW WINDS 60-75 KT
AT 5000 FT WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.
KSEA...RAIN WILL INCREASE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT. SCT-BKN018 OVC040 WITH OCNL -RA WILL BECOME 4SM RA OVC015
AFTER 22Z AND CONTINUE THROUGH 15Z WED. CONDITIONS GRADUALLY
IMPROVING WED MORNING. WIND S10 KT SHIFTING BECOMING LIGHT THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...BUT WIND AT 050 INCREASING TO S45 KT
00Z...SW 70KT AT 06Z. WIND AT 020 INCREASING TO S 45 KT 02Z-05Z AND
CONTINUING THROUGH ABOUT 15Z WED GIVING LLWS. ALBRECHT
&&
.MARINE...THE STRONG FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE WATERS HAS SHIFTED
SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL OREGON WATERS. THE FRONT WILL LIFT BACK TO
THE NORTH TONIGHT AND MAY RESULT IN A SMALL AREA OF S WIND 30 KT
NEAR GRAYS HARBOR BAR. THE FRONT WILL SHIFT BACK TO THE SE OF THE
AREA WED MORNING. LOCAL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE COAST...THROUGH THE STRAIT...AND OVER THE NORTHERN INLAND
WATERS AS CONTINUE STRONG WINDS ALOFT INTERACT WITH THE TERRAIN.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS WILL CONTINUE
ALONG THE COAST AND AT THE WEST ENTRANCE TO THE STRAIT AS A 15-17 FT
SWELL MOVES IN FROM THE WEST.
ANOTHER STRONG FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WATERS FROM THE WEST WED
NIGHT AND WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE WATERS THU. EXPECT STORM FORCE
WINDS TO DEVELOP ON THE COAST...AT THE EAST ENTRANCE TO THE
STRAIT...AND IN THE NORTHERN INLAND WATERS AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WITH
GALES IN OTHER WATERS EXCEPT PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL. GALE AND
STORM WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON.
YET ANOTHER STRONG FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE WATERS ON
SATURDAY. ALBRECHT
&&
.AVALANCHE...PERFECT STORM OF AVALANCHE CONDITIONS UNFOLDING TUESDAY
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH ABUNDANT VERY WEAK SNOW LAYERS DEPOSITED
SINCE PREVIOUS RAIN EVENT LAST WEDNESDAY NOW BEING STRESSED BY
INCREASINGLY HEAVY SNOW OR RAIN...RISING FREEZING LEVELS...AND VERY
STRONG WINDS. ADD IN SOME VERY WEAK FACETED SNOW NEAR THE GROUND AND
THIS SPELLS DANGER IN ALL CAPS. INCREASING NATURAL ACTIVITY REPORTED
YESTERDAY DURING COLDER SNOWFALL JUST A WARMUP FOR THE NEXT 36
HOURS. HIGH TO EXTREME DANGER INCREASING. MUCH SAFER IN THE
MALLS AND BETTER FOR THE ECONOMY TOO. NO TIME TO BE RECREATING IN
THE MOUNTAINS. MOORE
&&
.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE NORTH AND CENTRAL COAST...AND THE NORTH
INTERIOR FROM THE ADMIRALTY INLET AREA NORTHWARD ON THURSDAY.
.WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTH WASHINGTON CASCADES THROUGH
10 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING.
.WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY OLYMPICS AND CENTRAL CASCADES THROUGH 6
PM PST.
.FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF
WESTERN WASHINGTON.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY COAST...STRAIT...AND NORTHERN INLAND
WATERS.
.SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY GRAYS HARBOR BAR FOR SEVERE BAR CONDITIONS.
YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML.
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLEIn the hours before
Local storm report, Nov 22, 7:54 AM PST, 3 hours 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
754 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN N HAMMA HAMMA 47.53N 123.05W
11/22/2011 M3.29 INCH MASON WA TRAINED SPOTTER
RAINFALL TOTAL IN LILLIWAUP AREA BETWEEN 5 PM AND 7 AM
THIS MORNING.
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 SW BRINNON 47.65N 122.94W
11/22/2011 M3.90 INCH JEFFERSON WA TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR RAINFALL TOTAL ENDING AT 7AM.
0215 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E NOON 48.80N 122.37W
11/22/2011 M57 MPH WHATCOM WA TRAINED SPOTTER
PEAK WIND OF 57 MPH OVERNIGHT.
&&
DDAMICOLocal storm report, Nov 22, 8:34 AM PST, 3 hours 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
834 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 WNW VESTA 46.86N 123.66W
11/22/2011 M2.33 INCH GRAYS HARBOR WA TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR RAINFALL TOTAL ENDING AT 8AM.
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SW MONTESANO 46.97N 123.65W
11/22/2011 M2.14 INCH GRAYS HARBOR WA TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR RAINFALL TOTAL ENDING 8 AM.
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNE WINLOCK 46.52N 122.93W
11/22/2011 M0.50 INCH LEWIS WA TRAINED SPOTTER
HALF AN INCH OF RAIN IN 1 HOUR...BETWEEN 7 AND 8 AM.
&&
DDAMICOLocal storm report, Nov 22, 10:44 AM PST, 1 hour 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1044 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 W BELFAIR 47.45N 122.89W
11/22/2011 M1.67 INCH MASON WA PUBLIC
RAIN IN 12 HOUR PERIOD FROM 930 PM LAST NIGHT TO 930 AM
THIS MORNING.
&&
GRUBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Seattle, WA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2:53 AM PST | Small Craft Advisory | SEW | 94 min | |
| Nov 22, 2:57 AM PST | High Surf Advisory | SEW | 6 hr | |
| Nov 22, 5:51 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Mason | 48 hr |
| Nov 22, 9:01 AM PST | Small Craft Advisory | SEW | 12 hr | |
| Nov 22, 9:53 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Lewis | 44 hr |
| Nov 22, 9:53 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Lewis | 12 hr |
| Nov 22, 9:53 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Lewis | 20 hr |
| Nov 22, 9:53 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Thurston | 20 hr |
| Nov 22, 10:04 AM PST | High Wind Watch | SEW | San Juan | 27 hr |
| Nov 22, 11:49 AM PST | River Flood Warning | SEW | Pierce | 34 hr |
| Nov 22, 2:41 PM PST | Gale Watch | SEW | 24 hr | |
| Nov 22, 2:41 PM PST | Storm Watch | SEW | 24 hr | |
| Nov 22, 2:41 PM PST | Small Craft Advisory for Hazardous Seas | SEW | 36 hr | |
| Nov 22, 2:55 PM PST | Areal Flood Advisory | SEW | Grays Harbor, King, Kitsap, Lewis, Mason, Pierce and 1 more | 12 hr |
| Nov 22, 3:40 PM PST | Gale Warning | SEW | 8 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Washington, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.