Alert archive / Washington / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 49, NWS Seattle, WA

November 22, 2011Mason County, Washington

NWS Seattle, WA issued this river flood warning at Nov 22, 2011, 5:51 AM PST for Mason County, Washington. It took effect at Nov 22, 2011, 9:06 AM PST. It was in force for 44 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 22, 2011, 5:51 AM PST (13:51 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 22, 2011, 9:06 AM PST
Expired
Nov 24, 2011, 5:25 AM PST
In force
44 hr
Issued by
NWS Seattle, WA
Flood severity
Minor

County Mason County, WA

The radar

The Langley Hill radar (KLGX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Skokomish River near Potlatch (SRPW1). The gauge peaked at 17.33 ft at Nov 23, 2011, 6:00 AM PST.

actionminormoderatemajor1214161811/2211/2311/2411/25
Action stage
15 ft
Minor stage
16.5 ft
Moderate stage
17.5 ft
Major stage
18 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 12061500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

361 
WGUS46 KSEW 221351
FLWSEW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
551 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WASHINGTON...

  SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY.

.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 1

HEAVY RAIN OVER THE OLYMPICS MOUNTAIN OVERNIGHT INTO TODAY WILL
DRIVE THE SKOKOMISH RIVER ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC045-222251-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0049.111122T2345Z-111124T0338Z/
/SRPW1.1.ER.111122T2345Z.111123T1200Z.111123T1838Z.NO/
551 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  4:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 1 PM 
  TUESDAY AND CREST NEAR 16.8 FEET AROUND 4 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS...WITH WATER FLOWING QUICKLY OVER EAST 
  BOURGAULT ROAD AND SKOKOMISH VALLEY ROAD.

$$

WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
8 follow-up statements
737 
WGUS86 KSEW 221713
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
913 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 2

THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL REACH FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10 AM THIS MORNING
AS A RESULT OF THE HEAVY RAIN THAT FELL OVER THE OLYMPIC MOUNTAINS 
LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING. FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY.

UP TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN FELL OVER THE SOUTH SLOPES OF THE OLYMPICS 
DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS...WITH ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES LIKELY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC045-230213-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0049.111122T1706Z-111124T0518Z/
/SRPW1.1.ER.111122T1706Z.111122T1800Z.111123T2018Z.NO/
913 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH
* FROM 9 AM TUESDAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10 AM 
  TUESDAY AND CREST NEAR 16.9 FEET AROUND NOON TUESDAY. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS...WITH WATER FLOWING QUICKLY OVER EAST 
  BOURGAULT ROAD AND SKOKOMISH VALLEY ROAD.

$$

MCDONNAL
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
482 
WGUS86 KSEW 222343
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY. 
  DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY. 
  NEWAUKUM R NR CHEHALIS AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER NR DOTY AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER AT CENTRALIA AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY. 
  SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 5

MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE CHEHALIS...
NEWAUKUM...DESCHUTES AND SKOKOMISH RIVERS...AND ALONG THE REACH OF
THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING. 

RAINFALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF WESTERN WASHINGTON HAS RANGED
FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES SINCE MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
OVER THE OLYMPIC MOUNTAINS AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHWEST
WASHINGTON. ANOTHER 2 TO 5 INCHES IS LIKELY OVER THESE SAME AREAS
THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC045-230843-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-111124T0518Z/
/SRPW1.3.ER.111122T1705Z.111122T2030Z.111123T2018Z.NR/
343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING. 
* AT  3:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 16.9 FEET AT NOON TODAY AND WILL
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS...WITH WATER FLOWING QUICKLY OVER EAST 
  BOURGAULT ROAD AND SKOKOMISH VALLEY ROAD.

$$

WAC053-230842-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0054.111122T2355Z-111124T0648Z/
/ORTW1.1.ER.111122T2355Z.111123T0600Z.111123T2148Z.NO/
343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING
* FROM 4 PM TUESDAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  2:45 PM TUESDAY THE FLOW WAS 2770 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD FLOW AROUND 4 PM THIS
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 7000 CFS AROUND 10 PM THIS EVENING. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD FLOW LATE WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 4500 CFS...THE PUYALLUP RIVER WILL FLOOD SOME AREAS 
  ALONG THE UPPER PUYALLUP RIVER ABOVE ORTING.  AREAS INCLUDE BUT ARE
  NOT LIMITED TO THE NEADHAM ROAD VICINITY...ORVILLE ROAD EAST 
  VICINITY IN AREAS SOUTH OF BROOKS ROAD EAST AND NORTH OF ELECTRON 
  ROAD...AND THE COUNTRY SUBDIVISION/TOMOLLA TREE FARM VICINITY.

$$

WAC067-230842-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0055.111123T0528Z-111124T1148Z/
/DSRW1.1.ER.111123T0528Z.111123T1800Z.111124T0248Z.NO/
343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER
* FROM 9 PM TUESDAY UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  2:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9 PM 
  THIS EVENING AND CREST NEAR 13.4 FEET AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE DESCHUTES RIVER WILL FLOOD DOWNSTREAM
  IN TUMWATER VALLEY INCLUDING THE GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING WILL 
  ALSO OCCUR IN SEVERAL RESIDENTIAL AREAS...MAINLY COUGAR MOUNTAIN 
  AND DRIFTWOOD VALLEY. MANY ROADS AND FARM LANDS WILL ALSO BE 
  FLOODED.

$$

WAC041-230842-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0050.111123T0736Z-111125T0000Z/
/NEWW1.1.ER.111123T0736Z.111124T0000Z.111124T1500Z.NO/
343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEWAUKUM RIVER NEAR CHEHALIS
* FROM 12 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  2:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 8 PM THIS
  EVENING AND CREST NEAR 13.0 FEET AROUND 4 PM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL INUNDATE MANY ROADS AND
  SOME RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS ALONG THE NEWAUKUM RIVER AND
  ITS FORKS. IMPACTED ROADWAYS INCLUDE STATE ROUTE 508 AND JACKSON
  HIGHWAY...AS WELL AS SEVERAL SMALLER ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. A STAGE
  OF 12.7 FEET ON THE NEWAUKUM CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 3 IN THE LEWIS
  COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC041-230842-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0051.111122T2352Z-111124T0355Z/
/DOTW1.1.ER.111122T2352Z.111123T1200Z.111123T1855Z.UU/
343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR DOTY
* FROM 4 PM TUESDAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  2:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND MIDNIGHT
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 16.3 FEET AROUND 6 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MIDDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS OF THE UPPER CHEHALIS AND
  SOUTH FORK CHEHALIS WILL INUNDATE MANY ROADS AND SOME RESIDENTIAL
  AND COMMERCIAL AREAS.  IMPACTED ROADWAYS AND SURROUNDING AREAS
  INCLUDE CURTIS HILL...LAKE CREEK...MOON HILL...WILDWOOD ROADS IN
  THE BOISFORT VALLEY AND FRONT STREET BELOW DOTY. A STAGE OF
  13.0 FEET ON THE CHEHALIS NEAR DOTY CORRESPONDS TO JUST BELOW PHASE
  2 IN THE LEWIS COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC041-230842-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0052.111123T1133Z-111125T1648Z/
/CENW1.2.ER.111123T1133Z.111124T1200Z.111125T0748Z.NO/
343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT CENTRALIA
* FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 53.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 65.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 70.0 FEET AROUND 4 AM THURSDAY. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 68.5 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN LEWIS COUNTY WILL 
  FLOOD SOME RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS...WITH WATER 
  ENCROACHING UPON THE FIRST FLOOR OF SOME HOMES AND BUSINESSES. 
  SWIFT FLOOD WATERS WILL COVER SOME ROADS. A STAGE OF 68.0 FEET 
  CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 2 FLOOD IN THE LEWIS COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC067-230842-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0053.111123T1324Z-111125T2218Z/
/CGMW1.2.ER.111123T1324Z.111124T1200Z.111125T1318Z.NO/
343 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND
* FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  3:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 5 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 16.9 FEET AROUND 8 AM THURSDAY. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.5 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY WILL 
  FLOOD SEVERAL ROADS IN INDEPENDENCE VALLEY WITH SWIFTLY MOVING 
  WATER INCLUDING SR-12 AND JAMES...INDEPENDENCE...MOON AND ANDERSON 
  ROADS. FLOOD WATERS WILL CUT OFF ACCESS TO AND FROM CHEHALIS 
  RESERVATION AND INUNDATE NEARBY FARM LANDS. SOME RESIDENTIAL 
  STRUCTURES MAY BE THREATENED.

$$

WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
400 
WGUS86 KSEW 230539
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  CHEHALIS RIVER NR DOTY AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY. 
  PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY. 
  DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER AT CENTRALIA AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY. 
  NEWAUKUM R NR CHEHALIS AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 6

MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG MOST OF THE
CHEHALIS...NEWAUKUM...DESCHUTES AND SKOKOMISH RIVERS...AND ALONG
THE REACH OF THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING. THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY OF SOME MODERATE FLOODING ON THE CHEHALIS NEAR GRAND
MOUND. 

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THE BAND OF 
HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY NORTH THIS EVENING TO A 
LINE FROM ABOUT HOQUIAM TO OLYMPIA TO BETWEEN SNOQUALMIE AND STEVENS
PASS NORTHWARD. THIS BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN IS FORECASTED TO REMAIN
FAIRLY STATIONARY OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE
DROPPING SOUTH INTO NORTHWESTERN OREGON DURING THE MID TO LATE
MORNING HOURS WEDNESDAY.

WITH THE SHIFT NORTHWARD OF THE HEAVIER BAND OF PRECIPITATION 
FORECASTED CRESTS ON THE RIVERS OVER SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON HAVE
BEEN REDUCED. THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THE CHEHALIS AT DOTY HAS ENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC045-231339-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-111124T0909Z/
/SRPW1.3.ER.111122T1705Z.111122T2030Z.111124T0009Z.NR/
939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 
* AT  8:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 17.0 FEET THROUGH WEDNESDAY   
MORNING THEN SLOWLY RECEDE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER IS
FORECASTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS...WITH WATER FLOWING QUICKLY OVER EAST 
  BOURGAULT ROAD AND SKOKOMISH VALLEY ROAD.

$$

WAC053-231339-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-111123T2100Z/
/ORTW1.1.ER.111123T1200Z.111123T1200Z.111123T1200Z.NO/
939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING
* FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:45 PM TUESDAY THE FLOW WAS 3293 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE AND CREST NEAR FLOOD FLOW AROUND 4 
  AM WEDNESDAY THEN BEGIN TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 4500 CFS...THE PUYALLUP RIVER WILL FLOOD SOME AREAS 
  ALONG THE UPPER PUYALLUP RIVER ABOVE ORTING.  AREAS INCLUDE BUT
ARE NOT LIMITED TO THE NEADHAM ROAD VICINITY...ORVILLE ROAD EAST 
  VICINITY IN AREAS SOUTH OF BROOKS ROAD EAST AND NORTH OF ELECTRON 
  ROAD...AND THE COUNTRY SUBDIVISION/TOMOLLA TREE FARM VICINITY.

$$

WAC067-231339-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0055.111123T1200Z-111123T2100Z/
/DSRW1.1.ER.111123T1200Z.111123T1200Z.111123T1200Z.NO/
939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER
* FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE AND CREST NEAR FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4 
  AM WEDNESDAY THEN BEGIN TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE DESCHUTES RIVER WILL FLOOD DOWNSTREAM
IN TUMWATER VALLEY INCLUDING THE GOLF COURSE.  MINOR FLOODING WILL 
ALSO OCCUR IN SEVERAL RESIDENTIAL AREAS...MAINLY COUGAR MOUNTAIN 
AND DRIFTWOOD VALLEY. MANY ROADS AND FARM LANDS WILL ALSO BE 
FLOODED.

$$

WAC041-231338-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0050.111123T0736Z-111125T0000Z/
/NEWW1.1.ER.111123T0736Z.111124T0000Z.111124T1500Z.NO/
939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEWAUKUM R NR CHEHALIS
* FROM 12 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 12 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 12.6 FEET AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. THE
RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL INUNDATE MANY ROADS AND
  SOME RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS ALONG THE NEWAUKUM RIVER AND
  ITS FORKS. IMPACTED ROADWAYS INCLUDE STATE ROUTE 508 AND JACKSON
  HIGHWAY...AS WELL AS SEVERAL SMALLER ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. A STAGE
  OF 12.7 FEET ON THE NEWAUKUM CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 3 IN THE LEWIS
  COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC041-230609-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-111124T0355Z/
/DOTW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER NR DOTY
* AT  8:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECASTED TO CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY
MORNING.


$$

WAC041-231338-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0052.111123T2206Z-111125T1043Z/
/CENW1.1.ER.111123T2206Z.111124T1200Z.111125T0143Z.NO/
939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT CENTRALIA
* FROM 2 PM WEDNESDAY UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 55.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 65.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 2 PM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 66.4 FEET AROUND 4 AM THURSDAY. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 65.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN LEWIS COUNTY WILL 
  CAUSE SHALLOW FLOODING OF FARM LANDS AND SOME ROADS.  A STAGE OF
65 FEET CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE I FLOOD IN THE LEWIS COUNTY FLOOD 
  WARNING SYSTEM.

$$

WAC067-231338-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0053.111123T1659Z-111125T1703Z/
/CGMW1.2.ER.111123T1659Z.111124T1200Z.111125T0803Z.NO/
939 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND
* FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 15.9 FEET AROUND 4 AM THURSDAY. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.5 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY WILL 
  FLOOD SEVERAL ROADS IN INDEPENDENCE VALLEY WITH SWIFTLY MOVING 
  WATER INCLUDING SR-12 AND JAMES...INDEPENDENCE...MOON AND ANDERSON 
  ROADS. FLOOD WATERS WILL CUT OFF ACCESS TO AND FROM CHEHALIS 
  RESERVATION AND INUNDATE NEARBY FARM LANDS.  SOME RESIDENTIAL 
  STRUCTURES MAY BE THREATENED.

$$

WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
601 
WGUS46 KSEW 231350
FLWSEW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
550 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MAJOR SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WASHINGTON...

  SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY.

.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 8

HEAVY RAIN CONTINUED OVERNIGHT IN THE OLYMPICS. THIS WILL PUSH THE
SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH OVER MAJOR FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC045-232250-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-111124T1627Z/
/SRPW1.3.ER.111122T1705Z.111122T2030Z.111124T0727Z.NR/
550 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MAJOR SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  5:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. THE
RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 17.5 FEET LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.5 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE MAJOR 
  FLOODING...WITH DEEP AND QUICK FLOOD WATERS INUNDATING SOME 
  RESIDENTIAL AREAS...MANY ROADS...AND MUCH OF THE FARM LAND IN THE 
  SKOKOMISH VALLEY.   FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALL ALONG THE RIVER 
  INCLUDING HEADWATERS...TRIBUTARIES...AND OTHER STREAMS WITHIN AND 
  NEAR THE SKOKOMISH RIVER BASIN.

$$

WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
876 
WGUS86 KSEW 231919
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1119 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY. 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY. 
  DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER AFFECTING GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY. 
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY. 
  NEWAUKUM RIVER NEAR CHEHALIS AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 11

MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES ON SEVERAL WESTERN WASHINGTON RIVERS AS A
RESULT OF HEAVY RAIN OVER THE PAST TWO DAYS. THE UPPER REACHES OF
MOST RIVERS CRESTED THIS MORNING OR WILL CREST THIS AFTERNOON...AND
CRESTS WILL GRADUALLY MOVE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC045-240419-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-111124T2100Z/
/SRPW1.3.ER.111122T1705Z.111122T2030Z.111124T1200Z.NR/
1119 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 10:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS...WITH WATER FLOWING QUICKLY OVER EAST 
  BOURGAULT ROAD AND SKOKOMISH VALLEY ROAD.

$$

WAC073-240418-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0057.111123T1859Z-111124T1506Z/
/NRKW1.1.ER.111123T1733Z.111123T1815Z.111124T0606Z.NO/
1119 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING. 
* AT 10:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 146.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 146.7 FEET AROUND 4 PM
  WEDNESDAY AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 146.5 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  LYNDEN.

$$

WAC061-240418-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-111124T1343Z/
/ARGW1.2.ER.111123T1718Z.111124T0000Z.111124T0443Z.NO/
1119 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 10:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 14.0 FEET
  AROUND 4 PM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING IN THE CICERO AND SWEDE HEAVEN AREAS...OSO LOOP 
  ROAD...AND SR 530. FLOOD WATERS WILL ALSO CAUSE RIVERBANK EROSION.
  A STAGE OF 14 FEET CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 3 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY 
  FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-240418-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-111124T2016Z/
/ARLW1.1.ER.111123T1543Z.111124T0000Z.111124T0816Z.NO/
1119 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 10:24 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 17.2 FEET
  AROUND 4 PM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE  
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE FLOODING 
  MAINLY IN THE SILVANA AREA...ALONG NORMAN ROAD AND IN FLORENCE. A 
  STAGE OF 17 FEET ON THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO 
  PHASE 3 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

WAC053-240418-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-111124T1427Z/
/ORTW1.1.ER.111123T1244Z.111124T0000Z.111124T0527Z.NO/
1119 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING. 
* AT  9:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE FLOW WAS 6480 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6700 CFS 
  AROUND 4 PM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD FLOW 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 4500 CFS...THE PUYALLUP RIVER WILL FLOOD SOME AREAS 
  ALONG THE UPPER PUYALLUP RIVER ABOVE ORTING. AREAS INCLUDE BUT ARE
  NOT LIMITED TO THE NEADHAM ROAD VICINITY...ORVILLE ROAD EAST 
  VICINITY IN AREAS SOUTH OF BROOKS ROAD EAST AND NORTH OF ELECTRON 
  ROAD...AND THE COUNTRY SUBDIVISION/TOMOLLA TREE FARM VICINITY.

$$

WAC067-240418-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-111124T1554Z/
/DSRW1.1.ER.111123T1742Z.111124T0000Z.111124T0654Z.NO/
1119 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER
* FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE DESCHUTES RIVER WILL FLOOD DOWNSTREAM
  IN TUMWATER VALLEY INCLUDING THE GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING WILL 
  ALSO OCCUR IN SEVERAL RESIDENTIAL AREAS...MAINLY COUGAR MOUNTAIN 
  AND DRIFTWOOD VALLEY. MANY ROADS AND FARM LANDS WILL ALSO BE 
  FLOODED.

$$

WAC041-240200-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111124T0200Z/
/NEWW1.1.ER.111123T1100Z.111123T1500Z.111123T2200Z.NO/
1119 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEWAUKUM RIVER NEAR CHEHALIS
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL INUNDATE MANY ROADS AND 
  RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS ALONG THE NEWAUKUM RIVER AND ITS 
  FORKS. A STAGE OF 10.5 ON THE NEWAUKUM ROUGHLY CORRESPONDS TO
  PHASE 2 FLOOD IN THE LEWIS COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC027-240418-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0060.111124T0655Z-111125T1317Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.111124T0655Z.111124T1800Z.111125T0417Z.NO/
1119 AM PST WED NOV 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
* FROM 11 PM WEDNESDAY UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 11 PM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 21.4 FEET AROUND 10 AM THURSDAY. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR WILL 
  FLOOD LOW PASTURE LANDS AND SOME ROADS. HIGH TIDAL LEVELS AT 
  ABERDEEN WILL WORSEN FLOODING ALONG THE LOWER REACHES.

$$

MCDONNAL
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
097 
WGUS86 KSEW 232348
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
348 PM PST WED NOV 23 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY.
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY.
  DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY. 
  NEWAUKUM RIVER NEAR CHEHALIS AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER AFFECTING GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY. 
  SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 12

THE UPPER REACHES OF WESTERN WASHINGTON RIVERS HAVE CRESTED NOW...AND
THE CRESTS WILL BE MAKING THEIR WAY DOWNSTREAM TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
THE CREST OF THE CHEHALIS RIVER WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRALIA AREA
AND THURSTON COUNTY LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING AND THEN
DOWNSTREAM THROUGH GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.   

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC045-240848-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-111124T2100Z/
/SRPW1.3.ER.111122T1705Z.111122T2030Z.111124T1200Z.NR/
348 PM PST WED NOV 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 3:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS...WITH WATER FLOWING QUICKLY OVER EAST 
  BOURGAULT ROAD AND SKOKOMISH VALLEY ROAD.

$$

WAC073-240018-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-111124T0000Z/
/NRKW1.1.ER.111123T1733Z.111123T2045Z.111123T2229Z.NO/
348 PM PST WED NOV 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* AT 3:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 146.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY 
  AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 146.5 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  LYNDEN.

$$

WAC061-240018-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-111124T1343Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.111123T1718Z.111123T1900Z.111123T2101Z.NO/
348 PM PST WED NOV 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON
* AT 3:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE  1 PM WEDNESDAY 
  EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

WAC061-240848-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-111124T1917Z/
/ARLW1.1.ER.111123T1543Z.111124T0000Z.111124T0717Z.NO/
348 PM PST WED NOV 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING. 
* AT 3:24 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 17.2 FEET
  AROUND 4 PM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE FLOODING 
  MAINLY IN THE SILVANA AREA, ALONG NORMAN ROAD AND IN FLORENCE. A 
  STAGE OF 17 FEET ON THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO 
  PHASE 3 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

WAC053-240848-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-111124T1256Z/
/ORTW1.1.ER.111123T1244Z.111123T2115Z.111124T0356Z.NO/
348 PM PST WED NOV 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 2:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE FLOW WAS 5660 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW
  FLOOD FLOW THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 4500 CFS...THE PUYALLUP RIVER WILL FLOOD SOME AREAS 
  ALONG THE UPPER PUYALLUP RIVER ABOVE ORTING. AREAS INCLUDE BUT ARE
  NOT LIMITED TO THE NEADHAM ROAD VICINITY...ORVILLE ROAD EAST 
  VICINITY IN AREAS SOUTH OF BROOKS ROAD EAST AND NORTH OF ELECTRON 
  ROAD...AND THE COUNTRY SUBDIVISION/TOMOLLA TREE FARM VICINITY.

$$

WAC067-240018-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-111124T1554Z/
/DSRW1.1.ER.111123T1742Z.111123T1830Z.111123T1835Z.NO/
348 PM PST WED NOV 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE DESCHUTES RIVER NEAR RAINIER
* AT 2:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY 
  THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE DESCHUTES RIVER WILL FLOOD DOWNSTREAM
  TUMWATER VALLEY INCLUDING THE GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING WILL 
  ALSO OCCUR IN SEVERAL RESIDENTIAL AREAS...MAINLY COUGAR MOUNTAIN 
  AND DRIFTWOOD VALLEY. MANY ROADS AND FARM LANDS WILL ALSO BE 
  FLOODED.

$$

WAC041-240847-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111125T0130Z/
/NEWW1.2.ER.111123T1100Z.111124T0000Z.111124T1630Z.NR/
348 PM PST WED NOV 23 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEWAUKUM RIVER NEAR CHEHALIS
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 2:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD AROUND 10.5 FEET
  THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL INUNDATE MANY ROADS AND 
  RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS ALONG THE NEWAUKUM RIVER AND ITS 
  FORKS. A STAGE OF 10.5 ON THE NEWAUKUM ROUGHLY CORRESPONDS TO
  PHASE 2 FLOOD IN THE LEWIS COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC027-240847-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0060.111124T1651Z-111126T0449Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.111124T1651Z.111125T0600Z.111125T1949Z.NO/
348 PM PST WED NOV 23 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
* FROM 9 AM THURSDAY UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 2:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9 AM 
  THURSDAY AND CREST NEAR 21.1 FEET AROUND 10 PM THURSDAY. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR WILL 
  FLOOD LOW PASTURE LANDS AND SOME ROADS. HIGH TIDAL LEVELS AT 
  ABERDEEN WILL WORSEN FLOODING ALONG THE LOWER REACHES.

$$

WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
585 
WGUS86 KSEW 240534
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
934 PM PST WED NOV 23 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY.
  PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...

  SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY. 
  NEWAUKUM R NR CHEHALIS AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER AFFECTING GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 13

THE UPPER REACHES OF WESTERN WASHINGTON RIVERS HAVE CRESTED
NOW...AND THE CRESTS WILL BE MAKING THEIR WAY DOWNSTREAM TONIGHT
AND THURSDAY. THE CREST OF THE CHEHALIS RIVER WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
CENTRALIA AREA AND THURSTON COUNTY LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
MORNING AND THEN DOWNSTREAM THROUGH GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY THURSDAY
AND THURSDAY NIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC045-241434-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-111124T2100Z/
/SRPW1.3.ER.111122T1705Z.111122T2030Z.111124T1200Z.NR/
934 PM PST WED NOV 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT  9:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO
BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS...WITH WATER FLOWING QUICKLY OVER EAST 
  BOURGAULT ROAD AND SKOKOMISH VALLEY ROAD.

$$

WAC061-240604-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-111124T1917Z/
/ARLW1.0.ER.111123T1543Z.111123T2224Z.111124T0717Z.NO/
934 PM PST WED NOV 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* AT  9:09 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

WAC053-240604-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-111124T1256Z/
/ORTW1.1.ER.111123T1244Z.111123T2115Z.111124T0321Z.NO/
934 PM PST WED NOV 23 2011

  THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING
* AT  8:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE FLOW WAS 3740 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD FLOW THIS EVENING.

$$

WAC041-241434-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111125T0130Z/
/NEWW1.1.ER.111123T1100Z.111124T0600Z.111124T1630Z.NO/
934 PM PST WED NOV 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEWAUKUM R NR CHEHALIS
* FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL INUNDATE MANY ROADS AND 
  RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS ALONG THE NEWAUKUM RIVER AND ITS 
  FORKS.  FLOODING IN SOME AREAS MAY BE DEEP AND HAZARDOUS
ESPECIALLY
  NEAR RIVERS. IMPACTED ROADWAYS AND SURROUNDING AREAS INCLUDE 
  JACKSON HWY. AND TUNE...RUSH...SOMMERVILLE...GRIEL...HAMILTON...
  TAUSCHER...GUERRIER...KIRKLAND...MACOMBER...RICE...SENN...LUCAS 
  CREEK...MIDDLE FORK AND NORTH FORK ROADS.  A STAGE OF 10.5 ON THE 
  NEWAUKUM ROUGHLY CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 FLOOD IN THE LEWIS COUNTY 
  FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC027-241434-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0060.111124T1651Z-111126T0449Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.111124T1651Z.111125T0600Z.111125T1949Z.NO/
934 PM PST WED NOV 23 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
* FROM 9 AM THURSDAY UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9 AM 
  THURSDAY AND CREST NEAR 21.1 FEET AROUND 10 PM THURSDAY. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR WILL 
  FLOOD LOW PASTURE LANDS AND SOME ROADS. HIGH TIDAL LEVELS AT 
  ABERDEEN WILL WORSEN FLOODING ALONG THE LOWER REACHES.

$$

FELTON
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
509 
WGUS86 KSEW 241325
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
525 AM PST THU NOV 24 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY.
  NEWAUKUM RIVER NR CHEHALIS AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER AFFECTING GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 15

THE CREST OF THE CHEHALIS RIVER WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
CENTRALIA AREA AND THURSTON COUNTY TODAY AND TONIGHT THEN DOWNSTREAM
THROUGH GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY FRIDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC045-241355-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-111124T2100Z/
/SRPW1.3.ER.111122T1705Z.111122T2030Z.111124T1055Z.NR/
525 AM PST THU NOV 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH
* AT  5:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.5 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 2:55 AM THIS
MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL LOCALLY SPILL
OVER ITS BANKS INTO LOW AREAS OF THE SKOKOMISH VALLEY.

$$

WAC041-241355-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111125T0130Z/
/NEWW1.1.ER.111123T1100Z.111124T0145Z.111124T0307Z.NO/
525 AM PST THU NOV 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE NEWAUKUM R NR CHEHALIS
* AT  4:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.5 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE YESTERDAY EVENING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 7 PM WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

WAC067-242224-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0061.111124T2248Z-111125T1700Z/
/CGMW1.1.ER.111124T2248Z.111125T0600Z.111125T0800Z.NO/
525 AM PST THU NOV 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND
* FROM 3 PM THURSDAY UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  5:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10 AM 
  THURSDAY AND CREST NEAR 14.1 FEET AROUND 10 PM THURSDAY. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY WILL 
  FLOOD SEVERAL ROADS IN INDEPENDENCE VALLEY INCLUDING JAMES ROAD...
  INDEPENDENCE ROAD AND MOON ROAD. FLOOD WATERS WILL ALSO COVER 
  NEARBY FARM LANDS.

$$

WAC027-242224-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0060.111125T1800Z-111126T0300Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.111125T1800Z.111125T1800Z.111125T1800Z.NO/
525 AM PST THU NOV 24 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
* FROM 10 AM FRIDAY UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  4:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE AND CREST NEAR FLOOD STAGE AROUND
10 AM FRIDAY THEN BEGIN TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR WILL 
  FLOOD LOW PASTURE LANDS AND SOME ROADS. HIGH TIDAL LEVELS AT 
  ABERDEEN WILL WORSEN FLOODING ALONG THE LOWER REACHES.

$$

FELTON
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 22, 5:35 AM PST, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 22, 5:35 AM PST, 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
535 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

.UPDATE...THE FRONT HAS MOVED ONTO THE COAST. WINDS AT THE COAST
HAVE SHIFTED FROM SOUTH TO WEST AND EASED WELL BELOW HIGH WIND.
THE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE COAST HAS BEEN CANCELED. SCHNEIDER

&&

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING WET AND WINDY WEATHER
TO THE AREA TODAY...WITH GRADUALLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT SAGS SOUTH. ADDITIONAL FAIRLY
STRONG FRONTS WILL BRING MORE WIND AND RAIN THURSDAY AND AGAIN
SATURDAY OR SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY MOVING ONSHORE.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE OCCURRING AT THE COAST AND NORTH INTERIOR THIS
MORNING. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS UNTIL NOON
ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS LIKE WINDS WILL EASE PRETTY QUICKLY THIS MORNING
AFTER DAYBREAK. OTHER AREAS WILL SEE LESSER WINDS...BUT STILL
SOMEWHAT BREEZY IN THE EARLY MORNING. THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THESE
AREAS DID NOT PAN OUT AND WAS CANCELLED. FAIRLY HEAVY RAINS ARE
EXPECTED TODAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS WHICH WILL LEAD TO SOME
FLOODING CONCERNS. SEE THE HYDROLOGY SECTION BELOW FOR FURTHER
DETAILS. SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS IS ALSO A CONCERN AND IS SOMEWHAT
MESSY. CURRENTLY IT IS SNOWING ALL AREAS WITH EASTERLY FLOW THROUGH
THE PASSES. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE RISING TODAY AND THE FLOW WILL
SWITCH TO WESTERLY IN THE PASSES. THIS SHOULD ALLOW SNOW TO CHANGE
OVER TO RAIN FOR THE CENTRAL CASCADES LATER THIS MORNING. THE
ADVISORY FOR THE CENTRAL CASCADES WILL BE EXTENDED THROUGH HE
MORNING HOURS UNTIL THE SNOW LEVELS RISE AND WEST WINDS DEVELOP. FOR
THE NORTH CASCADES...THE SNOW LEVELS WILL ONLY RISE TO AROUND 4000
FEET AND BAKER WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TO SEE HEAVY SNOW FOR MUCH OF
THE DAY BEFORE PRECIPITATION TAPERS TONIGHT AS THE FRONT SAGS SOUTH.
A WINTER STORM WARNING IS UP FOR THIS. THERE WILL LIKELY BE ADVISORY
LEVELS AGAIN TONIGHT...AT LEAST FOR THE NORTH CASCADES WHERE SNOW
LEVELS WILL BE LOWER.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL OVER THE SOUTH PART OF THE FORECAST
AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WOBBLE SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH TONIGHT...THEN
FINALLY WEAKEN AND SAG SOUTH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY. THERE SHOULD BE
A BRIEF DRY PERIOD IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN ANOTHER
STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE THANKSGIVING. THIS SYSTEM IS MORE
PROGRESSIVE AND SHOULD NOT BRING ANY ADDITIONAL FLOODING CONCERNS
BUT IT WILL BE QUITE WINDY AGAIN. A HIGH WIND WATCH MAY EVENTUALLY
BE NEEDED FOR THE COAST AND NORTH INTERIOR. MORE SNOW WILL BE ON TAP
FOR THE MOUNTAINS AS WELL. SCHNEIDER

.LONG TERM...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA FRIDAY FOR A
FAIRLY TRANQUIL WEATHER DAY. LONG RANGE MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT
WITH A QUASI-PINEAPPLE EXPRESS TYPE PATTERN SETTING UP OVER THE
WEEKEND...MAINLY POINTED AT VANCOUVER ISLAND SATURDAY THEN SAGGING
SOUTH THROUGH WESTERN WASHINGTON SUNDAY. DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED
MONDAY AS AN UPPER RIDGE REBUILDS OVER THE REGION. SCHNEIDER

&&

.HYDROLOGY...THERE ARE TWO FRONTAL SYSTEMS PRESENTING A THREAT OF
FLOODING ON WESTERN WASHINGTON RIVERS IN THE SHORT TERM. THE FIRST
SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. RAINFALL TOTALS IN THE
OLYMPICS IN THE PAST 12 HOURS HAVE BEEN AS HIGH AS 3.88 INCHES AT
THE JEFFERSON CREEK SITE. ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED
IN THE OLYMPICS BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH LATER THIS MORNING.
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS IN THE CASCADES HAVE BEEN LOWER WITH THE
HIGHEST TOTAL IN THE LAST 12 HOURS THE 1.42 INCHES REPORTED AT MOUNT
BAKER. THE SNOW LEVEL HAS REMAINED AROUND 4000 FEET IN THE NORTH
CASCADES KEEPING THE PRECIPITATION MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW
OVERNIGHT. IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CASCADES...WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF THE PASSES WHERE EASTERLY FLOW HAS KEPT THE TEMPERATURES BELOW
FREEZING...THE SNOW LEVEL HAS RISEN TO 5000 TO 6000 FEET. ANOTHER 2
TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED TODAY IN THE CASCADES WITH THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION SHIFTING TO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CASCADES THIS
AFTERNOON.

THE SECOND FRONTAL WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 4 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION. THE SNOW
LEVEL WILL SLOWLY LOWER TO THE 3000 TO 4000 FT RANGE ON WEDNESDAY.
THE TREND OF THE MODELS FOR THE SECOND WAVE IS TO SHIFT THE FOCUS OF
THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION TO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CASCADES IN
ADDITION TO THE OLYMPICS.

AT THIS POINT...THE THREAT OF FLOODING APPEARS TO BE ON THE MOST
FLOOD-PRONE RIVERS OF WESTERN WASHINGTON. WITH THE POSSIBLE
EXCEPTION OF THE SKOKOMISH RIVER...THE FLOODING THAT DOES OCCUR
SHOULD BE RELATIVELY MINOR.

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE INTERIOR COUNTIES FROM SNOHOMISH
COUNTY SOUTHWARD. MINOR FLOODING IS STILL POSSIBLE ON THE
NEWAUKUM...CHEHALIS...PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING...AND THE
SNOQUALMIE AND STILLAGUAMISH RIVERS.

THE FLOOD WATCH ALSO CONTINUES FOR THE OLYMPIC PENINSULA. THE
SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL MOST LIKELY FLOOD. THE OTHER RIVER OF PRIMARY
CONCERN THERE IS THE ELWHA...IN PART DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN ITS
BEHAVIOR SINCE THE DAMS THERE HAVE BEEN REMOVED RECENTLY.

FINALLY IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT A SCENARIO LIKE THIS...WITH
PRECIPITATION ARRIVING IN MULTIPLE SYNOPTIC WAVES...DO LEAVE A
HIGHER DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY. THE BOTTOM LINE THEN IS STAY TUNED FOR
UPDATES AND REVISIONS TO THE FORECAST. FELTON/MCDONNAL

&&

.AVIATION...STRONG FRONTAL SYS MOVING SLOWLY THROUGH WRN WA EARLY
THIS MORNING WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OVER OREGON...THE SRN CASCADES...
AND ERN WA TODAY. DEEP MOISTURE AND RAIN WITH STRONG SSW WIND ALF
DIMINISHING AFTER THE FRONT SHIFTS SE. WIDESPREAD MVFR CIGS AND
AREAS OF MVFR VSBY UNDER THE FRONTAL BAND...THEN IMPROVEMENT IS
POSSIBLE NORTH OF A LINE FROM HQM-SEA BY MIDDAY IF THE FRONTAL BAND
SAGS SOUTH OVER OREGON AND STAYS THERE. VERY LIKELY RAIN BANDS WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH NORTH...BUT THE WINDY AREA WILL SHIFT TO MNLY
OREGON BY MID MORNING. THE WINDS AT 5000 FEET TIL DAYBREAK WILL BE
ARND 70KT...BUT BY MID MORNING THOSE STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONTAL BAND WILL BE OVER OREGON AND INTO ERN WA AND MOST OF WRN
WA WILL BE NORTH OF THE FRONT WITH MUCH LIGHTER WINDS ALOFT. 19

KSEA...RAIN AND WINDY...BUT THE FRONTAL BAND WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST OF
SEATTLE ARND DAYBREAK. RAIN BANDS WILL PROBABLY STILL LIFT NORTH
THROUGH THE METRO AREA AT TIMES.

&&

.MARINE...A 974MB LOW CENTER WAS NEAR SRN QUEEN CHARLOTTE SOUND
EARLY THIS MORNING WITH THE ASSOCIATED FRONT EXTENDING FROM B.C.
SOUTH ACROSS VANCOUVER ISLAND AND THE WA AND ORE COASTAL WATERS.
WINDS WILL DECREASE AFTER THE FRONT SHIFTS SE...THE GALE WARNINGS GO
TIL 9AM. A DISTURBANCE MOVES UP ALONG THE FRONTAL BAND TNGT...BUT
THE STRONG GRADIENTS ARE NOT FORECAST TO LIFT BACK NORTH OVER WRN
WA. SO THE WINDS WILL DECREASE DRAMATICALLY BEHIND THE FRONT FOR WRN
WA TODAY WHILE STRONG GRADIENTS STAY OVER THE OREGON COASTAL WATERS.
ON THU ANOTHER RATHER STRONG FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE
REGION...WITH ANOTHER SYSTEM ON SAT.  19

&&

.AVALANCHE...PERFECT STORM OF AVALANCHE CONDITIONS UNFOLDING TUESDAY
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH ABUNDANT VERY WEAK SNOW LAYERS DEPOSITED
SINCE PREVIOUS RAIN EVENT LAST WEDNESDAY NOW BEING STRESSED BY
INCREASINGLY HEAVY SNOW OR RAIN...RISING FREEZING LEVELS...AND VERY
STRONG WINDS. ADD IN SOME VERY WEAK FACETED SNOW NEAR THE GROUND AND
THIS SPELLS DANGER IN ALL CAPS. INCREASING NATURAL ACTIVITY REPORTED
YESTERDAY DURING COLDER SNOWFALL JUST A WARMUP FOR THE NEXT 36
HOURS. HIGH TO EXTREME DANGER INCREASING. MUCH SAFER IN THE
MALLS AND BETTER FOR THE ECONOMY TOO. NO TIME TO BE RECREATING IN
THE MOUNTAINS. MOORE

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...HIGH WIND WARNING OLYMPICS...NORTHWEST INTERIOR UNTIL NOON.
    .WINTER STORM WARNING NORTH CASCADES UNTIL 6 PM.
    .WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY OLYMPICS AND CENTRAL CASCADES UNTIL
     NOON.
    .FLOOD WATCH FOR MOST OF WESTERN WASHINGTON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT.
PZ...GALE WARNING ALL WATERS EXCEPT CENTRAL STRAIT.
    .SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CENTRAL STRAIT.
    .SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY GRAYS HARBOR BAR FOR SEVERE BAR CONDITIONS.
    .HIGH SURF ADVISORY NORTH AND CENTRAL COAST UNTIL 4 PM.

YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Seattle, WA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 22, 2:53 AM PSTSmall Craft AdvisorySEW94 min
Nov 22, 2:57 AM PSTHigh Surf AdvisorySEW6 hr
Nov 22, 9:01 AM PSTSmall Craft AdvisorySEW12 hr
Nov 22, 9:53 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWLewis44 hr
Nov 22, 9:53 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWLewis12 hr
Nov 22, 9:53 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWLewis20 hr
Nov 22, 9:53 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWThurston20 hr
Nov 22, 10:04 AM PSTHigh Wind WatchSEWSan Juan27 hr
Nov 22, 11:49 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWPierce34 hr
Nov 22, 11:49 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWThurston18 hr
Nov 22, 2:41 PM PSTGale WatchSEW24 hr
Nov 22, 2:41 PM PSTStorm WatchSEW24 hr
Nov 22, 2:41 PM PSTSmall Craft Advisory for Hazardous SeasSEW36 hr
Nov 22, 2:55 PM PSTAreal Flood AdvisorySEWGrays Harbor, King, Kitsap, Lewis, Mason, Pierce and 1 more12 hr
Nov 22, 3:40 PM PSTGale WarningSEW8 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Washington, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.