Alert archive / Washington / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 30, NWS Seattle, WA

January 17, 2011Grays Harbor County, Washington

NWS Seattle, WA issued this river flood warning at Jan 17, 2011, 7:24 AM PST for Grays Harbor County, Washington. It took effect at Jan 17, 2011, 10:30 AM PST. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 17, 2011, 7:24 AM PST (15:24 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 17, 2011, 10:30 AM PST
Expired
Jan 19, 2011, 10:34 AM PST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Seattle, WA
Flood severity
Minor

County Grays Harbor County, WA

The river

Written for the forecast point Chehalis River at Porter (CRPW1).

Action stage
45.5 ft
Minor stage
48 ft
Moderate stage
50 ft
Major stage
52 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 12031000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

055 
WGUS46 KSEW 171524
FLWSEW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
724 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WASHINGTON...

  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY.
  CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER AFFECTING GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY.

.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 48

ANOTHER BURST OF HEAVIER RAIN THAT FELL IN THE CASCADES OF SNOHOMISH
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING WILL CAUSE THE NORTH FORK 
STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON TO RISE BRIEFLY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE 
THIS MORNING.

ON THE CHEHALIS RIVER...THE FLOOD CREST THAT IS MOVING DOWNSTREAM
LEWIS AND THURSTON COUNTIES WILL CAUSE THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
IN GRAYS HARBOR TO RISE SLIGHTLY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC061-180024-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0029.110117T1547Z-110118T0206Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.110117T1547Z.110117T1600Z.110117T1706Z.NO/
724 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT  7:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 8 AM MONDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 13.1 FEET AROUND 8 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING OF OSO LOOP ROAD AND CAUSE MINOR RIVERBANK EROSION.
  A STAGE OF 13 FEET CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY 
  FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM.

$$

WAC027-180024-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0030.110117T1830Z-110119T1653Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.110117T1830Z.110118T1200Z.110119T0753Z.NO/
724 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
* FROM THIS MORNING TO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  6:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND NOON  
  MONDAY AND CREST NEAR 21.2 FEET AROUND 4 AM TUESDAY. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR WILL 
  FLOOD LOW PASTURE LANDS AND SOME ROADS. HIGH TIDAL LEVELS AT 
  ABERDEEN WILL WORSEN FLOODING ALONG THE LOWER REACHES.

$$

MCDONNAL
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
9 follow-up statements
259 
WGUS86 KSEW 171935
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1135 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY.
  SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER NEAR BUCODA AFFECTING LEWIS AND THURSTON 
  COUNTIES.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...

  SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY. 
  COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER AFFECTING GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 53

                OLYMPIC PENINSULA AND SOUTHWEST REGION

PRECIPITATION RATES WILL EASE TODAY OVER THE OLYMPICS AND CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN CASCADES. COOLER AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION WILL DROP
THE SNOW LEVEL DOWN TO NEAR 2500 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE
SNOW LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO DROP TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW THE UPPER
REACHES OF RIVERS TO RECEDE AS FLOOD CRESTS CONTINUE DOWNSTREAM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC045-180435-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110118T0940Z/
/SRPW1.1.ER.110114T1948Z.110117T1100Z.110118T0040Z.NO/
1135 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 16.9 FEET AT 3 AM MONDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS...WITH WATER FLOWING QUICKLY OVER EAST 
  BOURGAULT ROAD AND SKOKOMISH VALLEY ROAD.

$$

WAC053-172005-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110118T0854Z/
/ORTW1.1.ER.110116T1027Z.110116T2100Z.110117T1623Z.NO/
1135 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

  THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE FLOW WAS 4120 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD FLOW THIS MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 8 AM THIS
MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 4000 CFS...THE PUYALLUP RIVER WILL LOCALLY SPILL OVER 
  ITS BANKS.

$$

WAC041-180435-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110119T0614Z/
/RAWW1.3.ER.110116T1706Z.110117T1230Z.110118T2114Z.NO/
1135 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING. 
* AT 11:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO
BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...THE COWLITZ RIVER WILL CAUSE MAJOR
FLOODING FROM THE VICINITY OF RANDLE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH RIFFE
LAKE...WITH DANGEROUS INUNDATION OF MANY ROADS INCLUDING US HIGHWAY
12...RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS...AND FARMS.  FLOODING WILL
OCCUR ALL ALONG THE RIVER INCLUDING HEADWATERS...TRIBUTARIES...AND
OTHER STREAMS WITHIN AND NEAR THE COWLITZ RIVER BASIN.

$$

WAC041-067-172005-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110118T0306Z/
/BCDW1.1.ER.110117T0230Z.110117T0715Z.110117T1345Z.NO/
1135 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE SKOOKUMCHUCK RIVER NEAR BUCODA
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 6 AM THIS 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.


$$

WAC067-180434-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110118T2100Z/
/CGMW1.1.ER.110117T1122Z.110118T0000Z.110118T1200Z.NO/
1135 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 11:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 14.6
FEET 
  AROUND 4 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY WILL 
  FLOOD SEVERAL ROADS IN INDEPENDENCE VALLEY INCLUDING JAMES ROAD...
  INDEPENDENCE ROAD AND MOON ROAD. FLOOD WATERS WILL ALSO COVER 
  NEARBY FARM LANDS.

$$

WAC027-180434-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110119T1653Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.110117T2151Z.110118T1200Z.110119T0753Z.NO/
1135 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
* FROM 2 PM MONDAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 2 PM
MONDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 21.2 FEET AROUND 4 AM TUESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR WILL 
  FLOOD LOW PASTURE LANDS AND SOME ROADS. HIGH TIDAL LEVELS AT 
  ABERDEEN WILL WORSEN FLOODING ALONG THE LOWER REACHES.

$$

FELTON
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
335 
WGUS86 KSEW 180026
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
426 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY. 
  COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER AFFECTING GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 56

                OLYMPIC PENINSULA AND SOUTHWEST REGION

PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN LIGHT DURING THE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON HOURS OVER THE AREA. PRECIPITATION WITH THE NEXT 
SYSTEM ON TUESDAY WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS THAN WHAT HAS OCCURRED 
OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. IN ADDITION THE SNOW LEVEL WILL BE 
DOWN TO AROUND 1500 FEET SO THE PRECIPITATION THAT DOES FALL IN THE 
MOUNTAINS WILL BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW AND STAY IN THE MOUNTAINS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC045-180926-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110118T1307Z/
/SRPW1.1.ER.110114T1948Z.110117T1100Z.110118T0407Z.NO/
426 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  3:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO
BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS...WITH WATER FLOWING QUICKLY OVER EAST 
  BOURGAULT ROAD AND SKOKOMISH VALLEY ROAD.

$$

WAC041-180926-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110119T0054Z/
/RAWW1.3.ER.110116T1706Z.110117T2015Z.110118T1554Z.NO/
426 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT  4:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 22.5 FEET AT 12 PM MONDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...THE COWLITZ RIVER WILL CAUSE MAJOR
FLOODING 
  FROM THE VICINITY OF RANDLE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH RIFFE LAKE...WITH 
  DANGEROUS INUNDATION OF MANY ROADS INCLUDING US HIGHWAY 12...
  RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL AREAS...AND FARMS.  FLOODING WILL OCCUR 
  ALL ALONG THE RIVER INCLUDING HEADWATERS...TRIBUTARIES...AND OTHER 
  STREAMS WITHIN AND NEAR THE COWLITZ RIVER BASIN.

$$

WAC067-180926-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110118T1113Z/
/CGMW1.1.ER.110117T1122Z.110117T1930Z.110118T0213Z.NO/
426 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  4:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 14.2 FEET AT 11 AM MONDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY WILL 
  FLOOD SEVERAL ROADS IN INDEPENDENCE VALLEY INCLUDING JAMES ROAD...
  INDEPENDENCE ROAD AND MOON ROAD. FLOOD WATERS WILL ALSO COVER 
  NEARBY FARM LANDS.

$$

WAC027-180926-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110119T1143Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.110118T0104Z.110118T1200Z.110119T0243Z.NO/
426 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
* FROM 5 PM MONDAY UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  3:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 5 PM
MONDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 21.3 FEET AROUND 4 AM TUESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR WILL 
  FLOOD LOW PASTURE LANDS AND SOME ROADS. HIGH TIDAL LEVELS AT 
  ABERDEEN WILL WORSEN FLOODING ALONG THE LOWER REACHES.

$$

FELTON
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
198 
WGUS86 KSEW 180554
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
954 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...

  COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER AFFECTING GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 64

                SOUTH WEST REGION

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY ALONG THE REACH OF THE 
COWLITZ RIVER FROM THE VICINITY OF RANDLE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH RIFFE 
LAKE. THE COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE FELL BELOW MAJOR FLOOD LEVEL THIS 
EVENING AFTER REMAINING JUST ABOVE MAJOR FLOOD LEVEL ALL DAY.

MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ALONG THE REACH OF THE CHEHALIS 
RIVER IN SOUTHWEST THURSTON COUNTY. IN ADDITION...MINOR FLOODING 
WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT ALONG THE LOWER REACH OF 
THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC041-181354-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110119T0054Z/
/RAWW1.3.ER.110116T1706Z.110117T2015Z.110118T1554Z.NO/
954 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT  9:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 22.5 FEET AT 12 PM MONDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...THE COWLITZ RIVER WILL CAUSE FLOODING FROM 
  THE VICINITY OF RANDLE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH RIFFE LAKE...INUNDATING 
  MANY ROADS INCLUDING US HIGHWAY 12 AND MUCH OF THE FARM LANDS.

$$

WAC067-181113-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110118T1113Z/
/CGMW1.1.ER.110117T1122Z.110117T1930Z.110118T0445Z.NO/
954 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT...BUT MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE
  TONIGHT AS THE FLOOD WATERS SLOWLY RECEDE.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9 PM MONDAY AND 
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.  FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN SOME AREAS UNTIL 
  THE FLOOD WAVE HAS COMPLETELY PASSED DOWNSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY WILL 
  LOCALLY SPILL OUT OF ITS BANKS INTO NEARBY FIELDS AND OVER A FEW 
  ROADS.

$$

WAC027-181354-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110119T1143Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.110118T0400Z.110118T1200Z.110119T0243Z.NO/
954 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
* FROM 8 PM MONDAY UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE SLOWLY AND CREST NEAR 21.2 FEET
  TUESDAY MORNING...REMAIN NEARLY LEVEL TUESDAY...THEN FALL SLOWLY 
  TUESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR WILL 
  FLOOD LOW PASTURE LANDS AND SOME ROADS. HIGH TIDAL LEVELS AT 
  ABERDEEN WILL WORSEN FLOODING ALONG THE LOWER REACHES.

$$

MCDONNAL
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
315 
WGUS86 KSEW 181057
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
257 AM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
  COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER AFFECTING GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 66

                SOUTH WEST REGION

RIVERS CONTINUE TO RECEDE. THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND FELL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND THE WARNING HAS ENDED THERE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC041-181857-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110119T0054Z/
/RAWW1.3.ER.110116T1706Z.110117T2015Z.110118T1554Z.NO/
257 AM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. 
* AT  2:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...THE COWLITZ RIVER WILL CAUSE FLOODING FROM 
  THE VICINITY OF RANDLE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH RIFFE LAKE...INUNDATING 
  MANY ROADS INCLUDING US HIGHWAY 12 AND MUCH OF THE FARM LANDS.

$$

WAC067-181127-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110118T1113Z/
/CGMW1.1.ER.110117T1122Z.110117T1930Z.110118T0445Z.NO/
257 AM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND
* AT  2:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LAST NIGHT.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE  8:45 PM MONDAY LAST 
  NIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY WILL 
  LOCALLY SPILL OUT OF ITS BANKS INTO NEARBY FIELDS AND OVER A FEW 
  ROADS.

$$

WAC027-181857-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110119T1143Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.110118T0400Z.110118T1200Z.110119T0243Z.NO/
257 AM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  1:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 21.3 FEET
  AROUND 4 AM TUESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR WILL 
  FLOOD LOW PASTURE LANDS AND SOME ROADS. HIGH TIDAL LEVELS AT 
  ABERDEEN WILL WORSEN FLOODING ALONG THE LOWER REACHES.

$$
BURKE
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
246 
WGUS86 KSEW 181834
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1034 AM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER AFFECTING GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 73

                SOUTH WEST REGION

  THE COWLITZ AND CHEHALIS RIVERS WILL CONTINUE SLOWLY RECEDE...BUT 
REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TODAY. THE COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE DROPPED
FROM MODERATE FLOOD STAGE TO MINOR FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC041-190400-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110119T1208Z/
/RAWW1.3.ER.110116T1706Z.110117T2015Z.110119T0308Z.NO/
1034 AM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 10:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO
BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...THE COWLITZ RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING 
  FROM THE VICINITY OF RANDLE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH RIFFE LAKE...
  COVERING NEARBY FARM LANDS AND SEVERAL ROADS.

$$

WAC027-190400-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110120T0000Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.110118T0400Z.110118T1015Z.110119T0243Z.NO/
1034 AM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT  9:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 21.1 FEET AT 2 AM TUESDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR WILL 
  FLOOD LOW PASTURE LANDS AND SOME ROADS. HIGH TIDAL LEVELS AT 
  ABERDEEN WILL WORSEN FLOODING ALONG THE LOWER REACHES.

$$

WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
382 
WGUS86 KSEW 190022
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
422 PM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY. 
  CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER AFFECTING GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 78

                SOUTH WEST REGION

THE RIVERS ARE SLOWLY RECEEDING AND MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC041-190822-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110119T1216Z/
/RAWW1.3.ER.110116T1706Z.110117T2015Z.110119T0316Z.NO/
422 PM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  4:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...THE COWLITZ RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING 
  FROM THE VICINITY OF RANDLE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH RIFFE LAKE...
  COVERING NEARBY FARM LANDS AND SEVERAL ROADS.

$$

WAC027-190822-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110120T0000Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.110118T0400Z.110118T1015Z.110118T2330Z.NO/
422 PM PST TUE JAN 18 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT  3:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FLUCTUATING NEAR FLOOD STAGE THEN WILL
  SLOWLY FALL OVERNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR WILL 
  FLOOD LOW PASTURE LANDS AND SOME ROADS. HIGH TIDAL LEVELS AT 
  ABERDEEN WILL WORSEN FLOODING ALONG THE LOWER REACHES.

$$

WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
847 
WGUS86 KSEW 190817
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1217 AM PST WED JAN 19 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...

  CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER AFFECTING GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 81

                SOUTH WEST REGION

FLOODING HAS ENDED ON THE REACH OF THE COWLITZ RIVER FROM THE 
VICINITY OF RANDLE DOWNSTREAM TO RIFFE LAKE...AND THE FLOOD WARNING
THERE HAS ENDED.

MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE LOWER REACH OF THE CHEHALIS 
RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY AS THE FLOOD WAVE MOVES DOWNSTREAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON.

&&

WAC041-190847-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110119T1216Z/
/RAWW1.3.ER.110116T1706Z.110117T2015Z.110119T0334Z.NO/
1217 AM PST WED JAN 19 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE COWLITZ RIVER AT RANDLE
* AT 12:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE YESTERDAY EVENING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 8 PM TUESDAY 
  EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

WAC027-191616-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110120T0000Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.110118T0400Z.110118T1015Z.110119T0219Z.NO/
1217 AM PST WED JAN 19 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. 
* AT 11:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE YESTERDAY EVENING.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE LOWER REACH OF THE RIVER AS
  THE FLOOD WAVES MOVES DOWNSTREAM.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  6 PM TUESDAY AND
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.  FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN SOME AREAS UNTIL 
  THE FLOOD WAVE HAS COMPLETELY PASSED DOWNSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY 
  WILL LOCALLY SPILL OVER ITS BANKS WITH SHALLOW WATER ON SEVERAL 
  ROADS.

$$

MCDONNAL
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
697 
WGUS86 KSEW 191131
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
331 AM PST WED JAN 19 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...

  CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER AFFECTING GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 83

                SOUTH WEST REGION

MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE LOWER REACH OF THE CHEHALIS 
RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY AS THE FLOOD WAVE MOVES DOWNSTREAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON.

&&

WAC027-191931-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110120T0000Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.110118T0400Z.110118T1015Z.110119T0219Z.NO/
331 AM PST WED JAN 19 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. 
* AT  2:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE YESTERDAY EVENING.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE LOWER REACH OF THE CHEHALIS
  RIVER TODAY AS THE FLOOD WAVE MOVES DOWNSTREAM.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6 PM TUESDAY AND
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL. FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN SOME AREAS UNTIL 
  THE FLOOD WAVE HAS COMPLETELY PASSED DOWNSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY 
  WILL LOCALLY SPILL OVER ITS BANKS WITH SHALLOW WATER ON SEVERAL 
  ROADS.

$$

MCDONNAL
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
470 
WGUS86 KSEW 191834
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1034 AM PST WED JAN 19 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER AFFECTING GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY.
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 84

                SOUTH WEST REGION

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON.

&&

WAC027-191904-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110120T0000Z/
/CRPW1.1.ER.110118T0400Z.110118T1015Z.110119T0230Z.NO/
1034 AM PST WED JAN 19 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER AT PORTER
* AT  9:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE YESTERDAY EVENING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE YESTERDAY EVENING AND 
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN GRAYS HARBOR COUNTY 
  WILL LOCALLY SPILL OVER ITS BANKS WITH SHALLOW WATER ON SEVERAL 
  ROADS.

$$

WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 17, 3:00 AM PST, 4 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 17, 3:00 AM PST, 4 hours 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
300 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

.SYNOPSIS...RAIN WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON
TODAY...AND A COOLING TREND WILL GET UNDERWAY WITH THE SNOW LEVEL
FALLING BELOW 3000 FEET TONIGHT. A WEAK SYSTEM WILL BRING A LITTLE
RAIN TO THE LOWLANDS TUESDAY WITH SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. WEDNESDAY
WILL BE PARTLY SUNNY UNDER AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE...AND WEAK WEATHER
SYSTEMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AGAIN THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OFFSHORE ALONG 140W IS GIVING
STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO STREAM INTO WESTERN WASHINGTON WITH STRONG OROGRAPHIC
ENHANCEMENT OVER THE WEST SLOPES OF THE CASCADES AND OLYMPIC
MOUNTAINS. SHOWERS OVER THE LOWLANDS ARE MAINLY FALLING OVER
SNOHOMISH COUNTY AND THE NORTHWEST INTERIOR...IN WHAT IS ESSENTIALLY
THE PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE IN A CASE OF STRONG LOW LEVEL FLOW.
STRONG SOUTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENTS THAT DEVELOPED SATURDAY NIGHT
CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING WHILE TURNING MORE ONSHORE. THIS IS
PRODUCING LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES WERE STILL QUITE
MILD AT 3 AM -- IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE TOWARD THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TODAY. THE
FLOW OF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE AND THE
AIR MASS WILL COOL. ANOTHER 0.60 TO 1.20 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION IS
LIKELY OVER THE CASCADES TODAY AS THE SNOW LEVEL FALLS FROM AROUND
4500 FT TO 3000 FT. THIS WILL HAVE LITTLE IMPACT HYDROLOGICALLY.
FLOOD CRESTS ON WESTERN WASHINGTON RIVERS ARE MOVING DOWNSTREAM INTO
THE LOWER REACHES EARLY THIS MORNING...AND THIS AMOUNT OF ADDITIONAL
PRECIPITATION CERTAINLY WILL NOT CAUSE AN UPTURN ON REACHES THAT
HAVE ALREADY CRESTED. SEE THE HYDROLOGY SECTION BELOW FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.

THE TREND OF DECREASING SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE LOWLANDS AS
WELL...AND SHOWERS WILL MOSTLY BECOME LIGHT AND WIDELY SCATTERED
THIS AFTERNOON. A WEAK PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE WILL PROBABLY
LINGER THROUGH THIS EVENING OVER THE NORTH SOUND REGION AND INTO THE
CASCADES. THE OVERNIGHT LOWS THIS MORNING WILL BE CLOSE TO 50
DEGREES ACROSS THE WESTERN WASHINGTON LOWLANDS...AND TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL BE NEARLY STEADY. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY
AT THE COAST...ALONG THE STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA...AND IN THE PUGET
SOUND REGION.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE INLAND TONIGHT AS A FLAT INDISTINCT
FEATURE AND THE COOLING TREND WILL CONTINUE. A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY. MODELS HAVE HAD SOME
DIFFICULTY SETTLING ON THE DETAILS OF THIS FEATURE BUT -- ASIDE FROM
OCCASIONAL RAIN OVER THE LOWLANDS AND SNOW OVER THE MOUNTAINS -- IT
WILL BE AN INCONSEQUENTIAL SYSTEM. WE CAN EXPECT UP TO 0.25 INCHES
OF RAIN IN THE LOWLANDS AND A FEW INCHES OF SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS
WITH THE SNOW LEVEL 1500 TO 2000 FT. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSE
TO NORMAL FOR A CHANCE...IN THE MID 40S.

AS THAT SYSTEM CROSSES THE CASCADES AND MOVES OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST
TUESDAY NIGHT...AN UPPER RIDGE OFFSHORE WILL BUILD AGAIN ALONG 140W.
THIS WILL BRING A SHORT DRY SPELL TO WESTERN WASHINGTON. AGAIN THE
COOLING TREND WILL CONTINUE AND SOME CLEARING TUESDAY NIGHT WILL
ALLOW OVERNIGHT ALLOWS TO FALL MOSTLY INTO THE 30S. A FEW SPOTS
COULD EVEN DROP BELOW FREEZING. WEDNESDAY WILL BE PARTLY SUNNY WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.   MCDONNAL

.LONG TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL PROGRESS INLAND WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR
THURSDAY...AND A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM OF THE
RIDGE WILL BRING PRECIPITATION BACK TO WESTERN WASHINGTON. BEYOND
THURSDAY MODELS AGREE ROUGHLY THAT WEAK WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE REGION BUT DETAILS REMAIN HIGHLY UNCERTAIN
-- AS HAS BEEN THE CASE RECENTLY. HOWEVER WE CAN SAY CONFIDENTLY
THAT THIS WILL BE A GENERALLY UNEVENTFUL PERIOD. NONE OF THE SYSTEMS
MOVING INTO THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY APPEAR TO BE OF MUCH
IMPACT WITH REGARD TO PRECIPITATION...WIND...OR TEMPERATURES.
MCDONNAL

&&

.HYDROLOGY...RAINFALL IN THE NORTH CASCADES HAS BEEN MODERATE
OVERNIGHT. MANY UPSTREAM TRIBUTARIES HAVE BEEN SHOWING A RESPONSE BY
RISING AGAIN. THESE RISES SHOULD NOT LAST LONG BUT THEY HAVE
PROMPTED SOME UPWARD REVISIONS ON A FEW RIVER FORECASTS. MODERATE
RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NORTH CASCADES THIS MORNING BEFORE
ENDING WHEN COLD AIR MOVES INLAND THIS AFTERNOON.

MOST REACHES OF THE NOOKSACK RIVER APPEAR TO BE THE LEAST LIKELY TO
FLOOD...A WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA AROUND NORTH CEDARVILLE
BUT SO FAR IT APPEARS FLOODING IS UNLIKELY ELSEWHERE ALONG THE
NOOKSACK SYSTEM. THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER HAS SEEN RECENT RISES AS
WELL BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

WENT AHEAD WITH A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SKAGIT NEAR MOUNT VERNON
EARLIER. THE RIVER HAS BEEN RISING STEADILY AND UPSTREAM TRIBUTARIES
HAVE CONTINUED TO MOVE UP. NOT SURE WHETHER THE WATER ROUTED FROM
UPSTREAM OR THE LOCAL INFLOW WILL BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE BUT IT
DOES SEEM LIKE THE SKAGIT WILL HAVE MINOR FLOODING ALONG ITS LENGTH.

THE SNOHOMISH DRAINAGE WILL HAVE MAJOR OR MODERATE FLOODING. THERE
IS ALREADY MAJOR FLOODING ON THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER AROUND CARNATION
AND THIS SHOULD SPREAD TO THE SNOHOMISH RIVER LATER THIS MORNING.
THERE HAD BEEN MANY CONSECUTIVE HOURS OF MODERATE RAIN IN THE
CENTRAL CASCADES BUT THIS HAS TAPERED. THIS RAIN WAS ENOUGH TO DRIVE
THE CEDAR RIVER ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

SOME RIVERS FLOWING OUT OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADES HAVE CRESTED
AND FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE...INCLUDING THE CARBON...NISQUALLY...
AND UPPER COWLITZ. THE COWLITZ AROUND RANDLE IS HAVING MAJOR
FLOODING AND WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH TUESDAY.

A COUPLE OF RIVERS FLOWING OFF THE SOUTHERN OLYMPICS...THE SKOKOMISH
AND SATSOP...HAVE MINOR FLOODING. HEAVY RAIN THAT WAS FORECAST FOR
THE WILLAPA HILLS LARGELY DID NOT MATERIALIZE AND THE CHEHALIS RIVER
WILL HAVE ONLY SOME MINOR FLOODING AT WORST. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT ALONG THE CHEHALIS VALLEY AND ALSO OVER SKAGIT AND WHATCOM
COUNTIES.

THE GREEN RIVER IS SLIGHTLY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND WILL CONTINUE TO
CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OVER LOW LYING FARM LANDS ON THE MIDDLE GREEN
RIVER UPSTREAM OF AUBURN. THE FORECAST IS FOR RELEASES FROM HOWARD
HANSON DAM TO KEEP THE RIVER RUNNING AT ABOUT TEN THOUSAND CFS
THROUGH THE NEXT FOUR DAYS. ONCE THE RIVER FALLS BACK BELOW FLOOD
STAGE...NO MORE FLOODING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 10 DAYS. BURKE

&&

.AVIATION...STRONG...WLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST. A CDFNT ABOUT 150
MILES NW OF THE COAST WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING.
THE AIR MASS WILL BE MARGINALLY UNSTABLE TODAY BUT WILL STABILIZE
OVERNIGHT. STRONG...LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW WILL RELAX OVERNIGHT. THE
CASCADES AND OLYMPIC RANGE WILL BE OBSCURED TODAY. CIGS WILL MAINLY
BE IN THE MVFR CATEGORY TODAY BUT THERE WILL BE SOME IMPROVEMENT
THIS AFTERNOON.

KSEA...THE SAND POINT PROFILER STILL SHOWED SW WINDS OF 50 KT JUST
ABOVE THE SFC...SO WILL EXTEND THE LLWS TIL 1800 UTC. OTHERWISE
EXPECT MVFR CIGS TO PERSIST THRU THIS MORNING...BECOMING VFR THIS
AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...A COLD FRONT ABOUT 130 NM NW OF THE WASHINGTON COAST WILL
SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA BY NOON TODAY. EXPECT STRONG ONSHORE FLOW
BEHIND THIS FRONT...WITH HIGH END GALES POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA. THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN
TONIGHT...WITH LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW ANTICIPATED TUE AND WED.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND/OR ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
     FOR MUCH OF THE CWA.

PZ...GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL/EASTERN STRAIT OF
     JUAN DE FUCA AND THE PUGET SOUND/HOOD CANAL.

     A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINING WATERS.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROUGH GRAYS HARBOR
     BAR CONDITIONS THRU LATE TUE NIGHT.

FOR AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THE FORECAST DISCUSSION...PLEASE SEE
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Seattle, WA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 16, 5:25 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWWhatcom28 hr
Jan 16, 5:25 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWThurston34 hr
Jan 16, 9:05 PM PSTSmall Craft AdvisorySEW24 hr
Jan 16, 11:02 PM PSTAreal Flood WarningSEWKing30 hr
Jan 16, 11:40 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWKing4 days
Jan 16, 11:40 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWKing9 days
Jan 17, 12:41 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSkagit45 hr
Jan 17, 2:59 AM PSTSmall Craft Advisory for Hazardous SeasSEW54 hr
Jan 17, 3:30 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish18 hr
Jan 17, 7:24 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish9 hr
Jan 17, 8:01 AM PSTWinter Weather AdvisorySEW11 hr
Jan 17, 12:28 PM PSTWind AdvisorySEW5 hr
Jan 17, 12:47 PM PSTAreal Flood WarningSEWSnohomish20 hr
Jan 17, 1:05 PM PSTAreal Flood WarningSEWLewis6 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Washington, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.