Alert archive / Washington / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 23, NWS Seattle, WA

January 16, 2011Whatcom County, Washington

NWS Seattle, WA issued this river flood warning at Jan 16, 2011, 5:25 PM PST for Whatcom County, Washington. It took effect at Jan 17, 2011, 1:36 AM PST. It was in force for 20 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 16, 2011, 5:25 PM PST (01:25 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 17, 2011, 1:36 AM PST
Expired
Jan 17, 2011, 9:28 PM PST
In force
20 hr
Issued by
NWS Seattle, WA
Flood severity
Minor

County Whatcom County, WA

The radar

The Seattle radar (KATX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Nooksack River at North Cedarvillle (NRKW1).

Action stage
144.8 ft
Minor stage
146.5 ft
Moderate stage
148 ft
Major stage
150 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 12210700, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

571 
WGUS46 KSEW 170125
FLWSEW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
525 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WASHINGTON...

  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY.
  CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND AFFECTING THURSTON COUNTY.

.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 28

HEAVY RAIN LAST NIGHT AND TODAY ALONG WITH SOME CONTINUED RAIN
TONIGHT WILL DRIVE THE NOOKSACK AND CHEHALIS RIVERS TO CONTINUE TO
RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AND GRAND MOUND GAGES
RESPECTIVELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC073-171025-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0023.110117T0712Z-110118T0646Z/
/NRKW1.1.ER.110117T0712Z.110117T1200Z.110117T2146Z.NO/
525 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  4:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 145.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 11 PM 
  SUNDAY AND CREST NEAR 147.0 FEET AROUND 4 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 146.5 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  LYNDEN.

$$

WAC067-171025-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0024.110117T1045Z-110118T2256Z/
/CGMW1.1.ER.110117T1045Z.110118T0000Z.110118T1356Z.NO/
525 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CHEHALIS RIVER NEAR GRAND MOUND
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  5:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 3 AM MONDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 15.1 FEET AROUND 4 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE CHEHALIS RIVER IN THURSTON COUNTY WILL 
  FLOOD SEVERAL ROADS IN INDEPENDENCE VALLEY INCLUDING JAMES ROAD...
  INDEPENDENCE ROAD AND MOON ROAD. FLOOD WATERS WILL ALSO COVER 
  NEARBY FARM LANDS.

$$

JBB
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
7 follow-up statements
449 
WGUS86 KSEW 170530
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
930 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY.
  SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS AFFECTING 
  SNOHOMISH COUNTY.
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. !** XX. **!

                NORTH WEST REGION

  !**  INSERT GENERAL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SYNOPSIS HERE.  (OBSERVED 
AND PREDICTED RAINFALL AND CONTRIBUTING CONDITIONS IN AFFECTED 
BASINS)  **!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC073-171430-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0023.110117T0936Z-110118T0615Z/
/NRKW1.1.ER.110117T0936Z.110117T1800Z.110117T2115Z.NO/
930 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* FROM 2 AM MONDAY UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 145.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 2 AM MONDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 146.8 FEET AROUND 10 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 146.5 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  LYNDEN.

$$

WAC057-171430-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110118T1319Z/
/CONW1.1.ER.110117T0530Z.110117T1800Z.110118T0419Z.NO/
930 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE
* FROM 9 PM SUNDAY UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST AROUND FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9 PM SUNDAY
  THEN FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD LOW AREAS AND 
  SECTIONS OF ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM ROCKPORT DOWNSTREAM TO SEDRO
  WOOLLEY. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO 
  A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-170600-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-110117T2230Z/
/ARGW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON
* AT  8:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 


$$

WAC061-170600-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110117T1601Z/
/GFLW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS
* AT  8:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 


$$

WAC061-170600-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-110117T2315Z/
/ARLW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* AT  9:09 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 

$$
BURKE
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
492 
WGUS86 KSEW 170538 CCA
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
930 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WASHINGTON...

  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH
  COUNTY.
  SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS AFFECTING
  SNOHOMISH COUNTY.
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WASHINGTON...

  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY.
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY.

.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 33

                NORTH WEST REGION

HEAVY RAIN ENDED EARLIER TODAY OVER THE STILLAGUAMISH BASIN. THE
RIVER IS BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT ALL FORECAST POINTS AND IS FALLING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC073-171430-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0023.110117T0936Z-110118T0615Z/
/NRKW1.1.ER.110117T0936Z.110117T1800Z.110117T2115Z.NO/
930 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* FROM 2 AM MONDAY UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 145.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 2 AM MONDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 146.8 FEET AROUND 10 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 146.5 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM THROUGH
  LYNDEN.

$$

WAC057-171430-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110118T1319Z/
/CONW1.1.ER.110117T0530Z.110117T1800Z.110118T0419Z.NO/
930 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE
* FROM 9 PM SUNDAY UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST AROUND FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9 PM SUNDAY
  THEN FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD LOW AREAS AND
  SECTIONS OF ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM ROCKPORT DOWNSTREAM TO SEDRO
  WOOLLEY. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO
  A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-170600-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-110117T2230Z/
/ARGW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON
* AT  8:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.


$$

WAC061-170600-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-110117T1601Z/
/GFLW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS
* AT  8:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.


$$

WAC061-170600-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-110117T2315Z/
/ARLW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* AT  9:09 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.

$$
BURKE
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
788 
WGUS86 KSEW 171032
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
232 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 41

                NORTH WEST REGION

MODERATE RAIN OVER THE NORTH CASCADES WILL DRIVE THE REACH OF THE
NOOKSACK RIVER NEAR NORTH CEDARVILLE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE SKAGIT
RIVER WILL ALSO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER IS
FORECAST TO RISE BUT CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE. ANY FLOODING ON ALL 
THREE OF THESE RIVERS SHOULD BE MINOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC073-171932-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-110118T0615Z/
/NRKW1.1.ER.110117T0826Z.110117T1800Z.110117T2115Z.NO/
232 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT  1:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 146.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 146.8 
  FEET AROUND 10 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 146.5 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  LYNDEN.

$$

WAC057-171932-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110118T1319Z/
/CONW1.1.ER.110117T0800Z.110117T1800Z.110118T0419Z.NO/
232 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  1:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 29.6 FEET
  AROUND 10 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD LOW AREAS AND 
  SECTIONS OF ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM ROCKPORT DOWNSTREAM TO SEDRO
  WOOLLEY. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO 
  A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC057-171932-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0027.110117T1700Z-110119T0403Z/
/MVEW1.1.ER.110117T1700Z.110118T0600Z.110118T1903Z.NO/
232 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON
* FROM 9 AM MONDAY UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  2:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9 AM MONDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 28.6 FEET AROUND 10 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING 
  FROM SEDRO WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH...
  WITH SHALLOW FLOODING IN LOW PASTURE LANDS AND OVER A FEW LOW-LYING
  ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT 
  CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$
BURKE
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
599 
WGUS86 KSEW 171203
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
403 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 45

                NORTH WEST REGION

MINOR FLOODING WILL OCCUR ON THE REACH OF THE NOOKSACK NEAR NORTH
CEDARVILLE...THE SKAGIT RIVER...AND THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR
ARLINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC073-172103-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-110118T1052Z/
/NRKW1.1.ER.110117T0826Z.110117T1115Z.110118T0152Z.NO/
403 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* FROM 12 AM MONDAY UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT  3:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 146.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR AT 147.0 FEET AT 5 AM MONDAY AND WILL 
  FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 147.3 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF LOW FARM LANDS ALONG THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  LYNDEN...WITH SWIFT WATER MOVING OVER SEVERAL ROADS.

$$

WAC057-172103-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110118T1319Z/
/CONW1.1.ER.110117T0800Z.110117T1800Z.110118T0419Z.NO/
403 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  3:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 29.6 FEET
  AROUND 10 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD LOW AREAS AND 
  SECTIONS OF ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM ROCKPORT DOWNSTREAM TO SEDRO
  WOOLLEY. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO 
  A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC057-172103-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0027.110117T1700Z-110119T0403Z/
/MVEW1.1.ER.110117T1700Z.110118T0600Z.110118T1903Z.NO/
403 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON
* FROM 9 AM MONDAY UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  3:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9 AM MONDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 28.6 FEET AROUND 10 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING 
  FROM SEDRO WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH...
  WITH SHALLOW FLOODING IN LOW PASTURE LANDS AND OVER A FEW LOW-LYING
  ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT 
  CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-172103-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0028.110117T1422Z-110118T0536Z/
/ARLW1.1.ER.110117T1422Z.110117T1800Z.110117T2036Z.NO/
403 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* FROM 6 AM MONDAY UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT  3:39 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 6 AM MONDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 14.8 FEET AROUND 10 AM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL LOCALLY SPILL 
  OVER ITS BANKS.  MINOR FLOODING AROUND SILVANA WILL OCCUR...
  INCLUDING OVER PIONEER HIGHWAY.  A STAGE OF 14 FEET ON THE 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH
  COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$
BURKE
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
292 
WGUS86 KSEW 171909
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1109 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY. 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 51

                NORTH WEST REGION

PRECIPITATION RATES WILL EASE TODAY OVER THE NORTH CASCADES. COOLER
AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL DOWN TO NEAR
2500 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO
DROP TONIGHT. THE UPPER REACHES OF THE RIVERS HAVE CRESTED OR ARE
IN THE PROCESS OF CRESTING THIS MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC073-180409-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-110118T1154Z/
/NRKW1.2.ER.110117T0826Z.110117T1715Z.110118T0254Z.NR/
1109 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 10:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 148.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 148.9 FEET AT 9 AM MONDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 148.0 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING DOWNSTREAM THROUGH LYNDEN...WITH SWIFT WATERS COVERING 
  SOME FARM LANDS AND ROADS. EROSION MAY AFFECT SOME RIVER BANKS.

$$

WAC057-180409-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110118T1333Z/
/CONW1.2.ER.110117T0800Z.110117T1900Z.110118T0433Z.NO/
1109 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING NOW AROUND 30.0 FEET. THE RIVER
WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD LOW AREAS AND 
  SECTIONS OF ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM ROCKPORT DOWNSTREAM TO
SEDRO WOOLLEY. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT
CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC057-180409-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-110119T0403Z/
/MVEW1.2.ER.110117T1251Z.110118T0600Z.110118T1903Z.NO/
1109 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING. 
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 31.0
FEET AROUND 10 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
TUESDAY LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD FROM SEDRO 
  WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH. FLOOD WATERS 
  WILL INUNDATE SOME LOW-LYING ROADS...FARMLANDS AND RESIDENTIAL 
  AREAS. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO A 
  PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-180408-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-110118T0522Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.110117T1635Z.110117T1815Z.110117T2022Z.NO/
1109 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 10:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 13.3 FEET AT 10 AM MONDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING OF OSO LOOP ROAD AND CAUSE MINOR RIVERBANK EROSION.
  A STAGE OF 13 FEET CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY 
  FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-180408-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110118T1316Z/
/ARLW1.2.ER.110117T1324Z.110118T0000Z.110118T0416Z.NO/
1109 AM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 10:39 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 17.5
FEET AROUND 4 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE
TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE
FLOODING MAINLY IN THE SILVANA AREA, ALONG NORMAN ROAD AND IN
FLORENCE. A STAGE OF 17 FEET ON THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS
ROUGHLY TO PHASE 3 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

FELTON
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
453 
WGUS86 KSEW 180033
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
433 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 57

                NORTH WEST REGION

PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN LIGHT DURING THE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON HOURS OVER THE AREA. PRECIPITATION WITH THE NEXT 
SYSTEM ON TUESDAY WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS THAN WHAT HAS OCCURRED 
OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. IN ADDITION THE SNOW LEVEL WILL BE 
DOWN TO AROUND 1500 FEET SO THE PRECIPITATION THAT DOES FALL IN THE 
MOUNTAINS WILL BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW AND STAY IN THE MOUNTAINS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC073-180933-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-110118T1114Z/
/NRKW1.2.ER.110117T0826Z.110117T1715Z.110118T0214Z.NR/
433 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  3:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 147.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 148.9 FEET AT 9 AM MONDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 146.5 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  LYNDEN.

$$

WAC057-180933-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110118T1200Z/
/CONW1.2.ER.110117T0800Z.110117T1715Z.110118T0300Z.NO/
433 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  4:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 30.1 FEET AT 9 AM MONDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD LOW AREAS AND 
  SECTIONS OF ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM ROCKPORT DOWNSTREAM TO
SEDRO
  WOOLLEY. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO 
  A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC057-180933-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-110119T1023Z/
/MVEW1.2.ER.110117T1251Z.110118T0600Z.110119T0123Z.NO/
433 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. 
* AT  4:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 31.0
FEET
  AROUND 10 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD FROM SEDRO 
  WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH. FLOOD WATERS 
  WILL INUNDATE SOME LOW-LYING ROADS...FARMLANDS AND RESIDENTIAL 
  AREAS. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO A 
  PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-180103-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-110118T0522Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.110117T1635Z.110117T1815Z.110117T1931Z.NO/
433 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON
* AT  3:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 11:30 AM MONDAY
AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

WAC061-180933-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110118T2108Z/
/ARLW1.2.ER.110117T1324Z.110117T1924Z.110118T1208Z.NO/
433 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT  4:09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 17.6 FEET AT 11 AM MONDAY AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR 
  FLOODING MAINLY IN THE SILVANA AREA...INCLUDING OVER PIONEER 
  HIGHWAY AND ALONG NORMAN RD.  A STAGE OF 16 FEET ON THE 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO PHASE 2 IN THE
SNOHOMISH
  COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

FELTON
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
600 
WGUS86 KSEW 180528
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
928 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY.
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY.
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT FERNDALE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MOUNT VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 62

                NORTH WEST REGION

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY ALONG THE LOWER REACHES
OF THE NOOKSACK AND SKAGIT RIVERS. THE UPPER REACHES OF BOTH RIVERS 
CRESTED EARLIER TODAY AND HAVE FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE. THEY WILL
CONTINUE TO FALL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

FLOODING HAS ENDED ON THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AND IT WILL CONTINUE
TO RECEDE SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON.

&&

WAC073-180558-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-110118T1114Z/
/NRKW1.2.ER.110117T0826Z.110117T1715Z.110118T0112Z.NR/
928 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* AT  8:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 145.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 5 PM MONDAY THIS 
  EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

WAC073-181428-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0031.110118T0521Z-110118T2100Z/
/NKSW1.1.ER.110118T0350Z.110118T0445Z.110118T1200Z.NO/
928 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT FERNDALE
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT  8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 19.2 FEET AROUND 10 PM 
  MONDAY THEN FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER FROM NEAR FERNDALE 
  DOWNSTREAM TO THE MOUTH.

$$

WAC057-180558-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110118T1200Z/
/CONW1.2.ER.110117T0800Z.110117T1715Z.110118T0141Z.NO/
928 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 6 PM MONDAY THIS 
  EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

WAC057-181428-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-110119T1023Z/
/MVEW1.2.ER.110117T1251Z.110118T0600Z.110119T0123Z.NO/
928 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MOUNT VERNON
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. 
* AT  9:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 31.0 FEET
  AROUND 10 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD FROM SEDRO 
  WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH. FLOOD WATERS 
  WILL INUNDATE SOME LOW-LYING ROADS...FARMLANDS AND RESIDENTIAL 
  AREAS. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO A 
  PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-180558-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110118T2108Z/
/ARLW1.2.ER.110117T1324Z.110117T1924Z.110118T0110Z.NO/
928 PM PST MON JAN 17 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* AT  9:09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 5 PM MONDAY THIS 
  EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

MCDONNAL
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 16, 3:43 PM PST, 1 hour 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 16, 3:43 PM PST, 1 hour 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
343 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER RIDGING AND MILD WEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT HEAVY RAIN OVER THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT WITH SHOWERS OVER THE
LOWLANDS. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH WESTERN WASHINGTON EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...CAUSING PRECIPITATION TO TAPER OFF AND SNOW LEVELS
TO DROP BACK TO 3000 FEET ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. ON TUESDAY...A LOW
CENTER WILL MOVE BY TO OUR SOUTH...SPREADING RAIN ACROSS THE AREA.
THEN DRY AND TRANQUIL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAIN APPEARED TO OCCUR LAST NIGHT
AND EARLY THIS MORNING...HYDROLOGICALLY SIGNIFICANT RAIN IS STILL
POSSIBLE OVER THE MTNS THROUGH TONIGHT. ON MONDAY MORNING...THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS WHICH HAS BEEN TO OUR EAST WILL RETROGRADE OUT TO
NEAR 135W...ALLOWING A COLD FRONT TO SWEEP IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.
ONCE THE FRONT PASSES...THIS RAIN EVENT WILL QUICKLY COME TO AN
END...AND SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL TO 3000 FEET ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. IN
THE MEANTIME...18-HOUR QPF FROM NOW THROUGH 10 AM MONDAY STILL SHOWS
FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 2 INCHES ALONG THE CASCADES. ANY
PRECIPITATION AFTER THAT WILL BE HYDROLOGICALLY INSIGNIFICANT.

SO A DRYING TREND WILL BE UNDERWAY ON MON AFTN AND MON NIGHT. BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT...WE COULD EVEN SEE SLOWLY FALLING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES. ON TUE...SEVERAL RUNS OF THE GFS HAD BEEN ON THEIR OWN
IN SHOWING A SURFACE LOW SLIDING EASTWARD INTO NRN ORE WITH A PRECIP
SHIELD SPREADING ACROSS WRN WA. THE MOST RECENT 18Z NAM IS THE FIRST
OF THE NAM MODELS TO FINALLY AGREE WITH THIS IDEA...SO HAVE GONE
WITH LIKELY POPS FOR MOST LOCALES ON TUE. AS PRECIPITATION COMES TO
AN END ON TUE EVENING...SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP TO NEAR 1000 FEET OR A
SMIDGE LESS...SO HIGHEST HILLS IN THE LOWLANDS COULD SEE SOME LIGHT
SNOW BEFORE IT ENDS COMPLETELY LATE TUE NIGHT.

WED WILL BE VERY DIFFERENT FROM TUE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SPREADING
IN...AND PLENTY OF SUN BREAKS ARE EXPECTED ON WED AFTN. THERE MAY BE
A LINGERING SHOWER OVER THE CASCADES...BUT WED COULD VERY WELL BE
THE NICEST WEATHER DAY OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

.LONG TERM...THE PERIOD FROM THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY DOES NOT
LOOK OF MUCH CONSEQUENCE. THE MODELS SHOW A FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN WITH A WEATHER SYSTEM EVERY 2 DAYS OR SO. THE GFS AND ECMWF
AGREE NICELY IN BRINGING A WET BUT PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM THROUGH WRN WA
ON THU AFTN OR EVENING AND THEN A SECOND WETTER SYSTEM THAT COULD
TAKE MOST OF NEXT WEEKEND TO PASS BY.   HANER

&&

.HYDROLOGY...THE HEAVIEST RAIN WITH THIS EVENT OCCURRED EARLY THIS
MORNING...THOUGH HYDROLOGICALLY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE
OVER THE CASCADES AND OLYMPIC WEST SLOPES THROUGH TONIGHT. 18-HOUR
QPF FORECASTS FROM NOW THROUGH 10 AM MON SHOW A LITTLE OVER 2 INCHES
AT THE TYPICALLY WETTER SPOTS ALONG THE CASCADES. THIS WILL BE IN
ADDITION TO RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY OCCURRED. ALREADY...MANY
RIVERS FROM THE SKYKOMISH BASIN SOUTH WHICH FLOW OFF THE CASCADES
ARE EXPERIENCING MINOR OR MODERATE FLOODING. MAJOR FLOODING IS
FORECAST FOR THE COWLITZ BASIN. OF COURSE...THE SKOKOMISH IS ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE. OVERNIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTHEAST THROUGH
WRN WA. ONCE THE FRONT PASSES...RAINFALL RATES WILL COME DOWN
SIGNIFICANTLY...AND SNOW LEVELS WILL QUICKLY DROP TO 4000 FEET ON
MON MORNING AND THEN 3000 FEET ON MON AFTN. THERE WILL STILL BE
PLENTY OF WATER IN THE RIVER SYSTEMS TO MOVE OUT...BUT THE WEATHER
WILL NO LONGER BE AN EXACERBATING FACTOR.

THE GREEN RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE SLIGHTLY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT
THE AUBURN GAUGE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING OVER LOW LYING FARM LANDS ON THE MIDDLE GREEN RIVER
UPSTREAM OF AUBURN. ONCE THE RIVER FALLS BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON
TUESDAY...NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 10 DAYS.

A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF WESTERN WASHINGTON.
HANER

&&

.AVIATION...STRONG WLY FLOW ALOFT AND SW FLOW AT THE SURFACE WILL
PERSIST TONIGHT. MOIST CONDITIONS AT THE LOWER LEVELS AND SOMEWHAT
MOIST IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS. SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE. AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS EVENING. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL
MOVE THROUGH WRN WA ON MON WITH CONTINUED STRONG ONSHORE FLOW.

LLWS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SRN PARTS OF THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.

KSEA...S WIND 12-18 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT...EASING LATE. DTM

&&

.MARINE...STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST TONIGHT BEHIND A FRONT.
THE FLOW THROUGH THE STRAIT SHOULD INCREASE...POSSIBLY REACHING GALE
FORCE THIS EVENING CENTRAL E STRAIT. THE MESO LOW WILL PERSIST
TONIGHT OVER ADMIRALTY INLET WITH SURFACE GRADIENTS BECOMING A BIT
MORE SWLY AND FAVORABLE FOR MARGINAL GALES AT A TIMES IN PUGET
SOUND/HOOD CANAL...ESPECIALLY FROM AROUND ELLIOT BAY NWD. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS MOST REMAINING WATERS.

A SURFACE TROUGH ON MON WILL MAINTAIN DECENT FLOW THROUGH THE
STRAIT...AT LEAST SOLID SMALL CRAFT WINDS. SW GRADIENTS WILL WEAKEN
SLIGHTLY BUT MOST WATERS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE SMALL
CRAFT CONDITIONS.

ON TUE...A WEAKENING SURFACE LOW TRACKING INTO OREGON WILL ALLOW
GRADIENTS TO BECOME MORE LIGHT NWLY. DTM

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND/OR ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
     FOR MUCH OF THE CWA.

PZ...GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PUGET SOUND/HOOD CANAL...AND
     CENTRAL AND EAST STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA.

     A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL REMAINING
     WATERS EXCEPT ADMIRALTY INLET.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR ROUGH GRAYS HARBOR BAR
     CONDITIONS.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 16, 4:09 PM PST, 1 hour 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
409 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

WAZ001-503>519-172000-
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-SOUTHWEST INTERIOR-
EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-
EVERETT AND VICINITY-SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA-TACOMA AREA-
ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-HOOD CANAL AREA-LOWER CHEHALIS VALLEY AREA-
OLYMPICS-EASTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
WESTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-NORTH COAST-CENTRAL COAST-
WEST SLOPES NORTHERN CASCADES AND PASSES-
WEST SLOPES CENTRAL CASCADES AND PASSES-
409 PM PST SUN JAN 16 2011

A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS HAS PRODUCED LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON OVER THE PAST 5 DAYS. SEATAC AIRPORT HAS
RECEIVED AROUND 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN WHILE LOCATIONS NEAR THE
CASCADES...ALONG THE COAST...AND IN THE SOUTH INTERIOR HAVE
RECEIVED MUCH MORE. SOIL MOISTURE LEVELS AROUND WESTERN WASHINGTON
ARE HIGH. ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION RANGING FROM 0.25 TO 0.5
INCHES IN THE LOWLANDS AND OVER AN INCH IN THE MOUNTAINS IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THE RAINFALL
MAY PUT CONTINUED PRESSURE ON SOIL INSTABILITY...MAINTAINING A
RISK OF LANDSLIDES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

RAINFALL IN THE FORECAST...ON TOP OF THE CUMULATIVE RAINFALL OVER
THE LAST THREE WEEKS...WILL KEEP WESTERN WASHINGTON SOILS TO THE
POINT WHERE THEY ARE NEAR THE USGS LANDSLIDE INDEX. A DIMINISHING
RISK OF LANDSLIDES IS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK AS CONDITIONS DRY OUT SOMEWHAT.

WHILE THE USGS RAINFALL THRESHOLDS WERE DESIGNED FOR THE SEATTLE
AREA OF THE PUGET SOUND...MOST OF THE LOWLANDS OF WESTERN
WASHINGTON ARE SIMILARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO LANDSLIDES CAUSED BY WET
SOILS. AREAS MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO LANDSLIDES UNDER THESE CONDITIONS
ARE STEEP COASTAL BLUFFS AND OTHER STEEP HILLSIDES.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT CURRENT CONDITIONS...VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE...SELECT HYDROLOGY...AND THEN SCROLL DOWN
FOR THE LINK TO THE USGS LANDSLIDE INFORMATION PAGE.

ALBRECHT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Seattle, WA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 16, 5:25 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWThurston34 hr
Jan 16, 9:05 PM PSTSmall Craft AdvisorySEW24 hr
Jan 16, 11:02 PM PSTAreal Flood WarningSEWKing30 hr
Jan 16, 11:40 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWKing4 days
Jan 16, 11:40 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWKing9 days
Jan 17, 12:41 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSkagit45 hr
Jan 17, 2:59 AM PSTSmall Craft Advisory for Hazardous SeasSEW54 hr
Jan 17, 3:30 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish18 hr
Jan 17, 7:24 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish9 hr
Jan 17, 7:24 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWGrays Harbor51 hr
Jan 17, 8:01 AM PSTWinter Weather AdvisorySEW11 hr
Jan 17, 12:28 PM PSTWind AdvisorySEW5 hr
Jan 17, 12:47 PM PSTAreal Flood WarningSEWSnohomish20 hr
Jan 17, 1:05 PM PSTAreal Flood WarningSEWLewis6 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Washington, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.